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外国专家:看好中国金牌进前三 刘翔夺冠率3成--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-28

  2012年格拉斯哥奥科会的主题是“运动激发学术遗产”,涵盖从生物学、医学、心理学到经济学、历史学、社会学等众多与体育科学相关学科,是公认的世界综合性体育科学大会。大会将学术活动分为大会主报告、专题报告、口头发言、墙报交流、技术展示以及特别研讨会等多种方式。

In 2012, the theme of Glasgow's will is“Sports inspire the academic heritage”,Covers from a biological、medical、Psychology to economics、history、Sociology, etc and sports science related discipline,Is recognized as the world comprehensive sports science conference。Conference will be divided into the academic activities the report、Project report、Oral speech、Wall newspaper exchange、Technology demonstration and special seminar and so on many kinds of ways。

  记者在采访中发现,相比正式、公开技术交流时观众席的冷冷清清,冷餐会的私下交流似乎更加活跃,大家可以就当前国际体育科学的前沿问题展开探讨,不拘一格、丰富多彩。伦敦奥运会无疑是大家最关心的,而中国代表团的表现更是万众瞩目,伦敦奥运首金花落谁家?刘翔能否时隔8年再度加冕?中国代表团能否蝉联金牌榜第一?谁说老外不关心金牌,这些同样是最直接、最有吸引力的热门话题。

The reporter found in the interview,Formal compared、When the public technology exchange the courty,Buffet of private exchanges seems to be more active,You can just the current international sports science in the forefront of the discusses problems,not、Rich and colorful。London Olympic Games is no doubt you most concerned about,And the Chinese delegation's performance also peoples attention,London the first Olympic gold flower to come?Liu xiang after eight years can crowned again?The Chinese delegation straight gold can first?Who says that foreigners don't care about the gold medal,These same is the most direct、The most attractive hot topic。

  首金归属天机不可泄露 The first gold do not belong to cat out of the bag by leaking

  根据伦敦奥运会的竞赛日程,首枚金牌将在女子10米气步枪比赛中产生,中国队派出世锦赛冠军、广东名将易思玲和四川内江妹子喻丹出战,抢到这枚金牌胜算几何?

According to London's Olympic competition schedule,First gold medal in the women's 10 m air rifle shooting will be produced in the game,China sent the world champions、Guangdong's YiSiLing and sichuan neijiang sister YuDan into battle,Grab the gold MEDALS are geometry?

  加拿大一家科研机构的负责人马克·萨博告诉记者,他的团队专攻运动生理和心理研究,特别是在射击领域占有一席之地。“我们和中国射击队的王(义夫)是老朋友,在各种射击大赛上经常见面,我们也会在大赛期间布展。”马克·萨博表示,这次来奥科会也是展示最新的研究成果。

Canada a person in charge of the scientific research institutions, mark saab told reporters,His team specialize in the sports physiology and psychology,Especially in the fire area has a place。“We and the Chinese sharpshooters notched the king(YiFu)Are old friends,In all the shooting competition often meet,We will also during the tournament sense。”Marc saab said,The science is to Mr Show the newest research results。

  当记者问道,伦敦奥运会首枚金牌将花落谁家时,马克·萨博诡秘地一笑,“这很难说,因为技术研究只能告诉你运动员的相对稳定的生理和心理状态,而射击的不确定性太强,特别是奥运会首金,运动员要承受超乎寻常的压力。”萨博说,通过研究,只能告诉你哪个选手最近状态波动的大小,至于决赛的那几十分钟,“一切皆有可能。”

When a reporter asked,London Olympic Games will first gold medal in time to come,Saab, mark mysteriously a smile,“It's hard to say,Because the technology research can tell you the athletes relatively stable physiological and psychological state,And the uncertainty of the shooting too strong,The Olympic Games, in particular the first gold,Athletes to withstand extraordinary pressure。”Saab said,Through the research,Can only tell you which players the size of the state of recent fluctuations,As for the final few minutes,“Anything is possible。”

  萨博拿出一份宣传材料,上面写着“MIND OVER MUSCLE”(脑胜于力)。他表示,他们研发的一套辅助训练系统,可以有效地帮助运动员提高训练质量,“我们用这套系统帮助印度男子10米气步枪选手阿比纳夫·宾德拉训练,最终他夺得了2008年北京奥运会金牌,这也是印度历史上的首枚奥运金牌。”值得一提的是,宾德拉当时战胜的正是卫冕冠军朱启南。

Saab took out a publicity materials,Top write“MIND OVER MUSCLE”(Brain is better than force)。He said,They developed a set of auxiliary training system,Can effectively help athletes improve training quality,“We use the system to help India men's 10 m air rifle shooting player interest o Clive Penn Della training,Finally, he won the gold medal in the 2008 Beijing Olympics,This is Indian history first Olympic gold medal。”It is,Penn was overcome Della is defending champion zhu qinan。

  “射击是一项‘缺乏运动’的独特运动,而气步枪则是最精确和激烈的射击运动,因此,这套系统还是很有价值的。”运动心理学家蒂莫西·哈克尼斯说。事实上,这套系统在意甲豪门AC米兰队和NASA(美国宇航局)的训练当中都有应用,这绝对是高科技产品。

“Shooting is a‘Lack of exercise’Unique sports,Air rifle and is the most accurate and fierce shooting,so,The system is of great value。”The sports psychologist timothy · huck nish says。In fact,The system in the serie a giants AC milan and NASA(NASA)Training session have applications,This is absolutely a high-tech products。

