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透视2012地方投资热潮:稳增长地方投资如何接棒--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-19
新华社北京8月19日电(新华社“新华视点”记者陈芳、叶锋、何欣荣)长沙,195个建设项目,累计投资额8300亿元:武汉,82个交通项目,累计投资超2300亿元……中央叩响稳增长的“发令枪”后,7月以来,地方政府纷纷推出重大项目,动辄数百亿甚至上千亿元的投资计划广受关注。
Beijing, aug. 19 (Reuters)(The xinhua news agency“Xinhua viewpoint”Reporter garrel dr、YeFeng、HeXinRong)changsha,195 construction projects,Total investment of 830 billion yuan:wuhan,82 traffic project,Total investment of over 230 billion yuan...The central at steady growth“pistol”after,Since July,Local governments have launched major project,Frequently tens of billions of even billions yuan investment plan wide concern。
随着中央一批事关全局、带动性强的重大项目启动,新一轮地方投资热潮将如何“接棒”,激活民间资本“一池春水”,确保“增长率”更提升“增长效率”?
As the central a batch of concerning the overall situation、DaiDongXing strong major project startup,A new round of local investment boom will be how“Joint rod”,Activation folk capital“Water in a pool”,Ensure that“Growth rate”More ascending“Growth efficiency”?
“投资发力”不要“投资依赖” “Investment hair force”Don't“Investment depends on”
今年上半年,我国GDP增速三年来首次跌破8%,中央把“稳增长”摆在了更加突出的位置。近期,各地密集出台稳增长、拉动投资的计划,应对经济下行压力。当前的地方投资主要集中在哪些方面?
In the first half of this year,Our country GDP growth fell below 8% for the first time in three years,The central“Steady growth”In a more prominent position。recent,On all intensive steady growth、Pull the investment plan,Respond to economic downward pressure。The current local investment mainly concentrated in what aspects?
据记者在采访中了解到,一是投资多向基础设施、民生、西部地区等薄弱领域和薄弱环节倾斜。以基建投资为例,7月底,铁道部调整年初的铁路基建投资计划,将数额从4160亿元增加到4700亿元。
According to the reporter in the interview to understand,One is the investment multidirectional infrastructure、The livelihood of the people、The western region and weak areas and weak link tilt。Investment in capital construction as an example,The end of July,At the beginning of the year the ministry of railways adjustment of railway construction investment plan,Will amount to increase 416 billion yuan from 470 billion yuan。
投资计划中不乏大手笔。除长沙、武汉外,近期公布的《贵州省生态文化旅游发展规划》收集各地上报项目2382个,筛选出总额3万亿元左右的重点投资项目。
There is no lack of investment plan big。In addition to changsha、The wuhan,The recent published《Guizhou province ecological culture tourism development planning》Collect all the project report 2382,Screen out total 3 trillion yuan or so key investment project。
二是新兴产业投资表现出强劲势头。按照“十二五”国家战略新兴产业发展规划,这一轮地方的大量投资,鼓励重点发展节能环保产业、新一代信息技术产业、生物产业、高端装备制造产业等领域。
The second is emerging industrial investment show strong momentum。According to the“1025”National strategy emerging industry development planning,This round of a large number of investment place,Encourage focus on the development of energy-saving and environmentally friendly industries、A new generation of information technology industry、Biological industry、High-end equipment manufacturing industry, etc。
投资发力对经济趋稳贡献明显。国家统计局数据显示,今年1-7月份,全国固定资产投资(不含农户)184312亿元,同比名义增长20.4%,增速与1-6月份持平。分析人士认为,下半年投资对经济的拉动力将进一步凸显。
