新华社北京８月９日电(记者刘铮、王希)１．８％，９日公布的７月份我国居民消费价格总水平（ＣＰＩ）的同比涨幅，两年半来首度回落到２％以内。

    Beijing, aug. 9 (xinhua news agency(Reporter liu、WangXi)1.8%，9 July released the residents' consumption of the nation the general price level（CPI）Year-on-year increase of，Two and a half years back to the first to within 2%。

    “１．８％的涨幅在市场预期之内。随着中国经济增速的回落，和此前大力度的控物价措施的见效，ＣＰＩ涨幅已进入了下行通道。农产品的丰收，更是为此奠定了基础。”国务院发展研究中心宏观经济部研究员张立群分析指出。

    “The 1.8% increase in market expectations within。With the rise of China's economic growth，And the strength of the previous big price control measures of success，CPI increase has entered the downlink channel。Agricultural products of harvest，This is to lay the foundation。”The state council development research center, the researchers ZhangLiQun macro analysis。

    食品价格的基本稳定和涨幅回落，是ＣＰＩ涨幅回落的首要原因。从更能反映价格变动最新情况的环比数据看，７月份我国食品价格环比下降０．１％。其中，猪肉价格环比下降０．３％，水产品价格下降０．６％，蛋价格下降２．３％，鲜菜价格上涨０．２％。

    The basic stability of food prices rise and fall，Is the leading cause of back CPI increase。More from latest situation can reflect the price change the annulus comparing data to see，In July, China's food prices fell by 0.1% month-on-month。Among them，Pork prices fell by 0.3% month-on-month，Aquatic-product prices fell 0.6%，Egg prices fell 2.3%，XianCai prices rose 0.2%。

    中国国际经济交流中心咨询研究部副部长王军指出，虽然７月份部分地区出现强降雨等异常天气导致蔬菜价格出现了一些反弹，但总体上仍然处于农产品供应旺季，加上粮食连续丰收奠定的好基础，食品价格总体上是比较稳定的，有些品种价格还出现了回落。

    China international economic exchange center consulting research, vice minister of the royal army said，Although in July in parts of heavy rainfall abnormal weather led to vegetable prices appeared some rally，But in general it is still agricultural supply peak season，With continuous harvest food lay of good foundation，Food prices in general is more stable，Some variety price also appeared fell back。

    如同此前物价较快上涨中，猪肉涨价作用突出一样，此番物价涨幅回落中，猪肉价格下降的作用也很突出。７月份，我国猪肉价格同比下降１８．７％，影响ＣＰＩ同比下降约０．７１个百分点。国家统计局监测显示，５０个城市猪肉（后臀尖）每公斤平均售价７月下旬为２４.５９元，而去年同期为３１.１２元。

    As previously prices rise more quickly，Pork markup prominent role，The rise in prices fall "，Pork prices falling effect is very outstanding。July，Our country pork prices 18.7% year-on-year drop，CPI about 0.71% year-on-year drop impact。The national bureau of statistics show monitoring，50 cities pork（TunJian after）An average price per kg in late July is 24.59 yuan，And the same period last year is 31.12 yuan。

    张立群提醒，当前农民养猪已经到了盈亏平衡点，要注意采取措施稳定猪肉价格，保护农民的合理收益。

    ZhangLiQun remind，The current farmers to raise more pigs have reached the break-even point，To pay attention to take measures to stabilize pork prices，Protect the peasants' reasonable profits。

    此轮ＣＰＩ涨幅的回落，不计季节性因素带来的微小反弹和波动，总体上已经持续了１年。从去年７月份同比涨幅的高峰６.５％，到今年７月份的１.８％，回落的幅度不小，食品价格的涨幅回落是直接原因，而大环境是经济增速的持续回落。

    This round of the CPI increase dropped，Regardless of the seasonal factors bring little bounce and volatility，In general have lasted 1 year。In July last year from the peak of 6.5% year-on-year increase，In July this year to 1.8%，The range of the fall not small，Food prices have dropped is the direct reason，And the environment is the last economic growth fell back。

    从２０１１年一季度起，中国经济同比增速已经连续６个季度回落，从９.７％一路回落到７.６％。虽然目前经济已经出现了缓中趋稳的迹象，但７％平台的经济增速下的总需求，显然弱于９％至１０％增速平台的总需求。张立群指出，总需求放缓，反映供需关系的物价自然涨幅回落。

    From 2011 quarter up，China's economic growth has six consecutive year-on-year fall quarter，All the way back to 7.6% from 9.7%。Even though the economy has appeared in the slow stabilised signs，But 7% of the economic growth of the platform total demand，Apparently weak in 9% to 10% of the total demand growth platform。ZhangLiQun points out that，Always slowing demand，Supply and demand relation prices reflect natural or fall back。

    作为ＣＰＩ的上游，ＰＰＩ（工业生产者出厂价格）更加灵敏、直接地反映经济增速的变动，并将进一步传导到ＣＰＩ。７月份我国ＰＰＩ同比下降了２.９％，连续第５个月出现负增长，而且下滑的程度不断加深。

    As upstream of the CPI，PPI（Industrial producers ex-factory price）More sensitive、Directly reflect the change of economic growth，And will further transmission to the CPI。In July, China PPI goes down 2.9%，The fifth consecutive month appear negative growth，And the deepening of the downturn。

    当前的货币政策，虽然加大了对实体经济特别是小微企业的支持力度，但总体依然保持了稳健。加之此前持续大力度回收流动性，以及目前房地产调控的坚定不移，使得当前我国物价走势面临的货币和资本市场环境也没有出现明显反弹。

    The current monetary policy，Although increased to the real economy especially small micro enterprise support，But overall still maintained steady。After continuous efforts and large recycling liquidity，And the regulation of the real estate firm，Made in China's current price movements of the currency and facing the capital market environment is no apparent rebound。

    “目前的ＣＰＩ涨幅持续下行，是各种因素综合作用的结果。完成全年物价调控的预期目标应当是有把握的，也为下一步稳增长提供了更大的政策空间。不过，对物价问题也不能掉以轻心。”王军提醒。

    “The CPI increase continued to the downside，Is the result of various factors。Complete control of the annual price targets should be sure，Also for the next step steady growth provides greater policy space。but，For the price question also cannot treat STH lightly。”Royal army remind。

    当前，国际大宗商品市场出现了一些新变化。此前急剧回落的油价，出现了反弹。而美国大旱对市场预期带来的影响，使得国际农产品价格也出现了上涨。这些输入性因素对我国物价走势的影响，都值得关注。

    The current，International commodity markets there are some new changes。Oil prices dropped sharply after the，Appeared to rebound。And the United States to severe drought during the market expected impacts，Make the agricultural prices also appeared to rise。These input sex factors on the influence of price movements in China，To pay attention to。

    王军认为，从短期看，物价走势是涨幅总体下行；但从中长期看，用工、能源、土地等成本全面上涨，通胀压力仍不可小视。要通过技术进步、转型升级来化解成本上涨对物价形成的压力，同时推动整个中国经济形成新的核心竞争力。

    Royal army think，In the short term，Price movements is or overall to the downside；But from the long run，labor、energy、The cost of land for comprehensive rise，Inflation pressures still can not be ignored。To through the technology progress、To solve the transformation and upgrading of rising costs of the formation of the pressure on prices，And promote the whole China's economic form new core competitiveness。