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2013年春运客流将达34亿人次--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2013-01-23

  【分析师表示,春运期间,航空公司会提高票价,而高铁票价相对稳定,根据2012年春运的数据,高铁运输会在一定程度上侵蚀民航业的市场份额。】

[Analysts said,During the Spring Festival,The airline will raise ticket prices,But high iron fares relatively stable,According to the 2012 Spring Festival transportation data,High iron transport will be in a certain extent erosion of civil aviation market share.]

  春运人次在逐年增加,继2012年春运首次超过30亿人次后,国家发改委日前预测2013年春运将达34亿多人次。

In the Spring Festival people increases year by year,After the Spring Festival in 2012 for the first time after more than 3 billion people,The national development and reform commission has forecast passengers will reach more than 3.4 billion people.

  随着春节脚步的日益临近,春运压力也让人们诚惶诚恐。买票难、上车难的现象会不会在2013年再次重现?2012年,京广高铁、京哈高铁和京西高铁的开通,会不会减轻2013年春运压力?实行的高速公路重大节假日免费政策会不会产生分流?高铁和高速免费政策会不会对民航春运期间的业绩产生影响?

With the Spring Festival approaching footsteps,Spring Festival transportation pressure also let people with reverence and awe.Difficult to buy a ticket/Get on the car difficult phenomenon will return again in 2013?In 2012,,Jingguang high iron/With high iron and jingxi high iron opened,Can reduce passengers pressure?The highway major holidays free policy will not produce shunt?High iron and high speed free policy for civil aviation will affect the performance of the Spring Festival period?

  对此,国家发改委综合运输研究所董焰在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,高铁的开通将提升铁路运输能力一倍以上,加上重大节假日期间高速公路实行免费政策的实施,2013年的春运压力或将有所减缓。但北京交通大学经济管理学院教授赵坚认为,高铁开通会对春运形成分流,但作用不会太大。

this,The national development and reform commission in comprehensive transportation research institute DongYan accept[Securities daily]A reporter to interview said,High iron the opening of the railway transport capacity will improve more than twice,With major holidays highway to the implementation of the policy of free,2013 years of travel pressure or will slow down.But Beijing jiaotong university economic management academy professor ZhaoJian think,The opening of the high iron to travel form shunt,But the effect is not too large.

  但一位不愿透露姓名的航空运输行业分析师告诉记者,春节期间整个运输环节都处于供不应求的状态,但航空公司的提价政策会导致客座率下降,而高铁的开通将会分流民航业市场份额。

But one does not wish to disclose the name of the air transport industry analysts told reporters,During the Spring Festival the whole transport links are in short supply state,But the airline's policy 客座率 price will lead to decline,And the opening of high iron will shunt civil aviation market share.

  高铁春运期间客座率上升

High iron during the Spring Festival period 客座率 rise

  去年,哈大高铁、京广高铁、京西高铁开通。其中,京广高铁的开通实现了国内南北两地的朝发夕至。广铁集团在接受媒体采访时表示,京广高铁的开通将缓解京广铁路通道运输能力紧张局面、尤其是春运压力,还能缩短沿线城市间时空距离。

Last year,Ha high iron/Jingguang high iron/Jingxi high iron opened.the,The opening of jingguang high iron realized the domestic both a short journey.GuangTie group, when being interviewed by the media said,The opening of jingguang high iron will ease the beijing-guangzhou railway transportation capacity channel tension/Especially during the Spring Festival pressure,Still can shorten the distance between the cities along the time and space.

  速度加快了,带来的却是高票价。

Speed the,Bring is high ticket prices.

  “买一张2月4日从北京到广州的车票,普快车票已经售完,而高铁只剩下商务座和一等座,买这张火车票需要花1380元,比飞机票还贵。”一位消费者告诉记者。据携程网数据,2月4号飞机票价格可以买到942元的票。

"Buy a February 4, the ticket from Beijing to guangzhou,Ordinary tickets have been sold out,But high iron only business base and first-class seat,Buy this piece of train tickets need to spend 1380 yuan,Than plane ticket still expensive."A consumer told reporters.According to the ctrip data,On February 4 plane ticket price can buy 942 yuan ticket.

