7月13日，国家统计局发布数据，二季度国内生产总值（GDP）同比增长7.6%，近12个季度以来经济增长首次破8，上半年GDP增长7.8%。（7月13日中国经济网）

July 13,，National statistics bureau data，In the second quarter of GDP（GDP）Year-on-year growth of 7.6%，Nearly 12 quarters of economic growth for the first time since the 8，GDP growth of 7.8% in the first half。（July 13, China cew has been）

　　对于这个刚刚出炉的经济数据，财政部财政科学研究所所长贾康认为，上半年这个龙头指标的表现尚在可接受的目标区间内。他同时表示，今后一段时间调控的关键是防遏偏快下滑，于稳増长和促改革中追求结构优化、质量提高。而面对GDP季度增速3年来首破8%，北师大房地产研究中心主任董藩教授却表达了另一种观点，他在自己的微博中说，上半年GDP增长7.8%，这主要是打压房地产市场的必然结果。理论与实践都能证明：没有房地产市场，保不住中国！

For this just released economic data，The Treasury financial science research institute jia kang said，The leading indicators in the first half performance is still in the acceptable target range。He also said，For a time control is the key to the decline of illegal partial fast，In steady 増 long and promote reform in pursuit of structure optimization、Quality improvement。And for the first quarter GDP growth for three years the 8%，Beijing normal university, director of the center for real estate research professor dongfan expressed but another view，In his own micro bo said，GDP growth of 7.8% in the first half，This major is to drive down the inevitable result of the real estate market。Theory and practice can prove：No real estate market，China would！

　　不能否认，GDP季度增速与房地产市场是有一定关联的。国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司司长盛来运在13日的新闻发布会上也介绍，今年上半年，房地产开发投资呈现增速继续回落、商品房销售降幅缩小的特点。他介绍说，上半年，全国房地产开发投资30610亿元，增速比一季度回落6.9个百分点，比上年同期回落16.3个百分点。全国商品房销售面积39964万平方米，同比下降10.0%，降幅比一季度缩小3.6个百分点，上年同期为增长12.9%。

Can't deny，GDP growth rate and the real estate market is quarter have correlation。The national bureau of statistics spokesman、The national economy of comprehensive statistics of priests and to transport in 13 news conference is also introduced，In the first half of this year，Investment in real estate development present growth continue to fall back、Home sales decline of narrow characteristics。He said that，In the first half，The national investment in real estate development 3.061 trillion yuan，Growth in the first quarter than a drop of 6.9%，A drop of 16.3% from the same period a year earlier。The national commodity house sales area of 399.64 million square meters，10.0% year-on-year drop，Drop down to 3.6% in the first quarter than，The same period last year for growth of 12.9%。

　　问题是，董藩教授说没有房地产市场就保不住中国，那么要防止GDP增速下行，是不是就非得用房地产市场来保中国呢？

The problem is，Dongfan professor said there was no real estate market could not keep China，So to prevent GDP growth to the downside，Are they have to use the Chinese real estate market？

　　扒什么饭就为谁说好话，从事房地产研究的，为行业摇旗呐喊也属正常。5月底，北京楼市新盘成交量接近万套，创下16个月以来的最高纪录，董藩教授就在其微博称“本人斗胆说一句：可以买房了。”当时，他出此“一石激起千层浪”言论的理由主要有：政策底部早已出现，30多个城市微调救市政策未被叫停，且政策与舆论对楼市的压力明显减轻，以及保增长政策会间接惠及房地产业。

What the rice is grilled a good word to say for who，Engaged in the real estate research，For industry lobby is normal。At the end of may，Beijing property market XinPan volume of close to all，In 16 months since the highest record，Dongfan professor in the micro bo said“I'd say a word：Can house。”At that time，He is the“A stone arise layer of the wave”The main reason of speech：Policy has appeared at the bottom，More than 30 cities fine-tuning help city policy is not to stop，And the policy and public opinion to the property market significantly reduce pressure，And the policy would be indirect benefit growth real estate industry。

　　那么，13日公布的GDP季度及半年数据，是不是给了董教授“地产保中国”理论以更为坚实的实践证明呢？

so，13, the GDP quarter and half year published data，Is not is to the dong professor“Real estate the China”In the practice of the theory of more solid proof？

　　7月，温家宝总理在江苏常州调研时强调，要把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策。他特别指出，目前房地产市场信息比较混乱，市场对房价走势的预期出现一些变化，群众普遍担心房价反弹。要毫不动摇地继续推进房地产市场各项调控工作，促进房价合理回归，决不能让房价反弹，造成功亏一篑。

July，Prime minister wen jiabao stressed in jiangsu changzhou investigation，The inhibition of the investment real estate speculation needs as a long-term policy。He notes that，Real estate market at present information chaos，The market prices of the trend is expected to appear some changes，The widespread concern about house prices rebound。Will unswervingly to continue to push forward the real estate market various control work，Promote the rational regression house prices，Never let the house prices rebound，Cause failed。

　　总理的坚定表态，是不是让一些专家们“寝食难安”呢？目前，房价并没有出现实质性下跌，与普通民众的购买能力和承受能力还相差甚远。从最高层到普通民众都普遍认为，我们并没有实现房价合理回归，楼市调控任务依然艰巨，不能轻易放松。经济数据稍有纠结，为什么就有人鼓噪给楼市调控松绑，用房地产来保中国呢？假如调控再次放水，房价再次高亢前行，房地产市场能保住中国吗？恐怕是中国的悲哀吧！

