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金砖国家奥运展望:俄罗斯力争第3 印度前景黯淡--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-07-25

  金砖国家作为新兴市场国家的突出代表,处于经济实力的上升期。其在伦敦奥运会上的表现也值得人们关注。然而具体到金砖各国,体育实力仍然悬殊。

Compound countries as emerging market countries focus on,In the economic strength of the ascent duration。The London games were also worthy of people's attention。However specific to compound countries,Sports strength still to one。

  除中国外,作为曾经的“金牌制造机”,俄罗斯今年只敢把目标定为争第三。巴西指望2016年主办奥运会推进该国崛起。美国《外交政策》曾经列出了奥林匹克代表团“金酸梅”奖得主,印度赫然在列。南非媒体自称“奥运小国”,建议搞好其优势项目。

Beyond China,As ever“Gold manufacturing machine”,Russia this year only to goal as for the third。Brazil expect 2016 Olympics advance the country's rise。The United States《Foreign policy》Once lists the Olympic delegation“Gold plum”Prize winner,India impressively in the column。South African media claims“Olympic small country”,Well, the advantages of project Suggestions。

  

俄罗斯 Russia

  

深陷经济困难局面 体育事业投资锐减 Deep in difficult economic situation sports enterprise investment down sharply

  俄罗斯国家杜马体育、运动和青年事务委员会委员诺索夫在接受《报纸报》采访时表示:“我们的国家正处于下滑阶段,除了石油天然气,所有行业都如此,这自然会反映在体育上,因此能拿到伦敦奥运会第四名在我看来将是一件大礼物了。”

Russian state duma sports、Sports and youth affairs committee in the subject's acceptance《newspaper》Interviews that:“Our country is in decline phase,In addition to oil and gas,All industries so,This natural reflects on sports,So can get London fourth Olympic Games in my opinion will be a big gift。”

  雅典奥运会时俄罗斯掉到了第三,这曾引起俄罗斯各界很大震动。俄罗斯《报纸报》称,当时俄罗斯代表团团长科列索夫在总结教训时曾表示,俄罗斯运动员成绩不理想的主要原因是体育基础设施严重落后,队员年龄老化和教练员流失。这种前苏联解体给俄罗斯体育带来的“后遗症”在北京奥运会上也没有得到彻底好转。

Athens Olympics Russia dropped to the third,This has caused a great stir from Russia。Russia《newspaper》says,When Russia delegation listed in the subject, lessons learned as had been said,Russia performance athletes not ideal is the main reason of the physical infrastructure serious lag behind,The aging of players and coaches loss。The former Soviet union to Russian sports bring“sequela”In Beijing Olympic Games and not got completely turn for the better。

  俄罗斯《体育消息》通讯社称,北京奥运会俄罗斯代表团团长瓦辛谈到表现欠佳的原因时,将根本原因归结为俄罗斯体育事业尚未从前苏联解体的沉重打击中完全恢复过来。

Russia《Sports news》News agency said,The Beijing Olympic Games Russian delegation about the poor performance of Michael essien, why,Will root cause attributed to Russia has not yet had the collapse of the Soviet union sports the heavy blow fully recover。

  “上世纪90年代,我们失去了很多东西。很多训练基地,在前苏联解体之后,都留在了俄罗斯境外,比如白俄罗斯、乌克兰和格鲁吉亚;而留在俄罗斯的体育设施,因为没钱维护,也都荒废了。因此,我们现在需要重建很多设施和学校”。瓦辛说。

“The 1990 s,We lost a lot of things。Many training base,In the former Soviet union,In the outside Russia,Such as belarus、Ukraine and Georgia;And stay in Russia's sports facilities,Because I have no money maintenance,Also are wasted the。so,We now need to rebuild a lot of facilities and school”。Watts said essien。

