中新网7月30日电(房产频道 胡可璐)8月虽是楼市传统淡季，但今年的全国楼市并没有进入开盘“空档期”。多家研究机构统计显示，北京、上海、天津、南京等地8月均迎来新一轮开盘高峰。

Beijing, July 30(Real estate HuKeLu channel)August is the traditional slack property market，But this year's property market and not into the open quotation“hiatus”。Several research institutions statistics show，Beijing、Shanghai、tianjin、Nanjing 8 the average monthly facing another open quotation peak。

　　业内人士指出，开发商不应对下半年楼市抱有太乐观的预期，应充分利用当前“刺激刚需”窗口期，及时降价跑量，谨慎定价。若是一味涨价引导楼市继续反弹，很可能倒逼楼市新一轮调控政策出台，那时疯狂涨价的开发商可能会自食其果。

Industry insiders point，Developers should not too optimistic about the second half of the property market expectations，Should make full use of the present“Stimulate just need to”Window period，Price is run in time，Cautious pricing。If prices continue to rebound guide property market blindly，Probably DaoBi property market new regulation policies，At that time, the developer of the crazy prices may have to eat them。

8月楼市迎来推盘热 August housing market have pushed plate heat

　　成交持续回暖的背景下，开发商推盘热情大增。根据多家地产机构统计，在8月的传统楼市淡季，北京开盘项目数量预计超过34个，有望创今年新高。数据显示，8月北京计划入市的34个项目，比起7月的32个有增无减，成为今年月度开盘量最多的一个月。这一数字也大幅超过去年8月(不到30个)的预计开盘数。有机构预计，8月新增供应量可能接近万套。

Clinch a deal under the background of sustained progress，Developers push set a passion。According to several real estate agency statistics，In August the traditional housing off-season，Beijing opened the number more than 34 project is expected to，And this year is expected to hit a record high。Data shows，August Beijing plans to the entries 34 projects，Compared with July 32 continues unabated，In this year of the biggest monthly opened a month。The Numbers have more than last August(Less than 30)The number is expected to open quotation。Agencies are expected to have，August new supply of all could be close to。

　　北京中原分析认为，8月虽然处于市场的传统淡季，但在需求积极性提高和供应增加的影响下，成交量有望持续维持高位。

Beijing central plains that analysis，Although in the market on August the traditional slack，But in the demand and supply of increased enthusiasm improve under the influence，Volume is expected to continue to maintain high。

　　8月，上海市场预计有34个住宅项目开盘(含2个混合盘)，比7月份22个的预开盘量飙升54.5%。与2011年8月27个的开盘量相比也有着25.9%的增幅。

August，Shanghai market is expected to have 34 residential projects open quotation(Contain two hybrid disk)，In July than 22 of the open quotation quantity soared by 54.5%。And in August 2011, 27 of open quotation quantity also has a 25.9% growth compared。

　　而南京楼市8月也延续前期“淡季不淡”的态势。据搜房网数据监控中心统计，8月南京楼市共有42家楼盘上市，推出逾8000套房源，创今年以来单月上市量最高峰。天津8月预计开盘量22个，环比增加10%。开盘项目中纯新盘有10个，占预计开盘总量的45.45%。

And nanjing property market also continued early August“Off-season don't light”situation。According to search room net data monitoring center statistics，August nanjing property market were 42 listed building dish，More than 8000 homes set out，And since the peak of month of this year。Tianjin August 22 opening is expected to amount，Annulus increases by 10%。Open quotation project XinPan has 10 pure，Open quotation is expected to account for 45.45% of the total。

　　业内人士指出，“降息”“降准”与楼市“微调”形成市场叠加效应对市场继续放量起到刺激作用，预计整个下半年楼市成交好于上半年。

Industry insiders point，“Cut interest rates”“Drop must”And property market“fine-tuning”Form market superimposition effect to market continues to play a rare stimulation，The second half of the property market is expected to clinch a deal in the first half of the year。

　　同策咨询研究中心总监张宏伟认为，8月供应量增加势必会让整个淡季不淡的行情继续下去。目前政策层面正值“刺激刚需”窗口期，刚需应该会在6-8月份继续释放需求。这个阶段开发商会加大市场供应，供应的增加与个案价格的调整会促使后市成交量保持一定的水平。开发商应好好利用当前“刺激刚需”窗口，及时降价跑量，有条不紊地分阶段实现销售目标。

