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海外学者纵论中共引领中国走可持续发展道路之策--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-20
新华社北京8月20日电
Beijing, aug. 20
新华社记者
Xinhua news agency reporters
近十几年来,金融危机从未远离人们的视线,从东南亚到拉美再到发端于美国的国际金融风暴,其间还夹杂着规模较小的墨西哥和俄罗斯危机,国际经济金融领域可谓“步步惊心”。危机所到之处几乎都是金融大动荡和经济大滑坡,而中国经济却始终平稳较快增长。
Nearly ten years,The financial crisis has never far from the line of sight of people,From southeast Asia to Latin America to originated in the United States international financial storm,Meanwhile crisscrossed with smaller Mexico and Russia crisis,The international economic and financial fields it may be said“Inhumanity hurts at every step”。Wherever the crisis are almost financial storm and economic slump,China economy is always steady and fast growth。
对此,受访海外学者普遍认为,中国的执政党中国共产党审时度势,引领中国走上可持续发展之路。“中国经验”值得深入思考,对正在变革中的世界经济而言也是一大积极因素。
this,Of overseas scholars generally agree that,China's ruling communist party of China size up the situation,Lead China took to the road of sustainable development。“China's experience”Worth thinking deeply,The world economy is to change, is a big positive factors。
审时度势 惠及民生——执政为民之本 Size up the situation to the livelihood of the people, being in power is the people of this
数据更具直观性:2003年至2011年中国经济年均增速为10.7%,远高于同期世界经济3.9%的增速,且高于改革开放以来9.9%的年均增速。在国际金融“逆风”最劲的2009年,中国经济仍增长9.2%。
Data more intuitive:From 2003 to 2011, China's economic growth at an average annual rate of 10.7%,The world economy is far higher than the same period of 3.9% growth,Since the reform and opening up and higher than 9.9% of the annual average growth。In the international financial“Against the wind”The most strength in 2009,China's economy has increased by 9.2%。
在经济总量增长的同时,人均国内生产总值(GDP)也快速增加。2011年,中国人均GDP达到35083元,扣除价格因素,比2002年增长1.4倍,年均增长10.1%。按照平均汇率折算,中国人均GDP由2002年的1135美元升至2011年的5432美元。
In the economic output growth at the same time,Per capita GDP(GDP)Also rapid increase。In 2011,,China's per capita GDP reached 35083 yuan,Deduction price factors,More than 2002 increased by 1.4 times,The average annual growth of 10.1%。According to the average rate reduced,China's per capita GDP from $2002 in 1135 to $2011 in 5432。
过去10年,中国民众享受到更多改革和发展实惠。城乡居民收入快速增长,城镇居民人均可支配收入扣除价格因素年均实际增长9.2%,农村居民人均纯收入年均实际增长8.1%,为历史上增长最快的时期之一。此外,覆盖城乡居民的社会保障体系建设取得突破性进展,全民医保体系初步形成。
In the past 10 years,Chinese people enjoy more reform and development benefits。The fast growth of the income of urban and rural residents,Urban per capita disposable income deduction price factors with an average annual increase of 9.2% in real terms,Per capita net income of rural residents with an average annual increase of 8.1% in real terms,For history one of the fastest growth period。In addition,Covering both urban and rural residents of the social security system construction has made breakthrough progress,The medical insurance system in initial shape。
纵观中国改革开放三十多年的实践,中国共产党在制定国家发展战略上审时度势、求真务实,引领国家走上可持续发展之路。德国汉学家南因果说,中国走社会主义市场经济之路是没有先例的,社会主义市场经济体制首先是一种探索,到目前为止成果和贡献很大。
Throughout China's reform and opening up 30 years of practice,The communist party of China in the national development strategy formulated on size up the situation、practical,Lead the country on the road of sustainable development。Germany Sinologist south causal said,China to follow the road of socialist market economy there is no precedent,The socialist market economic system first is a kind of exploration,So far results and great contributions。
印度-中国友协副主席费尔南德斯说,中国经济之所以保持高速增长主要基于三点:一是中国政府的正确领导和果断的决策能力;二是中国能够根据国情调整发展战略,实现由低附加值到高附加值产品提升,转变经济发展模式;三是国内市场巨大,危机背景下通过拉动内需刺激经济的措施奏效。
India - China, vice chairman of a taiwan-asean fta fernandez said,China's economy is to keep high speed growth is based on three:One is the Chinese government's correct leadership and decisive decision-making ability;The second is China can adjust development strategy according to the national conditions,To realize the low added value to the high added value product promotion,Transformation of the economic development mode;The third is huge domestic market,Under the background of crisis by stimulating domestic demand economic stimulus measures work。
