回首2008年北京奥运横扫51金，展望即将在伦敦召开的2012奥运会，中国健儿也许很难再创金牌总数新高，但不可否认的是，我们还是有相当的实力捍卫金牌榜霸主地位。与此同时，与争夺金牌总数第一相比，中国军团还极有可能在包括男子游泳等一些此前从未染指金牌的项目中完成 “破冰之旅”，实现从体育大国向体育强国的转变，这一点无疑更令人激动万分！

Backin 2008 Beijing Olympic sweep 51 gold，Looking to the 2012 Olympic Games held in London，Chinese athletes may be hard to hit another gold medal amounts high，But it is undeniable that the，We still have quite a bit of strength to defend dominance of gold。At the same time，And for the gold medal total than the first，Chinese legion also more likely to include some man swimming has never won a gold medal after the project completed “ice-breaking”，From sports country to realize the change of sports power，This no doubt what is more exciting！

　　中美争霸难以避免 China and the United States to avoid ii

　　对中国军团在奥运会上的出色表现，最敏感的对手莫过于美国，在过去十多年的时间内，中国一直在金牌榜上扮演一个追赶者的角色。 2000年悉尼奥运会时，美国以39金高居第一中国队28金仅列第三。四年后的雅典奥运会美国以35金勉强保住霸主地位，中国队32金列第二。北京奥运会，中国借东道主之利勇夺51金，远远超出获得36金排名第二的美国，首次将长期垄断奥运金牌榜第一的美国赶下了宝座。可以预料，在本次的伦敦奥运会，美国体育界必将全力反击，力争夺回老大位置。

Chinese legion in the Olympic Games for the good performance，The most sensitive way of the opponent，In the past ten years of time，China has been finished in play a role of pursuers。 The 2000 Sydney Olympic Games，The United States to 39 in the first China high 28 gold list only the third。After four years of Athens Olympic Games with 35 gold barely keep American dominance，China 32 gold listed the second。The Beijing Olympic Games，Through the host of China won the 51 gold，Far beyond get 36 gold ranked second to the United States，First came the first long-term monopoly Olympic American cast his throne。Can be expected，In the London Olympics，The United States will fight back to sport，Strive to spot in the back。

　　中美金牌总数交锋的主战场，将在女子体操和游泳领域。北京奥运会上，美国选手肖恩·约翰逊获平衡木金牌、柳金获女子全能金牌，中美女子体操刚好都各自获得两金。去年10月的体操世锦赛，美国女队收获团体、全能及跳马三金，中国队只有眭禄收获平衡木一金。眭禄在伦敦奥运会上在平衡木和自由体操项目中的表现很关键。尽管北京奥运八金王菲尔普斯已不在巅峰，但去年世锦赛独得五金的罗切特的崛起让美国游泳依然强大。中国新星孙杨在自由泳中长距离上有优势，此外女子蝶泳、混合泳、仰泳以及接力上都有争金实力。另外刘翔的110米栏也是中美对抗的焦点，刘翔若能再拿金牌其份量将非同一般。

The total number of gold exchange of the Internet，In the women's gymnastics and swimming will field。Beijing Olympic Games，The American players Sean Johnson won the gold medal balance beam、LiuJin won the women's all-around gold medal，The women's gymnastics each just won two gold。Last October, world gymnastics championships，American women team harvest groups、All-around and vault 3 gold，China only SuiLu harvest a gold balance beam。SuiLu in the London games on the balance beam and free exercise the performance of the project is a key point。Although Beijing Olympic gold Phelps has not king eight top，But the world championships last year alone the hardware of the rise of Saul, cut for the United States to swimming is still strong。China nova SunYang in free long distance with the advantage，In addition the butterfly woman、medley、Backstroke and relay have for gold strength。In addition, liu xiang's 110 m hurdles is also the focus of the chinese-american confrontation，Liu xiang if can get the weight will be extraordinary gold medal。

　　在参与一次网络聊天中，新华社著名记者杨明表示，伦敦奥运会，中国极有可能以微弱的优势再度压制美国，蝉联金牌榜第一的位置。而根据欧洲某著名博彩公司的赔率，中美之间的较量也将充满悬念，其中美国夺取金牌榜第一的赔率为1赔1.55，中国则为1赔2.3，排在后面的俄罗斯和英国均为1赔50。

