持续调控背景下的江苏楼市现状如何？记者昨日从有关部门获悉的数据显示，上半年江苏房地产市场同比呈现出成交回落、房价小幅上扬的状况，面对当前市场对于房价进一步上涨的担忧，主管部门初步预判称，当前楼市不具备量价快速上涨的基础。

Continuous control under the background of jiangsu market situation？The journalist learned from relevant departments of the data shows，Jiangsu real estate market in the first half year-on-year present a deal fell back、House prices to rise slightly situation，Facing the current market prices to rise further concerns，The competent department said initial anticipation，The current housing market does not have a rapid rise in quantity and price of the foundation。

　　库存够卖18个月，中小户型显得吃紧

Inventory enough sell 18 months，Small family model appear stretched

　　江苏房地产备案信息系统数据显示，今年上半年全省商品住宅登记销售面积2967万平方米，同比下降5.6%。受成交总体回落影响，当前市场存量攀高，截至6月末，全省商品住宅累计可售面积9415万平方米，其中13个省辖市市区商品住宅累计可售面积5064万平方米，达历年来市场存量最高点，市场消化需18个月左右。

Jiangsu real estate information system for the record data show，In the first half of this year the commodity residential registration sales area of 29.67 million square meters，5.6% year-on-year drop。Clinch a deal by the overall impact back，The current market stock up，By the end of June，The commodity residential house can sell total area of 94.15 million square meters，Thirteen cities urban commodity residential house can sell total area of 50.64 million square meters，Of the stock market over the high，Market to digest 18 months or so。

　　这一系统数据同时显示当前我省住宅供销比状况：今年上半年商品住宅批准预售面积，全省为3194万平方米，同比降12.8%，供销比为1.08：1；13个省辖市市区为1880万平方米，同比下降13.7%，供销比为1.03：1。不过，细分来看，中小户型普通商品住宅却显现供不应求状态，供销比为0.95：1。

This system data also show the current housing supply situation than in our province：In the first half of this year commodity house opens to booking a area of approval，The province for 31.94 million square meters，12.8% year-on-year drop，Supply and marketing than 1.08：1；13 cities for the 18.8 million square meters，13.7% year-on-year drop，Supply and marketing than 1.03：1。but，Subdivision to see，Small family model but ordinary commodity residential house appeared in short supply condition，Supply and marketing than 0.95：1。

　　上述数据表明，当前我省中小套型普通商品住房所占比重偏低，供应量不足、房地产市场结构性供需矛盾仍较突出。而中小户型普通商品住宅在未来一段时间内有可能会供不应求，市场存量较高的大户型住宅“去化”尚需时日。

The above data show that，The current in small-scale commercial housing common low proportion，Short supply、The real estate market, the contradiction between supply and demand structure was still prominent。Small and medium-sized family common commodity residential house in the future for a period of time is likely would be in short supply，The stock market higher big family residence“To change”Time is needed to。

　　供销结构矛盾引房价小涨，成交均价同比增5.2%

Supply and marketing structure contradiction lead small house prices rise，The price increased by 5.2% year-on-year

　　据统计部门监测数据，今年1-6月，我省新建商品住宅销售价格，“环比指数”1-4月连续下降，5月保持稳定，6月上升0.1%；“同比指数”月月均低于去年同期。

According to the statistics department monitoring data，The first 6 months of this year，New commodity residential house in our province sales price，“Annulus comparing index”1-4 months been declining，May remain stable，June rose 0.1%；“Up index”Month are all lower than the same period last year。

　　省房地产市场监测系统显示，1-6月13个省辖市市区商品住宅实际成交均价同比增5.2%。分析结果表明，供销结构的调整是今年上半年成交均价增长的主要原因。

The real estate market monitoring system shows the province，1-June 13 cities urban commodity residential real the price increased by 5.2% year-on-year。The analysis results show that，Supply and marketing structure adjustment is in the first half of this year the price increase of the main reason。

　　近期市场小幅回升受结构性因素影响。从供销比看，今年上半年，省辖市市区中小户型普通商品住宅供销比为0.95：1，其中90平方米以下户型的供销比仅为0.78：1，随着刚性购房需求和少部分改善型需求的入市，中小户型普通商品住房出现热销，中小户型住房价格有所上涨；与此同时，市场上大户型商品住宅继续滞销，开发企业继续采取打折促销以价换量。

Recent market rebounded slightly by structural factors influence。From supply and marketing than to look，In the first half of this year，The small and medium-sized cities door model common commodity residential house than supply and marketing is 0.95：1，Including 90 square meters of door model is only 0.78 than supply：1，With the pent-up demand and a few rigid type needs to improve the market，Small and medium-sized family housing common commodities appear sell like hot cakes，Small and medium-sized family housing prices have to rise；At the same time，The market door model the commodity residential house continue to poor，Development enterprise continue to take discounts and promotions to price in quantity。

　　预判：当前楼市不具备量价快速上涨基础

anticipation：The current housing market does not have a rapid rise in quantity and price of foundation

