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北京商品住宅市场一周点评(7月2日-7月8日)--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-12

  

上周北京住宅成交量冲高后回落25.11% Beijing last week, the volume of high housing at after a drop of 25.11%

  

一、住宅总体成交——上周冲高后回落25.11% a、Overall housing clinch a deal last week after high-at a drop of 25.11%

  上周(2012年7月2日-7月8日)北京住宅网签成交量(包含一、二手)6322套,环比下降25.11%,比上月同期上涨38.55%,和去年同期比上涨70.22%,其中新建商品住宅网签成交量3176套,二手住宅网签成交量3146套,住宅总成交面积63.95万平米。北京商品住宅上周单周成交8442套后,本周回落,但成交总量依然位于限购后的高水平。北京中原市场研究部的专业人士分析认为主要有以下几点原因:

Last week(July 2, 2012-July 8)Beijing housing nets sign trade volume(Contains a、second-hand)Of 6322,Annulus comparing fell 25.11%,Than the same period last month rose 38.55%,And the same period last year more than 70.22% higher,Among them the commodity residential house nets to sign new volume of 3176 sets,Second-hand housing nets sign of volume of 3146,House total area of 63.95 square meters clinch a deal。Beijing commodity residential house in a single week last week after 8442 sets clinch a deal,Back this week,But clinch a deal amount is located in the 限购 still after high level。Beijing central plains market research department's professional personage analysis think basically has the following several reasons:

  1、上周央行年内第二次下调存贷款利率,在促进经济增长的同时,使得置业成本也相应降低,极大地激励了购房需求,刚需购房加速入市;

1、Last week the central bank interest rate cut in the second,In promoting economic growth at the same time,Make home buyers cost also reduced,Greatly inspired the pent-up demand,Just need to purchase speed up market;

  2、刚需购房释放增多,房价出现一定程度的上浮,购房者预期价格底部已现,“买涨不买跌”的心理导致购房脚步加快;

2、Just need to buy more release,House prices appear a certain degree of oct. 26,The person that buy a house price has now expected at the bottom,“Buy or not to buy up fall”Psychological cause acceleration that buy a house;

  3、温总理及国家相关部门多次强调抑制投资投机,控制房价,继续执行房地产调控政策。所以,房地产成交量和价格出现上涨的空间有限。

3、Wen and relevant national authorities many times that inhibit speculative investment,Control prices,Continue to carry out the real estate control policies。so,Real estate volume and price rose space is limited。

  

二、北京新建住宅供应猛增 中高端项目拉高价格环比涨7.43% two、Beijing new housing supply of high-end project price surge pulled up 7.43% month-on-month

  (一)新建住宅周成交——环比下跌18.29% 优惠项目成交突出

(a)New residence weeks fell by 18.29% month-on-month clinch a deal-preferential project clinch a deal the outstanding

  上周北京新建住宅网签成交面积共计35.89万平方米,网签成交3176套,比上周减少18.29%,和上月、去年同期比分别涨72.51%、55.15%,其中,期房网签2239套,现房网签937套。上周新建住宅成交量是连续第3周成交在3000套以上,成交活跃度上升到更高的水平。

Last week, Beijing new residence nets sign totaling 358900 square meters area clinch a deal,Nets sign of 3176 to clinch a deal,18.29% less than last week,And last month、Than the same period last year rose 72.51%, respectively、55.15%,Among them,2239 sets of period room nets sign,Now FangWang sign 937 sets。Last week, the volume of new residence is the third consecutive weeks deal on more than 3000 sets,Clinch a deal the active degree rise to a higher level。

  北京中原市场研究部认为,目前新建住宅成交环境良好,购房动力强。一方面,受房贷等政策优惠和利率下调的刺激左右,刚需购买力快速释放;另一方面,目前,房价出现上浮,刺激消费预期的同时,进一步深化调控的措施可能性加强。在北京新建商品住宅库存压力加大的情况下,对于绝大数房企而言,依然执行谨慎的冬天模式策略。