Strategy consulting research center director with d think，August supply will increase can let whole off-season not weak prices to continue。At present policy level positive“Stimulate just need to”Window period，Just need to should be in 6-August continues to release demand。This stage development chamber of commerce is increasing market supply，Increased supply and case price adjustment is to keep a certain volume level。Developers should make good use of the present“Stimulate just need to”window，Price is run in time，In an orderly way to achieve the sales target in stages。

7月热销楼盘价格回涨 July HuiZhang building price sell like hot cakes

　　在信贷政策利好影响下，传统的“淡旺季”已经被颠覆，继楼市在6月迎来一轮爆发之后，7月依旧保持着良好的势头。

In the credit policy under the influence of the good，The traditional“subject”Has been upset，The property market in June after the outbreak in round，July is still maintained a good momentum。

　　根据北京市住建委网站数据统计，截至7月25日，月内北京新建住宅签约9615套，较上月同期的9158套上涨了5%。业内专家预计全月成交量将超接近1.3万套，在以往的销售淡季创出年内成交新高。

According to the Beijing municipal live is built appoint website statistics，By July 25,，Beijing new residence within the signing of 9615 sets，In the same period of 9158 set last month is up 5%。The industry experts expect the month turnover will close to 13000 sets of super，In the past the off-season clinch a deal makes years sales hit a record high。

　　近期，受开发商以价换量、央行一月内两次降息、京沪穗高溢价地频现等诸多因素影响，购房者对房价的预期出现变化，看跌的购房者明显减少，刚需和改善型入市的积极性明显提高。同时，部分地方政府调控政策也出现了事实性松动。根据中原地产统计，2011年下半年以来，累计有40个城市不同程度的“微调”了原有政策，主要包括提高公积金贷款额度、实施购房补贴或购房落户政策等。这种情况下，7月份北京在售的项目纷纷开始提价。

recent，By development business with price change volume、Central Banks cut interest rates twice a month、The beijing-shanghai spike high premium to frequent, and many other factors，The person that buy a house to house prices expected changes appear，Put buyers were obviously reduced，Just need to and improve the enthusiasm of the entry of improved significantly。At the same time，Part of the local government regulation policy also appeared factual loose。According to the real estate statistics，Since the second half of 2011，Accumulative total have 40 cities of different level“fine-tuning”The original policy，Mainly include improving accumulation fund loan amount、Implementation of the subsidy or buys a house purchase in policy, etc。This case，In July, Beijing in the sale project have started to raise prices。

　　北京中原一项统计显示，在7月热销的60个项目中，成交均价上涨有43个，占比超过7成。

Beijing central plains a statistics show，In July the sell like hot cakes 60 projects，The price rise has 43，Accounted for more than than。

　　在8月上市的新盘同样延续个别项目定价偏高的趋势。亚豪机构副总经理任启鑫分析认为，尽管由于成交结构的变化拉低了7月北京楼市的成交均价，但也不可否认大量在售项目正在热销推动下回涨价格，特别是6、7月份，北京楼盘涨价现象持续增多，再加上近期土地交易频频，以万柳、旧宫两地块为代表的高价地加剧了购房者对于未来房价的上行预期，刚需客群担忧房价上涨之后失去购房机会，急于“追涨入市”，进而支撑成交量上扬。

In August of last XinPan also listed individual project pricing is on the high side of the trend。The house deputy general manager RenQiXin analyzed that institution，Although due to the change of the structure of clinch a deal down July Beijing property market of the price，But it is undeniable large projects are sold in the sell like hot cakes HuiZhang driven prices，Especially 6、July，Beijing building a continued rise in price phenomenon，Coupled with the recent land deal frequently，There in、JiuGong two plot, as a representative of the severe high for the future of the person that buy a house prices upward expectations，Just need to customers after purchase prices worries lost opportunity，Anxious to“Entry chase after go up”，And then support volume goes up。

　　中国房地产经理人联盟秘书长陈云峰表示，当前购房者出现了一定的“追涨”心态，不过在当下的市场环境中，房企还是应该顺应调控要求，谨慎定价，特别是对于新项目来说，要避免高开不利对后期的影响。

China real estate managers league secretary general ChenYunFeng said，The current homebuyers appeared certain“Chase after go”mentality，But in the current market environment，Enterprises should conform to the control room or requirements，Cautious pricing，Especially for new project for example，To avoid high open to the influence of the negative late。

业内：开发商肆意涨价或倒逼政策出台 the：Developers to price increases or DaoBi policies

　　业内人士指出，近期楼市成交回暖和购房者的“恐慌性入市”关系密切，而国家坚定调控政策不动摇，防止房价反弹的信号无疑给购房者吃了一颗“定心丸”，因此楼市的成交很难再驶入“快车道”，开发商只能以求稳心态观察市场。

