记者夏杨报道：广东去年3月向国家申请“单独二胎”试点，至今一年多尚未批复，是不是没有希望了？多年来致力于推动“单独二胎”试点的省政协常委、省人口计生委原主任张枫8日接受羊城晚报采访时表示：暂时未能批复不能说不批复，“我相信很快就会批复！”

Reporter XiaYang reported：Guangdong last march to the national application“Two foetuses alone”pilot，So far more than a year has not reply，If there was no hope？For many years has devoted to promote“Two foetuses alone”The pilot of people、The director of the province's population state family planning commission ZhangFeng 8 accept the yangcheng evening news interviews that：Temporary failed to reply can't say no reply，“I believe that will soon reply！”

广东成为试点， Guangdong become pilot，

“时间不会很久” “Time will not long”

　　去年3月13日，时任广东省政府副秘书长、省人口计生委主任的张枫首次明确表态，广东要争取国家“单独二胎”(即夫妇双方只要有一方是独生子女的，就可生育两个孩子)试点。他当时说，国家计生部门正在研究允许夫妻一方是独生子女的家庭生二胎问题，广东正积极向国家争取试点允许“单独二胎”。

Last March 13,，Then the government of guangdong province deputy secretary-general、The director of the province's population ZhangFeng nail down for the first time，Guangdong to fight for countries“Two foetuses alone”(Namely couple as long as there is a party is only child's，Can have two children)pilot。He said at the time，National family planning branch is studying allowing of either the husband is only child's families to have two foetuses problem，Guangdong is actively to the country for the pilot allows“Two foetuses alone”。

　　对于申请成为国家试点的态度，张枫在不同场合多次接受记者采访时表示，申请放开生育试点是根据广东人口发展的现实提出来的，但审批能否通过，还要国家根据全国人口大局和发展战略来考虑决定。

To apply for to become state pilot attitude，ZhangFeng in different occasions many times when accepting a reporter to interview said，Let go of fertility pilot is according to apply for guangdong population development of the reality of the proposed，But if I can pass the examination and approval，Also according to the national population overall national development strategies and to consider decision。

　　此后这个问题一直备受关注，但至今已一年多，国家仍未批复，包括很多省计生委的工作人员对获得批准都没信心了。但张枫的态度很肯定，他认为一定会批准。他说，广东成为国家试点“只是时间问题”，并且“时间不会很久”。

Since then the problem has always been concerned，But so far has more than a year，Countries still did not reply，Including many provinces state family planning commission approved staff in all have no confidence。But ZhangFeng attitude is very sure，He thinks will approve。He said，Guangdong become state pilot“Is just a question of time”，and“Time will not long”。

国家暂时未批， Countries will not be batch，

“是从全局考虑” “From overall consideration”

　　为何相信国家不久就会批复？在计生战线工作了几十年的张枫告诉羊城晚报记者，“这只是个人推断”。他进一步解释说，“这是规律使然”：人口少了国家就会鼓励生育，人口过快增长就会控制，历来如此。“我国计划生育政策实施30多年，人口已经到了需要适度放开的节点，国家会考虑调整政策的！”

Why that the country will soon reply？In the family plan front work several decades of ZhangFeng told the yangcheng evening news reporter，“It's just that individual”。He further explained，“This is due to the law”：Population less country would encourage birth，The rapid population growth will control，Has always been so。“Implementation of the country's family planning policy for more than thirty years，Population has to let go of moderate node，Countries will consider adjusting policies！”

　　“广东是根据实际情况申请‘单独二胎’试点的，国家暂时未批复，应该是从全局考虑的。”张枫说，很多省份都提出了放开“单独二胎”试点的申请，国家要从大局出发综合权衡。

“Guangdong is according to the actual circumstances, apply for‘Two foetuses alone’pilot，National temporarily not reply，Should from the overall consideration。”ZhangFeng said，Many provinces have been put forward the release“Two foetuses alone”Pilot application，Countries should from the general situation integrated balance。

放开单独二胎， Let alone two foetuses，

“是广东的考虑” “Is the guangdong consideration”

　　“尽快调整生育政策，有利于促进人口均衡发展。”今年6月初，刚刚从省人口计生委主任位置上退下来的张枫在接受羊城晚报专访时表示：实行计划生育政策30多年来，快速增长的人口现已放慢了脚步；上世纪70年代初每对夫妇平均生5.8—6个小孩，现在降到1.7个左右，是到调整生育政策的时候了！

“Adjust the family planning policy as soon as possible，Promote balanced development of population。”In early June，Just from the provincial population director position ZhangFeng down in accept the yangcheng evening news interview said：Family planning policy for more than 30 years，The fast growth of the population has slowed his steps；The 1970 s each couple average 5.8-born of six children，Now to about 1.7，Is to adjust the family planning policy！

　　放开“单独二胎”，是广东省的考虑，也是中国人口学界的考虑。今年5月由北京大学、复旦大学、人民大学、中山大学、中国社科院等人口专家、学者共同参与的《广东省“十二五”人口发展战略研究》出炉，报告建议：广东应按照总体稳定、逐步完善、城乡统筹、循序渐进的原则，积极争取成为国家完善生育政策的试点，可在“十二五”期间实行“单独二胎”政策，到“十三五”期间平稳过渡到城乡统一、一对夫妇可生两个小孩为主的政策。

Let go“Two foetuses alone”，Is the consideration of guangdong province，China's population is in the practice of the consideration。May this year by Beijing university、Fudan university、People's university、Sun yat-sen university、Population experts by the Chinese academy of social sciences, etc、Common participation of scholars《Guangdong province“1025”Population development strategy research》out，The report recommends that the：Guangdong should according to the overall stability、Gradually perfect、Urban and rural、The principle of gradual，Actively trying to be the policy of birth country perfect pilot，But in“1025”Practice during“Two foetuses alone”policy，to“1035”Smooth transition to the urban and rural areas during the unified、A couple can have two children give priority to policies。

建议调整模式： It is suggested to adjust mode：

“奖一放二禁三” “Award a put two forbidden three”

　　“数据显示，适度调整和完善现行计生政策是可行的！”据报告测算，如果“十二五”时期广东在户籍人口中实施“单独二胎”政策，全省每年新出生人口将增多10万到13万左右，对总体人口形势冲击不大。

“Data shows，Moderate adjust and perfect the policy or is feasible！”The report estimates，if“1025”Period in the household register population in guangdong implementation“Two foetuses alone”policy，The new birth population will increase each year 100000 to about 130000，The overall population situation little impact。

　　关于对现行计生政策的调整办法，张枫将之概括为“奖一、放二、禁三”。他解释说，“奖一”，就是对只生一个小孩的夫妻给予重奖，“过去也有奖励，但太少了，要保证其能老有所养”。“放二”，就是放开生二胎。可分两步走，“十二五”期间农村放开“单独二胎”，“十三五”期间不管农村还是城市，一对夫妇均可生二个小孩。“禁三”，即必须立法禁止生育第三个小孩。“目前的处罚措施太轻了，效果不够好！”

On the current policy on family adjusting method，ZhangFeng will be summarized as“Award a、Put two、Ban three”。He explained that，“Award a”，Is to only have a child's husband and wife reward handsomely，“The past also have rewards，But too little，To make it a somewhat old”。“Put two”，Born is let go two foetuses。But in two steps，“1025”Rural let go during“Two foetuses alone”，“1035”Whether during the rural and urban，A couple are born two children。“Ban three”，That must be outlawed third child birth。“The punishment was too light，Effect is not good enough！”