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全国房价上涨城市涨了4倍重庆房价原地踏步 还能淡定多久?--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-31

全国房价上涨城市涨了4倍重庆房价原地踏步 还能淡定多久?重庆一、二手房价格环比继续持平 Chongqing a、Secondhand the room price annulus comparing to continue unchanged

  记者 李强摄影 陈浮

Reporter li qiang photography Chen float

  昨日,国家统计局公布数据显示,与上月相比,6月份70个大中城市中房价上涨城市有25个,较5月份的6个增加19个,增幅达400%。不过涨幅均未超过0.6%。

yesterday,Figures from the national bureau of statistics,Compared with last month,June 70 cities, the city of rising home prices there are 25,In may a six increase 19,400%。But rose by less than 0.6%。

  环比上涨的城市包括北京、上海、广州等城市。而重庆一、二手房价格环比继续持平,这也是重庆一手房连续三个月环比持平,二手房连续两个月环比持平。

Annulus comparing to the rise of the city including Beijing、Shanghai、Guangzhou city, etc。Chongqing a、Secondhand the room price annulus comparing to continue unchanged,This is also a room of chongqing for three y/y flat,Secondhand the room for two y/y flat。

  业内专家认为,目前市场“基本面”不支持价格普遍反弹,下半年仍为市场继续“放量”时间窗。

The expert inside course of study thinks,At present the market“fundamentals”Don't support prices generally bounce,The second half is still the market continues“peatlands”Time window。

  上涨城市增多 降价行为越来越少

Rising price increase city less behavior

  今年前5月,70个大中城市新房价格环比上涨的城市数量均为个位数。而6月份上涨的数量已经超过前5月的总和。链家地产市场研究部常清认为,逐渐放宽的货币政策对刚需起到一定的鼓励作用;同时,成交量的上涨促使开发商和业主开始试探性的提价,除了资金压力较大的开发商或业主外,大多数卖方在现有基础上的再降价行为越来越少。

The first five months of this year,In 70 major cities to the rise of the annulus comparing price bridal chamber to the number of cities are single digits。And in June the number of rising more than the sum total of the first five months。Chain's real estate market research that temperamental predominance,Gradually easing of monetary policy on just need to play a certain role of encouraging;At the same time,The rising volume to developers and owners began exploratory of price increase,In addition, the developer of the larger financial pressure or the owner,Most of the seller in the existing basis to depreciate behavior less and less。

  重庆房价连续三月环比持平

Chongqing house prices flat month-on-month for march

  而6月份重庆新建商品房价格保持了原地踏步,与5月份持平,连续三个月价格环比持平。

In June and chongqing new commodity house prices remain the piaffe,And roughly the same rate as in 5,Three consecutive months prices flat month-on-month。

  从户型情况来看,6月份90平米以下、144平米以上的房价环比持平,90~144平米的房价环比增长0.1%。二手房的情况也差不多。虽然在全国范围内,6月份二手房上涨城市增加至31个,环比涨幅在1.1%左右,但重庆的二手房价格继续出现了停涨。

Judging from the family,June 90 square meters below、144 square meters of housing prices flat month-on-month,90 ~ 144 square meters of housing prices by 0.1% month-on-month growth。The housing situation is similar。Although in the national scope,June secondhand the room up city increased to 31,Annulus comparing or at about 1.1%,But chongqing's second-hand housing prices continue to stop up there。

  下半年重庆楼市加量或不加价

The second half of chongqing housing added amount or not a premium

  政策面的“降息”、“降准”与楼市“微调”形成市场叠加效应,刺激市场继续“放量”。

Of the policy“Cut interest rates”、“Drop must”And property market“fine-tuning”Form market superimposition effect,Stimulate the market continues to“peatlands”。

  重庆龙湖地产品牌经理罗政表示,未来2~3个月,市场新盘加推放量更集中,同时上半年去化慢的楼盘也会在利好政策下加紧出货。同策咨询研究中心总监张宏伟认为,目前从上市开发企业资产负债情况看还不乐观,而限购限贷政策尚未明显松动,投资投机性需求不会大规模入市,不支持价格普遍反弹。现阶段仍然是自住需求最佳的购房时间窗口。

Chongqing longhu real estate brand manager LuoZheng said,Future 2 ~ 3 months,Market XinPan tumbled addition push more centralized,At the same time the first half to slow building will also good policy in the next step up shipment。Strategy consulting research center director with d think,At present the development enterprise assets from public debt situation look is not optimistic,And 限购 limit credit policy has not been obvious loose,Investment the speculative demand not mass market,Don't support prices generally bounce。At present is still the best buys a room to live oneself needs time window。