  瓦辛认为,前苏联解体不仅对俄罗斯体育事业造成“硬件”上的伤害,在人才培养等“软件”方面也留下了很大的“遗患”,而这种影响随着老运动员的退役显得尤为突出,体操和跳水便是例证。“我们的人才培养体系在那个年代被毁掉了,而这曾是世界上最成功的人才培养体系”,瓦辛指出,中国体育的成功在一定程度上正是因为借鉴并发展了前苏联的人才培养模式。

Watts of Michael essien think,Not only to the former Soviet union, the Russian sports cause“hardware”On injury,In personnel training, etc“software”Also left plenty of“Harmful legacy”,And this kind of influence with the old athlete's retirement seems particularly outstanding,Gymnastics and diving is example。“Our talent cultivation system at that age was destroyed,And this was the world's most successful talent cultivation system”,Tile essien, points out that,The success of China's sports to a certain extent it is for reference for the development of the former Soviet union and the talent training mode。

  

巴西 Brazil

  

基础设施严重缺乏 申奥成功将起助推作用 Infrastructure a serious lack of the successful Olympic bid will play a booster effect

  巴西的奖牌排名在金砖国家中次于中国和俄罗斯。《国际先驱导报》曾发表题为“奥运助推巴西大国崛起”的文章称,在2016年夏季奥运会主办城市的陈述会上,巴西官员表示,巴西是全球十大经济体中唯一没有举办过奥运会的国家,到2016年其经济实力将晋升到第五位,届时雄厚的经济力量将保证奥运会顺利举办。

Brazil's medal rankings in the compound in the country after China and Russia。《International herald herald》Has published on“The Olympic booster Brazil emerging”Article says,In the 2016 summer Olympic Games host city at the statement,Brazilian officials said,Brazil is the world's ten largest economies not only the country hosted the games,By 2016 its economic strength will be promoted to the fifth place,When strong economic power will ensure the successful holding the Olympic Games。

  巴西从1920年开始成为奥运会的新兴力量,当年获1金1银1铜。雅典奥运会上,巴西拿到4金3银3铜,创下本国奥运会最佳成绩。在2008年北京奥运会上,巴西获得3金4银9铜。

Brazil from 1920 to and became the Olympic emerging power,That year won 1 gold, 1 silver and a bronze。The Athens Olympic Games,Brazil got four gold and silver and 3 bronze,Their best result in the Olympic Games。In the 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing,Brazil won 3 gold, four silver and 9 bronze。

  据雅虎体育预测,今年伦敦奥运会上,巴西在男女足、男女排、沙滩排球、跆拳道、马术障碍赛、帆船帆板和女篮等项目上均有一定优势,有望夺牌甚至争金。

According to yahoo sports prediction,This year the London Olympics,Brazilian men and women in the foot、NanNvPai、Beach volleyball、taekwondo、Equestrian barriers"、Sailing the panels and women's basketball project all have certain advantages,Is expected to take gold card for even。

  2016年奥林匹克运动会将在南美最大国家巴西的首都里约热内卢举办。消息传出后,巴西发行量最大的报纸《圣保罗报》在当天出版了含有20个版面的奥运专刊,并在头版发表文章说,2014年世界杯和2016年奥运会将使“巴西在下个10年成为世界体育的中心”。

The 2016 Olympic Games will be the biggest capital of Brazil and South American countries held in Rio DE janeiro。After news spreads,Brazil's biggest circulation newspaper《Sao Paulo newspaper》In the published with 20 of the special Olympics forum,On the front page and publish the article said,The 2014 World Cup and the Olympic Games in 2016 will make“Brazil in the next 10 years to become the world sports center”。

  然而,巴西《环球报》列出了在未来7年摆在里约面前的4大挑战:每年修建一个地铁站、成倍增加酒店住宿房间、治理水污染、新建以及改建33处体育场馆设施。

however,Brazil《globe》In the next seven years listed in the four big challenges before Rio:Every year to build a subway station、Increase exponentially hotel room、Governance water pollution、New and rebuilt in 33 stadiums facilities。