In an Internet chat in，The xinhua news agency famous journalists said Yang，London Olympic Games，China is likely to slight edge to suppress the United States again，The location of the first came straight。And according to a European famous gaming company's odds，The competition between China and the United States will also be full of suspense，One of the American gold took the first-1 shot 1.55，China has 1 shot 2.3，Row at behind of the Russia and Britain are 1 shot 50。

优势项目至关重要 The dominant projects is very important

　　对中国军团来说，尽量稳定住自己的优势项目非常关键，乒、羽、跳水及蹦床，要力争包揽所有金牌。从最近几年上述几个项目世界大赛的表现看，每次大赛几乎无失手纪录。羽毛球男双、混双及男单的压力相对大一些，但近期大赛中屡次上演包揽，今年奥运会完成三金的底线是没问题的。蹦床两金我们优势较明显，乒乓球的四金几乎没有丢的可能，跳水是冲着八金去的。如果这几个项目我们能稳定地拿到16金，我们最稳的阵地就可以算基本完成任务。

Chinese legion of it，Try to stability in their advantage is a key project，ping、feather、Diving and trampoline，To try to score all the gold medal。From the above several projects in recent years the world series performance look，Every time series almost no miss record。Badminton men's doubles、Mixed doubles and men's singles pressure some relatively large，But recent competition often scored on，This year's Olympic Games finish line of the three is no problem。Trampoline two gold we advantage is obvious，Table tennis four gold almost no throw of may，Diving is blunt eight gold to go to。If this several projects we can stable to get 16 gold，Our most firm position can be basic task。

　　至于另两个中国传统优势项目举重和体操，则会在本届奥运会遭遇巨大挑战。毫无疑问的一点是，中国体操很难复制北京奥运会的九金辉煌。从近年世锦赛的形势判断，我们在男子全能、女子团体上已几乎无优势，在男子鞍马、自由体操及双杠上受到的冲击较大。就目前中国体操的整体状态看，伦敦奥运能获得5块金牌就已经非常不错了。北京奥运会我们举重获得八金，从去年巴黎世锦赛以及今年男女举全锦赛分析，中国将派出10人参加9个项目，虽很难再夺8金，但拿下至少5金应该不成问题。此外，在射击这一项目上，美国某权威媒体曾预测伦敦奥运会我们的射击只有两金进账，也就是朱启南的男子10米气步枪和易思玲的女子10米气步枪，但如果杜丽、庞伟和陈颖等也能在比赛中有所发挥，那么获得3到4枚金牌也并非没有可能。

As for the other two Chinese traditional advantage project weightlifting and gymnastics，In the games will suffer a challenge。There is no doubt that point is，Chinese gymnastics is difficult to copy of the Beijing Olympic Games JinHuiHuang nine。In recent years the situation of world championships in judgment，We in the men's all-around、Women's team has almost no advantage，In the men's pommel horse、The floor exercise and parallel bars on the impact of the larger by。Currently the overall state see Chinese gymnastics，The London games can get five gold MEDALS were extremely good。The Beijing Olympic Games we won eight weightlifting gold，Last year this year and the world championships in Paris from men and women for the whole kam analysis，China will send 10 people in 9 projects，Although it is difficult to take eight gold，But scored at least 5 gold this should not be a problem。In addition，This project in shooting，A U.S. authoritative media had predicted a London Olympics we shot only two gold bundle，Zhu qinan, is also the men's 10 m air rifle shooting and think of the women's 10 m air rifle shooting ling，But if DuLi、PangWei and ChenYingDeng can also play in the game has，So get 3 to 4 gold MEDALS is not impossible。

　　总而言之，如果中国军团能够保证优势项目的稳定发挥，那么我们首先就能确保不会出现以下这种屡次发生在其他国家身上的情况：在前一届奥运会中作为东道主金牌“井喷”，继而在本届奥运会上骤然低迷。这些优势项目再加上在田径，游泳等项目上有可能获得的金牌，中国军团的金牌总数将有望达到35块甚至以上，从而保住霸主地位。

overall，If China can ensure the advantage of the project legion stable play，So first we can ensure that won't appear the following this often happens in other countries of the body：In the previous Olympic Games, as the host of the gold medal“blowout”，And then in the games on the downturn abruptly。These advantages in track and field project plus，Swimming and project may was the gold medal，The total number of gold MEDALS Chinese legion is expected to reach even above 35 piece，So keep supremacy。

