新华社北京８月９日电(刘铮 王希)中国经济下半年第一个月的主要数据，在外界的高度关注中，９日正式发布。

    Beijing, aug. 9 (xinhua news agency(WangXi liu)The second half of China's economy first month of the main data，In the outside world attention，9 officially released。

    月度经济的核心指标，规模以上工业增加值在７月份同比增长了９．２％，比上月略微回落了０．３个百分点。

    Monthly economic core index，Scale above value added of industry in the July year-on-year growth of 9.2%，Slightly more than last month fell by 0.3%。

    “７月份的工业增速仍略有回落，不过回落的幅度不大。中国经济缓中趋稳态势并没有改变，稳增长的政策效果正在显现，但还需要有一个过程。目前，经济仍在筑底过程中。”国务院发展研究中心宏观经济部研究员张立群说。

    “The July issue of the industrial growth is still a little down，But some of their range is not too much。China's economy in the slow stabilised situation has not changed，Steady growth of the policy effect is emerging，But also need to have a process。At present，The economy is still in the process of building。”The state council development research center, the researchers said ZhangLiQun macro。

    从需求角度看，固定资产投资前７个月同比增长了２０．４％，与前６个月持平；７月份消费的实际增速为１２．２％，比上月微升了０．１个百分点。

    From the perspective of demand，Fixed asset investment in the first seven months of the year-on-year growth of 20.4%，And in the first six months flat；In July the actual consumption growth of 12.2%，0.1% < mu > l than last month。

    “内需表现是比较稳定的。中国经济增速虽然没有立刻出现回升，但也没有失速。”中国国际经济交流中心咨询研究部副部长王军认为，对工业增速的继续放缓要高度重视，积极应对，但没有必要过度担心，中国经济并没有出现硬着陆。

    “Domestic demand is more stable performance。China's economic growth while not immediately appear to bounce back，But also have no a stall。”China international economic exchange center consulting research, vice minister of the royal army think，The slowdown in the industrial growth to continue should attach great importance to it，Actively respond to，But there's no need to worry about too much，China's economy and did not appear a hard landing。

    内需保持平稳，而工业增速却为何略有回落？张立群认为，这有可能是企业信心受到前期市场低迷的影响，原先预计已经到了尾声的去库存现象仍在继续，而人们期待的企业补充库存、采购原材料的活动尚未广泛开展。

    Domestic demand remain stable，And industrial growth fell back slightly but why？ZhangLiQun think，This could be the market downturn by business confidence of influence，Which was expected to have the end of the inventory phenomenon to continue，And people look forward to the enterprise complement inventory、The activities of the procurement of raw materials has not been widespread。

    张立群介绍说，库存变动对短期增速的影响是非常明显的。当企业订单减少后，为规避风险，一般会减少生产，主要靠消化产成品库存，同时减少备料；而当订单开始稳定或预期未来订单增加后，就开始采购原材料增加生产，补充库存。

    ZhangLiQun introduced said，Inventory change on the influence of short-term growth is very obvious。When enterprise orders fell，For avoiding the risk，General will reduce production，Mainly by digestive finished goods inventory，And at the same time reduces prepares materials；And when order began to stabilize or expected future orders increase，Began to purchasing raw materials to increase production，Added inventory。

    “预期很重要。现在企业对未来市场预期偏弱。预期的改善，对经济尽快筑底非常关键。”张立群强调。

    “Expected very important。Now the enterprise to future market expected weak。Expected to improve，To build the economy as soon as possible is critical。”ZhangLiQun emphasize。

    经济学家们普遍认为，帮助企业改善预期、增强信心的最直接的举措就是加大减税力度。当前财政政策仍有较大空间，应当更加积极，加大对稳增长、调结构的支持和引导力度。同时，应当加快垄断行业改革，让民间资本迎来新的发展空间，也可以大大改善企业的预期。

    Economists generally think，Help enterprises to improve expectations、Strengthen the most direct measures confidence is increasing efforts to tax cuts。The current fiscal policy is still have larger space，Be the more positive，To increase the steady growth、The structure of the support and guide efforts。At the same time，Should speed up the reform of monopoly industries，Let private capital in the new development space，Also can greatly improve the enterprise expected。

    王军认为，工业增速在７月份的继续回落，提醒人们稳增长是个长期艰巨的任务。中国经济的企稳回升，需要一定的时间。特别是在世界经济依然低迷，国内经济面临深层次结构性矛盾的情况下，要做好长期努力的准备。针对目前的情况，下一步稳增长政策可以考虑进一步加大力度，在信贷方面进一步强化对实体经济的支持，在存款准备率方面可以考虑继续下调。

    Royal army think，Industrial growth in the July issue of the continue to fall back，Remind people firm growth is a long arduous task。China's economic rise stabilising，Need some time。Especially in the world economic downturn continues，The domestic economy faces a deep structural contradictions，To do well the long-term efforts to prepare。According to the present situation，The next step steady growth policies can consider further strengthened，To further strengthen in the credit to the support of the real economy，In the reserve ratio can consider continue to fall。

    物价涨幅的回落为稳增长提供了更广阔的政策空间。７月份居民消费价格总水平（ＣＰＩ）同比上涨１．８％，比上月回落０．４个百分点，落至两年半来的新低。

    The annual rate dropped for steady growth provides more broad policy space。In July, the general level of consumer prices（cpi）Rose 1.8% year-on-year，A drop of 0.4% than last month，Fall to two and a half years to the lowest。

    专家也提醒，７月份的工业、投资等活动容易受到高温等极端天气的影响，有一定的季节性和不可比性。对经济走势的判断，还要再进行观察，八九月份的数据更加重要。

    Experts also remind，The July issue of the industrial、Investment activities such as vulnerable to high temperature, the influence of the extreme weather，Have certain seasonal and not comparable。Economic trends of the judgment，And then to observe，8 September data is more important。

    相对短期经济走势而言，当前对中国经济更重要的任务是，抓住市场环境变化形成的倒逼机制，转型升级。

    Relatively short-term economic alone，The current Chinese economy to more important task is，Seize the market environment of the formation of the change DaoBi mechanism，Transformation and upgrading of。

    专家们普遍认为，中国经济已经进入一个新的发展阶段。原先依靠低成本和外需的发展模式已经不适应新的形势，国际产业分工转移出现的新动向已经发出了警示，必须抓紧形成新的核心竞争力。

    Experts generally thought，China's economy has entered a new stage of development。Originally depend on low cost and foreign demand model of development has not adapt to the new situation，The international industrial division of the new trend of the shift comes already issued warnings，Must make form new core competitiveness。

    张立群建议，对企业而言，当前最重要的任务是，脚踏实地开始转型升级。企业未来的发展，不应再寄希望于大规模刺激计划，而应当靠新一轮更高水平的创业活动。中国经济未来发展有机遇有潜力，能不能抓住用好，关键要看转型升级的实现程度。

    ZhangLiQun Suggestions，For the enterprise to，At present, the most important task is，His feet on the ground started to upgrade。The future development of the enterprise，Should not be to hope that massive stimulus plan，And on a new round of higher level shall be entrepreneurial activity。China's economic future development opportunities have potential，Can not catch with good，The key to see the realization of the transformation and upgrade the degree。

    “对于当前的稳增长，要有信心，也要有耐心；对未来的新一轮更高质量的发展，现在就要行动起来，早转型升级早主动。”张立群说。

    “For the current steady growth，Be confident，Also want to have patience；The new round of for the future development of higher quality，Will now be action，The transformation and upgrading of early early initiative。”ZhangLiQun said。