中新社柏林7月24日电 (记者 黄霜红)德国体育专家24日发表一项预测显示，该国代表队在伦敦奥运会上将获奖牌36枚，排名第7。中国队将以102枚奖牌居总数第1位。

China news agency Berlin July 24, (Reporter HuangShuangGong)German sports experts 24 published a prediction to display，The country's team won the Olympic Games in London will medal 36 pieces，Seventh in。China will take 102 MEDALS total in the first position。

　　这是鲁尔大学的专家通过一个计算模式得出的结论。该模式将一国政治、经济、人口以及文化数据进行了分析，并没有衡量运动员们的训练情况。在专家们利用历届奥运会比赛情况进行测试时，发现产生的结论和现实的比赛结果十分相近，准确率达到90%以上。2004年雅典奥运“预测结果”的准确率竟为97.4%，北京奥运“预测”的准确率也达到96.9%。

This is the ruhr university experts through a calculation mode the conclusion。This mode will be one country political、economic、Population and cultural data are analyzed，And does not measure the training of the athletes。In the experts use Olympic game to test，Discovered conclusions and reality of the result of the game is very close，More than 90% accuracy。The Athens 2004 Olympic Games“Prediction results”Accuracy was 97.4%，Beijing Olympic Games“prediction”Accuracy is 96.9%。

　　利用上述模式对一些体育强国的预测结果为，美国将以100枚奖牌位居第二，俄罗斯将获71枚奖牌成为第三名。德国从上届的41枚奖牌降落到36枚，从而从奖牌总数第5滑落到第7位，落到英国和澳大利亚后面。

Using the above model for some sports power prediction results，The United States will be 100 MEDALS in second place，Russia will receive 71 MEDALS becomes the third。Germany from the last 41 MEDALS landing to 36 pieces，Thus from the medal tally fifth slide to the seventh，Fall behind Britain and Australia。

　　鲁尔大学的这个测试模式吸收了许多元素，例如政府为体育投入的资金以及该国的人口总数等。该研究报告中说，2008年北京奥运开幕之前，中国为支持体育运动投入了45亿美元，最后成功地成为金牌大国。但资金不是唯一条件，人口大国体育人才也相应较多，相对小国容易创造成绩。(完)

Ruhr university this test mode absorbed many elements，For example the government for sports investment funds as well as the country's total population, etc。This research report said，The 2008 Beijing Olympic Games before the opening，China for support sports spent 4.5 billion dollars，Finally successfully become a big gold medal。But money is not the only condition，Most populous country sports talents and more relevant，Relative small easy to create results。(finish)