  现代奥林匹克竞技融入了更多的高科技元素,因此竞争也更加激烈。据记者了解,中国射击队总教练王义夫早在6年前的广州射击世界杯期间就对类似的研究产生浓厚兴趣,或许中国神枪手也有自己的“秘密武器”。

The modern Olympic athletics into more high-tech element,So the competition is more intense。According to the reporter understands,Coach wang yifu felt released after the Chinese sharpshooters notched the total as early as 6 years ago guangzhou shot during the World Cup similar studies to produce strong interest,Perhaps Chinese sharpshooters also have their own“Secret weapon”。

  当然,意大利新人、目前世界排名首位的卡普利亚尼也是该项目金牌的最有力争夺者。

Of course,Italian new、The current world in first card priya is also the project of the gold medal, the most contenders。

  110米栏是欧美强项 110 m hurdles strengths Europe and America

  刘翔是否还能飞翔?年龄、伤病、强敌都将成为他加冕的障碍。一位不愿具名的运动生理学专家告诉记者,刘翔在伦敦奥运会上夺冠的概率只有3成。如果说梅里特出现之前,男子110米栏的金牌争夺战是在刘翔和罗伯斯之间展开,那么现在这样的局面更是发生巨变。这位专家表示:“从传统项目的角度来看,男子110米栏是欧美人的强项;刘翔在2004年雅典奥运会上夺冠,成为全亚洲人的骄傲,但在任何项目上,想要连续3届奥运会都具有夺冠实力,这种概率是相当低的。”他认为,因为运动员年龄在增长,与此同时新人不断涌现,特别是跨栏强国美国有着先进的训练理念,田径人口非常巨大,产生优秀选手相对容易。

Liu xiang whether also can fly?age、injuries、Opponents will be crowned him the obstacles。An anonymous exercise physiology experts told reporters,Liu xiang won the Olympic Games in London on the probability of only three into。If, before there was,Men's 110 m hurdles gold medal race is in liu xiang and developed between the dayron robles,So now this situation is upheaval。The experts say:“From the point of view of the traditional project,Men's 110 m hurdles is the European and American strengths;Liu xiang in the 2004 Athens Olympic Games the title,Become the pride of all of Asia,But in any project,Want to three consecutive Olympic Games have championship contender,The probability is quite low。”He thinks,Because athletes age in growth,At the same time new emerge,Especially hurdles powers the United States with advanced training philosophy,Track and field population are very large,Produce excellent players relatively easily。

  现在刘翔的优势在于,教练孙海平的训练方法对路可以让刘翔保持一个稳定的高水准;但他的劣势也相当明显,肋间内外肌受伤,在剧烈运动时有点痛,会影响他训练和比赛,伦敦钻石联赛退赛也和受伤有关。

Liu xiang's advantage lies in the now,Coach sun haiping has the training method of marketable can let liu xiang keep a stable high level;But he's also quite obvious disadvantages,Rib injury between inside and outside muscle,In a little pain during strenuous exercise,Will affect his training and competition,London diamond league out of the race and the injured。

  专家看好中国金牌进前3 Experts are bullish on the Chinese gold MEDALS in the top three

  记者在采访中发现一个有趣的现象,那就是,跟国人对中国奥运军团出征伦敦前景的忧心忡忡相比,欧美学者、专家却表现出超乎想象的乐观,他们普遍认为,中国代表团金牌总数会比上届缩水,但拿到30枚以上金牌没问题。

Reporters in the interview found an interesting phenomenon,That is,With our Chinese Olympic legion, worried about the prospects of the London were compared,Europe and America scholars、Experts it showed incredible optimistic,They generally thought,The Chinese delegation gold medal amounts will shrink than the last,But we got more than 30 pieces gold medal no problem。

  来自美国的运动生理学教授希金森认为:“中国选手在乒乓球、羽毛球、举重、跳水、柔道、射击、体操等传统优势项目上仍然实力超群,这基本上可以确保进入金牌榜前3名,如果在田径、游泳、摔跤、拳击等项目上有所斩获,金牌总数可以轻松突破30枚。”在他看来,中国军团再次独占鳌头并不是困难的事情。而这样的观点在欧美学者当中相当普遍,大概是中国军团在北京奥运会的惊艳表现把他们镇住了吧。

From American sports physiology professor hutchinson and think:“Chinese players in the table tennis、badminton、weightlifting、diving、judo、shooting、The traditional advantage of gymnastic project still superior strength,This basically can ensure that came into the top three,If in the track and field、swimming、wrestling、The projects have gained ground,Gold medal amounts can easily break 30 rockets。”In his view,Chinese legion pulls ahead again and is not difficult。And the view of scholars in Europe and America are quite popular,Chinese legion is probably in the Beijing Olympic Games to make the distinction! They performance。

  上届奥运会,美国代表团和俄罗斯代表团分别获得36金和23金;2004年雅典奥运会,美、中、俄三个代表团的金牌总数分别为35枚、32枚和27枚。因此,即便是东道主英国代表团的金牌总数有所增长,但鉴于其和中国军团直接交锋的项目不多,因此彼此影响不大。如果中国代表团能突破30金,基本上可以锁定金牌榜前两位。

The last Olympics,The U.S. delegation and Russian delegation won respectively 36 gold and 23 gold;The 2004 Athens Olympic Games,beauty、in、And three of the delegation were 35 total gold medal、32 gold MEDALS and 27。so,Even if is the host of the British delegation to the gold medal amounts increased,But given its and Chinese legion directly clash and little project,So little influence on each other。If the Chinese delegation can break through 30 gold,Basically can lock before came two。


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