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新华时评:商业地产伤不起--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-07-17
新华网北京7月13日电(记者王立彬)国土资源部12日披露,5月以来所谓新“地王”主要分布在北上广等重点城市,以商服用途为主。国土资源部土地利用管理司、中国土地勘测规划院13日发布二季度全国主要城市地价监测报告,提醒“关注资本抽离住宅领域后的选择性炒作”。而国土资源部中地指数CLI编制负责人关于“泡沫风险向一线城市商业地产转移”的警告言犹在耳。
Xinhuanet Beijing on July 13 (Reuters)(Reporter WangLiBin)The ministry of land and resources 12 disclosure,So-called new since may“royal”Mainly distributed in such key city wide to the north,To ShangFu USES mainly。The ministry of land and resources land use management department、China's land surveying 13 release in the second quarter of the major urban land price monitoring reports,remind“Focus on capital out of residential areas of the selective hype”。And have slipped into the land and resources of index CLI head on“Bubble risk to a city commercial real estate transfer”Imaging the warning。
在住宅市场调控不断加码下,不仅开发商,地方政府也在将投资、卖地的心思转向商业地产。国土资源部提醒,正是因为住房用地流标流拍相对较多,一些城市在二季度末相对集中推出商服用地。显而易见,这背后是急于“卖地筹财”心态。因此,有必要密切关注在住宅市场上遇阻的房地产投资投机资本转向商业地产,防止按住葫芦起来瓢。
In the housing market regulation under constant pyramid,Not only developers,The local government also will be in investment、The mind of the owner to commercial real estate。The ministry of land and resources remind,It is for housing land flow standard flow pat relatively more,Some cities in relatively concentrated at the end of the second quarter ShangFu land out。obvious,Behind this is anxious to“Raise money from the”mentality。so,Necessary to pay close attention to in the housing markets of blocked the real estate investment speculative capital to commercial real estate,Prevent hold up gourd ladle。
自从去年下半年以来,从北上广深4个一线城市,到天津、重庆、大连、青岛、宁波、厦门、南京、杭州、武汉、成都、西安、福州、长沙、唐山14个热点城市,商业地价明显领先受压的住宅地块,不同程度潜入景气区间。
Since the second half since last year,From north 4 a line is expected to city,To tianjin、chongqing、dalian、Qingdao、ningbo、xiamen、nanjing、hangzhou、wuhan、chengdu、xian、fuzhou、changsha、Tangshan 14 hotspot cities,Commercial land price a clear lead pressurized residential plot,Different degrees into boom interval。
事实上,在住宅市场调控下,商业地块及商业地产量价齐升,在重点城市日渐火暴的购物中心可见一斑,甚至一些三线城市商业建筑,面积年增幅也近90%,过剩趋势不言自明。业内人士指出,商业地产积累起泡沫,祸害甚于住宅泡沫,商业地产烂尾楼给银行造成的呆坏账将是摧毁性的。
In fact,In the housing market under control,Business plot and business to yield JiSheng price,In the major cities of the shopping center is surging is obvious,Even some three city commercial building,Area of years the increase has nearly 90%,Excess trend self-evident。Industry insiders point,Commercial real estate accumulate bubble,Evil than housing bubble,Commercial real estate lousy poop to rot caused by the bank will be destructive。
历史的经验值得重视,上世纪80年代日本房地产泡沫的破灭阶段,地价异常上涨的两大特征,一是主要集中于三大都市圈,二是商业用地领涨,住宅价格企稳。从地价上升率来看,1985年、1986年、1987年,商业地价上涨分别为12.5%、48.2%、61.1%。
Historical experience is worth attention,The 1980 s Japan the bursting of the housing bubble, stage,Land price to the rise of the two big features of abnormal,One is the main focus on three metropolis circle,2 it is commercial land brought up,House prices in stabilising。From the land price in lift and see,1985 years、1986 years、1987 years,Commercial land price rise 12.5%, respectively、48.2%、61.1%。
中国经济与日本经济有很大的不可比性,但不能因此忽视经济腾飞后商业地产泡沫的剧烈破坏性。对此,土地管理部门要做好监测,客观评估商业地产的市场容量,既要关注商业项目的空置情况,也要关注资本抽离住宅领域后的选择性炒作。银行监管部门要加强商业物业抵押贷款监测,对商业地产和二三线城市房地产风险保持警觉。
The Chinese economy and the Japanese economy is very not comparable,But you can't ignore economic boom commercial real estate bubble after intense destructive。this,Land management department to do well the monitoring,The objective evaluation of the commercial real estate market capacity,Both the attention to the vacancy commercial projects,Also want to focus on capital out of residential areas of the selective hype。Bank supervision departments should strengthen the commercial real estate mortgage loan monitoring,For commercial real estate and two three city real estate risk alert。
商业地产泡沫,干扰了经济转型和调整。从表现上看,推动商业地产及商业地价上扬的主要原因是住宅市场受限,住宅投资前景不明。而其内在原因,还是实体经济吸引力不足,于是,商业店面和写字楼成为资本追逐对象。
Commercial real estate bubble,The economic transformation and adjust the interference。Look from the performance,Push commercial real estate and commercial land price rise is the main reason of the housing market is limited to,Residential investment prospects is unknown。And the intrinsic reason,Or entity economy insufficient appeal,so,Commercial stores and office buildings as capital chasing object。
强压牛头不喝水。对于资本,要堵更要疏,如何让人家心甘情愿做实体,这才是一个真正的挑战。
Crush minotaur without water。For capital,Want more of wall to,How to let people willingly do entity,This is a real challenge。
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