新华社北京７月１２日电（记者金小茜）中国旅游研究院１２日在此间发布的“２０１２年上半年旅游经济运行分析和下半年趋势预测报告”显示，今年上半年我国旅游经济总体运行平稳，三大市场呈“两升一降”格局；预计全年旅游经济仍呈增长态势，旅游接待总人数将超过３０亿人次，旅游总收入约为２．５４万亿元。

    Beijing 7 dec（Reporter JinXiaoQian）China's tourism research institute released here in December“In the first half of 2012 tourism economy operation analysis and the second half of the trend prediction report”shows，In the first half of this year in Chinese tourism economy overall smooth operation，Three big market is“Two liters a drop”pattern；Annual tourism economy is still expected to increase in the future，Tourism reception of the total number of more than 3 billion people，Total tourist income of about 2.54 trillion yuan。

    上半年旅游经济总体实现平稳较快发展，但增速有所放缓。三大市场呈“两升一降”格局，国内旅游增长较快，出境旅游强劲增长，入境旅游先增后降。第一、二季度旅游产业景气指数处于“较为景气水平”。区域旅游格局有所突破，二季度中西部地区景气指数首次高于东部地区。

    Tourism economy in the first half of the overall realize steady and fast development，But has slowed down。Three big market is“Two liters a drop”pattern，Domestic tourism is growing rapidly，Outbound tourism strong growth，Entry tourism first increased and then drop。The first、In the second quarter of confidence in the tourism industry“More business level”。The regional tourism pattern to improve，In the second quarter for the first time in the Midwest confidence than region in the east。

    据预测，上半年旅游接待总人数有望突破１６亿人次，同比增长１３％，旅游总收入１．２８万亿元，同比增长１７％。国内旅游人数１５．５亿人次，同比增长１４％，国内旅游收入１．１２万亿元，同比增长１８％；入境旅游人数６６００万人次，同比略有下降，入境旅游外汇收入２３５亿美元，同比增长２％；出境旅游人数３８５０万人次，同比增长１９％，出境旅游消费约３６０亿美元，旅游服务贸易逆差进一步扩大。

    According to the forecast，In the first half of the total number of tourism expected to exceed 1.6 billion passengers，Year-on-year growth of 13%，The total tourist income reached 1.28 trillion yuan，Year-on-year growth of 17%。Domestic tourism number 1.55 billion people，Year-on-year growth of 14%，Domestic tourism income is 1.12 trillion yuan，Year-on-year growth of 18%；Tourist arrivals 66 million passengers，Up a slight decrease in，The entry tourism revenue of $23.5 billion，Year-on-year growth of 2%；Outbound tourism number 38.5 million people，Year-on-year growth of 19%，Outbound tourism consumption of about 36 billion dollars，Tourism services trade deficit is increasing。

    报告认为，下半年旅游经济运行环境总体趋好，预计全年旅游经济仍呈增长态势，但增速将低于去年同期。预计全年旅游接待总人数将超过３０亿人次，旅游总收入约为２．５４万亿元。

    Report says，The second half of tourism economic operation environment QuHao overall，Annual tourism economy is still expected to increase in the future，But growth will be lower than the same period last year。Throughout the year is expected to total tourism there will be more than 3 billion people，Total tourist income of about 2.54 trillion yuan。