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奥运金牌猜想:中美死磕榜首 英国遭俄澳狙击--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-04

  中新网7月27日电 (记者 曹昆)2012年伦敦奥运会伦敦当地时间27日晚将正式揭幕,目前人们最为关注的话题之一,可能就是4年前在北京奥运会上拿下51枚金牌、首次登上金牌榜榜首的中国军团,此次出征英伦能否延续荣光?

Beijing July 27- (Reporter CaoKun)London 2012 Olympic Games in London local time 27, will be officially unveiled late,At present people concern, one of the topics,Might be in Beijing Olympic Games four years ago had 51 gold MEDALS、On top of the finished the first time Chinese legion,The team at the British could continue glory?

  毫无疑问,夺金路艰。北京奥运会上获得36枚金牌的传统体育强国美国,将是中国军团卫冕途中最大拦路虎。

There is no doubt that,Gold road difficult。Beijing Olympics was 36 gold medal of the traditional sports power the United States,Will Chinese legion is defending the way the biggest obstacle。

  中国六大项傲视群雄 China six items of the standings

  2012年的夏天,在距北京12300多公里外的伦敦,中国军团远离故土与美国“死磕”,谁能笑到最后,最重要的仍要靠两国的传统优势项目,而胜负一线,很可能仍系于双方的“潜优势项目

In the summer of 2012,In is apart from the Beijing 12300 kilometers outside of London,Chinese legion far from home and the United States“Ke death”,Who has the last laugh,The most important is still on the two countries to the advantages of traditional project,And win a line,Probably still is in both parties“Potential advantage”project。

  众所周知,中国体育有六大传统优势项目——乒乓球、射击、跳水、举重、体操、羽毛球。从1984年至今,中国军团七届奥运会共获163枚金牌,其中123枚出自这六大项。北京奥运会,中国以51金跃居奖牌榜之首,该六项贡献了36金。伦敦奥运会上,这六大传统强项,仍将继续肩负起冲金、保金的重担。

As is known to all,Chinese sports has six traditional advantage projects-table tennis、shooting、diving、weightlifting、gymnastics、badminton。From 1984 to now,Seven Chinese legion of Olympic Games have been 163 gold MEDALS,123 of them from this medal six items。The Beijing Olympic Games,China to 51 gold medal haul leapt list,The six contributed 36 gold。London games,The six big traditional strengths,Will still continue to shoulder the gold rush、The burden of the gold。

  中国乒乓球队——一支席卷过奥运史上全部24块乒乓球金牌中20块的队伍,只要“内心足够强大”,本届奥运4枚金牌揽入怀中问题不大。但男单一项,或稍显“底气不足”,因为自乒乓球项目1988年进入奥运会以来,男单金牌已经三次旁落。王皓、张继科“顶尖双保险”让人拭目以待。

Chinese table tennis team-a had swept Olympic history of all 24 gold MEDALS table tennis 20 pieces of team,As long as“Heart strong enough”,The Olympics four gold MEDALS grab the problem is not big。But men's singles a,Or slightly“Definitively if”,Because the table tennis project in 1988 into the Olympic since,Men's singles gold medal has three times to slip。Medalist wang hao、ZhangJiKe“Top double insurance”Let a person see。

  林丹领衔羽毛球17名选手出征伦敦,中国队在羽毛球全部的五个项目中都具有非常强大的竞争力。在本届奥运后的羽毛球项目上,中国队的目标就是复制2011年羽毛球世锦赛包揽五个冠军的佳绩。

Lin Dan 17 players led badminton team at the London,China team in badminton all five of the project has a very strong competitiveness。In the Olympic Games after the badminton projects,China's goal is to copy 2011 badminton world championships in five champions won MEDALS。

  2011年,被称为“梦之队”的中国跳水队势头不减,7月在上海举行的14届游泳世锦赛跳水争夺中,他们包揽了世锦赛全部10枚金牌,其中包括8枚奥运会项目金牌,此次伦敦奥运,他们的“任务”就是继续让对手难圆夺金“美梦”。

