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保障房“数字”的声音大于“意义”--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-18

  

2011保障了“加拿大”,十二五保障“意大利和英国” The 2011 security“Canada”,1025 security“Italy and the UK”

  2011年全年新开工建设城镇保障性安居工程住房1043万套(户),基本建成城镇保障性安居工程住房432万套。按2011年的规划,我们的保障房几乎可以保障加拿大全国的人口。

Year 2011 new construction of affordable housing 10.43 million live town of engineering(households),Basically completed town supportability project housing 4.32 million sets of living。According to the 2011 years of planning,We can guarantee the security room almost the whole population of Canada。

  十二五规划的3600万套保障性住房,更是可以保障意大利和英国两国的人口总量。虽然大多数发达国家也都经历了为缓解住房结构性短缺,大规模建设公共住房的阶段,但不论是人口覆盖面还是建设强度,中国的保障房建设无疑都是一项史无前例的大工程。

1025 planning 36 million sets of affordable housing,Can be more security Italy and the UK total population of the two countries。Although most developed countries also experienced to ease the housing structural shortage,Large-scale construction stage of public housing,But whether population coverage or construction strength,China's security room construction is undoubtedly an unprecedented project。

  虽然,中国不乏几年内干好别人几十年事情的卓越战绩,但房地产行业所固有的特点,如投资大、建设周期长、使用期限长,以及中国的国情都制约了这项浩大工程的进展。

although,China is filled a few years do others decades of remarkable things record,But the real estate industry inherent characteristics,Such as investment big、Long construction period、Use long term,And China's national conditions restrain the extreme engineering progress。

  

谁来投资? Who to investment?

  2011年底,政府部门的总资产大约30万亿元,其中流动资产10万亿元,固定资产20万亿元,总负债20万亿元,所有者权益10万亿元。2010年底,地方政府的负债也达到了10万亿。如果按照每套保障房70m2,平均每平米建筑成本2000元计算,3600万套需要资金5.04万亿。 这部分钱由谁来出?

By the end of 2011,Government departments of the total assets of about 30 trillion yuan,One current assets 10 trillion yuan,The fixed assets of 20 trillion yuan,Total liabilities 20 trillion yuan,Owner's equity 10 trillion yuan。By the end of 2010,The local government debt is to reach 10 trillion。If in every room of the security of 70 m2,An average of 2000 yuan per square building cost calculation,36 million set of financial need 5.04 trillion。 The money who will out?

  仅仅依靠政府的支持肯定是不够的,虽然一些房地产企业也在积极的参与保障房的建设,但由企业来承担这笔开销也不现实。

Only depend on the government support is certainly not enough,Although some real estate enterprises are actively participate in guarantee of the construction of the room,But by the enterprise to bear this expense is not reality。

  而且也不能指望通过出售和出租来回笼资金,首先前些年经济适用房建设中暴露的不公平现象和质量丑闻也使得我们的政府在不断改进,目前的保障政策还是“租售并举,以租为主”,出售已经不是回笼资金的主要手段。

And also cannot count on through the sale and rental to receivables,First of all over the economy is applicable the room construction exposed unfair phenomena and quality scandal also allows us to the government in the continuous improvements,The current security policy or“Rental and,Give priority to rent the”,Sale is not the main means of receivables。

  其次,全球平均的租售比是1:200~300,我国的租售比达到了1:400~700,这意味着,不考虑通货膨胀下,其它国家平均20年的房租可以回收成本,而中国则需要40年以上才能回收。显然,通过回收来补贴建设资金显然也是微不足道的。

second,The global average rental than is 1:20 0 to 300,The sale in China than one to 0 to 700,This means that,Not taking into account inflation,Other countries average 20 years of the rent can recycle cost,While China has need more than forty years to recycling。obviously,Through the recovery to support construction fund and apparently trivial。

  地方政府和开发商会不会因为这些成本问题而影响质量?我们是要追求数量还是追求质量?

