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观察:当前楼市是真回暖还是回光返照?--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-07-13

  

365地产家居网 杭州 Real estate JuWang hangzhou-365 home

  近期杭州楼市乱象频生,两级分化现象愈加明显:一方面,丁桥、桥西等板块的楼盘纷纷涨价,但是涨价楼盘仍旧一房难求,甚至出现漏夜排队,买不到房怒砸售楼处的情况;另一方面,西溪、临平等板块,有些开发商开始亏本卖房,而且亏本的幅度还挺大,但是仍旧成交惨淡。7月前十天的成交数据显示,楼市并未延续6月的火爆势头,开始冲高回落。

The recent market hangzhou mess frequency was born,Two levels of differentiation became apparent:On the one hand,DingQiao、Southwest in sectors such as building in price,But building a house prices still hard to get,Appear even LouYe line up,Can't buy a room to hit the wrath of the sales department;On the other hand,xixi、Equal plate in the,Some developers began to sell at a loss,And the extent of the loss still pretty big,But still pale clinch a deal。July 10 days before the execution data shows,Property market did not last June the boom of momentum,Began to blunt high fell back。

  【导读】

【reading】

  房价会涨还是会跌?

House prices will rise or fall?

  楼市回暖是真相还是回光返照?

Property market warms up is the truth or last gasps?

  下半年杭州楼市的走势到底将何去何从?

The second half of the trend of the market in hangzhou to be exactly?

这边低开那边涨价 杭州楼市进入复杂博弈期(资料图片)这边低开那边涨价 杭州楼市进入复杂博弈期(资料图片) A lower price on this side over there hangzhou property market access complex game period(Material pictures)

  

部分板块价格涨跌不断 Part of the plate price and constantly

  11号上午,九堡某楼盘传出降价传闻,小编第一时间联系了其售楼处。传闻得到证实,该楼盘即将推出3号楼的特价房,楼层为1-8层,共70余套房源。其中88.6平米的C8户型为一口价15000元/平米,89.3平米的C9户型为16500元/平米。
11 morning,At a price cut out nine building rumours,Small make up the first time contact the sales offices。Rumours confirmed,The project is about to roll out 3 floor of the special room,Floor of 1-8 layer,And more than 70 sets of houses。88.6 square meters of the C8 door model for price 15000 yuan/m2,89.3 square meters of door model for 16500 yuan/C9 square meters。

  而相比于该盘之前销售的3号楼90方左右高层房源19800元/平方米的均价,这次的特价房直降了4800元/平方米。

But compared to the plate before 3 of the sales floor 90 about 19800 senior party, expand the average price of yuan/square metre,This special offer room straight down 4800 yuan/square metre。

  时间向前推移5天,在7月6日,位于丁桥的某楼盘原本定于当天加推其13号楼,共120套房源。孰料,前一天中午,就有购房者开始在售楼处门口排队,人多粥少,房源被有优先选房号的购房者买走后,大量等待了一整夜的购房者加入了抢房的行列,最终大门被挤开,沙盘被损坏,开盘被迫中断。

Time goes forward 5 days,On July 6,,Located in a building DingQiao scheduled day addition push its building no. 13,A total of 120 sets of houses。ShuLiao,Day before noon,Have the person that buy a house to start in sales offices in line at the door,People much less porridge,Houses have the priority of the selected by the person that buy a house to buy left room number,A large waiting for a whole night of the person that buy a house to join the ranks of the room,Finally the gates were crowded open,Sand table is damaged,Interrupted opening。

  而这次推出的房源均价为10800元/平方米,相比于5月初该盘降价时的8500-9000元/平方米的均价涨价了2000元/平方米左右。

The average price for the launch of the suite 10800 yuan/square metre,When compared to the early may sale on this offer of 8500-9000 yuan/square metre average price of the price is 2000 yuan/m2。

  同一行政区域,有涨2000元/平方米的,有降4800元/平方米的,涨涨跌跌的乱局在如今的杭州楼市屡见不鲜。

The same administrative areas,Have up 2000 yuan/square metre,Have fall 4800 yuan/square metre,Up and down the mess in today's hangzhou common property market。

  365地产家居网杭州站资讯部主任戴一帆认为,涨降并存是目前楼市特有的一个现象。杭州3月份开始进入降价大潮,越来越多的板块和楼盘受到波及。有些楼盘前期已经大幅降价,并且销售情况良好、资金得到回笼。再加上楼市成交上涨、购房者购房心态出现变化,因此不少之前已经降价的楼盘出现了略微涨价,以试探市场反应。当然,在涨价的楼盘,有些楼盘却开始降价,这说明降价远没有结束,降价的广度还在扩大。现在降价的楼盘主要是以前摒住没降、去化不乐观的楼盘。

365 real estate JuWang hangzhou station house director clients.owing to wear that information,Go up drop coexist is the housing market a unique phenomenon。Hangzhou beginning march into the price,More and more of the plate and building dish is affected。Some of the buildings have slashed prices,And sales in good condition、Money been cage。Plus market clinch a deal to rise、The person that buy a house buys a room to change mind appear,So many before building the price has appeared slightly price increases,To test the market reaction。Of course,In the building of the price,Some buildings are starting to reduce the price,This shows that price is far from over,Price still widening breadth。Now the price is the main building before stop didn't drop、To change the building dish is not optimistic。

  

这边低开那边涨价 杭州楼市进入复杂博弈期(资料图片)成交罗盘会指向何方? Compass will point to clinch a deal where you are going?