　　破冰之旅更为精彩 Ice-breaking more wonderful

　　与在传统优势项目上保持战斗力相比，中国军团是否能够在伦敦从那些从未染指金牌的项目中取得突破，更令人倍感激动和兴奋。而在这其中，孙杨能否在男子泳坛夺回属于中国的第一枚金牌，尤其令人关注。

And in traditional advantage projects keep fighting capacity compared，Whether can Chinese legion in London has never won a gold medal from those projects achieve a breakthrough，The more a feeling excited and excited。And that in which，SunYang can pit in the men to get China's first gold medal，Especially concerned。

　　到目前为止，中国游泳在奥运会上夺得的7枚金牌全部是女运动员所获，孙杨的出现让这一尴尬纪录可能会在二十天后被终结。去年世锦赛打破男子1500米自由泳世界纪录，孙杨就被认为是中国男子游泳在伦敦实现历史性突破的希望所在。上海世锦赛，孙杨游出14分34秒14的新世界纪录，该项目他是毫无疑问的世界第一人，甚至可以说他就是在与自己比赛。北京奥运会季军、上海世锦赛银牌得主加拿大的科克伦，卫冕冠军突尼斯的迈卢利以及韩国名将朴泰桓，能够对孙杨形成一定的威胁，但以孙杨的实力只要自己不犯错，他人难以撼动他的冠军地位。拿下1500米自由泳的金牌，是孙杨必须完成的任务。

So far，China's swimming in the Olympic Games won seven gold MEDALS are all female athletes won，The emergence of a SunYang let this embarrassing record may in twenty days later be ended。World championships last year break in the men's 1500 m freestyle world record，SunYang is considered Chinese man swimming in London a historical breakthrough in the hope to achieve。Shanghai world championships，SunYang to swim out of 14 points and 14 seconds of the new world record，The project he is no doubt the first person，Even he is with his game。Third in the Beijing Olympic Games、Shanghai world silver medalist Canadian cercolen，The defending champions Tunisia Wallace LuLi and South Korea's PiaoTaiHuan，Able to form a SunYang threat，But to SunYang strength as long as oneself not to make mistakes，Others difficult to shake his championship status。Win gold in the 1500 m freestyle，Is SunYang have to do。

　　400米自由泳，孙杨也具备争牌冲金的实力，去年世锦赛他遗憾不敌朴泰桓屈居亚军。伦敦奥运，孙杨的报名成绩位居第一，紧随其后的是韩国朴泰桓和德国的比德尔曼。朴泰桓是两届世锦赛和北京奥运会冠军，比德尔曼曾在2009年罗马世锦赛上创造过世界纪录，再加上美国名将范德凯伊，孙杨的夺冠难度要大于1500米，但若发挥出最高水平，希望依然不小。

The 400-meter freestyle，SunYang also have rushed for the strength of the gold card，Last year he regretted the loss was the world PiaoTaiHuan runner-up。The London games，SunYang registration was first performance，Followed by HanGuoPiao Thai huan and Germany more than del)。PiaoTaiHuan is two world championships and Beijing Olympic champion，Man was in 2009 than del world championships in Rome created the world record，Plus the United States FanDeKaiYi star，The difficulty SunYang title than 1500 m，But if the best out of，Hope still not small。

　　孙杨之外，吴鹏在男子200米蝶泳项目上也有望冲击奖牌，他曾经两次击败过菲尔普斯。当然菲尔普斯还是该项目的最强者，日本名将松田丈志的实力也不俗，不过吴鹏近期状态不俗，登上领奖台绝对是可以达到的目标。

Outside SunYang，Wu peng reversed Japan in the men's 200 m butterfly project is expected to impact MEDALS，He had two beat Phelps。Phelps, of course, the purpose is the best，Japan's the matsuda zhang the strength of the volunteers also did well，But WuPeng recent state not common，Podium is absolutely could achieve。