新华社北京７月１８日电（记者陈炜伟、朱立毅）中国煤炭工业协会１８日预测，下半年我国煤炭需求将继续回落，供应继续较快增长，净进口增加，市场供大于求趋势明显，企业经营压力进一步加大。

    Beijing, July 18 (Reuters)（Reporter ChenHuiWei、ZhuLiYi）China's coal industry association 18 prediction，The second half of our coal demand will continue to fall back，Supply to continue growing rapidly，Net imports，The market supply trends obviously，Enterprise operating pressure further increase。

    中国煤炭工业协会副会长兼秘书长姜智敏１８日在上半年煤炭经济运行情况通报会上介绍说，上半年我国煤炭需求持续回落，全国煤炭消费１９.７亿吨，同比增长２.８％，增速同比回落６.６个百分点。

    China's coal industry association, vice President of JiangZhiMin 18, and secretary general of coal in the first half of economic operation conditions about meeting introduced said，The country coal demand for fall back，The national coal consumption of 1.97 billion tons，Year-on-year growth of 2.8%，Year-on-year growth dropped 6.6%。

    与此同时，煤炭供应能力大幅增加，主要由四重因素影响：一是上半年全国煤炭固定资产投资２１０３亿元，同比增长２３.１％，高出全国固定资产投资增速２.７个百分点。二是煤炭产量继续增长。上半年全国煤炭产量１９.１亿吨，同比增长５.６％。三是煤炭运量下降。上半年全国铁路累计发送煤炭１１.６６亿吨，同比增长４.５％，６月当月发送１.７６亿吨，同比下降５.５％，环比下降１１％；主要港口上半年转运煤炭３.１２亿吨，同比下降４.１％，６月当月转运４５２３万吨，同比下降近两成。四是煤炭进口快速增长，上半年净进口１３４０８万吨，同比增长７７.５％。

    At the same time，Coal supply ability greatly increased，Mainly by four heavy factors：One is the national coal in the first half of the fixed assets investment of 210.3 billion yuan，Year-on-year growth of 23.1%，Higher than the national fixed asset investment growth of 2.7%。2 it is coal production continued to grow。The national coal output in the first half of 1.91 billion tons，Year-on-year growth of 5.6%。Three coal freight volume is down。In the first half of the national railway accumulative total 1.166 billion tons of coal to send，Year-on-year growth of 4.5%，June that month send 176 million tons，5.5% year-on-year drop，Annulus comparing fell 11%；Main port transfer coal 312 million tons in the first half，4.1% year-on-year drop，June 45.23 million tons that month transport，Nearly twenty percent year-on-year drop。Four is coal import fast growth，Net imports in the first half of 134.08 million tons，Year-on-year growth of 77.5%。

    除需求回落和供应增长外，全社会煤炭库存快速增加。６月末，全社会存煤２.７８亿吨。其中，煤矿和重点发电企业存煤同比均增长逾三成，主要港口存煤同比增长６７.３％。此外，市场景气指数下降，煤炭企业经营压力加大。煤炭企业销售压力增大，成本持续增加，贷款回收出现困难，部分企业现金流趋紧。

    In addition to demand corrections and supply growth outside，The whole society coal storage increase rapidly。6 month，The whole society save coal 278 million tons。Among them，Coal mine and key power generation enterprise with year-on-year growth of more than thirty percent in coal are，Main port coal with a year-on-year increase of 67.3%。In addition，Market confidence drop，The coal enterprise operating pressure increase。The coal enterprise selling pressure increased，Costs continue to increase，Loan recovery difficulties，Some enterprises' cash flow。

    姜智敏表示，造成当前煤炭市场宽松的背景，首先是当前世界经济持续低迷和欧债危机影响。二是国内经济下行，煤炭市场理性回归。三是产量增长，净进口大幅增加。四是水电满发，电网调控能力增强。上半年水电满发，减少耗煤２０００多万吨。五是投资持续增长，产能建设超前，从投资者预期和数量分析看，目前的过剩应当是短期的。

    JiangZhiMin said，Cause the current coal market loose background，First is the current world economic downturn and the debt crisis continued influence。2 it is domestic economy to the downside，The coal market rational return。Three is output growth，Net imports surged。Four is ManFa water and electricity，Power grid control ability enhancement。In the first half ManFa water and electricity，Reduce the coal consumption of more than 2000 tons。Five is the investment growth，Advance the construction of a productivity of，From analyzing the quantity and investors expect to see，The surplus shall is short term。

    他说，此次煤炭经济下行持续的时间、影响程度和范围还难以预测，不容乐观。煤炭行业要继续调结构、转方式、控总量、稳市场，同时要强化企业内部管理，节支降耗、压库提效。

    He said，The coal economic downside for time、Influence degree and range is hard to predict，Not optimistic。The coal industry to continue the structure、Turn way、Total control、Steady market，And at the same time strengthening internal management，Consumption expenditure、YaKu mention effect。