Investment hair force to economic stabilised contribution significantly。The national bureau of statistics data show,This year in July 1 -,The national investment in fixed assets(Does not contain the farmers)18.4312 trillion yuan,Growth of 20.4% year-on-year name,Growth and 1 - June flat。Analysts believe that,The second half of the investment to economic pulling power will further highlight。
国家信息中心经济预测部首席经济师祝宝良指出,地方政府推出的投资计划很多是“十二五”已经规划好的项目,有的是集中推出而已。在稳增长的形势下,提高规划的科学性,促进投资的合理增长至关重要。
The state information center forecast economic department chief economist ZhuBaoLiang pointed out,The local government launched the investment plan is a lot“1025”Has a good project planning,Have a plenty of just rolled out。In the steady growth of the situation,To improve the scientific planning,Investment promotion of reasonable growth is very important。
“对经济放缓的‘中国式焦虑’,集中表现在面对转型‘阵痛’时,难以摆脱长期形成的投资依赖。”中央党校教授曾业松表示,当东部沿海地区进入“降速调整”阶段时,基础薄弱的中西部地区应抓住机遇发展,为整个实体经济提供“稳定器”。但要提高投资规划的科学性,找准经济持续增长的新动力,切莫走一哄而上、重复建设的老路。
“To the economic slowdown‘Chinese anxiety’,Concentrated expression in the face of transformation‘pains’when,Hard to get rid of the formation of long-term investment depend on。”The central party school professor had industry pine said,When the eastern coastal areas into“Drop speed adjustment”stage,Foundation weak parts of the Midwest should seize the opportunity development,Provide for the whole entity economy“stabilizer”。But to increase the investment planning more scientific,Find a new driving force of economic growth,Never go YiHongErShang、The duplicate construction zone。
民间资本要激活更要“有利可图” The folk capital to activate the more“profitable”
面对近期地方政府投资发力的系列“组合拳”,市场抱以积极关注的同时,也存在疑虑。面对地方融资平台的受限和土地出让收入的下滑,项目资金如何落实?
In the face of the recent local government investment hair force series“combination”,The market in the arms with positive attention at the same time,Also has doubts。In the face of local financing platform limited and land transfer income decline,How to implement the project funds?
中国社科院经济学部副主任刘树成指出,不断激发民间投资,优化投资结构,增强经济的内生动力,是解决这一轮地方投资资金难题的有效举措。
By the Chinese academy of social sciences, deputy director of the economics LiuShuCheng pointed out,Continuously stimulate private investment,Optimize investment structure,Enhance economic endogenous power,Is the solution of this round of the local investment funds problem of effective measures。
最新数据显示,目前我国民间投资占整个固定资产投资比重提高到62%,增长速度高于国有投资,成为投资增长的新动力。而近期一些地方在拉动投资的过程中,民间资本的“接棒”引人关注。
The latest statistics show,At present our country folk investment accounts for of the whole fixed assets investment proportion increased from 62% to,Growth rate higher than state-owned investment,Become a different investment growth。But in some places in the drive investment process,Folk capital“Joint rod”Fetching attention。
宁波,7月推出帮扶中小企业的26条政策措施,“最高可获40%返税优惠”的减税新政“助力”小微企业;温州加快制定鼓励民间资本兴办医院的措施;广东宣布推出44项面向民间投资招标的重点项目,总投资额2353亿元……
ningbo,July launch supporting small and medium-sized enterprise the article 26 policies and measures,“The highest available 40% tax rebates”New tax cuts“power”Small micro enterprise;Wenzhou formulated to encourage private capital to speed up in the hospital measures;Guangdong announced the launch of 44 medguide for private investment in the bidding key project,A total investment of 235.3 billion yuan...
