记者 张骏斓

Reporters on the ZhangJun

　　晚报讯 国家统计局今天上午发布 《2012年6月份70个大中城市住宅销售价格变动情况》，在新建商品住宅 （不含保障性住房）价格上，与上月相比， 70个大中城市中，价格下降的城市有21个，持平的城市有24个，上涨的城市有25个。环比价格上涨的城市中，涨幅均未超过0.6%。从上涨城市数来看，环比5月上涨的6个， 6月环比增加了19个。北上广三个一线城市全部环比上涨，其中，上海新建商品住宅连跌9月后首度环比上涨0.2%。

Evening news-the national bureau of statistics released this morning 《June 2012 70 large and medium-sized city residential sales price changes》，In the new commodity residential house （Do not contain affordable housing）price，Compared with last month， In 70 major cities，The price of the decline of the city have 21，The city has a flat 24，The rise of the city has 25。Annulus comparing prices in the city，Or have not more than 0.6%。From rising number of cities to look，Annulus comparing to the rise of the May 6， 6 y/y increased 19。North wide three a city rising all annulus，Among them，Shanghai new commodity residential house even fall after September first annulus comparing rose 0.2%。

　　国家统计局城市司高级统计师马晓明分析指出，近几个月来，在房地产开发商以价换量销售策略影响下，市场成交逐渐活跃。在成交量放大的同时， 6月份一些城市房价出现环比上涨。分析其原因，主要有三个方面。一是利率下调，购房成本下降，购房人的经济负担有所减轻，部分人的购房意愿增强；二是随着前期累积的刚性需求和改善性需求有所释放，特别是市场对房价走势的预期出现一些变化，担心房价反弹；三是部分楼盘在以价换量获得较好的销售业绩后，取消折扣优惠，甚至调高价格。由此可见， 6月份一些城市房价环比上涨的原因是多方面的，并且具有一定的特殊性。

The national bureau of statistics city department senior statistician MaXiaoMing analysis，In recent months，In the real estate developers to price change is under the influence of the sales strategy，The market gradually active clinch a deal。In volume to increase at the same time， Some city in June in house prices rising annulus。The article analyzes the reasons，Three main areas。One is the interest rate cuts，Purchase cost down，The person that buy a house to ease the financial burden，Part of people's purchase intend to increase；2 it is the accumulation of rigid with demand and improve sexual needs to release，Especially the market prices of the trend is expected to appear some changes，Worry about house prices rebound；3 it is part of the building to change in price is obtained good sales performance，Cancel the discount，Even raise prices。This shows， June some cities rising house prices annulus comparing many reasons，And has some particularity。

　　“就上海市场而言，还有一个原因就是购房结构发生变化，改善型客户增多。”同策咨询研究中心总监张宏伟表示，统计局的今日数据显示，上海商品住宅90平方米、 90-144平方米、 144平方米以上的面积全部都出现0.2%以上的环比上涨，而从6月成交数据而言，上海单价4万元以上的房源占比增加30%，这直接导致6月商品住宅的成交价格出现明显的增加。

“Shanghai market terms，And one reason is that buys a house structure changes，Improve type more customers。”Strategy consulting research center director with d said，The statistics bureau data show today，Shanghai commodity house of 90 square meters、 90-144 square metre、 More than 144 square meters of area of all appear more than 0.2% of the annulus comparing to rise，And from June to clinch a deal for data，Shanghai unit price 40000 yuan of above of homes than increased by 30%，This led directly to the June to clinch a deal the price of the commodity residential house appears obvious increase。

　　上海中原研究咨询部总监宋会雍也指出，最近两个月成交量连续拉升，带来卖家信心上扬，价格对应有小幅上涨。交易旺季来临的推动作用非常明显，加上近期连续降息，特别是第一次降息，诱发市场对 “救市”的浮想，有关于房价上涨的恐慌情绪再次抬头。

Shanghai central plains consulting research director song will also point out that harmony，Two recent months volume continuous pull litre，Bring the seller confidence up，The price should be a modest rise。Trading season role is very obvious，With the recent to slash interest rates，Especially the first time to cut interest rates，Trigger a market for “Help city”Tramped the，About rising house prices panic looking up again。

　　然而，对于此轮上涨，业内人士也认为，并不会有环比大幅涨价的可能，近期楼市将会持续在震荡局面中徘徊。宋会雍指出，连续第二次降息，市场对于经济基准层面风险有了更充分认知，对房价上行的背景产生担忧，加上中央对房价控制做了保证性表态，尤其是上海实际政策执行尺度近期连续收紧，实际政策环境趋紧向下。交易价格上行阻力很大，随着淡季特征的凸显，这一上涨后续力量将被很大程度地拦截。

however，For this round of rise，The personage inside course of study also think，Will not have an annulus comparing rises in price considerably likely，The recent market will continue in the concussion situation lingered。Song will harmony points out that，For the second time to cut interest rates，The market for economic benchmark level more fully cognitive risk，To the house up background has raised concerns about，Plus central to the house control assurance of the statement，Especially in Shanghai actual policy execution scale continuous tightening recently，The actual policy environment 'down。Market price uplink resistance is very large，With the characteristics of the off-season highlights，The rising power follow-up will be largely intercept。