【财经网(博客,微博)专稿】记者 王熙喜 【Financial nets(blog,Micro bo)ZhuanGao】Reporter WangXiXi

　　7月18日，国家统计局发布的数据显示，6月70大中城市超3成房价环比上涨。

July 18,，Published by the national bureau of statistics data shows，June 70 large and medium-sized cities super 3 into house price rising annulus。

　　其中，新建商品住宅（不含保障性住房），与5月相比，70个大中城市中，价格下降的城市有21个，持平的城市有24个，上涨的城市有25个（5月上涨的城市有6个）。环比价格上涨的城市中，涨幅均未超过0.6%。

Among them，New commodity residential house（Do not contain affordable housing），Compared with may，In 70 major cities，The price of the decline of the city have 21，The city has a flat 24，The rise of the city has 25（The rise of the city may have six）。Annulus comparing prices in the city，Or have not more than 0.6%。

　　二手住宅价格方面，与5月相比，70个大中城市中，价格下降的城市有19个，持平的城市有20个，上涨的城市有31个。环比价格上涨的城市中，涨幅均未超过1.1%。

Second-hand housing prices，Compared with may，In 70 major cities，The price of the decline of the city has 19，The city has a flat 20，The rise of the city has 31。Annulus comparing prices in the city，Or have not more than 1.1%。

　　汉宇地产市场研究部经理付伟表示，6月份70个大中城市房价环比指数上涨的城市数量成倍增加。房价指数运行趋势改变说明目前房价降幅已经收窄，并且已经有反弹趋势出现。

Han yu real estate market research department manager FuWei said，June 70 major cities of the index rising house prices annulus doubled the number of cities。House price index trend change operation that the current price drop has narrow，And has rebound trend appears。

　　付伟表示，从新房和二手住宅的走势差异可以看出，楼市调控政策对于新房市场仍存在较大影响，开发商不敢明显提价；但是对于二手房市场，政策的影响已经大大减弱，这是因为市场对于房价的预期已经有所变化。

FuWei said，From a new house and a second-hand housing on the movements of the differences can be seen，Market control policy for new home market still have considerable influence，Developers can't significantly raised the price；But for second-hand housing market，The influence of the policy has been greatly abate，This is because the market for house prices have been expected changes。

　　链家地产市场研究部陈雪告诉记者，这是针对2011年至2012年一季度产生价格回落的反弹。表现在环比价格上涨城市增多，同比价格回落依然很多。

House property market research ChenXue chain told reporters，This is targeted at 2011 to 2012 have the bounce of the prices fell in the first quarter。In the annulus comparing prices city performance increase，Prices fell year-on-year still a lot。

　　陈雪表示，考虑到2011年房价开始逐渐松动的时期在第三季度，以及当前整体市场回暖的趋势，恐怕无论是同比还是环比，价格上涨的城市都将在未来2-3个月内快速增多。

ChenXue said，Consider to 2011 house prices begin to loose in the third quarter of the period，And the overall market warms up in the trend，I'm afraid either up or annulus，Prices of the cities of the future will be in 2 to 3 months more quickly。

　　而之前，中国指数研究院数据也显示，2012年6月，全国100个城市（新建）住宅平均价格为8688元/平方米，环比5月上涨0.05%，结束自2011年9月以来的连续9个月环比下跌态势，其中45个城市环比上涨，55个城市环比下跌。

And before，China index academy the data also show，June 2012，The country's 100 city（new）Residential average price for 8688 yuan/square metre，November 5 month rose 0.05%，End since September 2011 nine consecutive drop y/y trend，Including 45 a city rising annulus，55 city annulus comparing decline。

　　同策咨询研究中心总监认为，未来市场“基本面”不支持价格普遍反弹涨价。可以全国的从土地出让金、上市公司资产负债、投资增速、房企业绩等几个市场“基本面”指标来判断。

Strategy consulting research center director with that，The future market“fundamentals”Don't support prices generally rebound in price。Can the land grant fee from across the country、The listed company assets and liabilities、Investment growth、Room enterprise performance and so on several market“fundamentals”Indicators to judge。

　　第一，看上半年土地出让金及面积，据中国指数研究院的数据，上半年300多个城市里面，只有济南、重庆等少数几个城市土地出让金是超过去年同期的，至少90%是同比去年下滑的。从土地市场来讲，并没有显示出回暖的迹象。

The first，See the land grant fee and area in the first half，According to the research institute of China index data，More than 300 city inside in the first half，Only the jinan、Chongqing, and other a few city of land sell one's own things is more than the same period last year，At least 90% year-on-year decline is the last year。Will tell from the land market，And not show signs of warmer。

　　第二，从上市开发企业资产负债情况看，第一季度平均资产负债率还比较高，在73%左右。整个上半年自筹资金依旧在增长，融资难度相对较高，整个行业资金相对比较紧张的局面的基本面还没有改变。

The second，Development of enterprise assets and liabilities from listed at，The first quarter is still relatively high average asset ratio，At around 73%。In the first half of the whole self-raised funds is still growing，Financing difficulty relatively high，The whole industry funds is relatively the tight fundamentals have not changed。

　　第三，整个上半年房地产投资虽然还是增长，但是同比增速下滑。国家统计局数据显示，上半年，全国房地产开发投资30610亿元，同比名义增长16.6%（扣除价格因素实际增长14.3%），增速比一季度回落6.9个百分点，比上年同期回落16.3个百分点；其中住宅投资增长12.0%。

The third，In the first half of the real estate investment, although still growth，But up growth slowdown。The national bureau of statistics data shows，In the first half，The national investment in real estate development 3.061 trillion yuan，16.6% year-on-year nominal growth（Adjusting for inflation grew by 14.3% in real terms），Growth in the first quarter than a drop of 6.9%，A drop of 16.3% from the same period a year earlier；One residential investment grew by 12.0%。

　　第四，截至7月16日，已经有49家沪深上市房企以快报和预告等形式发布了上半年利润情况，约占沪深上市房企总数的六成。据链家地产市场研究部统计，在这49家上市房企中，28家房企出现亏损或利润下滑，接近已披露房企总数六成，其中亏损房企13家。

The fourth，By July 16,，Have 49 listed in shenzhen house room enterprises express and forecast the form such as released first-half profit，Shenzhen accounts for about sixty percent of the total number of enterprises listed room。According to the real estate market research statistics chain home，In the 49 listed room in enterprises，28 companies room to losses in enterprises or falling profits，Close to sixty percent of total enterprises has disclosed room，Which room 13 home losses enterprises。

　　（证券市场周刊供稿）

（Securities market weekly contributors）