  中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所副研究员周志伟认为,目前巴西最迫切需要解决的问题依然是资金保证问题,这对解决基础设施至关重要。“基础设施缺乏对经济也是一个非常大的制约,这使得企业的运营成本增加。另外,住宿和社会治安也是巴西面临的难题。”

The Chinese academy of social sciences, a researcher at the institute of Latin America vice ZhouZhiWei think,At present the Brazilian most urgent need to address the problems that still is money,The solution infrastructure is very important。“Infrastructure lack of economy is also a very big restriction,This makes the enterprise operation cost of increased。In addition,Housing and social security is also Brazil problems。”

  不过,巴西政府希望这场南美洲历史上主办的第一届奥运会,能成为拉动巴西国内经济的“催化剂”。巴西智库管理机构基金会估算,举办2016年奥运会将使巴西全国生产总值届时累计增长41.6%。

but,The Brazilian government hope the South American history of the first Olympic Games,Can be pulled the Brazil of the domestic economy“catalyst”。Brazil think-tank management agencies estimate foundation,To host the 2016 Olympic Games will make Brazil national GDP growth of 41.6% when the accumulative total。

  

印度 India

  

体育场馆数量极度匮乏 Sports venues are extremely deficient quantity

  

被美媒评为“金酸梅”奖得主 Be beautiful media as“Gold plum”Prize winner

  美国《外交政策》曾经列出了奥林匹克代表团“金酸梅”奖得主,印度赫然在列。文章称,印度是迄今为止参加奥运会表现最差的国家。印度自1900年以来一直是奥林匹克运动的参与者,但其所获得的奖牌数还没有尼日利亚多,要知道,尼日利亚的经济水平只是印度的1/12。

The United States《Foreign policy》Once lists the Olympic delegation“Gold plum”Prize winner,India impressively in the column。The article says,India is by far the worst performance countries to take part in the Olympic Games。India since 1900 has been the Olympic movement of participants,But the gain of the medal is not more than Nigeria,Want to know,Nigeria's economic level is only 1/12 of India。

  自1992年巴塞罗那奥运会以来,印度一连几届未获得过奖牌,一个国会议员甚至要求为印度的体育沉默两分钟。很多人认为,如果能在伦敦奥运会获得一枚奖牌,那也是它运气好。

Since 1992, since the Barcelona games,India for several th not won MEDALS,A Congressman even demand for India's sports silence two minutes。Many people think that,If can get in London Olympic Games a medal,That is it good luck。

  文章分析印度在奥运会上表现如此弱势的原因,印度全国有11亿人口,在2008年提供给民众的只有约33个体育场馆。印度政府吝啬拨款支持体育推广,学校缺乏对体育推广的计划,人才基地缺失。

This paper analyzes India in the Olympic Games so the cause of the weak performance,India the country's population of 1.1 billion,In 2008 to provide people only about 33 sports venues。The Indian government mean funding support sports promotion,Schools lack of sports promotion plan,Lack talent base。

  除此之外,印度缺乏现代体育机制环境。而中国、前苏联等在体育方面比较活跃的国家,都是从少年时代就抓运动员的培养,这种体制在印度几乎不存在。

In addition,India's lack of modern sports mechanism environment。China、The former Soviet union, etc in sports is more active state,From boyhood catch the cultivation of the athletes,This system in India almost nonexistent。

  据《印度时报》报道,在印度,每一个体育项目都成为政客的一块封地,他们关心的只是如何成为人们注意的中心。

According to《The Times of India newspaper》report,In India,Every sports have become a piece of politicians fiefs,They care about is how to be the center of attention。

  

金砖国家(除中国)近两届奥运会成绩情况 Compound countries(In addition to China)Nearly two grades of Olympic Games

  雅典奥运会(2004年)

The Athens Olympic Games(2004 years)

  北京奥运会(2008年)

The Beijing Olympic Games(2008 years)