　　省住建厅对当前市场走势作初步预判认为，在房地产调控政策保持稳定、市场库存较高、改善型需求没有政策支持大量入市的情况下，“以价换量”预计仍是房地产开发企业未来的主要选择，以刚性需求和少部分改善性需求为主的房地产市场不具备销售量和价格快速上涨的基础。

The province to the current live built hall market trends, initial anticipation think，In real estate control policies remain stable、Market higher inventory、Improve needs no policy to support a large number of entry，“To change the price of”The real estate development enterprise is still expected future the main choice，To demand and a few rigid sexual needs to improve mainly real estate market does not have sales and prices rise quickly foundation。

　　据分析，刚性购房需求是近期市场成交的绝对主力。人行南京分行调查的江苏16家主要金融机构1-6月发放的个人住房贷款中，首套房笔数占比达81%，其中6月份占比达90.3%。

According to the analysis，Rigid pent-up demand is recent market clinch a deal nailed down。A survey of nanjing branch of jiangsu's 16 major financial institutions 1-June issue of individual housing loan，The first suite pen number occupies more than 81%，In June, which accounts for more than 90.3%。

　　再以南京楼市成交为例。从历史成交数据来看，南京市刚性需求规模月度值约为25－35万平方米，目前维持在30万平方米左右，与历史数据吻合。同时，从南京购房者信心调研数据看，受访者无住房人群和有1套住房人群占比近八成，表明“首次置业”和“首次改善”目前是主导性需求。今年上半年，南京120平方米以下面积段（中小户型）房源成交套数占比高达78%，为近4年最高，其中90平方米以下占比达45%，较2011年上升10.3个百分点。

Again with nanjing property market clinch a deal for example。From the historical data to clinch a deal，Nanjing rigid demand scale monthly values about 25-350000 square meters，Maintain current in 300000 square metre，And the historical data identical。At the same time，From nanjing homebuyers confidence survey data to see，Respondents no housing the crowd and one set of housing than nearly eighty percent of the crowd，Show that“First-time home buyers”and“First improve”At present is leading demand。In the first half of this year，Nanjing 120 square meters area section（Medium and small family model）Clinch a deal, expand the cycle of as much as 78% of than，For the past four years the supreme，One of more than 90 square meters of 45%，A 10.3% increase over 2011。

　　举措：建立动态监测机制，做好政策储备

measures：Establishing the dynamic monitoring mechanism，Do policy reserves

　　据介绍，我省将按照“省级政府负总责、市县政府落实主体责任”的要求，坚持房地产市场调控决心不动摇、方向不改变、力度不放松，严格执行并逐步完善抑制投机投资性需求的政策措施，不断巩固调控成果。将进一步强化各级政府的工作责任，加大监测考核力度，健全巡查、约谈、问责等工作机制，督促各地严格执行差别化信贷税收政策、限购限贷和商品住房价格监管措施，确保国家的部署要求不折不扣地落到实处。

According to introducing，Our province will be in accordance with the“Provincial government overall responsibility、City and county government implement responsibility”requirements，Adhere to the real estate market regulation determined not to be moved、Direction does not change、Strength not to relax，Strict execution and gradually improve the investment demand suppress speculation policy measures，And consolidating control results。Will further strengthen the government at all levels of the responsibilities of the job，Increase the monitoring strength assessment，Sound checks、questioning、Accountability and work mechanism，Supervise all strictly carry out tax policy menas credit、限购 limit credit and commercial housing price supervision measures，Ensure the country's deployment demands faithfully into effect。

　　记者了解到，针对当前市场存在的供应结构矛盾，我省将着力增加中小套型普通商品住房有效供给将安排一定信贷规模，定向支持中小套型普通商品住房开发建设，同时，进一步简化审批程序，促进中小套型普通商品住房有效供给，更好地满足城市居民首套自住性商品住房需求。

The reporter understands，In view of the current existing market supply of structural contradictions，Our province will strive to increase small-scale common commodity housing effective supply will arrange certain size of credit，Directional support small-scale commercial housing common development and construction，At the same time，Further simplify examination and approval procedures，Promote small-scale common commodity housing effective supply，Better meet the first set of city residents to live oneself housing demand of goods。

　　针对近期部分房企营造“热销”假象，发布虚假信息等现象，我省将加大监管力度，建立房地产开发经营行为定期检查和动态巡查机制。为合理引导房地产市场预期，省住建厅已开发建设“全省房地产市场动态监测系统”，各地每天的新建商品房交易信息都能自动上传到这一系统，以利及时追踪监测。

According to some recent room enterprises create“Sell like hot cakes”illusion，Release the phenomenon such as false information，Our province will strengthen supervision，Establishes the real estate development management behavior and regularly check dynamic patrolled mechanism。The real estate market expectations for reasonable guide，Save lives built hall already development and construction“The real estate market dynamic monitoring system”，All the new trading information commodity house every day can be uploaded to the system，Timely tracking and monitoring。

　　本报记者 汪晓霞

Our correspondent WangXiaoXia