【财经网(博客,微博)专稿】记者 王熙喜 【Financial nets(blog,Micro bo)ZhuanGao】Reporter WangXiXi

　　住宅市场回暖的同时，商业地产（商业物业和办公物业）的热度也在慢慢升温。6月北京的商业地产成交量创18个月新高。虽然商业用途的土地成交依然比较低迷，但是商业地产的回暖趋势已定，市场或会进入火爆期。

The housing market warms up at the same time，Commercial real estate（Commercial property and office property）The heat was gradually warming。June Beijing of commercial real estate and high volume 18 months。Although the commercial use of land to clinch a deal is still low，But commercial real estate of buoyancy trend up，Market or will enter into hot period。

　　6月北京商业地产成交4540套，创18月新高，部分项目签约超八成。据链家地产市场研究部统计，6月北京商业地产成交4540套，环比上涨61%，同比上涨80%，达到2011年以来最高值。同时认购量也达到2696套，为近一年内新高。从项目情况来看，截至7月11日，2012年内有49个商业项目入市，其中35个项目位于五环以外。由于五环内的土地稀缺，郊区已经成为了商业地产的主力供应区域且项目价格均集中在10000元/平米左右。在6月成交高涨的推动下，部分项目的签约成绩不俗，如2012年1月入市的西堤红山苑，签约率达到81%，2012年3月末入市的鑫佰鸣中心，签约率达到了93%。

June Beijing commercial real estate deal 4540 sets，Gen 18 months high，Part of the project contract signing over eighty percent。According to the real estate market research statistics chain home，June Beijing commercial real estate deal 4540 sets，Annulus comparing rose 61%，Rose 80% year-on-year，To achieve its highest since 2011。At the same time subscribe amount has reached 2696 sets，For nearly a year highs。Judging from the project，By July 11,，2012 years and a business project market，Among them 35 a project is located in outside the rings。Because of the land within the five rings scarcity，The suburbs have become the main area of the commercial real estate supply project and prices are concentrated in 10000 yuan/square meters or so。In June the push of high clinch a deal，Part of the project contract performance not common，Such as the 2012 1 of the city where the west embankment hong shan yuan，Signing rate reached 81%，The end of March 2012 to the entries xin Andrew sound center，Signing rate to 93%。

　　链家地产市场研究部陈雪认为，近期商业地产项目成交火爆，特别是受到降息利好，6月开始商业地产成交屡创新高。认购量维持高位，说明这种火热的市场氛围有望在三季度得到持续。

House property market research ChenXue chain that，Recent commercial real estate project clinch a deal the hot，Especially with good cut interest rates，6 month commercial real estate deal reached record high。Subscribe to maintain high quantity，Explain how the hot market is expected to continue in the third quarter to get atmosphere。

　　陈雪表示，未来北京商业地产的发展将迎来以郊区为主的第二轮高速发展时代。2009年至2010年，郊区住宅市场过快发展使得其存在很大的配套滞后的问题，除去小型作坊，大型商务中心以及成规模的消费综合体尚处于原始状态。因此未来郊区商业地产的发展机会以及收益预期比城中要大很多。另外，住宅市场由于受到宏观调控的制约，投资性需求一方面对住宅收益预期有所改变，一方面被限购门槛阻拦无法入市，转投商业地产也是促使其成交大涨的主要原因。

ChenXue said，The future development of Beijing commercial real estate will have to give priority to the second round of the suburban high speed development era。From 2009 to 2010，Suburban housing market too fast development makes it there is a big lag the form a complete set，Remove the small workshop，Large business center and into the size of the consumption is still in a state of original complexes。Therefore the future of commercial real estate development opportunity for the suburbs, the income than expected a in the city。In addition，The housing market due to the restriction of macroeconomic regulation，On one hand, residential investment demand earnings forecasts for change，On the one hand were 限购 threshold block can't market，A move into the commercial real estate is also urging its deal, the main reason for the rose。

　　目前商业地产的热度尚未传递到土地市场。2012年上半年，商业/办公类地产一共成交12块，合计建筑面积125.5万平米，且均为底价成交，土地宗数和建筑面积同比下降均超过五成，与住宅土地成交类似。但是从1-5月全国商业地产开发投资额，施工面积和新开工面积等各项指标来看，商业地产市场的表现要远远好于住宅市场。

At present the heat of the commercial real estate has not been passed to the land market。In the first half of 2012，Business/office kind of real estate altogether 12 of clinch a deal，Total construction area of 125.5 square meters，And all for the reserve price clinch a deal，Land Pope number and building area of year-on-year drop by more than fifty percent，Residential land deal with similar。But from 1 to 5 months national commercial real estate development investment，The construction area and new commenced area, and other indicators，Commercial real estate market performance were far better than the residential market。

　　陈雪认为，商业地块成交虽然同比回落幅度较大，但上半年新出地块都能够顺利成交。成交宗数也高于住宅用地。受到销售转好以及开发商逐渐涉足商业地产的趋势，下半年商业用地的前景比住宅用地要好。另外根据统计局数据来看，商业地产投资与开发的积极性也在不断向好，再加上6月末成交量大涨，因此下半年，无论从拿地，开发还是销售等各个角度来说，商业地产向好已成定局。

ChenXue think，Business plot fell back to a larger extent although year-on-year clinch a deal，But in the first half of the plot to be able smoothly all new clinch a deal。Clinch a deal the Pope number also higher than housing land。Is good and developers gradually turn sales in commercial real estate trend，The second half of the land for commercial use is better than the prospect of housing land。In addition, according to the census bureau data to see，Commercial real estate investment and development of enthusiasm are constantly up well，Plus, the volume of end of June issuance，So the second half，No matter from take to，Development or sale and so on each point of view，Commercial real estate up well already in place。

　　（证券市场周刊供稿）

（Securities market weekly contributors）