The local government and development chamber of commerce is not because these problems affecting the quality and cost?We want to pursue quantity or the pursuit of quality?

  

保障谁?怎么保障? Security who?How to guarantee?

  多个省市保障房准入政策已经向非户籍家庭延伸。可以理解为本地户籍的最低收入人群的居住权,已经基本解决。已经有余力开始解决城市化、城镇化建设和人口迁徙带来的住房压力。

Many provinces security room access policy has to the census register extended family。To understand this locality census register of the lowest income group housing,Has solved。Have spare capacity began to urbanization、The urbanization construction and population migration bring housing pressure。

  每年高校毕业的700万学生,他们中大部分会选择留着城市或城镇中发展,成为城市中的夹心层。达不到保障房的条件,高昂的商品房价格令他们望洋兴叹,他们只能几个人合租一套房子。他们的住房需求,可以通过短期的租房来实现。但随着扎根于城市,随着结婚生子,他们需要更大、更加独立的居住环境。商品房不是所有的家庭能够承受的起的,保障他们的住房需求可能是未来发展的趋势。

University graduation 700 students every year,Most of them will choose to keep the city or town development,Become a city in the sandwich layer。Can not reach the security housing,High commodity house prices to their the companies abroad,They can only a few people sharing a house。Their housing needs,Can through the short-term rent to achieve。But with roots in the city,Married with,They need more、More independent living environment。Commodity house is not all the family can handle up,Ensure their housing needs may be the trend of the development of the future。

  进城务工的两亿多农民工兄弟,他们的居住条件极其差,人均居住面积小,卫生条件差,安全隐患多等,他们才是需要迫切解决住房问题的群体。但是,现有的廉租房又似乎并不受他们的欢迎。与大学生不同的是,农民工们进城并不是追求良好的生活条件。在他们的家乡有着更加清洁的空气、更加广阔的院落、更加舒适的环境,他们来城里务工的唯一目的就是挣更多的钱。廉租房对他们来说显然是不合适的,他们宁愿住在价格低廉的工棚或者城乡结合部,即使这里存在各种隐患。

More than two hundred million migrant workers migrant workers to a brother,Their living conditions are very bad,Per capita residential area is small,Poor sanitation,More safe hidden trouble,They need an immediate solution is the problem of housing group。but,The existing low-cost housing and does not seem to be their welcome。And college students is different,The migrant rural workers into the city and not to pursue good living conditions。In their home has a cleaner air、More vast yard、More comfortable environment,They come to work in cities only purpose is to make more money。Low-cost housing for them is obviously not appropriate,They would rather live in a low cost individual or between urban and rural areas,Even if there are all sorts of hidden trouble。

  显然,我们的政府没有了解到他们真正的需求,没有从他们的需求处着手。对这部分人群,应该改善他们现有的居住条件,配套医疗、教育和服务机构,这样的投资对他们来说比较实用。

obviously,Our government didn't know to their needs,Not from their demand place to start。For this part of the crowd,Should improve their existing living conditions,Supporting medical、Education and service organization,Such investment for them is more practical。

  如果这两部分人群都不在主要的保障的范围内,那么我们3600万套的保障房在保障谁?

If the two parts are not the main crowd within the scope of the security,Then we 36 million sets of security room in security who?

  我国城市中真的有3600万户比大学生还贫穷的家庭吗?

Our country has really 36 million homes in the city than college students still poor family?

  我们的政府对于中低收入家庭住房问题关注声音是振奋人心的,但是,我们可能更加关心的是:“保障谁”和“如何保障”。这比数字更加实际和有意义。我们也呼吁《住房保障法》的尽快出台,从法律上保护受保障群体的利益不被权力侵蚀。

Our government for low-income family housing problem concerns the voice is exciting,but,We may be even more concern is:“Security who”and“How to guarantee the”。This is better than digital more actual and meaningful。We also call《Housing security act》Introduced as soon as possible,From the law protection guarantee the benefit of the group is not power erosion。



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