2011 years,called“Dream team”Chinese TiaoShuiDui momentum don't reduce,July held in Shanghai at 14 th swimming world championships race for diving,They scored the world championships in all 10 gold MEDALS,Including eight gold medal in the Olympics project,The London Olympics,their“task”Is continue to let opponents difficult circle the gold“dream”。

  射击15个项目,由5名奥运冠军领衔的中国队具备14个冲金点,成绩不会比北京的5金相差太多。易思玲和喻丹将向女子10米气步枪的金牌发起冲击。雅典奥运会冠军朱启南将携手王涛一起征战伦敦奥运会气步枪项目。而备受关注的杜丽则获得了步枪三姿的入场券。杜丽的老公庞伟将与第五次征战奥运会的老将谭宗亮组成双保险,联袂出战10米气手枪的比赛。

Shooting 15 projects,The five Olympic champions China have led the gold 14 points,Result not compared to Beijing's 5 gold vary too much。YiSiLing and YuDan to gold in the women's 10 m air rifle shooting an impact。Zhu qinan, the Athens Olympic champions will hand in hand together in the London Olympic Games 4 gold project。And the concern DuLiZe won the rifle three appearance of tickets。DuLi husband PangWei will be the fifth in the Olympic Games and the veteran TanZongLiang composition of insurance,Play 10 m air pistol event co-star of the game。

  实力强大的中国男子体操队毫无疑问是伦敦奥运会上金牌的有利争夺者,中国男子体操队教练黄玉斌出征前信心满满地表示:“我们的目标只有一个,那就是全力冲金!”

The strong man in China gymnastics team is without a doubt London games gold medal contenders,China national coach HuangYuBin before war man said with confidence:“We only have one aim,That is to blunt gold!”

  但体操队难现北京奥运会勇夺9金的盛况。因为目前中国体操女队实力已今非昔比,领军人物程菲又因伤缺阵。她们如今的目标已经不是争取冠军,而是努力将自己保持在第一集团。

But now the Beijing Olympic Games to gymnastics team won the grand occasion of the gold。Because China's women's gymnastics strength has is not what it was,Leader cheng fei and because of injury。They now goal is not fighting for the league title,But the effort will keep in the first group。

  近两三年,中国女子举重整体优势明显减弱,但男女举重健儿夺得6枚以上金牌并非奢望。男子举重的56、62、69和77公斤级均有一定优势,女子举重在48、53、58和75公斤以上级均有冲金实力。

For two or three years,The Chinese women's weightlifting whole advantage significantly weakened,But men and women weightlifting athletes won six COINS or above is not expect gold medal。Man of the lifting 56、62、69 and 77 kg category all have certain advantages,Women lifters in 48、53、58 and 75 kg were rushed to the gold strength。

  美国田径游泳霸气十足 The United States track and field swimming ambition is dye-in-the-wood

  但就整体实力而言,美国军团仍强于中国不少。美国的优势项目,让中、俄、英等诸强难以企及。田径和游泳是奥运会最大两项金牌大户,因此有“得田径和游泳者得天下”之称。美国正是依靠上述两个项目傲视群雄的整体实力,才得以在北京奥运会之前的连续3届奥运会独占金牌和奖牌榜头把交椅。因此有不少体育信息公司和专业人士称,2008年奥运金牌榜旁落中国,确实有点让人意外。

But for the overall strength,Still, the American legion than many Chinese。The advantage of the project,Let the、Russia、English ZhuJiang elusive。Track and field and swimming is the largest two gold MEDALS great Olympic Games,So there are“Have to track and field and swimmers to the world”said。The United States is to rely on the above two project unbeatable overall strength,Just be before the Beijing Olympics in the three consecutive games gold medal haul and exclusive head the current campaign。So there are many sports information company and professionals said,The 2008 Olympic gold to slip China,It was surprising。