Industry insiders point，The recent market warms up and home buyers to clinch a deal“Panic entry”close，But the national firm control policy not be moved，To prevent the resilience of the signal to house prices buyers undoubtedly an eating“sides”，So the property market is hard to clinch a deal into“Fast track”，Developers can only steady mentality to observe the market。

　　近期，国土资源部、住房城乡建设部联合发布了《关于进一步严格房地产用地管理巩固房地产市场调控成果的紧急通知》，针对部分城市出现土地市场波动，新建商品住宅量价齐升的情况做出表态，称将巩固已有调控成果，切实维护好房地产和土地市场的稳定。

recent，Land and resources、Housing rural construction jointly announced《On further strictly real estate management real estate market regulation of land consolidation of emergency notice results》，In parts of the city land market volatility there，New commodity residential house JiSheng quantity and price of the statement to make，Say will consolidate control results，Practically maintaining good real estate and land market stability。

　　7月24日，中国政府网站发布消息称国务院督查组近期将对16个省(市)房地产市场调控政策措施落实情况开展专项督查。有媒体报道，国务院督查组目前已抵达南京，将对南京、苏州和上海3个城市的楼市现状进行调查。专家认为，楼市调控再次进入敏感期，针对部分城市政策微调的倾向和楼市“量价齐升”的趋势，中央开始进行“精准修正”。

July 24，The government's web site DuZhaZu recently announced the state council to 16 provinces(city)The real estate market regulation implement policies and measures to carry out special superintendent himself。Media reports，The state council DuZhaZu currently has arrived in nanjing，Of nanjing will、Suzhou, Shanghai and 3 cities in the housing market of the investigation。Experts say，Property market regulation again into sensitive period，Parts of the city in the tendency of fine-tuning and property“JiSheng quantity and price of”trend，The central started“Precise fixed”。

　　7月27日下午，上海市政府发布《关于进一步严格执行房地产市场各项调控政策的通知》，从信贷、土地供应、房屋用途、执行监管、住房保障，以及舆论引导等六方面重申进一步严格执行房地产市场各项调控政策的态度，并表示下半年将在全市组织开展住房限售政策、差别化住房信贷、税收政策执行情况的检查。

July 27, afternoon，Issued by the Shanghai municipal government《On further strictly carry out the real estate market control policy notice》，Since the credit、Land supply、House USES、Execution supervision、Housing safeguard，Public opinion guide and six aspects further reiterated the strict implementation of the real estate market regulation policies，In the second half and said in the city, the organization carries out the housing limited sales policy、Differentiation housing credit、Tax policy implementation of the examination。

　　两月内，中央部门十多次密集表态调控不动摇的决心，表明楼市反弹已引起高层关注，过量反弹或可引起进一步的调控。部分业内人士认为，事实上新一轮楼市调控已经开始，其他城市很有可能跟进，尽管只是重申调控政策，但在执行上会更为严格。

Two months，The central authorities more than 10 times intensive regulation unwavering determination to comment，Housing rebound that has caused high-level attention，Excessive bounce back or can cause further regulation。Part of the personage inside course of study thinks，In fact a new round of market regulation has started，Other cities are likely to follow up，Although just reiterated that control policies，But in the execution will more strict。

　　7月26日，人民日报发文称，“调控确实要"吼"，但并非"基本靠吼"，并称“吼，是一种有效的手段，但并非惟一的手段，仍有政策的储备”。24日，人民日报亦指出，一旦房价反弹超出预期，随时出台新的调控政策。

July 26,，People's Daily dispatch says，“Regulation really want to"roar"，But not"Basic depend to roar"，said“roar，It is a kind of effective method，But not the only means，There are still policy reserves”。24，People's Daily also pointed out，Once the house prices rebound faster than expected，Introduce new control policies at any time。

　　业内人士分析认为，楼市关键时期，长效的调控机制已经呼之欲出。在目前的形势下，开发商切忌盲目乐观、肆意涨价，否则很可能迎来新一轮调控。而购房者也不必恐慌性购房，在目前的经济背景下，在调控始终不放松的前提下，房价报复性反弹难以获得政策支撑。(中新网房产频道)

Analysis of the personage inside course of thought，Property market key period，Long-term regulatory mechanism of already be vividly portrayed。In the present situation，Developers avoid by all means is blind optimism、Wanton prices，It is very possible facing another regulation。And the person that buy a house also need not panic the house，In the present economic background，In the regulation always under the premise of not to relax，House prices rebound revenge is difficult to get policy supporting。(Beijing real estate channel)