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6月申城二手房成交1.93万套创新高--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-13
与往年6月二手房成交较为“淡定”相比,今年上海6月二手房成交明显发力。据统计,上月上海二手房共成交1.93万套,创下近17个月新高,环比增幅为20.3%,业内人士表示,这种淡季不淡的情形,从侧面反映出目前买家急于入市的心理,也表明季节性规律正在减弱。
With the previous years June secondhand the room to clinch a deal more“calm”compared,This year's Shanghai June secondhand the room to clinch a deal with the power obviously。According to the statistics,Last month 19300 sets of Shanghai housing clinch a deal,Set in 17 months high,Annulus comparing a rise of 20.3%,People in the industry say,This offseason not light conditions,From the side reflect now to the buyer market psychology,Also shows that the seasonal rule is decreasing。
外省市买家占比超四成
Other provinces and cities than super forty percent of buyers
商报记者了解到,上述情况在往年并不多见。回顾以往,在调控政策出台后的2010年、2011年的6月间,全市二手房成交均环比负增长,幅度分别为-4.6%和-7.3%;而在调控出台前的2009年6月间,成交虽环比增加,但幅度也仅为6.7%。
Business newspaper reporter understanding to,The above situation in previous years does not see more。Looking back,In the regulation policies later in 2010、In June of 2011 rooms,The secondhand the room to clinch a deal are annulus comparing negative growth,Range for-4.6% respectively and-7.3%;And in control by new between June 2009,Although annulus comparing increase clinch a deal,But the rate is only 6.7%。
21世纪不动产上海区域分析师黄河滔认为,6月二手房成交创新高主要有三方面因素影响,一是3、4月份刚需买家置业潮后,更多改善型需求被带动入市、需求结构也有所升级;二是政策面和信贷面近期释放积极信号,促使刚需买家入市意愿提高、节奏加快;三是贷款有所放松,虽6月央行贷款数据尚未公布;但买家中涉及贷款的套数占比已较4、5月间明显提升,便是上述势头的体现。
21 real estate Shanghai area HuangHeTao analysts think,June secondhand the room to clinch a deal innovation high there are three major factors,One is the 3、In April to real estate buyers just after the tide,More improve type needs is driven market、Demand structure will be upgraded;2 it is policy and credit face recent release positive signal,Just need to buyers entering the market will improve、Speed up the pace of;Three are loans to relax,Although the central bank loans June data have yet to be announced;But buyers of the involved in a cycle of loans than is 4、5 month is up considerably,Is the embodiment of the momentum。
黄河滔同时表示,虽4-6月间二手房成交呈现“节节上扬”态势,但三季度成交上行空间或将有限,主要原因还在于非沪籍单身人士被限购及由此产生的预期收紧。尽管如此,在总体价格保持稳定之下三四季度交易量仍有望保持在4、5月期间的相对较高水平。
HuangHeTao also said,Although four to six months to clinch a deal between secondhand the room appear“Rise successively”situation,But three quarters of uplink space or will be limited to clinch a deal,The main reason lies in the Shanghai nationality singles was 限购 and the resulting expected tightening。Even so,In the overall prices stable under three or four quarter are still expected to keep in trading volume 4、During the month of may's relatively high level。
值得一提的是,在6月二手房的交易中,外省市买家成交占比为41.7%,这些买家年龄主要分布在23-29、30-35、36-45三个年龄段,占比分别为30.7%、36.1%和20.7%。其中23-29及30-35岁年龄段买家受限购政策影响较大、且占比较高;故其一旦缺席、对成交量抑制作用将有体现。
It is,In June the secondhand the room deals,Other provinces and cities than for 41.7% of buyers to clinch a deal,These buyers age is mainly distributed in the 23-29、30-35、36-45 three age groups,Accounting for more than 30.7%, respectively、36.1% and 20.7%。23-29 and 30 to 35 years of age 限购 influenced by buyers policy、And account for higher;So its once absent、Inhibition of volume will be reflected。
成交均价环比降3.23%
The price 3.23% month-on-month drop
6月全市二手房成交量明显提升同时,平均价格却仍环比下滑。据悉,6月全市二手房成交均价为1.57万元/平方米,环比降幅为3.23%。但据了解,这种价格下滑应为结构性因素所致。
June the secondhand the room up considerably and volume,Average prices still annulus comparing to slide。It is reported,June the secondhand the room the price for 15700 yuan/square metre,Decreased by 3.23% month-on-month。But according to understand,The prices should be caused by structural factors。
事实上,6月全市二手房成交创新高之下,部分板块楼盘价格出现上涨、业主涨价情形。
In fact,June the secondhand the room to clinch a deal under a new high,Part of the building plate price rose、Owner price situation。
据21世纪不动产上海区域市场研究部统计显示,全市40个持续监测标杆楼盘中,6月末有近一成价格出现上涨,比上月末涨幅在10%以内;其余楼盘则是价格均与上月末持平,无楼盘价格出现下跌。
According to 21 real estate market research statistics show that Shanghai area,The 40 continuously monitoring the benchmarking of buildings,6 month price rose nearly ten percent,Late last month, 10% rise in than within;The rest of the building is prices were flat with late last month,Without building a drop in prices。
从调查的情况来看,涨价的情况主要分为两种,一种是近几月成交持续增多下,业主后市预期看涨,主动上调挂牌价格。如在浦东金桥(600639,股吧)板块的证大家园小区,6月大、中、小户型二手房售价为2.60万-2.63万元/平方米,比上月末有200-500元/平方米的不同程度提升。另一种则是挂牌房源日渐稀缺下,业主产生惜售心理、待价而沽。如在浦东塘桥的东方城市花园小区,中、小户型二手房售价为2.90万-2.95万元/平方米,比5月末有500元/平方米提升。
Judging from the investigation,The prices are divided into two kinds,In the last few months is a continued increase clinch a deal,The owner is expected bullish,The initiative for the price increase。As in pudong jinqiao(600639,Shares it)Considering the big home plate area,Six months、in、Small family secondhand the room price is 26000-26300 yuan/square metre,Late last month, than for 200-500 yuan/square metre of different level。Another is increasingly scarce, expand the listing,Owner rised produce psychological、occupying。As in pudong TangQiao eastern city garden district,in、Small family secondhand the room price is 29000-29500 yuan/square metre,5 month than there are 500 yuan/square metre ascension。
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