财政部财政科学研究所副所长白景明说:“政府已推出‘新36条’细则,铁路工程建设、装备制造、交通运输基础设施、物流等领域将陆续对民间资本开放。激活民间资本这‘一池春水’,要注重制度完善,创造环境引导民资进入。”
The ministry of finance financial science BaiJing testified, deputy director of the institute:“The government has launched‘Article 36 new’rules,Railway engineering construction、Equipment manufacturing、Transportation infrastructure、Logistics, etc will soon open to private capital。Activate the folk capital‘Water in a pool’,Want to notice system perfect,Create environment guide into what。”
“要让民资放心投资,就需要尊重、保护民资的产权。”祝宝良认为,要设计合理的商业模式,确保民资“有利可图”,要创新民间资本的投融资模式。
“Want to let what trust investment,Will need to respect、What was the protection of property rights。”ZhuBaoLiang think,To design a reasonable business model,To ensure that what“profitable”,To innovation folk capital investment and financing mode。
上海民营经济比重较大的奉贤区,开始探索通过管理流程再造和行政效能提升,降低民营企业创业投资和生存发展的成本。对于重大项目、重点企业开辟绿色通道,推行“代办制”服务,让企业腾出精力和时间创新转型、做大做强。
Shanghai private economy becoming a larger share of,Began to explore through the management process reengineering and improve administrative efficiency,Reduce the private enterprise venture investment and the cost of survival and development。For major projects、Key enterprises open up the green channel,implementation“DaiBanZhi”service,Let the enterprise make the transformation time and energy on innovation、Bigger and stronger。
要“增长率”更要“增长效率” to“Growth rate”More to“Growth efficiency”
只要工业化尤其是城镇化在我国还没有“完工”,投资在我国经济社会发展中仍将扮演重要角色。现在的问题是:最需要“稳”哪些投资?
As long as the industrialized especially urbanization in China is still no“completion”,Investment in the country's economic and social development will still play an important role。The question now is:Most in need“stability”Which investment?
今年上半年,华东地区在全社会用电量增速明显放缓的背景下,产业用电结构实现持续优化。传统产业及高耗能行业用电增速持续回落,而新兴产业和服务业用电保持较快增长,其中信息传输计算机服务和软件业增长16.5%。
In the first half of this year,The east China area in all social power consumption growth under the background of slowed down obviously,Industrial electricity structure to realize continuous optimization。Traditional industries and industry consumption growth will continue down,And the emerging industry and service industry power kept growing rapidly,The information transmission of computer services and software increase of 16.5%。
“这一轮地方投资规模大,不仅要警惕低效益的盲目投资,还要提高投资项目的透明度,加强监督,保证债务规模可控。”白景明指出。
“This round of the local investment scale,Not only to alert low efficiency of the blind investment,To improve the transparency of investment projects,Strengthen the supervision and,Ensure that debt scale controllable。”BaiJingMing pointed out that。
中国(海南)改革发展研究院院长迟福林认为,投资仍然以“铁公基”为主,难以对中长期的增长和转型产生明显的拉动作用。从中长期看,投资要有效地转化为消费,才能形成内在的增长动力。
China(hainan)Reform and development research institute President ChiFuLin think,Investment still to“Iron and base”Give priority to,Is difficult to long-term growth and transformation have obvious pull function。From the long run,Investment will effectively into consumption,To form the inner growth power。
“据测算,未来5年,我国文化产业增加值要由2.75%上升至5%是有条件的,预计可带动4万亿元的投资。”迟福林认为,与一些成熟经济体相比,我国消费与投资失衡的情况仍较严重。各地应培养和拓展新的内需空间,为提振消费注入新活力。
“According to the calculation,The next five years,Our cultural industry added value to rose from 2.75% to 5% is conditional,Can be expected to drive the 4 trillion yuan investment。”ChiFuLin think,Compared with some mature economies,Our country consumption and investment imbalance situation is still more serious。All should cultivate and develop a new domestic demand space,To boost consumption injected new vitality。
如何将关注重点从追求“增长率”转变为“增长效率”?专家指出,地方投资要与培育新的经济增长点相结合。要鼓励和支持企业采用新技术、新工艺等的改造提升,加快产业升级;要与改善民生相结合,如加大对保障房建设、旧区棚户区改造、公益性项目等领域的投资,切实提升公共服务质量;加大对服务业方面的投资,实现投资的科学性和可持续性,不断释放经济增长潜力。
How to pay attention to focus from to pursue“Growth rate”into“Growth efficiency”?Experts point out that,The local investment to foster new economic growth point combination。To encourage and support enterprises to adopt new technology、New process on the transformation of ascension,Accelerating the industrial upgrading;To improve the people's livelihood and combination,Such as strengthen the security room construction、The old area shantytowns transformation、Public welfare project and other areas of investment,To improve the quality of public service;To increase the service industry investment,To realize scientific and sustainable investment,Are constantly released economic growth potential。
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