  2012伦敦奥运会,美国派出一个由530名运动员组成的代表团,其中124位是奥运奖牌得主,76位是奥运金牌运动员。经历北京奥运会洗礼的228名选手,将是美国军团夺金斩银的中坚力量。

The 2012 London Olympics,The United States sent a by 530 athletes delegation composed of,124 among the Olympic medal winner,76 is a gold medal in the Olympics athletes。Experience the Beijing Olympic Games 228 contestants of the baptism,Will the American legion is getting cut the backbone of the silver。

  还记得“飞鱼”菲尔普斯吗?对,就是在北京奥运会勇夺8枚金牌的“尖头大手大脚怪”。虽然曾身陷“大麻门”事件,至今尚未彻底恢复元气,但其实力不容忽视。在伦敦,他将接受队友罗切特的挑战。

remember“Flying fish”Phelps??to,Is in the Beijing Olympic Games won eight gold MEDALS“Pointed lavishly weird”。Although once in“Marijuana door”events,Have not yet completely on its feet again,But its strength can not be ignored。In London,He will accept the challenge of Saul's teammates cut。

  菲尔普斯的蝶泳和罗切特的混合泳,在当今泳坛上可谓是所向披靡、战无不胜。不仅如此,实力强大的美国游泳队在男、女各7个项目上均排名世界第一,其中“女蛙王”索尼及女子混合泳项目实力超群,而美国接力项目更是扫遍天下无敌手。此次伦敦之行,美国游泳队的目标是向30枚奖牌发起全面冲击。

Phelps' butterfly and ROM cut's medley,In today's forum on it is overwhelming、invincible。Not only that,The strength of the U.S. swim team in the male、The seven projects women are in the first rank,Among them“Female WaWang”SONY and women medley events beyond compare,And the United States all over the world and relay event is invincible hand。The trip to London,The U.S. swim team's goal is to 30 MEDALS launch full impact。

  与独占鳌头的游泳队一样,美国田径队也是呼风唤雨,特别是近来如日冲天的男子110米栏高手梅里特,连续三次跑出12秒93的好成绩,力压“飞人”刘翔成为夺金大热门。

And pulls ahead of the swimming team,The United States is also a group track team,Especially recently, such as plumes of the men's 110 m hurdles ace, merry,Three consecutive ran out of 12 seconds 93 good result,Force pressure“air”Liu xiang become gold big popular。

  除了游泳和田径,美国军团在球类项目以及体操、沙排、射击、网球、自行车、射箭、男子跆拳道、男子摔跤、女子柔道、女子水球、女子击剑、女子拳击、女子赛艇和帆船等项目上,也是人才辈出,均具备争金夺银的实力。

Except for swimming and track and field,In the American legion ball games and gymnastics、Beach volleyball、shooting、tennis、bicycle、archery、Man taekwondo、Man wrestling、Women's judo、Women play、Women's fencing、Female boxing、Women's rowing and sailing on the project,Is also a lot of talent,All have ZhengJinDuoYin strength。

  还有三大球。男女篮、男女排和女子足球,美国队的夺金优势都非常明显。其中,已经号称“梦十队”的美国篮球队,队中大腕林立,气场十足。本月24日刚在巴塞罗那进行的最后一场热身赛中以100:78大胜最强对手西班牙队,目前正士气高涨。

And three big ball。Male women's basketball team、NanNvPai and women's football,The gold is very obvious advantage。Among them,Has called“Dream ten team”American basketball team,The team with big shots,With gas。Just this month 24, in Barcelona in the last warm-up game in 100:78 victory over Spain the strongest opponent,At present are highly motivated。

  “潜优势”项目决定座次 “Potential advantage”Project decided to the seating plan

  “潜优势”项目一说,应该始于2004年雅典奥运会,当时中国六大强项已经形成,即乒乓球、羽毛球、跳水、体操、举重和射击,这些项目每届均能为中国军团贡献多枚金牌,一些项目甚至呈包揽或近乎包揽之势。“潜优势”项目则是那些有望夺金,却在整体实力上和世界一流强队有差距的项目。2008年北京奥运会,中国军团创造了51枚金牌的奇迹,六大强项贡献了36枚金牌,“潜优势”项目收获了15枚金牌。