他认为,中国能很快走出国际金融危机,得益于强大的经济实力和科技研发能力。自改革开放以来,中国积累了大量外汇,外贸一直保持盈余;中国建立起成熟的工业体系,特别是近10来年由于国家鼓励创新和产业结构调整,中国在高科技和高价值链产品出口方面取得长足进步。
He thinks,China can quickly out of the international financial crisis,Thanks to strong economic strength and technological research and development ability。Since reform and opening-up,China has accumulated a large number of foreign exchange,Foreign trade has been keep surplus;China set up the mature industrial system,Especially in recent 10 next year because the state encourages innovation and industrial structure adjustment,China in the high-tech and high value chain product export has made great progress。
德国杜伊斯堡大学东亚经济学教授马库斯·陶贝说:“中国取得的最大成就是使亿万人脱离贫穷。此外,我们还看到中国在三个方面的转变:首先,从计划经济转为市场经济;其次,从农业社会转变为工业社会;还有就是从孤立的经济体转变为全面和国际体系接轨的经济体。”
Germany duisburg east Asia university economics professor marcus · TaoBei said:“China has made the greatest achievement is to make one hundred million people out of poverty。In addition,We also see China in three aspects of change:First of all,From planned economy to market economy;secondly,From agricultural society to industrial society transformation;There is from isolated economies into comprehensive and international system of market economy。”
德国杜伊斯堡大学东亚研究所所长、中国问题专家托马斯·海贝勒说,中国共产党是一个学习型的政党,会先摸索什么是解决问题的方法,如果成功的话再推广,所以灵活性是一个特色。
Germany duisburg university east Asia institute director、China experts Thomas sea baylor said,The communist party of China is a learning party,Will be the first to grope for what is the solution,If successful promotion again,So flexibility is a characteristic。
受访学者十分关注中国经济今后走势,并认为尽管近期中国经济增速放缓,从长期看中国经济仍将是世界经济的增长绿洲。汇丰银行中东地区高级经济学家利兹·马丁斯说,在欧债危机持续发酵之际,中国有着比其他国家更大的优势和政策调控空间。中国经济增长有坚实基础,从长远看中国经济发展势头非常强劲。
China's economy of scholars pay much attention to the trend in the future,And that although China's recent economic growth is slowing,In the long run China's economy will still be the world economic growth oasis。HSBC bank senior economist in the Middle East Leeds · martins said,In the debt crisis of continuous fermentation,China has more than any other country advantage and policy adjustment space。China's economic growth has solid foundation,In the long run China's economic development momentum is very strong。
俄罗斯科学院远东研究所高级研究员别尔格尔认为,中国对推动经济发展方式转变已有深刻认识,这是十分必要的战略抉择,国际金融危机则加快了这一转变进程。
The Russian academy of sciences institute of far east senior researchers don't erg's thought,China to promote economic development mode change has profound understanding,This is very necessary strategic choices,The international financial crisis is to speed up the transformation process。
联合国全球经济监测中心主任洪平凡说,中国将加快转变经济发展方式和经济结构调整作为贯穿“十二五”规划的主线,中国更关注增长质量。高质量的增长应能给民众带来共同利益,同时能切实改善民生,确保环境和资源的可持续性。
United Nations global economic monitor flood, director of the center for ordinary said,China will speed up the transformation of the mode of economic development and economic structure adjustment as throughout“1025”Planning of the main,Chinese pay more attention to the quality of growth。High quality growth should be able to give people with common interests,At the same time can effectively improve the livelihood of the people,Ensure the environment and resources sustainability。
合作共赢 惠及全球——和平发展之利 Win-win cooperation benefit the development of the global - peace
去年中国发布的《中国的和平发展》白皮书指出,当今世界各国相互依存日益加深,只有实现世界各国共同发展,让更多人分享发展成果,世界和平稳定才有坚实基础和有效保障,世界各国发展才可以持续。因此,中国坚持奉行互利共赢的开放战略,坚持自身利益与人类共同利益的一致性,在追求自身发展的同时努力实现与他国发展的良性互动,促进世界各国共同发展。
