“非本市户籍居民家庭通过补缴社保购房不予认可”，“单身外地人士首套购房受限”，记者日前从上海多个房产交易中心了解到，近日已相继执行这一政策。尽管上海市住房保障和房屋管理局称这是原有政策，严格执行住房限售政策没有变化，但由于此前并没有严格执行，这仍被市场视为限购政策再度收紧。

“The family through the city residents will not confirm that buy a house payment of social security”，“The first set of single non-local purchase limited”，The reporter has more than from Shanghai real estate trade center to understand，We have successively carried out this policy。Although Shanghai housing safeguard and the housing authority says this is the original policy，Strict execution housing limited sales policy without change，But the move and not strictly enforced，This is still the market as 限购 policy tightening again。

　　高端与低端住宅将受影响 High-end and low-end housing will be affected

　　记者了解到，截至6月27日，非上海户籍人士购房补缴社保已基本停止受理。上海目前执行的限购令明确，对于不能提供两年内在上海市累计缴纳一年以上个人所得税缴纳证明或社会保险(城镇社会保险)缴纳证明的非上海户籍居民家庭，暂停在上海向其售房。但此规定存在可以补缴的漏洞，因此被一些机构频频使用。

The reporter understands，By June 27,，The Shanghai census register personage buys a house payment of social security has ground to a halt to accept。Shanghai at present the execution of the 限购 makes clear，Can't provide for two years in Shanghai accumulative total pay more than one year individual income tax payment certificates or social insurance(The urban social insurance)Pay the proof of Shanghai residents family，Pause in Shanghai to the sellers。But the rules of the existence of filling capture loopholes，Therefore be used frequently some institutions。

　　另外，限购政策对于外地未婚个人购买住房政策进一步收紧。截至6月27日，各房产交易中心已停止受理外地单身个人购买住房。而此前外地人只要凭个人所得税缴纳证明或社会保险(城镇社会保险)缴纳证明都可购买。这是继2011年7月叫停非本地居民“补缴税单”取得购房资格后，上海楼市限购令执行再度收紧。据中介机构统计，此前有五成外地购房者是通过补交个人所得税买房的。非沪籍人士采取“一次性”补交一年个人所得税的做法，一度得到房地产交易中心的“默认”。

In addition，限购 policy for unmarried individuals purchase from housing policy further tightening。By June 27,，The estate trade center has stopped accepts the nonlocal single individuals purchase a home。And the foreigner should pay individual income tax by proof or social insurance(The urban social insurance)Pay the proof can buy。This is the 2011 July to stop the local residents“Payment of income tax”After purchase qualifications obtained，Shanghai property market 限购 to execute tightening again。According to statistics of intermediary institutions，There have been outside the person that buy a house is fifty percent of the individual income tax by fill to buy a house。The Shanghai nationality personage to take“one-time”Fill in the practice of a personal income tax，Once get real estate trade center“default”。

　　上海中原研究咨询部高级经理龚敏表示，限购政策加码实际上就是为了抑制需求的过快增长，从而抑制房价出现较大幅度的反弹。短短2天内，停止补缴社保的区域和停止外地未婚个人购房的区域有所扩大，限购政策对市场的影响范围也正逐渐放大。从影响力来看，限购只是阻碍了当前需求进入市场，而非真正影响需求心态，因此一旦限购放松，房价反弹冲动依然很大。

Shanghai central plains to the senior manager GongMin consulting research said，限购 policy in order to restrain demand is actually asking the rapid increase of the，Thus inhibiting house prices appeared more substantial rebound。Just two days，Stop payment of social security area and stop outside the area that buy a house unmarried individuals have somewhat expanded，限购 policy on market area of effect is gradually enlarged。From the influence power to see，限购 just block the current requirements to enter the market，And the real impact demand mentality，So once 限购 relax，House prices rally still has a big impulse。

　　市场人士分析认为，限购收紧对市场的影响最大的是高端住宅和低端住宅：能够买得起高端住宅的外地客户大部分是从商人士，他们或居住在上海或不居住在上海，但基本是不缴纳社保的；而购买低端住宅的多为做小生意的小老板，他们一般在郊区购房，也不缴纳社保。政策对中端住宅的影响有限，购买中端住宅的大多为从业人员，而根据规定从去年7月1日开始，上海市就业的外来从业人员和郊区用人单位从业人员已纳入城镇职工社会保险范围，距今为止正好一年，这部分人本身就不存在补缴的问题。

