2012年上半年，南京楼市成交量达到31132套，比去年同期上涨了6成多。与此同时，历经调控的市场开始有楼盘微幅提高房价。中央连续强调调控不放松，地王却重出江湖。是陷阱还是转机？是触底的反弹还是短暂的回暖？楼市总是迷雾重生。【直播：陷阱？转机？2012南京楼市务实高端论坛】

In the first half of 2012，Nanjing property market turnover reached 31132 sets，Rose more than the same period last year more than six into。At the same time，After the market began to have control of micro and improve the building house prices。The central continuous emphasis on regulation not to relax，But star Sylvester stallone。Is the trap or transfer？Is a touch on the rebound or is it a thaw？Housing is always fog rebirth。【live：trap？connecting？2012 nanjing property market pragmatic high-end BBS】

　　在市场踏在十字路口的特殊时期，365地产家居网联合网尚研究机构特别策划“陷阱？转机？2012年南京楼市务实高端论坛”，从南京楼市最权威、真实数据出发，点评上半年楼市风云，在数据研究的基础之上，探讨下半年的走势。

In the market on the crossroads of the special period，365 real estate home JuWang joint nets is still research institutions special planning“trap？connecting？2012 years nanjing property market pragmatic high-end BBS”，The most authoritative from nanjing property market、Real data of，In the first half and comments on property market，On the basis of research data，Discusses the trend of the second half。

　　大家最为关心的话题，下半年南京楼市的房价走势是看涨还是看跌？365地产家居网做了一份网络调查，93份有效问卷中，看涨58人，看跌7人，不好说18人。

You the most about the topic of，The second half of the property market prices of nanjing is a bullish or bearish trend？365 real estate JuWang home a network survey，93 valid questionnaires，Bullish 58 people，Put seven people，Bad to say 18 people。

　　南京大学商学院高波教授认为，现在全国平均房价上半年是上涨，但是涨幅不大。“一二线城市的销售，在整个销售当中开始上升，我们知道一二线平均房价是比较高的，所以现在我们看到的上半年房价的上涨，数字本身它是虚假的，真实的情况全国房价是平稳的。大家说一部分城市稳定，一部分城市房价小幅看涨。所以数字是上涨的，现实是下跌的，目前的房价相对是平稳的。”

Nanjing university business school professor GaoBo think，Now the whole country in the first half is average house prices rise，But or not。“A second city sales，In the whole of sales began to rise，We know that a second line is average house prices higher，So now we see the first half of the rise in house prices，Digital itself it is false，The real national house prices is smooth。Everybody says part of the city is stable，Part of the city a bullish prices。So digital is rising，The reality is falling，The current house prices are relatively stable。”

　　对于未来半年或者一年房价的预测，高波判断是房价看稳，稳中有升。“为什么看稳呢，上半年说房价涨了3.3%，但我们要看实际的房价。比如去年说房价涨了4%，但实际只涨了1%，今年上半年是上升的。”

For the next six months or a year forecast of the price of the house，GaoBo judgment is house prices look steadily，are。“Why look at stability，House prices rose by 3.3% in the first half said，But we want to see the real house prices。Such as house prices rose by 4% last year said，But the actual rose only 1%，In the first half of this year is rising。”

　　说稳中有升，原因在于，房价之所以会涨因为成本确实在提高，尤其是工资的成本在上升。而作为开发商是希望一直是稳定的，有一定需求的情况下，尤其需求在上升的情况下他不会再向过去一样有大幅的看涨，所以我觉得未来一到两年房价有所上升，但是为什么会看稳呢。因为未来一年半年时间内房价是存在稳定的基础呢，首先它有一定的库存量，像南京有超过四万套的库存量，市场由市场的不开放到加速开放，所以大家都会考虑入市的，这是第二个因素。

Are said，Reason is that，House prices are going up because the cost in really improve，Especially the cost of pay is on the rise。As a developer is hope has been stable，Have certain needs，Especially under the condition of the rise in demand he won't have the same to the past a call，So I think the next year or two house prices rose，But why would look at stability。Because the future within six months a year is the foundation of a stable prices there，First of all it has a certain inventories，There are more than forty thousand sets of nanjing as the inventory，By market is not open to the market to accelerate open，So everyone will consider the entries，This is the second factor。

　　还有一个非常重要的因素，就是说你开发商不开盘我政府开，什么意思呢，我们过去一年，或者今年保障房这块的量是有提升的，尽管保障房不进入市场，但是保障房对商品房这块也一定的替代作用。有一些人本来买商品房的，现在我属于保障的对象就不买商品房了，所以保障房从现实来看对房价都会起到一定的作用。

There is a very important factor，Is that you develop business not to open quotation I open government，What do you mean?，We have in the past one year，This year or the amount of the guarantee room is promotion，Although security room not to enter the market，But the security of commodity house this must also room instead of the role。There are some people who had bought the commodity house，Now I belong to the security of the object is not buy commodity house，So security room to the house to see from the reality will play a role。

　　“作为老百姓买房来说并不是入市赚钱，这是两个概念。我们要搞清楚，现在的情况是房地产未来的政策是不变的，另外成本增加是无疑的，有可能三四年都不一定赚钱，有人讲我不赚钱，我买股票还亏呢，买房子至少不会亏的多吧，这样也可以，买房子作为保值增值也可以。但是我们要有心理准备。”（365地产家居网 李琳滢）

“As people buying it and not entering the market to make money，This is two concepts。We want to make sure that，Now the situation is real estate future policy is invariable，Additional costs is out of question，May have three or four years or is not necessarily make money，Someone speak I don't make money，I buy stocks also kui，Buy a house at least not lose it，It is also possible to，Buy the house as a value can also。But we must be prepared。”（365 real estate home JuWang LiLinYing）