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不靠房地产,政府如何保“钱袋”?--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-07-21
佛山今年1至6月地方公共财政预算收入总额为188.4亿,同比增长9.05%。增幅在珠三角排名从第1季度的末位上升至第2季度的第6位,总量排名重回全省各市的第3位。受房地产宏观调控、经济下行等多层因素影响,佛山今年上半年“钱袋子”来源结构上有新变化,税收收入占比下滑至80.12%,财政收入质量略有下滑。“钱袋子”增速放缓,财政收入质量下滑,与社会刚性支出增长迅猛形成收支矛盾,处于转型升级关键期的佛山,如何打响“钱袋子”保卫战以支撑下一轮的新发展?
Foshan January to June local public finance budget gross income for 18.84 billion,Year-on-year growth of 9.05%。Growth in the first quarter of the pearl river delta ranking from bottom up to second quarter sixth,Total return to the province of the cities ranked third。By real estate macroeconomic control、Economic downside and multi-layer factors,Foshan in the first half of this year“pocket”Sources have new changes in the structure,Tax revenues to 80.12% of than,The quality of financial revenue slipped a bit。“pocket”Growth is slowing,Financial income quality to slide,And social rigid spending growth form payments contradictory,The transformation and upgrading of the critical period in foshan,How to '“pocket”Try to support the next round of new development?
一批大项目税收拉动暂未呈现
A group of large project taxes temporarily pulled not present
自3月份以来,佛山市地方公共财政收入呈现出同比增速持续上升的特征,并在6月份实现今年首次赶超全省水平,呈现出前低后稳的趋势。预计佛山市全年财政收入将呈现“前低后稳”态势,但要完成全年增长10%的任务仍存在不少困难。
Since since march,Foshan local public finance income present a year-on-year growth rising features,And in June this year the first catch up realize level,Show the trend of steady low before after。Foshan city, is expected to financial income will present throughout the year“Low before the firm”situation,But to complete the annual growth of 10% is still there exist a lot of difficult task。
占比佛山地方财收最大比重的顺德区,税收收入仍未摆脱负增长,同比下降0.92%,据分析,顺德税收收入基数大,地税部门收入持续负增长,一定程度上制约了全市财政的收入增长提速。另外,税收收入占财政收入比重下降,说明财政收入质量略有下滑。
Accounts for the largest wealth place than foshan shunde district of proportion,Tax revenue is still not get rid of negative growth,0.92% year-on-year drop,According to the analysis,Shunde tax revenue base,Land tax section income continuous negative growth,To some extent the restricted the financial income growth faster。In addition,The proportion of finance income tax revenue decline,The quality that finance income slipped a bit。
上半年全市税收收入占公共财政收入80.12%,其中禅城区、南海区及高明区的税收比重都低于80%,显示出当前财政收入质量有所下降。佛山市委常委、常务副市长李子甫担忧,“一个地区税收收入占比公共财政预算收入超过85%才是比较优质的,我们现在排在全省第二,但比此前下滑。非税收入比例高,公共财政收入增长更多地依靠非税收入增长拉动,整体收入可持续增长的动力不足。”
The tax revenue in the first half of public finance income 80.12%,Chancheng district of、Nanhai and clever tax the proportion of less than 80%,Show the current fiscal income quality declines。Foshan municipal party committee of、Executive vice mayor LiZiFu concerns,“A region of tax revenue than public budget income more than 85% is better,We are now in the second row of the whole province,But than the previous downturn。High proportion of non-taxable income,Public finance income growth based more on non-taxable income growth pulling,The overall income sustainable growth of the underpowered。”
虽然佛山这几年转型升级取得较大成效,转走落后产能,引入大项目,但目前大项目还未能对地方财收有较大的贡献。佛山市财政局相关负责人坚信,未来一段时期随着大项目的投入和产出,将带动整个产业链的发展,对财税收入的贡献也将越来越大。
Although the transformation and upgrading of foshan years have made great achievements,Turn go backward production capacity,Into big project,But the big project is not the place to gain a greater contribution。Foshan relevant person in charge of bureau of finance believe,Future a period with the larger project input and output,Will drive the development of the whole industry chain,The contribution of financial income also will more and more big。
佛山处于转型升级的关键期,促转型、惠民生与城市升级等方面都需要财力作保障。另外,2008年金融危机时,佛山借款几百亿进行发展,现在进入还本付息高峰期,这一时期财政压力相当大。李子甫提到,财政收入指标全省上不去,就会将压力下到珠三角,广佛两市在整个珠三角财政中占了30%,因而佛山压力也是较大的。
Foshan is in of the transformation and upgrade the critical period,Promote transformation、The birth and city upgrade, huimin is need financial guarantee。In addition,The 2008 financial crisis,Foshan borrowing for the development of generation,Now go to servicing peak,This period financial pressure quite large。LiZiFu mentioned,Financial income index the couldn't get on,Will the pearl river delta under pressure,In the two cities guangfo fiscal accounts for 30% of the pearl river delta,So foshan pressure is large。
