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中原地产:降息再释宽松信号 流标又现谨慎心态--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-17
一周楼市 Week property market
上周,央行再度释放货币宽松的信号,在两度实施逆回购操作之后,于7月6日再次进行不对称降息。然而,为防房价反弹,中央再次重申房地产调控维稳,继续抑制房地产投机投资性需求。就市场层面而言,进入7月,住宅市场成交依旧维持回升势头。中原经理人指数也已连续数周呈现上扬,表明对后市仍保持乐观。但是,土地市场尚未完全回暖,苏州、上海、成都等地近期均出现流标,显示房企依然保持谨慎取态。
Last week,The central bank released again loose monetary signal,Twice in the implementation of the buyback after inverse operation,On July 6, to conduct another asymmetry to cut interest rates。however,To prevent prices rebound,The central again real estate regulation d steadily,Continue to restrain the real estate speculation investment demand。Just as the market level,Into July,The housing market is still maintain the momentum back to clinch a deal。The managers' index has for several weeks and show up,That is still to be optimistic。but,The land market has not yet been fully thaw,suzhou、Shanghai、Chengdu recently all appear flow standard,Show room stand still remain cautious take state。
央行二次降息 调控维稳不变 Central Banks cut interest rates steady secondary regulation d unchanged
上周,央行两度实施逆回购操作,累计向市场投放金额约1880亿元,创下了今年逆回购操作量的新高。央行此次进行的大量逆回购操作,一定程度上缓解了目前市场资金面的紧张状况。随后,央行再次进行不对称降息,一年期存、贷款基准利率分别下调0.25及0.31个百分点。本次降息距离上一次仅仅时隔不足一月,可见中国整体经济形势走势不容乐观。
Last week,The central bank twice inverse repurchase implementation operation,Yuan to the market value of about 188 billion yuan,A buyback amounts of inverse operation this year highs。The central bank a lot of inverse repurchase operation,Relieves the tensions in the capital market at present。then,Central Banks cut interest rates again asymmetry,One-year deposit、The benchmark lending rate cut 0.25 and 0.31% respectively。The distance to cut interest rates for less than a month after the last time only,China's overall economic situation trend is not optimistic。
然而,信贷的放松并非意味着中央将对各类住房需求全面松绑。央行在宣布本次降息的同时,首次在文件中明确指出,要继续严格执行差别化的各项住房信贷政策,继续抑制投机投资性购房。上周,国务院副总理李克强在“全国保障性安居工程工作会议”上亦重申,增加普通商品住房供应,抑制投机投资性需求,稳定房地产市场调控政策,巩固调控成果,促进房地产市场长期平稳健康发展。同时,温家宝总理近日在江苏调研时也强调继续严格实施房地产各项调控政策,防止变相放松投机投资性购房政策。中原集团研究中心认为,未来各地政策微调将更为谨慎,市场仍以刚需为主,投机投资性需求仍严格受限。
however,The relaxation of the credit does not mean that the central to all kinds of housing demand will be fully relax。Central Banks cut interest rates in declare this at the same time,For the first time in a file explicitly pointed out,To continue to strictly carry out the policy of differentiation housing credit,Continue to restrain speculative investment the house。Last week,Vice premier li keqiang in“The national security live engineering work session”Also reiterated that the,Add a normal commercial housing supply,Restrain the investment demand speculation,The real estate market stability control policy,Consolidate control results,To promote the healthy development of real estate market long-term stable。At the same time,Prime minister wen jiabao recently in jiangsu research also emphasize continue to strictly carry out when the real estate control policy,Prevent speculative investment in disguised form relax purchase policies。The group centre said,All over the future policy fine-tuning will more cautious,The market is still to just need to give priority to,Speculative investment demand has strictly limited。
楼市持续回升 地市复苏缓慢 Property market continue to rise cities slow recovery
进入7月,住宅市场依旧持续回升势头。据中原监测,7月的前5天,54个城市新房及二手住宅成交量分别较上月同期增长32%及15%。此外,广州、深圳、上海的中原经理人指数已连续数周呈现上扬,表明买卖双方对后市成交保持乐观。
Into July,The housing market is still continue to rise momentum。According to the monitoring,July 5 days before the,54 city bridal chamber and second-hand housing volume were more increased by 32% in the last month and 15%。In addition,guangzhou、shenzhen、Shanghai of the central plains managers' index has for several weeks and show up,Show that both parties is to clinch a deal to be optimistic。
随着近期越来越多的开发商竞标购地,各地也开始积极开展土地推介。上周,上海、合肥、重庆、北京等城市率先以“预公告”形式公开揽客,其中优质地块备受青睐。北京海淀万柳居住用地因地处中心区域的高档住宅区,一经推出便吸引了数家开发商竞相报价,上周末该地块报价已高达25161元/平方米,但最终政府可能忌讳其成为新地王而紧急通告延迟出让。从近期推出地块来看,“位优价廉”已普遍成为吸引开发商的重要砝码。万科于上周购得宁波一幅地块,该地块曾遭遇流标,重推后底价下调约28%。然而,上周苏州、上海、成都等地均出现流标,显示房企对于后市依然维持谨慎取态,土地市场尚未完全回暖。
With the recent more and more developers bid for purchase,Also began to actively carry out all over land promotion。Last week,Shanghai、hefei、chongqing、Beijing and other cities to take the lead in“The announcement”Form LanKe public,Among them are high quality plot to favor。Beijing haidian wanliu habitable land is located in the center of the area for top-grade residential area,Once roll out, attracted several developers to offer,Last weekend this plot offer has up to 25161 yuan/square metre,But ultimately the government may be the new king and become as taboo as emergency notification for delay。From a recent launch plot and see,“Nearly a cream”Has generally become the important farmar attract developers。China vanke purchased last week ningbo a plot,This plot was devastated by flow standard,Heavy price cut back about 28%。however,Last week, suzhou、Shanghai、Chengdu all appear flow standard,Show room enterprises is still maintain careful to take state,The land market has not yet been fully thaw。
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