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7月北京住宅成交近3万套 反季热销触碰调控神经--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-19

  在刚刚过去的7月,全国楼市成交量再度走高,据北京中原市场研究部统计数据显示,7月全国主要的54个城市签约量近28万套,比创造近2年新高的6月又上涨了7%。

In just the past seven months,The national property market turnover once again go high,According to the Beijing central plains market research department statistics show,July the national major 54 city signing quantity nearly 280000 sets,Rather than creating nearly 2 years high June and rose 7%。

  楼市淡季热销的局面在北京则表现得最为显著,据统计,7月份,北京新房和二手房累计成交达29089套,而机构预测,8月拟入市的34个项目可能将出现涨价。市场的表现也引起了决策层的重视,有媒体近日曝出,北京住建委曾约谈开发商以控涨价。

The property market situation of off-season sell like hot cakes in Beijing is behaved most significant,According to the statistics,In July,Beijing bridal chamber and second-hand housing accumulative clinch a deal 29089 sets,And institutions forecast,August quasi listed 34 projects could rise in price will appear。The performance of the market has caused the attention of decision-making,Media recently to expose,Beijing is built appoint had lived questioning developers to control prices。

  

新房成交维持高位 均价微跌 Bridal chamber to clinch a deal to maintain high average micro drop

  在第二轮降息政策的利好下,北京新房成交数据依然维持在年内高位。北京中原市场研究部统计数据显示,7月北京新建住宅签约套数为11959套。相比余温犹存的“热六月”,7月新房成交的数量微跌0.2%,成交均价也由6月的21726元跌至20551元。

In the second round of rate cut policy under the good,Beijing bridal chamber clinch a deal the data still maintain in the years high。Beijing central plains market research department statistics show,July Beijing new housing contract number sets for 11959 sets。Compared with the highlights of culture“Hot June”,July bridal chamber to clinch a deal the quantity of micro fell 0.2%,The price is 21726 yuan by June dropped to 20551 yuan。

  不过,新房成交量价环比微跌丝毫不影响楼市回暖的步伐,以至于华远地产董事长任志强近期在出席某论坛时指出:“房地产最坏的时期已经过去,且今后仍然有发展空间。”事实上,累计前7月,北京新建住宅签约60339套,这比11年同期的52839套上涨了14.2%。

but,New home sales price link micro fell a bit does not affect the property market warms up in the pace,That huayuan real estate chairman RenZhiJiang recently attended a BBS out:“Real estate the worst period is over,And in the future there is still space for development。”In fact,Accumulated before July,Beijing housing 60339 sets of new signing,More than 11 years in the same period of 52839 sets of rose 14.2%。

  由此可见,楼市筑底已成了业界普遍的共识。对于新房成交持续回稳,北京中原市场研究部总监张大伟分析认为,连续1个多月的两次降息以及金融政策的调整直接促使了更多的购房者入市,而今年以来地王频现、微调频出也加剧了市场的恐慌情绪。

Thus it can be seen,The property market has become the common building bottom industry consensus。Clinch a deal for bridal chamber for stabilising,Beijing central plains market research department director ZhangDaWei analysis think,For more than one month of two cuts and financial policy adjustment direct prompted more buyers entering the market,And since this year to WangPinXian、Fine PinChu also exacerbate the market panic。

  

二手住宅破1.7万套 创18个月新高 Second-hand house broken 17000 sets and 18 months highs

  单从新房成交来看,7月的数据表现更像是房企在6月实施“降价跑量”策略的延续。值得注意的是,据北京住建委官网的数据显示,7月31日,北京二手房单日成交高达916套,和讯房产累计计算得出,7月份北京二手住宅网签总量为17130套,这一数字创下了自2011年2月份来的网签量新高。

Single from the bridal chamber to clinch a deal,July data show more like room enterprises in June implementation“Run quantity price”Strategy the continuation of。It is important to note that,According to Beijing to live is built appoint data display,On July 31,,Beijing second-hand house single day clinch a deal as much as 916 sets,With dispatch property calculated total,July, Beijing second-hand house net sign for 17130 sets of the total amount,The digital a from February 2011 to sign the net amount highs。

  虽然这一成交量与限购前相比依然有很大差距,但同比去年7月的网签量上涨了8成。成交量的大幅回升自然加剧了房价将要反弹的市场预期。

Although the volume and restricted than before still have the very big disparity,But in July last year compared to the net amount of signing up to 8。Volume rebounded sharply natural exacerbated the house prices will rebound market expectations。

  对于房价后期的走势,伟业我爱我家集团控股公司副总裁胡景晖认为,市场将延续供大于求,未来房价不会大幅反弹,购房人切莫受恐慌性购房情绪影响,还是要冷静客观理性出手购房。

For house prices later trend,Cause I love my family group holding company vice President HuJingHui think,The market will continue to supply exceeds demand,The future prices do not rebound sharply,The person that buy a house do not suffer panic buys emotional impact,Still want to calm and objective reason the shots。

  

