楼市“回暖”引发多方博弈。市场上有人热炒房价即将“反转”，网上惊现“新一轮房价快速上涨正拉开帷幕”，部分消费者甚至“恐慌性入市”。对此，全国工商联房地产商会会长聂梅生说，目前楼市呈现的还是筑底态势。

Property market“warmed”Cause many game。The market is folly, someone house prices“reversal”，Appeared online“A new round of house prices are rising fast, begin”，Part of the consumers even“Panic entry”。this，The national association of industry and commerce of real estate chamber of commerce NieMeiSheng said，At present the market or the present building trend。

据新华社电 According to xinhua

　　最近北京“地王”再现，深圳等地零星重现“排队购房”现象，上海、杭州、海南等多地楼市成交量有所放大借助楼市新“变数”，房价即将“反转”之声渐起，有关楼市的预期牵动人心。

Beijing recently“royal”reproduce，Shenzhen sporadic again“Queuing buy”phenomenon，Shanghai、hangzhou、Hainan etc more property market turnover has amplified with the new property market“variables”，House prices will“reversal”Gradually up the sound of，The property market expectations affect the heart。

“短期内房价不可能 “The short term rates are possible

出现报复性反弹” Appear rebound reprisal”

　　进入6月，上海、广西与广东等地相继出现高溢价地块成交现象。7月10日，北京万柳地区新“地王”在一片喧哗声中诞生。这些“变化”与此前土地成交冷清的状况形成对比。

Into June，Shanghai、Guangxi and guangdong arise high premium plot clinch a deal the phenomenon。July 10,，Beijing wanliu new areas“royal”In a noise was born in。these“change”And after the condition of the land deal cold and cheerless form contrast。

　　一些地方土地成交回暖的背后，是房价和交易量有所放大。中国指数研究院数据显示，6月以来，部分一二线城市新建商品住宅成交量创下新高。20个重点城市上半年成交量比上年同期（同比）增长17%，其中6月成交量与2010年调控以来最高点持平，与2009年高点仅相差15%。

Some local land deal warms up in the back，House prices and trading volume is to enlarge。China index academy data shows，Since June of，Part of a second city new commodity residential volume set a new high。20 a key city, the volume of first half than the same period last year（up）17% increase，Six months with 2010 years since the volume control highest rate，2009 high and is under 15%。

　　楼市“回暖”引发多方博弈。市场上有人热炒房价即将“反转”，网上惊现“新一轮房价快速上涨正拉开帷幕”，部分消费者甚至“恐慌性入市”。对此，全国工商联房地产商会会长聂梅生说，尽管成交量有所回升，但楼市呈现的还是筑底态势。

Property market“warmed”Cause many game。The market is folly, someone house prices“reversal”，Appeared online“A new round of house prices are rising fast, begin”，Part of the consumers even“Panic entry”。this，The national association of industry and commerce of real estate chamber of commerce NieMeiSheng said，Although volume have rebounded，But the home of the present or build momentum。

　　在海口、三亚，开发商依然选择打折促销、以价换量，加速减少库存。“楼市回暖只是局部的、阶段性的，绝大部分是刚性需求的释放，短期内房价不可能出现报复性反弹。”新世界中国地产（海口）有限公司营销副总监莫添瑜说。

In haikou、sanya，Developers still choose discounts and promotions、To change the price of，Accelerate reduce inventory。“Property market warms up just local、Phases of，Most is a basic need the release，The short term rates are possible retaliatory rebound。”New world China real estate（haikou）Limited company marketing vice director don't add yu said。

　　国家统计局数据显示，今年上半年，全国商品房待售面积31408万平方米，增长33.1%。“巨大的库存和消化库存的较慢节奏，意味着今明两年房地产行业仍将比较低迷。”北京师范大学金融研究中心主任钟伟说。（编注：据国土资源部的数据，目前许多城市商品住房库存达到或超过2008至2009年间的高峰。去年底，全国未竣工房地产项目约15万宗，面积约48万公顷，约为前三年房地产用地平均供应量的3.4倍。）

The national bureau of statistics data shows，In the first half of this year，The national commodity house for sale area of 314.08 million square meters，33.1% increase。“Huge inventory and digestive inventory slower pace，Means that in the two years real estate industry will still low。”Beijing normal university financial research center director ZhongWei said。（bisio：According to the data of land and resources，At present many city commercial housing inventory to meet or exceed 2008 to 2009 peak。end，The national real estate project not completed about 150000 cases，An area of about 480000 hectares，In the first three years of real estate is about 3.4 times the average land supply。）

　　国土资源部有关部门负责人12日表态说，近期个别城市再现高价地，主要是结构性和区域性市场波动，并未改变市场整体偏冷的格局。（编注：国土资源部认为，进入5月份，因住房用地流标流拍相对较多，一些城市在二季度末相对集中推出商服用地，一些优质地块受到追捧。但这些地块主要分布在北上广等重点城市，用途又以商服为主。根据国土资源部的数据，上半年，全国高价异常交易房地产用地24宗，不到去年同期的6%。）

The ministry of land and resources in charge of relevant departments of the 12 pledged，The recent individual cities representation to higher prices，Main is structural and regional market fluctuations，Did not change the pattern of the overall market slants cold。（bisio：The ministry of land and resources said，Into may，Because of the housing land flow standard flow pat relatively more，Some cities in relatively concentrated at the end of the second quarter ShangFu land out，Some high quality plot adore。But the plot is mainly distributed in the north key cities for the wide，And for the purpose ShangFu primarily。According to the data of land and resources，In the first half，The high price of real estate transactions 24 cases of abnormal land，Less than 6% last year。）

