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罗竖一:“下调房价是国家政策”仍在有效期--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-10

  中共中央政治局7月31日召开会议,分析研究上半年经济形势和下半年经济工作。中共中央总书记胡锦涛主持会议。会议要求,坚定不移地贯彻执行房地产市场调控政策,坚决抑制投机投资性需求,切实防止房价反弹,增加普通商品房特别是中小套型住房供应,抓好保障性安居工程建设,满足居民合理的自住性住房需求。(7月31日新华网)

The CPC central committee's political bureau on 31 July meeting,Analysis in the first half and the second half of the economic situation economic work。CPC central committee general secretary hu jintao at the meeting。Meeting demand,Unswervingly implement the real estate market adjustment and control policies,Firmly suppress speculative investment demand,To prevent prices rebound,Add a normal commodity house especially small-scale housing supply,Pay special attention to the security live project construction,Meet residents reasonable self living sex housing needs。(July 31, xinhua net)

  显然,中央决策层面的此次表态,跟此前有关房地产宏观调控的基本精神是一致的,即温家宝总理于2011年11月6日所讲的“中国下调房价是国家坚定的政策”,依然在有效期内。

obviously,The central addition, this comment,With related to real estate macro regulation after the basic spirit is consistent,That premier wen jiabao on 6 November 2011, speak the“China cut prices is the national firm policy”,Still in the valid period。

  但是,我们也必须清醒地意识到,昔日的“促进房价合理回归”之说演化为今日的“切实防止房价反弹”之令,其实是意味深长。譬如,中央有关房地产的指令声刚传出来,即2012年8月1日1时零3分,任志强就在其微博上回应道:“步步退守?”

but,We must be clearly aware of that,former“Promote the rational regression house prices”The evolution of the day“To prevent prices rebound”To the,In fact is significant。For example,The central related to real estate instruction sound just to filter through,That is August 1, 2012, 1 zero three points,RenZhiJiang in its micro blog responded:“Withdraw at every step?”

  不过,无论如何,我们都有理由相信,在事关民生的住房问题上,中央层面一定会站在“民生问题不仅是重要的经济问题、社会问题,也是重大政治问题。”的至高点予以决策的。

but,No matter how to,We have reason to believe that,In the people's livelihood on the housing problem,The central level will stand in“Not only is the important's economic problems、Social problems,Also important political issues。”The vertices of the decision to。

  然而,现实却是非常残酷的。

however,The reality is very cruel。

  譬如,中国房地产指数研究院根据对100个城市新建住宅的全样本调查数据分析,2012年6月,全国100个城市(新建)住宅平均价格为8688元/平米,环比5月的8684元/平米上涨了0.05%,结束自2011年9月以来的连续9个月环比下跌的态势。

For example,China real estate index academy in 100 cities, according to the new residence the sample survey data analysis,June 2012,The country's 100 city(new)Residential average price is 8688 yuan/m2,Annulus comparing May 8684 yuan/m2 rose 0.05%,End since September 2011 nine consecutive y/y falling trend。

  结合7月份的有关不完全统计数据,我们不得不承认,中国房价反弹的问题日益明显。

Combined with the relevant in July incomplete statistics data,We have to admit that,The problem of China's house prices rebound is more and more obvious。

  而这些,都是在国家一再表明房地产调控不会动摇、不会放松的大背景下出现的。

And these,In countries that real estate regulation would not shake again and again、Won't relax under the background of the appear。

  与之相应的是,中国民间的恐慌、失望,乃至愤怒、绝望的情绪快速漫延,而众多房地产开发商、商用专家等既得利益者则难以掩饰其内心的喜悦。同时,不少地方政府也在暗自发笑。

And the corresponding is,China folk panic、disappointed,And even anger、Despair spread quickly,But many real estate developers、Commercial experts, and so it's hard to hide the vested interest of the joy of heart。At the same time,Many local governments are also laughed。

  尤为惹眼的是,2012年7月10日,在中国房地产市场具有风向标意义的京城,居然以26.3亿元人民币的天价催生了万柳地块这个“新地王”。而此前3天,即7月7日,温家宝总理在江苏省常州市调研时明确强调,目前房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期,调控任务还很艰巨,并强调对有地方出台或变相放松房地产市场调控政策的,要有针对性地及时制止纠正。