“Potential advantage”Project said,Should began in the 2004 Olympic Games in Athens,At that time China six strengths are formed,Namely table tennis、badminton、diving、gymnastics、Weightlifting and shooting,These projects for the Chinese legion of each are contributing more gold MEDALS,Some projects, or even scored almost scored a or of power。“Potential advantage”Projects are those who are expected to win gold,But in the overall strength and the world first-class teams have difference of project。The 2008 Beijing Olympic Games,Chinese legion created 51 gold MEDALS miracle,Six strengths contributed 36 gold MEDALS,“Potential advantage”Project for 15 gold MEDALS harvest。

  中国军团欲在伦敦奥运赛场力压山姆大叔,“潜优势”项目的表现不容忽视。

Chinese legion in London to the Olympics force pressure uncle Sam,“Potential advantage”The performance of the project can not be ignored。

  最被国人寄予厚望的是中国游泳队,因为有孙杨。21岁的孙杨是男子1500米自由泳世界纪录保持者,出征奥运前,中国游泳队从上到下已将这枚金牌锁定,这种豪情除了在乒乓球和跳水项目上见过,难以复制。

Most americans have great expectations is China's swimming team,Because there are SunYang。21 years old SunYang is the men's 1500 m freestyle world record holder,Team at the Olympic Games before,China's swimming team from top to bottom has the gold MEDALS lock,The lofty sentiments except in table tennis and diving project seen,Hard to replicate。

  孙杨将在伦敦奥运会出战200米、400米和1500米自由泳,1500米和400米是孙杨的冲金突破口。韩国的奥运会和世锦赛双料冠军朴泰桓的比赛项目同孙杨完全一样,目前在世界排行榜上,他的400米和1500米成绩都是仅次于孙杨的第二好成绩,分别相差2秒和5秒,他是孙杨最强大的竞争对手。

SunYang will play 200 m Olympic Games in London、400 m and 1500 m freestyle,1500 m and 400 m is the gold rush SunYang breakthrough。South Korea's Olympic Games and world champions PiaoTaiHuan game with SunYang exactly the same project,At present in the world on the list,His 400 m and 1500 m achievements are second only to SunYang second good grades,2 seconds are respectively and 5 seconds,He is SunYang greatest competition。

  此外,北京奥运会冠军刘子歌和世界冠军焦刘洋联手冲击的女子200米蝶泳、叶诗文的女子200米混合泳、赵菁的100米仰泳以及接力等也具备了夺金实力。在男子4×400米接力中,中国游泳队还有望争得一枚奖牌。

In addition,Beijing Olympic champion LiuZiGe and world champion JiaoLiuYang impact with the women's 200-meter butterfly、Leaf verse in the women's 200 meters medley、The 100-meter backstroke ZhaoJing and relay etc are also provided with gold strength。In the men's 4 by 400 meters relay,China's swimming team also achieves is expected to a medal。

  田径是奥运会金牌最多的项目,共有51枚金牌。但在北京奥运会,因为刘翔的受伤退赛,中国田径在家门口却未能收获一枚金牌,只拿到两枚铜牌。如今,四年过去了,当伤愈后的刘翔带着他日臻成熟的七步上栏技术即将重新站上伦敦奥运会男子110米栏的起跑线时,中国田径的领军人物强势回归,信心满满,迎接梅里特、罗伯斯等一众好手的挑战。

Track and field is the Olympic gold medal most projects,There were 51 gold MEDALS。But in the Beijing Olympic Games,Liu xiang's injury because out of the race,Chinese athletics in the home but failed to gain a gold medal,Got only two bronze MEDALS。now,Four years on,When the return of liu xiang took his seven steps of mature gradually on technology to London to column on the men's 110 m hurdles at the starting line,China's leaders of the track and field strong back,With confidence,Merry meet,、Who is a good challenge the etc。

