本报记者 曾冬梅 广州报道

Our correspondent CengDongMei guangzhou reported

　　广州突然推出的汽车限购政策虽是针对汽车市场，但公共交通不发达的广州郊区楼市也可能受到波及。

Guangzhou suddenly launched the car 限购 policy is for the car market though，But public traffic not developed guangzhou suburbs may also is affected property market。

　　“执行细则还没出台，短期内无法评估对房地产市场的影响。但长期来说，汽车限购将使目前郊区"大房+小车"的置业模式受到冲击。”广州中原地产项目部总经理黄韬说。

“Executive detailed rules haven't come，In the short term to assess the effect of the real estate market。But the long term，Car 限购 will make at present the suburbs"Big room + car"Bricks-and-mortar model of impact。”Guangzhou centaline property projects department general manager HuangTao said。

　　按照海通国际的估算，限购政策的推出将导致未来一年内广州全市汽车销量损失12.6万辆，这将造成郊区地段的房地产需求下降等负面影响。

According to the estimation of haitong international，限购 policy will lead to a year out future in the city of guangzhou car sales loss of 126000 cars，This will cause the decreased demand for real estate area suburbs negative effects such as the。

　　广州市社科院研究员彭澎也指出，目前广州郊区不少楼盘都尚未实现与快速交通的联网，汽车限购政策可能影响购房者的决策。

Guangzhou academy of PengPeng researchers also pointed out，Currently guangzhou suburbs are yet realize many buildings with fast traffic network，Car 限购 policy may affect the person that buy a house decision。

　　郊区置业模式受冲击 Suburbs bricks-and-mortar model by shock

　　“一套小两居户型，市区起码要七八十万元，番禺只需要五六十万元。虽然公共交通不方便，但我原本打算用在番禺买房省下来的钱买辆车，现在看来要重新规划了。”汽车限购的消息让正准备在郊区买房的小李纠结了。

“A set of two in the family，The city at least want to over ten thousand yuan，Panyu only need-60-ten thousand yuan。Although not convenient public transportation，But I was going to buy a house at a time yu save money to buy a car，Now it seems to be to planning。”Car 限购 the news that is preparing to buy a house in the suburbs of xiao li entanglements。

　　在广州的从化、增城、花都、番禺、南沙等郊区板块，有着小李这种心态的业主或准买家不在少数。虽然这些板块自然环境优越，房价相对较低，但公共配套落后，公交、地铁等网络都未完善。除了社区巴士外，业主出行最主要的方式就是自驾车。因此，近年来，广州郊区的房地产市场逐渐形成了“大房+小车”的置业模式。

In guangzhou of conghua、zengcheng、flower、panyu、Nansha suburban plate etc，The owner of this mindset has xiao li or prospective buyer is not a few。Although these plates natural environment is superior，House prices are relatively low，But the public supporting lag behind，bus、Metro network are not perfect。In addition to the community bus，The owner of the main way to travel is that the driving。so，In recent years，The suburbs of guangzhou real estate market gradually formed“Big room + car”Bricks-and-mortar model of。

　　但如今，这一模式正被突如其来的一纸汽车“限购令”冲击。

But now，The model is a paper by the sudden car“限购 make”impact。

　　6月30日晚上9点，广州突然发布了《关于广州市试行中小客车总量调控管理的通告》。通告将试行一年，未来一年内，广州市中小客车增量配额为12万辆，每月1万辆。

June 30, 9 o 'clock at night，Guangzhou suddenly released《Small and medium-sized buses on guangzhou trial implementation of the total amount control management notices》。Notices will be to try it for one year，The next year，Guangzhou small and medium-sized buses incremental quota for 120000 vehicles，10000 cars a month。

　　在2012年7月1日零时起一个月内，全市将暂停办理中小客车的注册及转移登记，后续各个月度平均分配增量配额。购买中小客车将按照相关规定申请取得本市中小客车配置指标。同时，广州将实行非本市籍载客车辆按时段在指定区域通行的限制通行措施。

On July 1, 2012 00:00 one month，The city will be suspended for small and medium-sized buses registration and move to register，Subsequent each monthly average distribution incremental quota。Buy small and medium-sized buses will be in accordance with the relevant provisions, apply for small and medium-sized buses configuration index has this city。At the same time，Guangzhou will be the city passenger vehicles for cadastral on time in designated areas the travel restrictions through measures。