Particularly striking is,On July 10, 2012,In China's real estate market is the city of the vane significance,Incredibly of RMB $2.63 billion day price gave birth to the wanliu this plot“The new star”。And after three days,Namely July 7,Prime minister wen jiabao in changzhou, jiangsu province is made clear when research emphasis,Real estate market regulation is still in critical period,Regulation is very arduous task,And to have a place to emphasize on or in disguised form relax the real estate market adjustment and control policies,To have targeted and timely stop correct。

  就一定意义来讲,京城的这次举动,事实上是不折不扣的“顶风作案”。据2012年7月20日《新京报》报道,万柳地块的热度还未散尽,本周北京土地市场迎来今年首次井喷式成交,7月16、17日两天,五宗经营性用地以总价41.5亿元出让。除北京经济技术开发区路一宗多功能用地底价出让外,其余4块住宅用地均溢价成交。

It will have a meaning,The move of the capital city,In fact is real“Against crime”。According to on July 20, 2012《The Beijing news》report,There is not even the heat of the plot,This week in Beijing land market for the first time this year in a blowout clinch a deal,July 16、17 two days,Five cases with total price 4.15 billion yuan business land transfer。In addition to Beijing economic and technological development zone and a generation of land reserve the multi-function outside,The rest of the 4 piece of housing land are premium clinch a deal。

  究竟是什么原因造成上述不良现象?中国的现实为何如此残酷?事实上很多明眼人都非常清楚,即其重要原因之一是,不少“地方政府不断挑战房地产调控政策红线”,并重磅推出其旨在“救市”的所谓楼市新政,但基本都被上层默许,更没有受到应有的惩处。

What are the reason caused the unhealthy phenomenon?China's real why so cruel?In fact a lot of it is obvious very clearly,That is one of the important reasons is,many“The local government will challenge the real estate control policy red line”,And blockbuster introduced its aims to“Help city”Of the so-called new property market,But the basic are upper tacit approval,No more deserving punishment。

  实话实说,这是从根本上对抗“促进房价合理回归”之中央号令,也是弱化中央权威,而违背民意,然可惜这阵子有关部门却偏偏把注意力普遍放到了所谓的调研上,并未去叫停客观上一直在助涨房价、支持房价反弹的地方性“救市”政策。

To be honest,This is fundamentally against“Promote the rational regression house prices”Central order of,Also is weakening the central authority,But public opinion against,But unfortunately at the relevant departments but it happened on the so-called common attention on the investigation,Not to stop up house prices have been help objectively、Support the local prices rebound“Help city”policy。

  不过,比较欣慰的是,在中国房地产市场趋于全面回暖的非常时刻,中央最高层面终于在2012年7月31日发出了号令,即“切实防止房价反弹”。

but,More relief,In China's real estate market is fully warms up in the very moment,The highest level finally on July 31, 2012 issued the order,namely“To prevent prices rebound”。

  “切实防止房价反弹”的关键在于决策层,因为那些助涨房价、支持房价反弹的地方性“救市”政策,是否会被叫停,完全取决于决策层;因为“把稳增长放在更加重要的位置”之中央最新指令,会成为众多地方政府、某些部委之决策层心目中绝佳的“护身符”、“尚方宝剑”,其可以此为据,继续加大对房地产的扶持力度而于客观上支持房价反弹者。(罗竖一)

“To prevent prices rebound”Key lies in the decision-making,Because those who help up housing prices、Support the local prices rebound“Help city”policy,Whether it will have been stopped,Totally depends on decision-making;because“BaWen growth in a more important position”In central new instructions,Will become numerous local governments、Some of the great mind ministries decision-making“amulet”、“ShangFangBaoJian”,This is according to the can,Continue to increase on real estate of the support strength and support in the house prices rebound objectively。(ROM. Put up a)

  中国经济网评论频道正式开放网友投稿,原创经济时评可发至cepl#mail.ce.cn(#改为@)。详见

China officially open net friend comment channel cew has been submitted,Original economic situation can be sent to cepl# mail. Ce. Cn(Instead @ #)。see中国经济网评论频道征稿启事 China comments got cew has been channel partners

  

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