  金 银 铜 金 银 铜

Gold silver copper gold silver bronze

  俄罗斯 27 27 38(金牌榜第3) 23 21 28(金牌榜第3)

Russia 27 27 38(Finished third) 21 and 23(Finished third)

  巴西 4 3 3(金牌榜第18) 3 4 9(金牌榜第23)

Brazil 3 3 4(Gold 18) 3 4 9(23 gold)

  印度 0 1 0(金牌榜第67) 1 0 2 (金牌榜第50)

India 0 1 0(67 gold) 1 0 2 (50 gold)

  南非 1 3 2(金牌榜第43) 0 1 0(金牌榜第70)

South Africa 3 2 1(43 thousands) 0 1 0(70 gold)

  金砖国家(除中国)

Compound countries(In addition to China)

  2011年GDP增长速度

In 2011 GDP growth

  俄罗斯4.3% 印度6.9% 巴西2.7% 南非3.1%

Russia says it's 4.3% 6.9% 2.7% in Brazil South Africa 3.1% in India

  

南非 South Africa

  

缺乏以巧取胜方针 Lack of the artful win policy

  

应重点搞好优势项目 That should be emphatically improve advantage projects

  当中国在奥运会上屡屡摘金夺银而被世人赞叹时,“奥运小国”南非的媒体则提出,整体实力弱小的国家应该集中精力搞好自己的优势项目。肯尼亚和埃塞俄比亚在中长跑、加勒比国家在短跑项目上的收获就是最好的证明。

When China in the Olympic Games and analyzes the often praise,“Olympic small country”South Africa's media are put forward,The overall strength of weaker countries should concentrate on their advantage well project。Kenya and Ethiopia in the middle、The Caribbean country in sprint project harvest is the best proof。

  号称非洲体育强国的南非在雅典和北京奥运会上的表现只能用“差强人意”来形容。雅典奥运会上,106名南非选手参加了20个项目的比赛,共获得1金3银2铜共6枚奖牌,在奖牌榜上名列第43位,逊于埃塞俄比亚、摩洛哥和肯尼亚。2008年的北京奥运会更是仅得了1枚银牌。

South Africa is Africa sports power in Athens and the Beijing Olympic Games of performance can only use“adequately”To describe。The Athens Olympic Games,106 South Africa runners participated in the 20 projects of the game,We obtained 1 gold, 2 silver were 6 3 bronze MEDALS,In the medal table is 43 rd,Inferior to Ethiopia、Morocco and Kenya。The Beijing Olympic Games in 2008 but had only one silver。

  南非《商报》曾经发表专门评论说,一个国家在奥运会上的成绩是与其整体的经济实力及对体育的投入成正比的。南非的生产总值排名全球第25位,在体育上的投入大约是澳大利亚、德国等国的三分之一。如此算来,南非在奥运会奖牌榜上应该名列第30位上下,但实际情况却是跌出了40名以外。

South Africa《Business newspaper》Once published special comment said,A country in the Olympic Games is the result of its economic strength and the whole of the physical is proportional to the input。South Africa's GDP ranking global 25 th,In sports input is about Australia、Germany and other countries of the third。So--,South Africa in the Olympic MEDALS table in a 30 should up and down,But the fact is 40 dropped from the outside。

  究其原因,《商报》认为,这要归咎于南非体育管理部门缺乏整体竞争策略和“以巧取胜”的方针,过分强调大而全的“参与”。而肯尼亚的经验恰恰表明,专注于自己的优势项目才能成功。

Investigate its reason,《Business newspaper》think,The South African sports management department is due to lack of whole competition strategy and“To win opportunely”policy,Too much emphasis on the perfect“Participate in”。And Kenya's experience on the show,Focus on their advantage projects to be successful。

  南非舆论普遍认为,本国的优势项目是游泳和田径。(尹晓琳 徐晨晗)

South Africa that general public opinion,Its advantage project is swimming and track and field。(YinXiaoLin XuChenHan)


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