在国际经济金融形势依然严峻的情况下，中国经济在2012年上半年同比实现7.8%的增长，其中第二季度增长7.6%。对于这样一组增长数据，国际社会作出了不同的解读，一部分人因此预期中国经济将在短期内“硬着陆”，但更多经济学界的专家和学者则认为，对于中国而言，这样的增长速度是适宜的。

    In the international economic and financial situation is still severe，China's economy in the first half of 2012 compared to achieve 7.8% increase，The second quarter growth of 7.6%。For such a group of growth data，The international community have made a different reading，Part of China's economy will therefore expected in the short term“A hard landing”，But more economic community of experts and scholars argue that，In China's case，Such growth is appropriate。

    将增长目标定在7%—8%非常合适 Will grow 7%-8% target for very appropriate

    美国前财政部长顾问史蒂文·拉特纳不久前发表题为《中国经济依然强劲》的文章指出：“彭博社对经济预测的结果显示，2012年中国经济的平均增长率为8.2%。如果这就是从中国具有历史意义的两位数增长率的高处进行人们再三预测的‘硬着陆’，那就让我们祝愿美国也有类似的命运吧。即便是巴西或印度这样的大国，今年增长的速度也无法接近中国。”

    Former finance minister consultant Steven ratner speech titled not long ago《China's economy is strong》Article points out that：“Bloomberg to economic forecasting results of the display，2012 years of China's economy has grown at an average rate of 8.2%。If this is from China's historic double-digit growth rate on the high places of the prediction of the people repeatedly‘A hard landing’，Let's wish the United States also have a similar fate bar。Even if is Brazil or India this great nation，This year's growth speed cannot close to China。”

    俄罗斯科学院远东研究所副所长奥斯特洛夫斯基在接受本报记者采访时表示，在全球经济低迷的背景下，中国目前的经济增长速度显而易见是最高的，可谓一枝独秀，是世界其他经济体的标杆。

    The Russian academy of sciences, deputy director of the institute in the far east AoSiTeLuoFuSiJi accept our newspaper reporter to interview said，In the background of the global economic downturn，China's current economic growth speed obvious is the highest，Is shifting，Is the world of other economies benchmarking。

    南非金山大学商务学院研究生院高级讲师科菲·库阿库对本报记者表示，中国目前的经济增速要高于非洲甚至世界上大部分国家。和世界其他经济体一样，经济增长都有自己的发展曲线，过去30多年中国经济保持了近两位数的增长，现在受全球经济形势恶化的影响稍有下降，是可以理解的。

    South Africa golden hill university graduate school of business college senior lecturer kofi library to our correspondent said o library，China's current economic growth than in most countries in Africa and even in the world。And the rest of the world economy，Economic growth has its own development curve，Over the past 30 years China's economy has maintained a near double-digit growth，Now global economic situation worse effect of a slight decline，Is understandable。

    美国智库卡内基国际和平研究院高级研究员黄育川在接受本报记者采访时说，中国政府根据国内国际最新经济形势发展状况，将稳增长放在更加重要的位置，加强了对宏观经济政策的预调微调。他同时表示，中国经济增长速度需要在未来10年内稍微放慢一些。一方面，人均收入增加到一定水平以后，经济发展速度有所下降是正常现象；另一方面，经济适度放缓是基于环境的可持续性和承载能力的考虑。黄育川预计，到2020年，中国劳动力将停止增长，因此，中国政府没有必要为解决就业问题而保持近两位数的经济增长。他认为中国将国内生产总值的增长目标定在7%—8%的区间是非常合适的。

    American think-tank Carnegie international peace research institute HuangYuChuan senior fellow in accepting our newspaper reporters，The Chinese government according to the latest international economic situation development situation，Steady growth will be in a more important position，Strengthening the macro economic policy presetters fine-tuning。He also said，China's economic growth rate in the next 10 years to a little slow down some。On the one hand，Per capita income increased to a certain level after，The economic development speed dropped is normal phenomenon；On the other hand，Economic slowdown was moderate the sustainability of based on environment and the bearing capacity of consideration。HuangYuChuan is expected to，By 2020，China's labor force will stop growing，so，The Chinese government is not necessary for solving the employment problem and keep near double-digit economic growth。He thinks that China will gross domestic product growth target at 7%-8% of the interval is very fit。

    经济政策处在正确的方向上 Economic policy in the right direction

    美国彼得森国际经济研究所高级研究员、中国经济问题专家尼古拉斯·拉迪在接受本报记者采访时认为，中国政府的政策处在正确的方向上。“只要政策对头，中国经济在未来10年能够实现平均8%的高速增长”。