  “对于普通收入者来说,他们对时间的敏感度不高,因此票价对他们的出行影响很大。”赵坚教授在接受采访时表示。

"For the average income earners,Them to the sensitivity of the time is not high,So fare for their trip affected."ZhaoJian professor said in an interview.

  “希望春运期间将多开一些列车,保证不同收入群体的购票需求。”赵坚表示。

"Hope that the Spring Festival period will develop some train,Ensure that different income groups of negotiating demand."ZhaoJian said.

  而铁道部表示,春运期间客流将高位运行,针对春运期间旅客过度聚集、到发线紧张等情况,旅客列车和动车组列车开行数量将不断增加。

And the ministry of railways said,During the Spring Festival transportation passenger flow will run high,During the Spring Festival for passengers over together/Departure line tension, etc,Passenger train and emu train operation quantity will continue to increase.

  尽管高铁被批高票价,但是一位不愿透露姓名的分析师告诉记者,“相比航空公司春运期间提价,客座率会有所下滑,而高铁票价较为稳定,春运期间高铁客座率会上升。”这意味着在重大节假日期间,高铁会对航空公司产生分流影响。

Although high iron is batch of high ticket prices,But one does not wish to disclose the name of the analysts told reporters,"During the Spring Festival transportation price than airlines,客座率 will be dropped,But high iron fares relatively stable,During the Spring Festival period high iron 客座率 will rise."This means that in the major holidays,High iron can be produced to airlines shunt effect.

  高速公路分流依然存在

Highway shunt remains

  交通运输部日前发出通知,2013年春节期间全国收费公路免收小型客车通行费的时间统一确定为2月9日零点起,至2月15日24点结束,在收费道口实现不发卡抬杆免费放行。免费车辆的范围为7座以下(含7座)载客车辆及摩托车。

The traffic department of transportation has issued a circular,In 2013, during the Spring Festival the toll highway toll free mini-bus to determine the time for February 9, the zero point,To February 15 24 PM,In charge crossing not achieve hairpin lift bar free release.Free vehicle range and the seat(Contain 7 seat)Passenger vehicle and motorcycle.

  这是第二次实施高速公路重大节假日免费政策。纵然去年国庆假日期间高速公路出现了拥堵现象,但是这依然阻挡不了人们体验开车回家的心。

This is the second time the implementation of highway major holidays free policy.Even last year National Day holiday highway congestion phenomenon appeared,But it's still stop people to experience the heart of the drive home.

  神州租车服务人员告诉记者,春节期间该公司租车最低价格为280元/天,此外还要缴纳保险费用和手续费用,但如果不在春节期间租车的话价格仅为170元/天,这意味着春节期间的租车价格是平日租车价格的1.6倍。而据记者了解,此前该公司还有100元/天的车可供出租。“我们实行的动态价格制度,”服务人员告诉记者。这意味着租车的人越多,价格越高。

China car rental service staff told reporters,During the Spring Festival the company car rental lowest price for 280 yuan/day,In addition to pay insurance cost and formalities charge,But if it is not car rental prices during the Spring Festival is only words of RMB 170 yuan per day,This means that during the Spring Festival car rental price is 1.6 times of normal car rental prices.And according to reporter understanding,After the company and 100 yuan/day car available for rent."We have a dynamic pricing system,"Service personnel told reporters.This means that the more people renting,The higher the price.

  “从国内整体运输总量绝对值来看,公路运输大于铁路运输,铁路运输大于航空运输。春节期间实施免费政策将缓解一部分春运压力。” 国家发改委综合运输研究所董焰在接受采访时表示。(记者/张 敏)

"From domestic comprehensive transport amount to absolute value,Road transportation is greater than the railway transport,Railway transportation is greater than the air transport.During the Spring Festival to carry out free policy will relieve the pressure of travel." The national development and reform commission comprehensive transportation research institute DongYan said in an interview.(Reporter/a sensitive)



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