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国务院督查组已赴各地 专家称楼市再难暴涨--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-12

  湖北日报讯 记者 彭一苇

Hubei daily reporter PengYiWei

  7月武汉楼市成交量进入“高烧”,破历史纪录,一些售楼员频频暗示买房人即将涨价,以此推动销售。但政策不言松

July wuhan property market turnover into“High fever”,Broken record,Some suggest that frequently to buy room person-member in price,To promote sales。But policy silent pine

  对楼市来说,7月一般是淡季,但今年7月,武汉楼市淡季不淡,继6月份创出25个月来成交新高12108套之后,再创新高,达14454套,成交面积147.16万平方米,较上月增长19.7%。

About the housing for,July is generally off-season,But this year July,Wuhan market off-season not light,Following the June 25 months to clinch a deal makes a record high after 12108 sets,Hit a record high,14454 set,Clinch a deal with an area of 1.4716 million square meters,A rose 19.7% last month。

  这是否意味着,武汉楼市成交量“高烧”,从而带来价格大涨?

Does this mean that,Wuhan property market turnover“High fever”,Thus to bring prices soar?

   成交量创历史纪录 Volume and historical records

  炎热的7月,武汉不少开发商开始加强销售力度;一些看楼者屡屡遇到售楼员暗示:房价即将上涨,早出手早获益。“纯粹从市场因素来说,武汉楼市7月创出了历史性成交纪录。这个成交量几乎是武汉商品房市场建立以来,单月成交的新高。”中国指数研究院华中分院研究副总监李国政分析认为,市场价格回调及两次降息、信贷宽松等因素影响,拉动了整体销售。

The hot July,Wuhan many developers begin to strengthen sales efforts;Some see the floor often meet sales that part:House prices will increase,Early moves early gains。“Pure market factors from it,Wuhan market July makes historic trade record。This volume is almost wuhan commodity house market since its establishment,The biggest deal hit a record high。”China index academy sorting research, associate director of the central LiGuoZheng analysis thinks,The market price callback and two cuts、Credit loose and other factors,Pull the overall sales。

  但7月武汉楼市推盘速度有所减缓,共有19个项目,累计供应4166套,销售2179套。李国政说,成交创出新高,还有一个主要原因,就是企业存货销售加快。市场上已经出现以现房或准现房销售。这是市场库存较高的一个标志,也意味着楼市后期消化库存的进程仍将持续。

But July wuhan market push dish speed slow down,19 project,Accumulative total supply 4166 sets,Sales of 2179。LiGuoZheng said,Record new historical highs clinch a deal,And one of the main reasons,Is the enterprise to speed up the stock sales。The market has appeared to show a house or must show a house sales。This is the market stock higher a sign,Also means the process of digestion inventory late property market will continue。

  
价格环比涨幅0.1%以内 Price annulus comparing or 0.1% less than

  今年以来,房地产市场发生新变化,地方楼市政策频繁微调,重点城市成交量大幅反弹。武汉楼市在成交创出新高的同时,房价会不会大涨?

Since this year,The real estate market new change happen,Local housing policy frequent fine-tuning,Key city volume rebound sharply。Wuhan property market clinch a deal in fresh record highs at the same time,House prices will soar?

  百城价格指数对北京等十大城市的全样本调查数据显示,7月十大城市住宅均价环比上涨0.27%。武汉涨幅在0.1%以内。“从全市来看,由于去年10月份之后房价连续下降7个月,到今年6月份开始稳定,目前的价格仍然要低于去年底的水平。”李国政认为,市场涨价无外乎三种情况。

Stores in Beijing and the price index of the ten cities all the sample survey data show,July 10 big city residential average annulus comparing rose 0.27%。Wuhan or within 0.1%。“From the city to see,Due in October last year after house prices decline for seven months,June to this year began to stabilize,The current price is still lower than at the end of last year to level。”LiGuoZheng think,Market price outside notting three circumstances。

  一是低价入市项目热销,后续存货不多,资金压力不大,便提高价格以增加利润。因此,先降价的先涨价。

A project is low market demand,Follow-up inventory not much,Little financial pressure,Will raise prices to increase profits。so,Price rises in price first first。

  二是低迷时候推出低价、特价产品促销,一旦市场回暖,则推出楼王、一线景观等优质产品。这种情况目前多见于一些高档项目中,如世贸锦绣长江,几次推盘产品涵盖每平方米8000至18000元区间。

2 it is introduced when downturn low、Special offer product promotion,Once the market warms up,Launch floor is the king、A line landscape quality products。This kind of situation at present in some high-end projects,Such as the wto splendid the Yangtze river,A few times push products cover plate every square metre 8000 to 18000 yuan of interval。

  三是“买涨不买跌”的消费心理仍然存在。针对仍在观望的消费者,一些项目会做策略性价格小幅提升,以刺激买家出手。

Three is“Buy or not to buy up fall”The consumption psychology still exists。Still watching for the consumer,Some items will do a strategic price ascension,To stimulate buyers make moves。

  
房价不会暴涨 Soaring prices do not

  7月下旬以来,国务院派出8个督查组奔赴16个省市调研房地产调控政策实施情况。督查组认为,湖北省扎实贯彻落实调控政策,房地产市场保持了平稳健康发展,房价快速上涨势头得到遏制,总体情况是好的,但房价上涨压力依然存在。

Since late July,The state council DuZhaZu sent 8 a 16 provinces and cities to survey control policy implementation of real estate。DuZhaZu think,Hubei province to implement the control policies solid,The real estate market to keep the stable healthy development,House prices rise quickly momentum contained,The overall situation is good,But house prices rising pressure still exists。

  我省则表示,要按照中央要求,对房地产市场调控方向不改变,态度不动摇,力度不放松,确保房地产市场健康发展。

Our province, said,According to the requirements,On the real estate market regulation direction not to change,Attitude not be moved,Strength not to relax,To ensure the healthy development of the real estate market。

  在调控延续的背景下,限购等政策松动希望不大。李国政认为,从总体上看,楼市库存依然较高,很多企业资金压力没有缓解,在9月前,楼市面临新一波上市高峰,因而价格出现大涨的可能性基本排除。此外,房产管理部门对于每个项目的不同批次产品都要进行预售监管,甚至最高涨幅都有具体要求,也就是说,从技术层面,这一波楼价再难复制2009年的涨幅。

In the background of regulation continue,限购 policies loose the hope is not big。LiGuoZheng think,Generally speaking,Housing stocks remained high,Many enterprise funds failed to relieve pressure,In September before,Faced with a new wave of listed property market peak,So prices surged to appear the possibility of basic ruled out。In addition,House property management department for each project different batches of product to open to booking a regulation,Even the highest or have specific requirements,That is,From the technical level,The wave of property prices to rise in 2009 to copy。



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