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楼市调控应建立长效机制--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-10

  据媒体报道,国务院总理温家宝7月7日在江苏省常州市调研时强调,目前房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期,调控任务还很艰巨。必须坚定不移做好调控工作,把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策

According to media reports,The state council premier wen jiabao July 7 in changzhou, jiangsu province when research emphasis,Real estate market regulation is still in critical period,Regulation is very arduous task。Must unswervingly well control work,The inhibition of the investment real estate speculation needs as a long-term policy。

  楼市回暖已经有一段日子了。在“稳增长”的大宏观政策背景下,在连续两次央行降息的刺激下,在房贷政策上的些许放松以及楼市预期上的些许变化,这确实促成了楼市的回暖。无论是各地鲜活的购房现场,还是统计局公布的量价数字,都明白地传递出回暖这样一个信息。现在人们争议的是,这样的回暖是不是2009年的翻版,即随之而来将是房价的大幅反弹?

Property market warms up already has a while now。in“Steady growth”Big macro policy background,In two successive central bank cut interest rates under the stimulus,The housing policy a bit of relaxation and property market expectations on the trifling change,It contributed to the housing market buoyancy。Whether the purchase of all fresh,Or bureau of quantity and price of Numbers,Understand what to pass a thaw such a information。Now people are controversial,Such is the counterpart of the 2009 warmed,That will be followed is house prices rebound sharply?

  事实上,只要全国范围内的限购政策没有出现松动迹象,房价的反弹毫无疑问会是杞人忧天。现在楼市的筑底已成事实,但反弹未必,大幅反弹要么是一厢情愿,要么是故意造势。现在的暖意,更多的是在这两三年一直处于观望状态的刚性需求的释放,因此,与其说是回暖,不如说是解冻。

In fact,As long as the nationwide 限购 policy did not appear loose signs,House prices rebound will undoubtedly is a worrywart。Now the housing market bottom has built a fact,But may not rebound,Rebound sharply or is wishful thinking,Or is deliberately situation。Now the warmth of,More is in the two or three years has been in the state of the watching the release of rigid demand,so,Is not so much to thaw,Than say thaw。

  限购已经成为本轮楼市调控的象征,但同时也不会有人认为,限购令会长期地执行下去。即使是政府官员也同意,限购是行政手段,是不得已而用之的手段。而人们担心的,恰恰是限购取消之后所引发的房价大幅反弹。

限购 has become the symbol of this round of market regulation,But at the same time also won't someone think,限购 to be long on execution。Even government officials also agreed to,限购 is administrative means,Is necessary with means。And people worry about,Just is 限购 after the cancellation of a house prices rebound sharply。

  到目前为止,本轮调控就有两年多之久,房价在这期间稳中有降,有的地方更是出现大幅下降。而如果这放在了通胀的背景下,所取得的调控成果则更加明显。但是,楼市调控的长久之计并不能指望在限购不取消身上,势必要有一个更加长效的政策机制,来防止房价的大起大落。

So far,This regulation is for more than two years,House prices in this period is steady reduction,In some places but also appear to drop considerably。And if this on the under the background of inflation,The regulation of results obtained are more apparent。but,Regulation of the property market in the long run and can't expect in 限购 not cancel body,Will inevitably have a more long-term policy mechanism,To prevent falling house prices。

  温总理7月7日在常州的谈话中提及做好调控工作的三个方面,在“防止变相放松购房政策”之外,说到的两点正是构建长效调控机制之意,一是要积极引导和支持房地产企业调整产品结构,增加普通商品房供给;二是继续推进保障房建设,尽快形成有效供给。因此,这个长效机制说起来也很简单,就是市场的归市场,政府的归政府,让市场来满足不同层次的购房需求,而那些低收入群体的住房要求,则更多的需要政府来予以扶持,通过廉租房、公租房等不同形式的保障房来解决公平问题。

Prime minister wen July 7 in changzhou talk well control work mentioned in the three aspects,in“Prevent in disguised form relax purchase policies”outside,Of the two points is establish a long-term regulation mechanism of idea,One is to actively guide and support real estate enterprise adjustment of product structure,Add a normal commercial housing supply;The other is on promoting security room construction,As soon as a effective supply。so,The long-term mechanism is very simple also,Is the market to market,The government's government,Let the market to meet different levels of pent-up demand,And those of the low-income housing requirements,The more need government to support,Through the low-cost housing、And different forms of security rent a room to solve the fairness。

  对于楼市的调控,长期来看,限购式的行政命令只能是非常时期的非常之举,政府更应该着手建立起基于服务型政府特点的调控体系,在财税体制上实施进一步的改革,减少地方政府对于“土地财政”的依赖,增加土地的供应,对房价形成有效的市场约束;另一方面,政府肩负起民生的责任,扩大提供住房服务的公共职能,从而使保障房在带动经济建设的同时,也可以分流住房的一部分市场需求,从而进一步降低房价。(韩哲)

For the housing market regulation,In the long term,限购 type of executive orders can be very period for the very,The government should set out to build more based on the characteristics of the service-type government regulation system,In the fiscal and taxation system to impose further reform,Reduce local government for“Land financial”Depends on the,Increase the supply of land,To the house form effective market discipline;On the other hand,The government take on the responsibility of the people's livelihood,Expanding services to provide housing the public functions,So security room in promoting economic construction at the same time,Also can tap part of the housing market demand,Thus further lower prices。(HanZhe)



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