Last year issued by China《China's peaceful development》White paper points out that,World deepening interdependence,Only to realize common development of all countries in the world,Let more people share the achievements of development,The world peace and stability only then to have the solid foundation and effective guarantee,The development of all countries in the world can be sustained。therefore,China insists on the tenet of mutual benefit and win-win opening strategy,Insist on their own interests and the common interests of human being consistency,In the pursuit of their own development and make great efforts to realize the development of a benign interaction with other countries,To promote the common development of all countries in the world。
随着2010年中国成为世界第二大经济体,中国融入世界的广度和深度进入新阶段。有专家表示,两到三年后中国有望成为世界最大的进口市场。中国商务部初步预计,未来五年中国进口总规模将达到8万亿美元。对全球经济而言,这是重大“利好”。
With the 2010 China to become the world's second largest economy,China into the world of the breadth and depth into the new stage。Experts say,Two to three years later China is expected to become the world's largest import market。China's commerce ministry prediction,In the future five years China imported total scale will reach $8 trillion。As for the global economy,This is great“bullish”。
国际金融危机爆发以来,中国经济成为带动世界经济复苏的重要引擎。中国经济总量占世界的份额由2002年的4.4%提高到2011年的10%左右,对世界经济增长的贡献率超过20%。显然,中国已成为世界经济中负责任的利益攸关方。
Since the outbreak of the international financial crisis,China's economy becomes the important driving world economic recovery engine。China's economy of the world total share from 4.4% in 2002 to increase to 2011 years of around 10%,To the world economic growth the contribution rate of more than 20%。obviously,China has become the world economy responsible of stakeholders。
国际货币基金组织近期发布的关于中国、欧元区、美国、日本和英国五大经济体对世界经济影响的《综合外溢报告》指出,自2008年以来,中国经济快速发展对全球发达国家的需求下降发挥了弥补作用,对资本品和大宗商品生产国的出口提振作用尤其明显,德国经济能在欧元区经济低迷的局面下保持活力,中国市场发挥了关键作用。
The international monetary fund recently released about China、eurozone、The United States、The Japanese and British five largest economy to the world economy influence《Comprehensive spillover report》Pointed out that,Since 2008,China's rapid economic development in the world's developed countries play the lower demand for action,For capital goods and commodity producers export carry up with especially obvious,The German economy can in the euro zone economic downturn situation to maintain its vitality,The Chinese market played a key role。
洪平凡说,中国在2009年率先走出低谷对世界经济的全面复苏具有重要意义。从时序来看,全球工业产出、贸易流量和石油等初级商品价格,从2009年第二季度开始逐步复苏,都与中国经济走出低谷有着紧密关系。中国经济回升不但直接带动了全球总需求,而且增强了世界各国战胜金融危机的信心。
Flood ordinary said,In 2009, China to the world economy out of the low comprehensive recovery has important significance。From time to,Global industrial output、Trade flow and oil and other primary commodity prices,From the second quarter of 2009, began to gradually recovery,And China's economy has close relationship between went out of whack。China's economic rebound not only directly driven by the global aggregate demand,To enhance the countries all over the world and win the confidence of the financial crisis。
陶贝说:“我相信双赢局面。中国在经济上的崛起对世界有利。中国民众需要各种产品,有很大的消费能力,会对世界经济作出贡献。此外,中国在研发领域很有潜力,相信在不久的将来能为国际社会作出更多贡献。”
TaoBei said:“I believe that the win-win situation。China's economic rise to the world advantage。Chinese people need to various products,A lot of spending power,Will make contribution to the world economy。In addition,China in the field of research and development has great potential,Believe in the near future for the international community to make more contribution。”
南因果说:“近20年来,中国承担了很大的国际责任。如果要给中国打分,我会给99分。将来,中国肯定要承担更大的国际责任。西方主流媒体有时宣传‘中国威胁论’,批评中国的外交政策和经济政策,但思想进步和有良心的人都不会上当。中国的外交和经济政策在捍卫世界和平、改变不公平的世界经济体制、帮助发展中国家发展以及全球环境保护等方面都将发挥重大作用。”
South causal said:“Nearly 20 years,China has undertaken a very big international obligations。If you have to give China marking,I'll give 99 points。future,China certainly want to assume greater international obligations。The west mainstream media sometimes publicity‘China threat theory’,Criticism of China's foreign policy and economic policy,But thought progress and with a conscience will not be duped。China's diplomatic and economic policy in the defending world peace、Change the unfair system of the world economy、To help developing countries development and global environment protection will play a major role。”
