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机构报告:楼市短期内难言反转--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-12

  记者 刘畅

Reporter liu chang

  晨报讯 昨天,第一太平戴维斯发布二季度房地产运营报告指出,虽然央行连续两次降息,土地市场也出现一定程度回暖,但房地产行业下行趋势还难以在短期改变。第一太平戴维斯中国区董事长刘德扬表示,在限购政策不变的情况下,短期内楼市格局不会发生大的改变。

Morning news yesterday,The first peace Davis released in the second quarter of real estate operation reports,Although the central bank cut interest rates for two times,The land market also appears certain degree thaw,But the real estate industry trend downward in the short term is hard to change。The first national chairman LiuDeYang peace Davis said,In 限购 policy under the condition of invariable,The short term housing pattern will not happen big changes。

  数据显示,上海住宅用地市场溢价率已从一季度的0上升到二季度的29.2%,平均楼板价也环比增长了43%,达到4200元/平方米。作为楼市冷暖的前瞻性指标,土地市场溢价率的回升说明房地产投资有所活跃。不过,刘德扬指出,国内楼市成交量的略微回升,只是前期被挤压和累积起来的购房需求的释放;在目前继续执行限购政策的背景下,还不能说楼市已经开始全面回暖。他预计,政策层面,未来内地可能参考香港、新加坡等地出台税收方面的政策调节楼市。

Data shows,Shanghai housing land market premium rate has the quarter of 0 from up to 29.2% of the second quarter,Average floor prices also annulus comparing growth was 43%,Reach 4200 yuan/square metre。As the housing market changes in temperature prospective index,Premium rate of land market of real estate investment have active that back。but,LiuDeYang points out that,Domestic property market turnover slightly to bounce back,Just the squeezing and accumulated the release of pent-up demand;In the present 限购 continue to carry out the policy of the background,Can't say property market has begun the full thaw。He is expected to,Policy aspect,The future may be Hong Kong inland reference、Singapore on tax policy adjustment in the sector。

  二季度上海零售市场十分活跃。二季度有4个购物中心入市,带来37万平方米的新增供应,中心商圈首层租金环比上涨1.7%,达到41.4元/平方米/天。预计下半年将有7个项目入市,带来45万平方米的新增供应,全年购物中心上市量将超过90万平方米。

In the second quarter of Shanghai retail market is very active。In the second quarter of a shopping center four entry,With 370000 square meters of new supply,Business center, first floor rent annulus comparing rose 1.7%,41.4 yuan/square meters/day。The second half is expected to have seven project market,With 450000 square meters of new supply,Annual shopping center of will be more than 900000 square meters。



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