随着本月6日最后一个督查组结束工作，本轮国务院督查工作正式宣告收官。据悉，各个督查组近日陆续回京，督查情况将于近期形成报告并上报国务院。业界普遍认为，未来出台的新政内容和出台时机，将在很大程度上视这份报告而定。

This month 6, with the last DuZhaZu finish work，This work of supervision under the state council an officially declared。It is reported，Each DuZhaZu recently were back to Beijing，Supervision in the near future will be formed reports and submitted to the state council。Industry is generally believed that，The future on the introduction of the New Deal content and on time，Will to a large extent depends on the report and decide。

　　目前中央仍手握数项储备政策，包括提高二手房交易税、房产税试点扩容、预售制度微调等。若出台新政，则将在以强化现有政策执行为主的同时，推出部分新的调控手段，包括问责制等。而新政的出台时机，很有可能避开“金九银十”的交易旺季，在本月内落定。

At present the central still holding several reserve policy，Include improving second-hand house transaction tax、Housing property tax pilot flash、Open to booking system adjustment, etc。If the New Deal on，It will be to strengthen the existing policy implementation is given priority to at the same time，Introduced some new control method，Including the accountability system, etc。And the New Deal appearing time，Is likely to avoid“Gold nine silver ten”Trading season，Settled within this month。

　　调控效果获肯定，但并不代表100%满意

Control effect was sure，But does not represent 100% satisfaction

　　作为近年来规模最大、规格最高的一次督查，本次8个督查组分别由发改委、住建部、国土部、央行、银监会、财政部、国税总局、监察部等8个部门的官员带队。这8个部门均与房地产调控有着密切关系，若出台国家层面的新政，需要这些部委共同参与。

As the largest scale in recent years、Specifications of the highest a superintendent himself，The eight DuZhaZu by the development and reform commission (NDRC) respectively、Live JianBu、Land department、The central bank、The CBRC、The ministry of finance、National tax administration、Ministry of supervision, eight officials before。The eight departments shall and real estate regulation has the close relation，If the New Deal on the national level，Need these ministries and commissions in common。

　　从督查组对16个省市的督查结论来看，各省市的调控成效均获肯定，但同时也指出了个别省市存在的问题。其中，在肯定“广州的限购限贷政策执行情况较好，楼市情况较为稳定”的同时，提出要“对江门落实调控政策出现的偏差与不到位之处，督促进行整改”。

DuZhaZu from 16 provinces and cities to protecting conclusion，All the provinces and control effect have been sure，But at the same time also points out the existing problems of individual provinces and cities。the，It is“Guangzhou is restricted limit credit policy implementation is better，The property market situation is relatively stable”At the same time，Puts forward to want to“Jiangmen to carry out regulation policy appeared deviation and does not reach the designated position place，Urge to undertake rectifying and reform”。

　　但在多数业内人士看来，这并不意味着此次督查将皆大欢喜地结束。“"肯定"并不代表100%满意，也不意味着政策不会做出调整。”中国房地产学会副会长陈国强表示，督查中发现的问题，并不会直接表达出来，而将以报告的形式呈送中央。

But in most the personage inside course of study looks，This does not mean that the superintendent himself will end all's well that ends well。“"sure"Doesn't mean 100% satisfaction，Nor does it mean that policy will not make adjustments。”China's real estate society vice-chairman Chen guoqiang said，The problems found in the supervision，Will not direct expression comes out，And will do so in the form of report submitted to the central。

　　楼市反弹成共识，8月或是新政窗口期

The property market rebound into consensus，August or the New Deal window period

　　“调研之后出新政”被认为是此前房地产市场的惯有动作。多数业内人士认为，此次大规模、高规格的督查过后，8月新政出台的可能性极大。

“After the investigation and study the New Deal”After the real estate market is considered to be the constant movement。Most of the personage inside course of study thinks，The mass、After the high standard of supervision，August the New Deal on the introduction of the great possibility。

　　北京中原地产市场研究部总监张大伟表示，楼市反弹已成共识，虽然目前的反弹力度还在可控范围内，但是一旦形成过量反弹，调控政策的公信力将再次减弱，所以未来预调微调楼市的可能性非常大。8月的市场变化不仅会影响“金九银十”的状况，甚至决定着后半年的房地产走向。他还强调，在国民经济增速放缓的情况下，最近几个月，继续降准、降息的可能性非常大。如果房地产政策不从严从紧，调控效果存在明显降低的可能性。

Beijing central plains real estate market research department director ZhangDaWei said，The property market rebound has become a consensus，Although the current rebound strength is still in controllable range，But once formed excess rebound，Regulation policy credibility will be weakened again，So the future preset fine-tuning the possibility of the property market is very big。August will not only affect the market changes“Gold nine silver ten”condition，And even decide the real estate to later。He also stressed，In the national economic slowdown in the case，In recent months，Continue to drop must、The possibility of a rate cut is very big。If the real estate policy not strictly tight，Control effect to reduce the possibility of obvious。

　　上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭也认为，当前房价面临重新上涨的压力，不出新政则下半年必涨无疑。至于新政的内容，他表示，总体上可能以强化限购、限贷、限价等旧政的执行为主，同时推出少量更有针对性的新政策，增加抑制投资投机性购房需求的砝码。多数业内人士认为，若新政出台，未来楼市将明显降温，房价上涨的动力不足，市场反弹力度有限，或继续进入筑底阶段。

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate institute vice President YangGongXu also think，The current prices face the pressure of the rising again，A New Deal in the second half of the rose will undoubtedly。As for the content of the New Deal，He said，In general may be restricted to strengthen、Limit credit、Price and the execution of the old government give priority to，At the same time introduced a few more targeted new policy，Increase the inhibition of speculative investment weight of pent-up demand。Most of the personage inside course of study thinks，If the New Deal on，The future market will be obvious cooling，House prices rising power shortage，The market rebound strength limited，Or continue to enter the building bottom stage。

　　旁边报道

Reports next to

　　商品住宅存销比连续五个月回落

Save pin commodity residential house than five months back

　　上海易居房地产研究院8月8日研究报告显示，十大典型城市新建商品住宅库存总量为5650万平方米，同比增长17.68%，环比下降1.20%。十大典型城市新建商品住宅库存量连续三个月回落，但总体上要高于2011年和2010年同期水平。同时，北京、上海、深圳、广州四个一线城市，以及青岛、南京、厦门、杭州、南昌、福州六个东部二线城市这10大典型城市新建商品住宅存销比为10.1，已出现了连续5个月的回落。并且十大典型城市都出现了存销比回落的状态。易居研究院认为，按这一趋势，预计存销比将于未来两个月内（8月-9月份）逐步回归至“合理”（6-9）区间。（杨秋波）

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate institute on August 8, the study shows，Ten typical cities new commodity housing inventory amount for 56.5 million square meters，Year-on-year growth of 17.68%，Link fell by 1.20%。Ten typical cities new commodity housing inventory for three consecutive months back，But on the whole to be higher than the same period in 2011 and 2010 level。At the same time，Beijing、Shanghai、shenzhen、Guangzhou four a line city，And Qingdao、nanjing、xiamen、hangzhou、nanchang、Fuzhou six east second city this 10 big typical cities new commodity housing deposit pin ratio 10.1，Has emerged five consecutive months of decline。And ten typical cities appeared save pin down than the state。Enjoysmart institute think，According to the trend，Is expected to save pin ratio will be in the next two months（August, September）Stepwise regression to“reasonable”（6-9）interval。（YangQiuBo）