全球治理 平衡发展——格局调整之势 Global governance balanced development - pattern adjustment of power
危机爆发、繁荣退去,世界经济,特别是发达经济体的深层次、结构性矛盾凸显出来。这些矛盾相互交织作用,呈现复杂多变景象。在被学者所形容的全球化“黄金10年”之中,信贷的急速扩张令世界经济实现较快增长,但也透支了增长潜力,掩盖了深层次矛盾。横向看,世界经济南北失衡未因全球化明显改善,鸿沟反而加大;纵向看,一些发达经济体错失结构性调整良机,危机爆发导致民众福利水平倒退。
crisis、Prosperity recede,The world economy,Especially in the developed economies the deep、Structural contradictions out。These contradictions mutually intertwined effect,Present complicated scene。In the globalization of scholars describe“Gold 10 years”of,The rapid expansion of credit to the world economy to realize fast growth,But also overdrawn growth potential,Cover the deep level contradiction。Transverse see,The world economy is not the imbalance because of globalization obviously improved,Divide but increase;Longitudinal see,Some developed economies structural adjustment opportunity missed,Crisis led to the public welfare level back。
从某种意义上说,2011年成为世界经济的“拐点”,以购买力平价计算,发达经济体和新兴经济体在全球经济中的比重首次达到平衡。对于深刻变革中的世界经济而言,通过全球治理实现更平衡发展正当其时。
In a sense,In 2011 to become the world economy“Inflection point”,By purchasing power parity,Developed economies and emerging economies in the global economy for the first time, the proportion of balance。For the profound changes in the world economic sense,Through the global governance to realize a more balanced development as time。
《中国的和平发展》白皮书指出,经济上相互合作、优势互补,共同推动经济全球化朝着均衡、普惠、共赢方向发展。努力建立公正、公开、合理、非歧视的多边贸易体制,使经济全球化成果惠及世界各国。携手落实联合国千年发展目标,使21世纪成为人人享有发展成果的世纪。
《China's peaceful development》White paper points out that,Economic cooperation、Have complementary advantages,To promote the progress of economic globalization in equilibrium、Pratt &whitney、Win-win development direction。Striving to establish a just、public、reasonable、Non-discriminatory multilateral trading system,Make economic globalization results benefit all countries in the world。Hand in hand to realize the UN millennium development goals,Make the 21st century become everyone enjoy the achievements of development of the century。
洪平凡说,金融危机之后,中国积极参与国际政策协调与合作,同时提高了自己在国际经济和国际政治舞台上的地位,提高了中国在一些重大国际问题上的话语权和决策权。
Flood ordinary said,After the financial crisis,China actively participates in international policy coordination and cooperation,At the same time to improve in the international economic and political status on the stage,To improve the Chinese in some important international issues and the final decision-making power。
他说,由于中国等发展中国家的努力,二十国集团在通过合作与协调应对金融危机、避免世界经济陷入又一次“大萧条”方面起到决定性作用。同时,二十国集团已基本取代了只有主要发达国家参与的“七国集团”,成为协调世界经济和金融政策的主要国际平台。
He said,Due to China and other developing nations efforts,The second group of ten in through the cooperation and coordination to deal with the financial crisis、Avoid the world economy into a again“depression”Play a decisive role。At the same time,The second group of ten already basic replaced only in main developed countries“The g7”,Be coordinate the world economic and financial policy of the main international platform。
费尔南德斯说,金砖国家在国际货币基金组织和世界银行的地位有所提升,中国和印度等发展中大国在这些机构的发言权得到扩大,在确定贷款和扶持项目时能更多向广大发展中国家倾斜,表明国际金融体系改革取得积极进展,对建立国与国之间平等关系有着重大意义。 (执笔记者:刘云非、谢鹏;参与记者:汪平、赵旭、刘向、乔继红、李志晖、赵乙深、魏良磊、蒋旭峰)
Fernandez said,Nuggets countries in the international monetary fund and the world bank's position to improve,China and India and other developing country in these institutions has been expanded voice,In determining the loans and support project can be more change for the vast number of developing countries tilt,Show that the international financial system reform is a positive progress,To establish equal relationship between countries is of great significance。 (Pencraft reporter:LiuYunFei、XiePeng;Participate in reporter:WangPing、berger、LiuXiang、QiaoJiGong、LiZhiHui、ZhaoYi deep、WeiLiangLei、JiangXuFeng)
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