The prime minister said the firm，Asked some experts“losing”?？At present，House prices and not appeared substantial decline，And ordinary people purchasing power and to bear ability also vary greatly。From the top to the ordinary people is widely believed that，We didn't realize reasonable prices back，The task is still arduous market regulation，Can't easily relaxed。Economic data slightly entanglements，Why is some voices raised property regulation to relax，With real estate to the Chinese？If control water again，House prices high forward again，The real estate market to keep China？I'm afraid it is China's sorrow！

　　如今的中国房地产市场，不单单是经济问题，更是个政治问题。楼市调控与每一个百姓都有或多或少的关联，绷紧着普通民众的神经，更关乎政府和政策的诚信度。GDP季度增速3年来首破8%，有下行之忧，其中既有欧债问题、美国经济上升乏力等外部因素，也是中国经济自身发展到一定阶段的必然结果。我们更需要的是如贾康所说的那样，对各种内外矛盾进行自我调整，在“稳増长和促改革中追求结构优化和质量提高”。

Today's Chinese real estate market，Not just the economic problems，More of a political problem。Property market regulation and each people all have more or less relevant，Take up the ordinary people's nerves，More about the government and the integrity of the policy。GDP growth in the first quarter for three years the 8%，Has downside of sorrow，Both the debt problem、The U.S. economy, such as the lack of rising external factors，Is China's economy itself developed to a certain stage the inevitable result。We need more of is such as jia kang call it，To all sorts of internal and external contradictions adjustment themselves，in“増 stability and promote reform in the long pursuit of structure optimization and the quality improvement”。

　　不转变现有的经济发展方式，不尽早把像房地产投资这种粗放扩张为主的经济增长转变为以技术进步推动的经济增长，不好好利用经济结构改善来解决总量失衡和结构失衡，从长远来讲，中国经济恐怕还得徘徊或止足不前。

Don't change the way of economic development，Don't like as early as possible the real estate investment this extensive expansion of economic growth mainly for change in the progress of technology to promote economic growth，Don't take advantage of the economic structure improvement to solve the total amount imbalances and unbalanced structure，In the long run，China's economy and I'm afraid I have to wander or the back foot。

　　不要再把“用房地产市场来保中国”当成什么拯救中国经济的“灵丹妙药”啦！各级政府和整个社会应该树立一种更为科学的经济发展观，在稳增长中深化各项改革，充分调动市场主体的积极性，注重追求技术进步，以创新驱动型经济成长方式替代简单的要素驱动，关注民生福祉并构建服务型政府。我们更要在可接受的经济增速目标区间内，解决和协调好经济增长、民生福利与保障、财税与财富增长等各种目标之间的平衡关系，并做好相应的制度与政策环境建设。

Not to put“With the real estate market to the China”As China's economy what save“elixir”la！Governments at all levels and the whole society should set up a more scientific and economic development，Steady growth in deepening the reforms，Fully arouse the enthusiasm of the market main body，Pay attention to pursue technological progress，Innovation to drive economic growth type way replace simple elements drive，Focus on the people's livelihood and build a service-oriented government welfare。We can accept more in the economic growth target range，Solve and coordinate economic growth、The people's livelihood welfare and guarantee、Finance and tax and wealth growth of equilibrium relationship between the target，And do some system and policy environment construction。

　　今年3月的全国两会前夕，上海外国语大学国际金融贸易学院院长章玉贵在上证报发表文章称，把经济增长着力点寄望于房地产，既是工具性发展思维的体现，也是历史对各级各地政府责任感的考验，更是一种危险的游戏。正如章玉贵的看法，引领中国经济可持续增长的新引擎应该是深耕经济转型，切实加大对智能化制造等先导性技术的投入，着力提升金融服务与新技术产业化水准。

In march this year's national two meetings eve，Shanghai international studies university international financial and trade, dean of the college of ZhangYu Shanghai newspaper published the article says lies，The economic growth points hope on the real estate，The tool is the embodiment of the development thinking，History is to local government at all levels of responsibility to the test，More is a dangerous game to play。As ZhangYuGui view，Lead China to sustainable economic growth of the new engine should be deep economic transformation，Practically strengthen intelligent manufacture and so on related to technology input，To improve the financial service and new technology industrialization level。

　　董先生的“没有房地产市场就保不住中国”论调，或许可以用极短的时间、粗暴的方式把中国经济从低谷推上高高的云端。但若无视这其中的巨大风险，中国经济或将“走火入魔”，狂热过后，全社会也许是在“浮云”中裸奔，因为，这样急功近利用泡沫顶起来的中国经济根本见不到“实地”！（王振峰）

He's“No real estate market could not keep China”arguments，Perhaps can use a very short time、The crude methods of China's economy from the bottom on the high clouds。But if you ignore this one of the great risk，China's economic or will“Run amok”，After fever，The whole society is in May“Floating clouds”Streaking in，because，So with the top up quick foam China's economic don not seen“field”！（WangZhenFeng）

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相关评论： Relevant comments：

　　经济不会像股市那么糟糕

The economy will not like the stock market so bad

　　别拿“刚需”和“行政干预”说事

Don't take“Just need to”and“Administrative intervention”move

　　中国经济，到了说GNP的时候了

China's economy，The GNP

　　“稳增长”切勿荒芜“转方式”

“Steady growth”Don't waste“Turn way”

　　让房产担起更大责任是别有用心

Let the house property bear responsibility big ger ulterior motives