部分开发商被指导演 Some developers to be directed act

“楼市热销”假象 “Property market sell like hot cakes”illusion

　　记者追踪发现，凭借宏观政策由“控物价”转向“稳增长”之机，一些地方政府流露出加快为楼市“松绑”的迹象，试图尽快扭转“土地财政”收入下滑现状。

Reporter tracking found，With the macro policy“Control prices”Turned to“Steady growth”Machine of，Some local governments reveals the speed up the housing market“easing”Signs of，Trying to reverse as soon as possible“Land financial”Revenue declined status。

　　近期，一些“限购”城市的高档房和豪宅销售有所活跃，“多数应属于"限购"对象。有些地方监管部门对此睁一只眼、闭一只眼。”上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭如是说。

recent，some“限购”City of high-grade room and a person of extraordinary powers curtilage sales have active，“Most should belong to the"限购"object。Some local regulators turned a blind eye to it、Close one eye。”Shanghai enjoysmart real estate, vice President of the institute YangGongXu said。

　　一些被曝光的案例显示，部分城市对涉及违规骗取购房资格的开发商、中介和个人，实际上采取默许态度。对于这种“复杂局面”，国土资源部有关机构近日发布第二季度全国主要城市地价监测报告称，“在宏观政策调整与坚持房地产调控不放松，地方政府出台微调政策情况下，市场预期出现一些变化，房地产市场再次进入敏感阶段。”

Some cases of exposure display，Parts of the city to defraud the irregular purchase qualified developers、Intermediary and personal，In fact take tacitly attitude。For this kind of“Complicated situation”，The ministry of land and resources relevant institutions in the second quarter) recently released the major urban land price monitoring report said，“In the macro policy adjustments and adhere to the real estate regulation not to relax，The local government issued fine-tuning policy circumstances，The market is expected to appear some changes，The real estate market into sensitive stage again。”

　　试图改变房价预期的另一个推手是开发商。记者采访发现，一些开发商借一些地方政府“暗助”，开始打起楼盘涨价的主意，释放“房价已见底、调控将放松”的信号，诱导购房者出手。

Prices are expected to try to change another push is developers。Reporters found，Some developers to borrow some local governments“Dark help”，Start up the idea of building prices，release“House prices already see bottom、Regulation will relax”signal，Induction homebuyers make moves。

　　业内人士透露，部分开发商借市场阶段性“回暖”之机，甚至自导自演“楼市热销、供需两旺”的假象，为炒作涨价铺路。同策咨询研究中心总监张宏伟认为，部分房企年初下调全年指标导致年中销售业绩“达标”；还有的房企“粉饰”中报，报喜不报忧，炒作“回暖”现象，都是为了形成“买涨不买跌”的市场预期。

Industry insiders said，Some developers by market phases“warmed”Machine of，Even the self-guided act“Property market sell like hot cakes、Supply and demand two popular”Illusions of the，Prices for paving the hype。Strategy consulting research center director with d think，Part of the room early enterprises throughout the year to year cut index sales performance“standard”；There's room enterprises“whitewash”Center daily news，Report good news not suffer，hype“warmed”phenomenon，Are all in the form“Buy or not to buy up fall”Market expectations。

“对土地、银行 “To the land、bank

调控力度不够” Control power is not enough”

　　针对外界的疑虑，住建部等四部委最近频频释放楼市调控不动摇的信号。

According to the outside world doubts，Live JianBu four ministries has been release property market regulation unwavering signal。

　　“在"稳增长"政策下，楼市调控的变化只是更加重视刚性需求，抑制投机性需求的政策没有改变。”中国房地产研究会副会长顾云昌说。有关专家表示，在保增长的基调下要保卫调控成果，必须加快建立房地产市场调控的长效机制，例如房产税改革应该加快，城市住房信息联网工作也应该加快。

“in"Steady growth"policy，The change of market regulation just pay more attention of the rigid demand，Restrain the speculative demand policy has not changed。”China real estate research board vice-chairman GuYunChang said。Experts said，In the tone of the growth under control results to defend，We must establish the long-term mechanism of real estate market regulation，Such as housing property tax reform should speed up，City housing information networking work should also speed up。

　　另一个问题是，城市保障房建设如何继续保持增量？此外，分配方案有待于进一步公开透明。国家统计局新闻发言人盛来运认为，以廉租房、公租房为代表的保障房建设应明确与城镇化的两大主力人群农民工和大学毕业生挂钩，防止分配不公。

Another problem is，City room to continue to maintain security construction incremental？In addition，Distribution plan needs to be further open and transparent。The national bureau of statistics spokesman filled to transport think，To low-cost housing、Male rent as a representative of security room construction should be clear and urbanization two main crowd migrant workers and university graduates hooks，Prevent unfair distribution。

　　“当前楼市调控的重点仍是开发商和购房者，对土地、银行等其他利益主体的调控力度不够。”聂梅生认为，房价涉及多元主体，今后应配套推进土地、金融、财税、产业结构、收入分配等一系列制度改革。

“The current housing market regulation of the key is still developers and consumers，To the land、Banks and other interests of the main body of the control power is not enough。”NieMeiSheng think，House prices involving multiple subject，In future, we must complementarily promote land、financial、Finance and tax、Industrial structure、A series of income distribution system reform。