Market analysts think，限购 tightening on the market is the greatest impact high-end residential and the low end of the house：Can afford to high-end residential building of nonlocal customer most is business people，They live in Shanghai or not or living in Shanghai，But the basic is not pay social security；The low end of the house and buy more for small business for small boss，They usually buy in the suburbs，Also don't pay social security。To the house in policy limited impact，Buy the house in the mostly for the employees，And according to the regulation from last year on July 1，Shanghai employment of foreign employees and suburbs employing units have been incorporated into town worker from personnel of social insurance coverage，It just a year so far，This part of the man himself would not exist the problem of payment。

　　中高端需求入市回暖面更广 In high-end market demand warmed surface more widely

　　相关统计数据显示，6月前24天上海新建商品住宅成交69.8万平方米，较5月同期提升21.4%，6月总成交量有望超过5月成为年内新高。值得注意的是，部分项目价格回升幅度高达20%。有数据显示，6月前17天上海新建商品住宅平均成交价格达到23141元/平方米，18个月后重新站上月度均价2.3万元/平方米的高位，创2011年1月楼市调控以来的新高。

Related statistical data shows，Before June 24 days Shanghai new clinch a deal the commodity residential house of 698000 square meters，More may promote 21.4% in the same period，6 month total trade volume is expected to more than may be years high。Note the，Part of the project the price picks up rate as high as 20%。A data shows，Before June 17 days Shanghai new commodity residential average clinch a deal the price reached 23141 yuan/square metre，After 18 months on to monthly average 23000 yuan/square metre high，Then in January 2011 record high since market regulation。

　　今年5月下旬上海市商品住宅存量突破1000万平方米，达到近年来的高点，不过，此后全市商品住宅存量出现缓慢下降的趋势。截至6月21日，全市商品住宅存量已进一步降至999万平方米，重新回到了千万平方米以内。

In may this year, the stock of the commodity residential house late breakthrough 10 million square meters，To achieve the high in recent years，but，Since then the commodity residential house a slow decline for the stock。By June 21,，The stock has been further down the commodity residential house to 9.99 million square meters，Back in the must square meters less than。

　　汉宇地产董事总经理施宏叡认为，目前上海楼市的成交量已经恢复到2011年年中时调控尚未完全发挥效应之前的水平，但是尚未有进一步的突破，回暖幅度有限。从成交结构来看，今年1、2月上海均价在3 .5万元/平方米及以上的中高端物业成交比重仅在5%左右，而3月至6月份这一比重已明显上升至8%至10%，甚至较2011年同期6%至7%左右的水平仍有提高，足以证明中高端需求不仅开始恢复入市，目前楼市的成交结构已经逐渐摆脱深度调控时期的“特刚需”特征，回暖面更广，相应的成交上升的含金量更高。

Han yu real estate director general manager ShiHong 叡 think，At present the Shanghai property market volume has been restored to 2011 when year after year has not yet been fully play before regulation effect of level，But there has been further breakthrough，Thaw range limited。Clinch a deal to see from the structure，1 this year、February Shanghai all valence in 3. 50000 yuan/square metre and above in the high-end property clinch a deal only about 5% in proportion，And march to June the rate has significantly increased to 8% from 10% to，Even more than the same period in 2011 by 6% to 7% level still has improved，Sufficient proof of high-end needs not only begin to restore market，At present the property market has gradually get rid of depth clinch a deal structure regulation of the period“, just need to”characteristics，Warmed surface broadly，The corresponding to clinch a deal the value of higher up。

　　专家认为，低端楼盘是前期以价换量的主力，在达到回笼资金目的后，开发商开始回调价格。值得注意的是，6月上中旬，单价2万元以下的低端楼盘成交量与5月同期基本持平，而真正拉动成交增长的却是单价2万元以上的中端和高端楼盘，这一价格段的商品住宅成交涨幅接近于50%。而此次对外地单身人士限购，整体来说将抑制部分低端和高端住宅购买需求，进而也会对开发商提价造成影响。

Experts say，The low end of the building is to change the price of the main quantity，In achieve purpose of receivables，Developers began to callback prices。Note the，6 month occurrence peak，The unit price 20000 yuan of the following the low end of the building and the same period, the volume of may flat，But the real growth is the unit price of clinch a deal pulled more than 20000 yuan in the end and the high-end buildings，The price of the commodity residential house for clinch a deal or close to 50%。And the foreign land 限购 singles，Overall would inhibit part of the low side and high-end dwelling house purchase requirements，Then will the developers prices the influence。

