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7月上旬北京住宅网签量同比上涨44%--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-07-17

  根据北京住建委网站的网签数据统计,7月上旬(1—10日)北京住宅(新建商品住宅和二手住宅)网签总量为8862套,环比6月下旬下跌15.9%,与6月上旬同期相比上涨了44%,同比去年同期的成交量更是大幅上涨了86%。

Beijing is built appoint according to statistical data of nets sign website,Early July(1-10,)Beijing housing(New commodity residential and second-hand housing)Nets sign totaled 8862 sets,Annulus comparing late June dropped by 15.9%,And early June rose by 44% compared with the same period,Compared to the same period last year in the volume of sales is soared more than 86%。

  其中,7月上旬北京新建商品住宅(含保障房)网签总量为4365套,环比6月下旬下跌14.6%,与6月上旬同期相比上涨了55%,同比去年同期的成交量更是大幅上涨了60.5%。北京二手住宅网签总量为4497套,环比6月下旬下跌17%,与6月上旬同期相比上涨了34.7%,同比去年同期的成交量更是大幅上涨了120%。

Among them,July a Beijing new commodity residential house(Contain security room)Nets sign totaled 4365 sets,Annulus comparing late June dropped by 14.6%,And early June rose by 55% compared with the same period,Compared to the same period last year in the volume of sales is soared more than 60.5%。Beijing second-hand housing nets sign totaled 4497 sets,Annulus comparing late June dropped by 17%,And early June rose by 34.7% compared with the same period,Compared to the same period last year in the volume of sales is soared more than 120%。

  房价方面,根据伟业我爱我家(博客,微博)市场研究院的数据统计,7月上旬北京纯商品住宅(剔除保障房)成交均价为20932元/平米,环比6月下旬下跌了1.7%,与6月上旬同期相比基本持平,同比去年同期的成交均价下跌了8.6%。二手住宅成交均价为21860元/平米,环比6月下旬上涨了0.6%,与6月上旬同期相比基本持平,同比去年同期的成交均价下跌了13.6%。

In house prices,According to cause I love my family(blog,Micro bo)Market research institute of statistics,July a Beijing pure commodity residential house(Eliminate security room)The price is 20932 yuan/m2,Annulus comparing late June fell 1.7%,And early June compared to the flat,Compared to the same period last year of the price fell 8.6%。Second-hand housing the price for 21860 yuan/m2,Annulus comparing late June rose 0.6%,And early June compared to the flat,Compared to the same period last year of the price fell 13.6%。

  伟业我爱我家市场研究院院长陈亮分析表示,央行一月内的两次降息,虽然谈不上救市,但对减轻购房者的还贷成本还是起到了一定作用,在个别区域、个别楼盘、个别户型房价开始出现小幅上涨的情况下,贷款利率的下调,在一定程度上保证了首次置业的刚性购房需求的持续释放。

Cause I love my home market research institute President ChenLiang analysis said,The central bank of a month two cuts,Although not to save the day,But to reduce the cost of the person that buy a house payments or played a certain role,In some areas、Individual building dish、Individual family house prices start to appear a modest rise,The loan interest rate cut,To a certain extent the guarantee of the first-time home buyers the pent-up demand for release of rigid。

  但是,陈亮指出,7月上旬的网签更多的还是6月底递交申请的一批购房者,随着上半年购房需求的集中释放,下半年购房需求量的萎缩,6月份全市的一手住宅和二手住宅网签量环比涨幅已明显收窄,此外,开发区和西城区的二手住宅网签量已呈现负增长,丰台、大兴、石景山、房山四个区县的二手住宅网签量环比涨幅已缩减至10%以内。所以,7月下旬或者8月份北京住宅网签量能否延续5、6月份强势回暖的势头尚待观察。

but,ChenLiang points out that,7 month signed more or net at the end of June to submit application of a batch of the person that buy a house,With the release of pent-up demand concentration in the first half,The second half of the demand for purchase atrophy,In June the skill of the whole city residential and second-hand housing nets sign quantity annulus comparing increase has obviously narrow,In addition,Development zone and the second-hand housing nets sign xicheng district is already present negative growth,fengtai、daxing、shijingshan、Four districts (counties) of second-hand fang shan magmatic residential nets sign quantity annulus comparing increase has reduced to less than 10%。so,In late July or August Beijing housing nets sign can continue of 5、June reverting to a strong momentum is yet to be observed。

  伟业我爱我家集团副总裁胡景晖分析表示,由于支撑上半年楼市回暖的首次置业的刚性购房需求、积蓄已久的豪宅需求和人为因素诱导出现的短暂的恐慌性购房需求,很难在下半年持续,此外,由于近日中央再次强调楼市调控不动摇,坚决遏制房价反弹,坚决打击投资投机需求,所以下半年投资投机类需求不可能重返楼市;6月底中央坚决叫停河南改“认房又认贷”为“只认房不认贷”的新政,也使得各地方政府尝试放松对改善性购房需求的尝试暂时搁浅。所以,在这五大类购房需求难以在下半年给与楼市有力支撑的情况下,7月份以及三季度的楼市成交量能与五、六月份的成交量水平看齐,已是非常乐观。

Cause I love my family group vice President HuJingHui analysis said,Because in the first half of the property market warms up to support the rigid first-time home buyers the pent-up demand、Savings already a long time of a person of extraordinary powers curtilage demand and human factors inducing appear very brief panic the pent-up demand,It is difficult to continue in the second half,In addition,Because the central again property market regulation has not moved,Firmly stop house prices rebound,Strike resolutely speculative investment demand,So the second half of speculative investment requirements may not to return to the property market;At the end of June the central resolutely to stop henan change“Recognize room and recognition credit”for“Only know the room does not recognize lend”'s New Deal,Also makes the local governments try to relax to improve the pent-up demand for the sex try stranded。so,In the five kinds of pent-up demand in the second half to give property market under the condition of strong support,In July the property market turnover and three quarters with five、In June the level dresses in the volume of sales,Already is very optimistic。



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