Beijing central plains that market research,At present new residence clinch a deal the environment is good,Buys a room to force。On the one hand,Home loans and preferential policy by interest rates around the stimulation,Just need to the rapid release of purchasing power;On the other hand,At present,House prices rise in,Stimulating consumption expected at the same time,Further measures to strengthen the regulation of possibility。In Beijing the commodity residential house new inventory pressures,For the room number for enterprises,Still cautious winter model implementation strategies。

  (二)项目开市——二环内稀缺房源入市

(two)Project-within the opening road, expand the scarce market

  本期新增商品房供应量4.41万㎡,共二个项目新增入市,均为旧盘加推项目,其中新瓷器(世藏168)位于二环以内,润泽公馆则位于五、六环之间,本期主打60-147㎡一至三居户型。

This new commodity house supply 44100 ㎡,A project for two new market,All for the old plate addition push project,Among them the new China(The hidden 168)Road is located in less than,Moist residence is located in the five、Six ring between,This main 60-147 ㎡ one to three in the family。

  朝阳区:本期新增入市项目为润泽公馆,该项目位于朝阳区北五环,紧邻地铁13号线北苑站。该项目本期为旧盘加推,推出203套普通住宅,户型主要为60-113㎡一至三居,开盘定价为26401元/㎡,目前该项目成交均价为23000元/㎡左右,二手房均价则在19780元/㎡左右,其他地铁周边项目如中国铁建(601186,股吧)?花语城、北京城建(600266,股吧)?世华泊郡等目前成交均价在24000-25800元/㎡不等。

Chaoyang district:This new entry projects for the moist residence,This project is located in chaoyang district north rings,Close to subway line 13 beiyuan station。The project for old dish addition push this issue,Out of 203 average house,The main door model for 60-113 ㎡ one to three r,Open quotation price is 26401 yuan / ㎡,At present this project the price for 23000 yuan / ㎡ or so,Secondhand the room all valence criterion is in 19780 yuan of / ㎡ or so,Other metro project such as China built around iron(601186,Shares it)?Stretched city、The Beijing urban construction(600266,Shares it)?Shihua poisson county, are the price is in 24000-25800 yuan / ㎡ range。

  崇文区:本期新增入市项目为新瓷器(世藏168),该项目为新景家园项目旧盘加推,该项目位于崇文区磁器口区域,紧邻地铁2号线、5号线,交通极为便利,属稀缺的二环内新建商品住宅。该项目本期推出183套房源,主打78-147一至三居户型,拟定售价47199元/㎡,现在购买可享受一次性付款95折优惠,按揭97折优惠。新景家园目前二手房均价在35900元/㎡左右,周边其他普通住宅项目如朱雀门、长安六号等目前均价在43000-49800元/㎡左右,周边高端住宅项目如长安太和、霞公府等,售价更是达83000-106000元/㎡不等。

ChongWenOu:This new market for the new China project(The hidden 168),The project is a XinJing home project old dish and push,This project is located in the ChongWenOu magnetic mouth area,Close to metro line 2、Line 5,,Traffic is very convenient,The new road is a scarce commodity residential house inside。The project launched in this issue of 183 homes,Main 78-147 one to three in the family,Selling for RMB 47199 / ㎡ worked,Now buy can enjoy discount for a one-time payment of 95,Mortgage 97 discount。XinJing home at present average price is in 35900 yuan of/secondhand ㎡ or so,Other common residential projects such as peripheral rosefinch door、Changan 6, are all valence is in 43000-49800 yuan / ㎡ or so,Peripheral high-end residential projects such as chang tai、Xia male mansion,,Price is 83000-106000 yuan / ㎡ range。

  (三)新建住宅周成交均价及成交TOP榜——本周新房成交均价稳定 部分优惠楼盘成交突出

(three)New residence weeks and clinch a deal the price for TOP list this week-the price of new stable preferential building dish outstanding clinch a deal

  根据北京中原市场研究部监测,上周新建住宅成交均价21245元/平米,与上月成交均价21339元/平米基本持平,部分优惠楼盘成交突出。

According to the Beijing central plains market research monitoring,Last week new residence 21245 yuan/m2 the price,Last month the price with 21339 yuan/m2 flat,Part of the building dish outstanding preferential clinch a deal。



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