8月34个拟入市楼盘 恐量价齐涨 August 34 quasi city building fear of quantity price drawn up

  7月为第三季度楼市筑造了高台,8月的淡季规律恐也将被打破。就在北京楼市成交连涨3个月后,开发企业的资金压力有所缓解,而前期积压的库存也得以消化,据悉,进入8月,房企推盘速度进一步加快。

July for the third quarter form market place,August off-season law fear will break down。In the Beijing property market clinch a deal even rise after 3 months,The development enterprise's fund pressure to ease,The early and the backlog of inventory also is able to digest,It is reported,Into August,Room to push plate speed further speed up。

  据亚豪机构统计数据显示,8月,北京共有34个项目计划入市,创年内月度开盘量新高。共有包括金域缇香、路劲?世界城、金融街?融汇等13个纯新盘,占比近四成,创年内新高。此外还有金茂府、鸿坤曦望山、联港幸福湾、富力丹麦小镇等21个老项目后期。

According to the statistical data shows that Howard institutions,August,Beijing has 34 project entering the market,Gen years monthly opening quantity highs。There are including JinYu twip incense、Road strength?The world city、Financial street?With 13 pure XinPan,Accounted for nearly forty percent ratio,Gen years high。In addition to JinMaoFu、Lookout mountain dongxi hongkun、League port happiness bay、FuLi Danish town for an old project later。

  成交结构的变化拉低了7月北京楼市的成交均价,但不可否认大量在售项目正在热销推动下回涨价格,亚豪机构副总经理任启鑫分析指出,特别在6、7月份,北京楼盘涨价现象持续增多,再加上近期土地交易频频,当前购房者开始出现“追涨”心态。

Clinch a deal structure changes down the July Beijing property market to clinch a deal the average price,There is no denying that a lot in the sale items are being driven HuiZhang price sell like hot cakes,The hao institutions deputy general manager RenQiXin analysis,Especially in 6、In July,Beijing building price phenomenon continued increase,Combined with the recent land transaction again and again,The current buyers began to appear“Chase after go up”mentality。

  

开发商被约谈 调控或加码 Developers have been questioning regulation or pyramid

  为了实现稳增长的目标,政策一直都被视作“言紧实松”,虽然官方近来频繁的表态以坚定调控的信心,但随着“降准与降息”的预期再度加强,市场又开始出现了房价反弹的情绪。对此,有业内人士表示,由于可能直接影响到调控的最终成果,对接“金九银十”的八月将显得尤为关键。

In order to realize the steady growth of the target,Policy has been was considered“Speech tight pine”,Although the official recently frequent comment to firm the confidence of the regulation,But as“Drop must cut interest rates and”Expected to strengthen again,The market began to appear the price rebound emotions。this,The personage inside course of study says,Because could directly affect the final results of control,butt“Gold nine silver ten”The August will be more important。

  不过,在伟业顾问市场发展部总经理袁阳看来,从近期地王的诞生、地方政府的政策微调、各地的快速回暖情况,政府均做出了快速地反映。对楼市的一举一动可以说是实时把控,若市场继续大幅上涨,并带动房价回调上涨的情况出现的话,政府还将出台更严厉的调控措施,不会将初见成效的调控效果功亏一篑的。

but,In the great consultant market development department general manager YuanYang looks,From the birth of left in the near future、The local government policy fine-tuning、Around the rapid milder conditions,The government are made fast to reflect。For the property market movements can be said to be the real time control,If the market continues to rise sharply,And bring prices callback rising situation words,The government will also issued more stringent control measures,Will not be produced results control effect of the lip。

  然而,据和讯房产不完全统计,2011年下半年以来,累计已有40个城市对政策做了“微调”,主要手段包括调整普通住房标准、提高公积金贷款额度、实施购房补贴或购房落户政策等。其中,多数地方微调政策都被予以默认。

however,According to incomplete statistics with dispatch property,Since the latter half of 2011,Accumulated more than 40 cities on the policy“trimming”,The main methods include adjustments to the ordinary housing standard、Improve the provident fund loans、The implementation of the subsidies or in policy, etc。the,Most local fine-tuning policy are to be the default。

  好在政策还不至于“打左灯,向右拐”,对于调控所面临的严峻形势,北京住建委相关负责人最近就表示:“对于5、6月份市场所谓量价齐升这一情况,我们及时采取了对企业的约谈和告诫,在商品房预售审批过程中进行价格引导和监督。”

That policy has not“Play left lamp,Turn right”,To control facing the grim situation,Beijing live appoint relevant person in charge said recently:“For 5、June the market price and volume JiSheng the situation,We promptly took to the enterprise interviews and warned,In the commodity house opens to booking a examination and approval process price guidance and supervision。”

  对此,某媒体人在微博上表示,调查调控成果不容乐观,此前人民日报发文表示“现阶段必然经历阵痛”,似有预警味道。预计下半年恐有严政推出,一是扩围房产税,二取消预售制度。

this,A media people in micro bo said,Survey results of regulation is not optimistic,After the People's Daily outgoing mail said“At the present stage must experience pain”,Like a warning taste。Is expected to have the second half of YanZheng out fear,One is to spread around the house property tax,Two cancel pre-sale system。



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