新华社北京７月２６日电（记者王敏、张毅）中国汽车工业协会２６日发布２０１２年汽车市场形势分析及市场预测报告指出，如果下半年宏观经济向好，经济发展增速回升，全年汽车销量有望达２０００万辆，增长８％。

    Beijing, July 26（Reporter ma、easy）China's auto industry association 26 release 2012 car market situation and market forecast report said，If the second half macroeconomic up well，Economic development growth picks up，Annual car sales are expected to reach 20 million cars，8% increase。

    据预测，２０１２年我国乘用车销量将达１６０９万辆，同比增长１１．１％。其中轿车将回归到稳定增长轨道上，预计将达１１１８万辆，增长１０．５％。ＳＵＶ预测销量为２０７万辆，同比增长３０％；ＭＰＶ销量为５６万辆，同比增长１３％；交叉型乘用车为２２８万辆，增长１％。

    According to the forecast，In 2012, passenger car sales will reach to 16.09 million vehicles，Year-on-year growth of 11.1%。One car will return to the stable growth in orbit，Is expected to reach 11.18 million cars，10.5% increase。SUV sales forecast for 2.07 million cars，Year-on-year growth of 30%；MPV sales for 560000 vehicles，Year-on-year growth of 13%；Cross-shaped passenger vehicles for 2.28 million vehicles，1% increase。

    据预测，商用车全年销量为３９１万辆，同比下降３％。其中客车继续保持较高增幅，全年预计销售５５万辆，同比增长１４％；货车则呈现负增长的趋势。

    According to the forecast，Commercial vehicle sales throughout the year of 3.91 million vehicles，3% year-on-year drop。Which bus keep high rate，The whole year is expected to sales of 550000 cars，Year-on-year growth of 14%；They show the trend of declining freight。

    进出口方面，预计全年进口将达１２０万辆，同比增长１５％；出口１０５万辆，同比增长２４％，进出口差额１５万辆。

    Import and export of，Throughout the year is expected to import will reach to 1.2 million vehicles，Year-on-year growth of 15%；Export 1.05 million vehicles，Year-on-year growth of 24%，Import and export balance of 150000 cars。

    中汽协副秘书长师建华表示，中汽协此次预测，考虑了影响汽车市场的诸多因素，包括宏观经济环境、农村汽车消费能力的提升、各地方政府对于汽车消费的鼓励或限制政策，以及能源、交通、环境的影响。“如果宏观经济保持目前状况，只要没有大规模的限制汽车消费的政策出台，今年汽车销量增速也将能达到５％。”他说。

    ZhongQi association deputy secretary-general ShiJianHua said，ZhongQi association this prediction，Considering the influence of the car market many factors，Including macro economic environment、Rural auto level、The local government for the car consumption encourage or restriction policies，And energy、traffic、The influence of the environment。“If macroeconomic keep the present situation，As long as no large-scale restrict automobile consumption policies，Car sales growth this year will also can reach 5%。”He said。