  重庆楼市

Chongqing property market

  已有北上广上涨迹象

Have wide signs up north

  “6月份北上广价格环比增幅大主要是由于当月成交产品类型和一些热销项目提价。”重庆领域机构市场部经理张鑫认为,重庆6月份新推的中高端项目较5月份也有增加,成交也比5月份增加了2%,但6月份大学城、蔡家、茶园等区域楼盘很热销,拉低了整体成交价格。

“June-wide price annulus comparing to the north is mainly due to clinch a deal that month product types and some sell like hot cakes project raised the price。”Chongqing area agencies marketing manager ZhangXin think,Chongqing new push in June in the high-end projects in May also have more increase,Clinch a deal than a 2% increase in May,But university in June、CAI home、Tea garden area such as buildings are much in demand,Down the whole clinch a deal the price。

  “跟北上广一样,6月份重庆也有热销产品提价的,不过总的来看,重庆项目试探性提价一般都在5%以内,而北上广有的热销项目则提价10%。”张鑫表示。

“Wide with north,June in chongqing were hot selling product prices,But in general,Chongqing project are commonly 5% price tentative within,And some sell like hot cakes are wide north project raised prices 10%。”ZhangXin said。

  部分城市房价上涨原因:

Parts of the city rising house prices reasons:

  杭州:1.成交量激增;2.可售房源创新低;3.“日光盘”、“一房难求”到处出现;4.限购政策压抑需求。

hangzhou:1. The volume surge;2. But while source innovation low;3.“Th CD”、“A room, it is difficult to find”Appear everywhere;4. 限购 policy depressed demand。

  北京:1.成交量激增;2.“低端低开渐高”的趋势;3.多个豪宅项目入市;4.限购积压需求。

Beijing:1. The volume surge;2.“The low end of the low open gradually tall”trend;3. The more a person of extraordinary powers curtilage project market;4. 限购 backlog requirements。

  上海:1.成交量激增;2.贷款政策从宽;3.中高端楼盘成交火爆;4.涨价仍热销的情况越来越普遍;5.限购压抑需求。

Shanghai:1. The volume surge;2. Loans from the policy;3. In high-end buildings clinch a deal the hot;4. The price is still sell like hot cakes is more and more common;5. 限购 depressed demand。

  广州:1.涨价后仍热销;2.贷款政策从宽; 3.多个豪宅项目入市;4.限购压抑需求。

guangzhou:1. After prices still sell like hot cakes;2. Loans from the policy; 3. The more a person of extraordinary powers curtilage project market;4. 限购 depressed demand。

  统计局:

Bureau of statistics:

  上涨具有特殊性

Rise has particularity

  对部分城市房价出现的新变化,国家统计局城市司高级统计师马晓明指出,近几个月来,在房地产开发商以价换量销售策略影响下,市场成交逐渐活跃。在成交量放大的同时,6月份一些城市房价出现环比上涨。

Parts of the city house prices appear to the new changes,The national bureau of statistics city department senior statistician MaXiaoMing said,In recent months,In the real estate developers to price change is under the influence of the sales strategy,The market gradually active clinch a deal。In volume to increase at the same time,Some city in June in house prices rising annulus。

  分析其原因,马晓明认为主要有三个方面。

The article analyzes the reasons,MaXiaoMing think three main areas。

  一是利率下调,购房成本下降,购房人的经济负担有所减轻,部分人的购房意愿增强;二是随着前期累积的刚性需求和改善性需求有所释放,特别是市场对房价走势的预期出现一些变化,担心房价反弹;三是部分楼盘在以价换量获得较好的销售业绩后,取消折扣优惠,甚至调高价格。由此可见,6月份一些城市房价环比上涨的原因是多方面的,并且具有一定的特殊性。

One is the interest rate cuts,Purchase cost down,The person that buy a house to ease the financial burden,Part of people's purchase intend to increase;2 it is the accumulation of rigid with demand and improve sexual needs to release,Especially the market prices of the trend is expected to appear some changes,Worry about house prices rebound;3 it is part of the building to change in price is obtained good sales performance,Cancel the discount,Even raise prices。This shows,June some cities rising house prices annulus comparing many reasons,And has some particularity。



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