  

7月前十天成交下降 杭州楼市是否冲高回落? July 10 days before down hangzhou property market clinch a deal is blunt high fell back?

  杭州透明售房网显示,7月1-10日期间,杭州市区(包含余杭、萧山)新房成交量(包含住宅和商业)2523套,算是一个不错的成绩。

Hangzhou transparent while nets display,July 1-10 during the day,The urban area of hangzhou(Contains yuhang、xiaoshan)New home sales(Include residential and commercial)Of 2523,Be a good result。

  不过这份成绩单与高潮迭起的6月相比,就要逊色得多。此前10天,也就是6月21-30日,杭州市区新房成交量高达4506套,日均成交450套。与这一数字相比,7月前10天的成交量足足下滑了44%。

But this transcript and climax on June compared,Will be far less well。After 10 days,Also is June 21-30 days,The urban area of hangzhou new home sales up to 4506 sets,Average daily clinch a deal of 450。And the Numbers compared,July 10 days before the volume of sales for a 44% decline。

  即便与上月同期,也就是6月1-10日3260套的数字相比,7月前10天的成交量也萎缩了23%。

Even with the same period last month,Also is June 1-10, 3260 sets of digital compared,July 10 days before the volume of sales is shrinking by 23%。

  对于此情况,有分析人士认为,不能单从这10天的的数据就得出杭州楼市已是冲高回落的结论,在新盘加推,市场心理的助推下,楼市还会是将持续回暖。
For the,Have analysts said,Not only from the 10 days of data that's hangzhou property market is already back at the conclusion of high,In XinPan addition push,The market psychology helped,Property market will be will continue to thaw。下半年楼市,仍将是政策与开发商之间的博弈下半年楼市,仍将是政策与开发商之间的博弈 Property market in the second half,Will still be policy between developers and game楼市下半年将会何去何从? In the second half of the property market will go?

  “只要大的调控政策不变,接下来的楼市仍将会延续上半年的局面。”某业内人士认为,配套规划比较完善的板块,整体价格或许会有小幅上调;而那些供应量庞大,竞争激烈的郊区板块,仍有可能出现价格战。

“As long as the control policy unchanged,The housing market is still will last for the first half of the situation。”Some insiders,Form a complete set are perfect in the planning of the plate,Overall prices may have a modest increase;And those huge supply,The fierce competition in the suburbs plate,There are still possible price war。

  而更有业内人士乐观地认为目前各方面在激烈博弈中,中央和购房者希望房价进一步下探,而开发商、某些地方政府以及已经拥有房产的业主却希望房价能够继续上涨,这几方的力量都非常强大,因此楼市仍然处在胶着状态。下半年,政府应该还会维持房价稳定。因此,直到明年上半年,房地产市场将仍然保持平稳状态,甚至进一步下探。

And more insiders are optimistic that at present in the fierce in the game,The central and homeowners hope house prices dipped further,But developers、Some local government and to have own property owner but hope house prices can continue to rise,The power of this a few party is very strong,So the housing market is still in a state of stalemate。The second half,The government should also keep prices stable。so,Until the first half of next year,The real estate market will still remain stable state,Even further dip。

  而双赢机构总经理章惠芳在接受365小编采访时也表示,当今楼市的主动权仍旧在购房者手中,楼市的供应量仍旧很大。虽然成交上扬,但是可售房源仍旧维持在一个相对稳定的高位,所以购房者完全不必恐慌。购房者不用太去理会开发商制造出的诸如排队、摇号、限时选房等制造紧张氛围的营销动作。即便是要下手买房,也应有自己对自身的定位,明确买房的板块与目的,这样才能在楼市中从容穿行。

And win-win institutions in general manager ZhangHuiFang accept 365 small make up interview also said,The property market in the hands of the initiative are still the person that buy a house,The housing market is still big supply。Although clinch a deal to rise,But while still maintaining source in a relatively stable high,So the person that buy a house is not panic。The person that buy a house so don't ignore developers make such as line up、Wave number、Limit choose room and so on the marketing action creates tension。Even if is to lay hand on a house,Also should have to own positioning,Clear the house plate and purpose,Such ability in the property market in through calmly。

  

【开盘怪相】 【Open quotation grimace】



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