    The senior fellow at the peterson institute for international economics、China's economic expert Nicholas radi in accepting our newspaper reporter to interview think，The Chinese government policies in the right direction。“As long as the policy adversary，China's economy in the next 10 years to achieve an average of 8% growth”。

    对于转变经济发展方式，拉迪表示，一些改变已经发生，这将有助于中国经济实现再平衡。在转变经济发展方式的过程中，中国经济增长率可能在未来几年内降至7.5%乃至7%，但当经济实现再平衡之后，中国经济将实现更快的增长。

    For the transformation of the mode of economic development，Andradi said，Some of the change has occurred，This will help the economy in balance again。In the transformation of the mode of economic development process，China's economic growth in the next few years may drop to 7.5% or even 7%，But when the economic come true again after balance，China's economy will achieve faster growth。

    新加坡国立大学李光耀公共政策学院副教授顾清扬认为，下半年，如果欧美经济不能稳定下来，中国出口形势不会有大的改变；而在投资方面可能会有所增加，因为中国陆续出台了一些刺激经济的政策，比如财政方面力度较大，货币政策方面已经连续调整利率，创造了比较宽松的环境；消费方面，总体来讲不是很足，但中国最近一两年来对民生工程加大力度，见效的话，过高的储蓄会释放出来，内需会提高一些。他认为，目前，在此情况下，财政政策比较积极一些，货币政策比较宽松，通胀不会成为很大的问题，所以中国政府现在财政、货币政策掌握得比较适度，没有过冷或过热的表现。

    National university of Singapore, lee kuan yew, assistant professor of public policy GuQingYang think，The second half，If Europe and the United States economy can't stability，China's export situation won't have changed；And in investment may be increased，Because China has promulgated a some economic stimulus policies，Such as financial larger efforts，Monetary policy has been continuous changes to interest rates，Create a more comfortable environment；Consumer spending，Generally is not very satisfied，But China has recently for a year or two people's livelihood engineering efforts，Effective words，High savings can be released，Domestic demand will improve some。He thinks，At present，In this case，Some positive fiscal policy，Monetary policy more comfortable，Inflation will not become a problem，So the Chinese government now finance、Monetary policy master more moderate，Not too cold or a thermal performance。

    拥有足够政策空间应对挑战 Have enough space policy challenges

    布鲁金斯学会高级研究员普拉萨德日前在接受英国《金融时报》采访时说，预计中国经济今年增长7.5%至8%不成问题。对于欧债危机进一步恶化对中国经济造成的影响，他认为，中国政府已经十分警惕并做好了应对准备。中国政府有很多政策上的空间，可以应对国内经济减速和外部冲击。

    The brookings institution senior fellow purusha DE recently in accept English《Financial times》interview，China's economy is expected to grow 7.5% to 8% this year is not a problem。For the debt crisis further deterioration of China's economic impact of，He thinks，The Chinese government has very alert and ready to prepare for。The Chinese government has many policy space，Can deal with domestic economic slowdown and external shocks。

    普拉萨德预测，中国政府将会采取一种更为平衡的方式，其中财政政策会发挥更大的作用。这会起到两个效果：短期会促进增长，长期能推动经济从投资转向消费的“再平衡”。

    Purusha DE prediction，The Chinese government will adopt a more balanced approach，Including fiscal policy will play a bigger role。It will have two effects：Short-term will promote growth，Long-term can promote the economy from investment to consumption“To balance”。

    卡内基国际和平研究院高级研究员迈克尔·佩蒂斯认为，如果中国政府推进经济的再平衡，从理论上讲，经济的整体增速将放缓。目前中国经济出现的减速，或许是中国经济再平衡过程的开端，它将改变过度依赖投资的经济增长模式，增大向消费的倾斜。

    Carnegie endowment for international peace research institute senior researcher Michael peja di think，If the Chinese government to promote economic balance again，In theory，The whole economic growth would slow。China's current economic slowdown appears，China's economy is perhaps the beginning of balance process again，It will change the excessive dependence on investment's model of economic growth，To increase the consumption of the tilt。

    顾清扬认为，中国经济保持7.5%—8%的增长速度是好事，这样可以使注意力放在稳增长、调结构，经济转向内生性、包容性增长，经济运行处于更加健康的状态。“中国目前的经济问题，不在于速度，而在于经济结构调整的力度是否到位，增长质量如何”。（记者吴成良、孙天仁、张晓东、苑基荣、王慧） 

    GuQingYang think，China's economy has maintained 7.5%-8% growth rate is a good thing，So can make attention on steady growth、Adjustable structure，The economy turned to endogenous、Inclusive growth，Economic operation in a more healthy state。“China's current economic problems，Speed is not，But in the strength of the economic structure adjustment is in place，Growth quality how”。（Reporter WuChengLiang、SunTianRen、Zhang xiaodong、YuanJiRong、WangHui）