　　德佑地产研究主任陆骑麟称，刚需购房者往往对于价格较为敏感，因此低端楼盘成交量进一步上涨受到了抑制。中端和高端市场中虽然也有部分楼盘回调价格，但其以价换量策略总体上还处在扩张阶段，因此成交量依然具有上升的潜力。虽然目前库存回落的趋势较为明显，但并不意味着开发商的库存压力得到了明显的减轻，如果价格回调的情况进一步蔓延，库存量再度出现反弹也不无可能。

Estate director lu's estimates on Charlie says，Just need the person that buy a house is sensitive to the price and often，So low volume rise further building dish is reduced。In the end and the high-end market, though there are some estate price callback，But the change in price of overall strategy is still at the stage of expansion，So still have the potential of the volume up。Although at present the inventory of oil is obvious trend，But this does not mean that developers inventory pressure has been obviously reduce，If the price of callback from spreading further，Stocks rebound again is not impossible。

　　下半年地方政策可能微调 The second half of local policy may fine-tuning

　　专家认为，最近的市场行情确实有回暖迹象，包括上海以及一些二三线城市，但这其实只是金融政策发生了变化，还不能算是房地产市场发生变化。如果鼓励性质的政策具有持续性，未来一段时间的市场是值得期待的，可能会慢慢有复苏的表现。但市场一旦回暖，政策方面也可能再次收紧微调。

Experts say，The recent market does have warmed signs，Including Shanghai and some two three line city，But it's really just financial policy changes，Will not be real estate market change。If the nature of the policy to encourage continuity，The future period of time the market is worth while，May the comeback performance slowly。But the market once thaw，Policy also might again tightened fine-tuning。

　　上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭认为，上半年政策总体仍紧，但已结构性放松，突出表现在首套房贷利率持续下滑，部分地方政府出政策保护刚需。绝大部分地方政府不再公布限价目标。随着住宅成交量的持续反弹，年中或下半年政策放松的可能性降低，即便是保持当前的调控力度，房价也会止跌反弹。但由于经济下滑超预期，官方原认为一季度触底，结果延后，所以下半年政策仍存在放松的可能性。尤其是地方政策，还将继续或明或暗地放松。

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate, vice President of the institute YangGongXu think，In the first half of the overall policy still tight，But already structural relax，Outstanding performance in the first set of mortgage rates continue to slide，Some local governments to protect just a policy。Most of the local government not release price target。As the residence of the volume of sustained rally，Years second half or less likely to relax policy，Even if is to keep the current control power，House prices will rebound reason。But because of the economic downturn than expected，The official thought quarter hit bottom，Results after delay，So the second half still has the possibility of policy to relax。Especially the local policies，Will also continue to expressly or tacitly relax。

　　中房研协技术服务有限公司研究中心总监回建强称，房地产业作为宏观经济的重要支柱产业，其地位和作用不容忽视。近一段时间以来，有一些地方在放宽公积金购房贷款方面对房地产政策实行了微调，对居民购买自住性住房起到了支持作用。随着中国政府将“稳增长”作为首要政策目标，估计地方政府会继续处理好房地产在“稳增长”与“保民生”之间的平稳，对自住性需求继续会采取支持政策，但从中央政府考虑，限购政策仍不会有松动。预计成交量将继续上升，但房价不会像2009年那样出现大规模、大范围的非理性上涨。只要国家不取消限购政策，继续限制投资投机性购房需求，房价大幅度上涨的基础并不存在。

Zhong research association technology service company research center director back to JianJiang says，The real estate industry as an important pillar industry in the macro economy，Its status and role cannot be neglected。Close for a long time now，There are places in relaxing accumulation fund loan to buy real estate in the policy the fine-tuning，For residents to live oneself housing purchase of a support role。With China's government will“Steady growth”As a primary policy goals，The local government will continue to estimate to deal with the real estate in“Steady growth”and“The livelihood of the people”Smooth between，The sexual needs to continue to live will be taken to support the policy，But from the central government is considering，限购 policy still won't have a loose。Expected turnover will continue to rise，But prices do not appear in 2009 as mass、A wide range of irrational rise。As long as countries do not cancel 限购 policy，Continue to limit the pent-up demand of speculative investment，House prices soar up foundation does not exist。