  北京奥运会时,中国的拳击、柔道、摔跤、跆拳道等重竞技项目拿到7金,这次女子柔道获得全部7个级别的参赛资格,拳击赛场有邹市明、任灿灿等高手。此外,男子花剑和女子重剑都有夺金实力,蹦床和水上项目金牌可能减少,但不至于空手而归。

When the Beijing Olympic Games,China's boxing、judo、wrestling、Kickboxing ChongJingJi project had seven gold,The women's judo get all seven level of qualification,Boxing is ZouShiMing field、As such as rays ace。In addition,Men and women's epee foil have gold strength,Trampoline and water projects may reduce the gold medal,But not empty-handed。

  中国如果能在这些“潜优势”项目中拿到近10块金牌,或者优势项目发挥得更出色一点,就存在“击败”美国的希望。

If China can in these“Potential advantage”Projects get nearly 10 gold MEDALS,Or better advantage projects play a little,There is“beat”The promise of America。

  中美争雄 英俄德法甘做配角? The all-time records the FaGan oded do supporting actor?

  伦敦奥运,美国军团将强势回归?中国众将力保金牌宝座?除了这两大疑问,很多人还关心一个问题,那就是奥运举办国英国在家门口的表现会是怎样?

The London games,The American legion will return to the strong?China took the gold medal (throne?In addition to the two big questions,Many people are concerned about a problem,That is the Olympic host in the performance of the British home how is it?

  作为东道主的英国,本届奥运会上可谓占据天时、地利、人和之优势。在四年前的北京奥运会上,英国队在11个项目中获得了47枚奖牌,其中包括19枚金牌,金牌数和奖牌数均位列第四,这也是该国自1924年巴黎奥运会以来的最好成绩。

As host of the British,The Olympic Games is occupied climate、the、And advantages of。Four years ago in the Beijing Olympic Games,The British team in 11 project won 47 MEDALS,Including 19 gold MEDALS,Most gold MEDALS and are fourth in the list,This is also the country since the 1924 Olympics in Paris since the best results。

  而今年,对于主场作战的英国代表团来说更是一个创造奇迹的契机。奥运有“东道主优势”一说,东道主的金牌数通常会多出25%左右,如果以上届奥运的19金为基础,英国预计将在伦敦奥运会上得到24块金牌,这一成绩将超越上届奥运季军俄罗斯代表团23块金牌的成绩。

And this year,For home games of British delegation is especially a create miracles opportunity。Olympics have“Host advantage”said,The hosts finished a usually about 25%,If above the Olympics gold as the foundation of the 19,Britain is expected to be in the London games get 24 of gold MEDALS,This performance will surpass the last Olympic play-off Russia delegation 23 gold MEDALS grades。

  英国奥委会官员表示,本次伦敦奥运会上英国队的争金点主要集中在7个大项。除了一直有优势的几个传统项目,比如自行车、赛艇、皮划艇、帆船,还包括有些新项目发展也很快,比如跆拳道、女子拳击、铁人三项。

British Olympic officials said,The London games against England at the gold mainly concentrated in seven categories。In addition to the traditional advantage has been several projects,Such as bike、rowing、kayak、sailing,Also include some new project development quickly,Such as taekwondo、Female boxing、triathlon。

  但想取代传统世界体育强国俄罗斯,拿下金牌榜季军的位置对英国来说并非易事。根据2011年各项世界级比赛的成绩统计,英国选手在13个项目获得59枚奖牌(包括14枚金牌),仅列世界第六。而在最近几年的单项世锦赛上,俄罗斯运动员总共拿到了27个冠军。