　　自此，广州成为继北京、上海、贵阳后全国第四个限车城市。由于消息的出台颇为出人意料，引发了市民的恐慌性抢购行为，短短几个小时，广州就卖出了一个月的汽车销量。

Since then，Guangzhou become after Beijing、Shanghai、After the fourth national a limit of guiyang city car。Because the promulgation of the news quite unexpected，The citizens of triggered panic buying behavior，In just a few hours，Guangzhou will sell a month of car sales。

　　数据显示，2011年广州全年上牌量总数为22.6万辆，平均月度上牌量约为1.9万辆。限购后，广州月度上牌量将直接减少约50%。

Data shows，The 2011 guangzhou annual registration amount for a total of 226000 vehicles，Average monthly amount to about 19000 car number plates。After 限购，Guangzhou monthly registration volume will direct 50% reduction。

　　“广州郊区楼盘中，业主自驾车出行占了很高的比例。以洛溪桥脚的丽江花园为例，虽然离市中心距离不算太远，但50%以上的业主出行均依赖自驾车。”黄韬说。

“Guangzhou suburb in the building，Since the owner could drive the high proportion of。How to bridge the foot garden as an example of lijiang，Although the distance is not too far from the city，But more than 50% of owners are dependent on travel from motorists。”HuangTao said。

　求解社区巴士 Solving community bus

　　在黄韬看来，汽车限购政策的出台并非直接针对房地产市场，影响只可以说是“间接中的间接”。“现在才公布限购，具体怎么限、车牌能否转让都还不清楚，所以短期内还看不出对房地产市场有多大影响。”但他认为，如果限购长期执行，汽车上牌数量的减少，还是会对郊区目前的置业模式提出挑战。

In HuangTao seems，Car 限购 policy appearing not directly to the real estate market，Influence can only say is“Indirect of indirect”。“Now 限购 only announced，Specific how to limit、License plate can transfer is not yet clear，So in the short term and doesn't show much influence to the real estate market。”But he thinks，If 限购 long-term execution，The reduction of the number of the auto registration，Will the suburbs bricks-and-mortar model to challenge。

　　从化一位开发商对本报记者表示，汽车限购政策才出台几天，暂时还看不到对销售有什么特别影响。但该项目虽然有通往广州市区的社区巴士，但乘坐者不多，基本都是老人，“大部分业主都是自驾车出行”。

Conghua for a developer our correspondent said，Car 限购 policy to come on stage for a few days，Temporary still cannot see what is special influence on sale。But the project despite the guangzhou city bus to the community，But the ride is not much，Basic is the old man，“Most of all is the owner could drive”。

　　但彭澎认为，汽车限购会对郊区房地产市场带来不利影响。

But PengPeng think，Car 限购 to rural real estate market will bring adverse impact。

　　“如果郊区的公共交通以及城轨、轻轨等网络都建立起来的话，影响可能会小很多。但这些在未来三年内估计都很难实现，所以有些楼盘可能还需要加强社区巴士的运营，减少汽车限购对出行的不利影响。”彭澎说。

“If suburb of public transportation, and city rail、Railway network are set up words，Effects can small lot。But these in the next three years estimates are difficult to realize，So some buildings may also need to strengthen community bus operation，Reduce automobile 限购 travel to the downside。”PengPeng said。

　　但有一个无法回避的问题是，作为郊区房地产市场的特殊产物，社区巴士的运营正日渐式微。随着项目销售进入尾声，很多社区的巴士班次和路线都会逐渐减少，由于是开发商提供的配套，业主对此并无多大发言权。

But there is an unavoidable problem is，As the suburbs of real estate special product，Community bus operation is fade out。With the project sales into the end，Many community bus route will gradually reduce and divisions，Because is to develop business to offer supporting，The owner had much to say about this。

　　“社区巴士的经营基本都是亏损的，销售结束后，开发商也不愿意再加大投入。”黄韬说。

“The business community bus basic it is the loss，After sales，Developers also don't want to increase investment。”HuangTao said。