But want to replace the traditional sports power Russia,With the position of the third gold in Britain is not easy。According to the 2011 various world-class competition achievements statistics,British athletes in 13 project won 59 MEDALS(Including 14 gold MEDALS),Only listed the sixth。In recent years the single world championships,Russian athletes won a total of 27 a champion。

  俄罗斯奥委会主席茹科夫就表示自北京奥运会后,各国夺金实力并无绝对变化,他信心十足的表示,“俄罗斯队的整体状态开始逐渐走出低谷,”仍将保持奥运会第三名的位置。

Russia's Olympic committee President says Beijing Olympic Games since the radio,All the gold strength no absolute change,He is so confident of said,“The overall state gradually began to Russia went out of whack,”The Olympic Games will remain third position。

  英国的另两位强敌还包括澳大利亚、德国,这两个国家的“水军”举世闻名。

Britain's other two opponents also include Australia、Germany,The two countries“saw”world-famous。

  澳大利亚男子游泳队虽日趋没落,但女子泳队却一直是夺金主力,美国女子泳队更是将其视为主要对手。

Australian man swimming team is increasingly decline,But women's swimming teams have been is just starting,Us women's swimming team is to be treated as main competitor。

  值得一提的还有澳大利亚跳水运动员米查姆,他曾在北京奥运会男子10米跳台上夺得金牌,使中国队包揽奥运会8块跳水金牌的梦想破碎。伦敦奥运临近,米查姆放出豪言,计划再从中国跳水军团手中抢走一枚跳板金牌。

It and Australia diver m check mu,He worked in Beijing Olympic Games in the men's 10 m platform gold medal,To make China won eight of diving gold medal in the Olympic dream broken。London Olympic Games is approaching,M check out's laughable,Plan China's diving and from the hand is a springboard legion take gold medal。

  德国队的水上项目优势主要集中在皮划艇上。在北京奥运会,皮划艇为德国挣得3金2银3铜共8枚奖牌,也就是说皮划艇这个项目几乎占了德国队全部41枚奖牌的1/5。但德国体育专家本周刚发表的一项预测显示,该国代表队在伦敦奥运会上将获奖牌36枚,排名位于英、澳之后列第7。

Germany's water project mainly concentrated in canoeing on advantage。In the Beijing Olympic Games,Kayak for Germany earn 3 gold, 2 silver and 3 bronze eight MEDALS,That is kayak the project accounted for almost all of Germany's 41 MEDALS of 1/5。But the German sports experts this week's just published a forecast,The country's team in London Olympic Games in 36 MEDALS will medal,Ranking in British、Australia list after 7。

  虽然法国代表团在2008年北京奥运会上仅获得七枚金牌,但今年法国有望成为英国的竞争对手,因为法国在伦敦奥运会上定下的目标是拿到14金。

Although the French delegation at the 2008 Beijing Olympics only won seven gold MEDALS,But this year the French is expected to become Britain's competitors,Because France in the London games set the goal is to get the 14 gold。

  法国奥委会主席丹尼斯-马赛利亚说:“法国队是一直出色的队伍。它有能力来完成多样化的表现。如果热门人物表现不佳,那么其他运动员也可能制造很大的惊喜。”

The French Olympic committee President Dennis marseille leah said:“France has been outstanding team is。It has the ability to complete the diversity of performance。If popular characters to poor performance,Then other athletes may also make great surprise。”

  为了激励奥运队员发挥最佳水平,今年法国奥组委设立巨额奖金。其中获得金牌奖励约合40万人民币,银牌16万,铜牌10万。

In order to stimulate the Olympic team play best level,This year the French organizing committee set up a huge sums of money。One of them to get his gold medal $400000 RMB,Silver 160000,Bronze 100000。

  看来,俄澳德法已经做好包夹英国的准备。英国军团能否充分利用天时地利人和优势,突出重围杀进奥运“第一军团”,让我们拭目以待。

look,Russia is ready for a double macau German British preparation。British legion can make full use of climate favourable geographical position and advantage,Beckoning killed into the Olympics“The first legion”,Let's wait and see。


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