下一步,将通过压缩行政开支,加强重点税种的监控与新增税源的征管来保障“钱袋子”的增长。在非税收入上进行挖掘,一方面加大国土出让与收、储工作力度,增加市级国土收入,为增强政府财力发挥重要作用,二是通过加强公安交通违法罚款、出让户外广告牌经营权、加大力度推进小汽车吉祥号牌拍卖等措施,开拓非税收入,多渠道拓宽财政收入来源。
The next step,Will through the compression administrative costs,Strengthen the key categories of taxes of monitoring and new source of revenue collection to safeguard“pocket”growth。Non-taxable income in the mining,On the one hand and the land and the increase、Store work dynamics,The increase of land and income,In order to strengthen the government financial resources play an important role,It is by strengthening public security traffic illegal a fine、The outdoor billboard franchise、Intensify efforts to promote lucky date card measures such as car auction,Pioneering non-taxable income,Multi-channel broaden financial income source。
房地产税收持续负增长部分相关企业销售减三成
Real estate tax related enterprise sales continued negative growth part down to thirty percent
“我们对房地产依赖太严重,房地产一调控,我们就得感冒发烧,我们要改变经济过度依赖房地产的情况。”昨日的会议上,佛山市市长刘悦伦抛出这样的要求,即要减少房地产对佛山经济的影响。
“We rely on to real estate is very serious,Real estate a regulation,We'll have a cold fever,We want to change the economic excessive dependence on real estate。”Yesterday's meeting,Foshan city mayor LiuYueLun out for these,That is, to reduce the influence of real estate to foshan economy。
这一说法,在2012年上半年地方公共预算收入的数据波动中得到映证。
This is the one that,In the first half of 2012 local public budget income data fluctuation in get self-evident。
尽管增速逐月提高,增幅排名也有所扭转,但佛山地方财收受到经济下行、房地产调控等的影响已经呈现。
Although growth improve from month to month,Growth also ranked have reversed,But where the money by the economic foshan the downside、Real estate is already on the effect of regulation。
据分析,全市房地产业税收收入持续负增长,地税部门负责征收的房地产业地方税收收入同比下降13.3%,其中:营业税收入同比下降17.55%(房地产营业税同比下降29.6%),契税收入同比下降18.50%。
According to the analysis,The real estate industry tax income continuous negative growth,Land tax department is responsible for the collection of the real estate industry local tax revenue 13.3% year-on-year drop,Among them:Business tax income 17.55% year-on-year drop(Real estate business tax 29.6% year-on-year drop),Agree tax income 18.50% year-on-year drop。
据佛山市地税部门介绍,仅一季度,来源于房地产业的税收同比减收7.6亿元,拉低税收收入增幅10.3个百分点,是导致税收收入减收的主要原因。截至上半年,全市地税收入增长仍未能转正。
According to foshan land tax section is introduced,Only quarter,From the real estate industry tax up less 760 million yuan,Low tax revenue growth, 10.3%,To reduce the income tax is the main reason。In the first half as,The city land tax revenue growth still failed to become。
作为制造业强市,生产型企业税收是重要税源之一。
As manufacturing strong city,In manufacturing enterprise is one of the important tax sources。
受国家房地产开发宏观调控政策影响,房地产开发投资急剧下降,上下游产业受到连带打击。房地产与佛山20多个产业有直接关系,包括陶瓷、化工、机械、金属材料、家具、家电、纺织、塑料等,共涉及200多种企业。从关联度来看,房地产业与陶瓷行业高度相关,对金属材料、电器行业的关联度也达30%以上。据了解,蒙娜丽莎、中南机械等企业因房地产调控影响,销量减少30%以上。
National real estate development influence macroeconomic regulation and control policy,Investment in real estate development fell sharply,Upstream and downstream industry has been hit by several and joint strike。Real estate and foshan more than 20 industry has a direct relation,Including ceramic、chemical、machinery、Metal materials、furniture、Home appliance、textile、Plastic, etc,There are more than 200 kinds of enterprise。From the correlation degree to see,The real estate industry and ceramic industry highly relevant,Metal materials to、Electrical industry also the correlation of more than 30%。According to understand,Mona Lisa、Zhongnan machinery and other enterprise for real estate control effects,Sales reduced by more than 30%。
“部分企业承包因承受不了成本与利润的倒挂压力,采取了少接订单、减产、停产等措施来应对困境。”佛山市发改局局长周文称。
“Part of the enterprise contract for to bear the cost and profit pressure hangs upside down,Take the little receive orders、cut、Stop production measures such as react to them。”Foshan hair to the secretary of the relevant says。
相关
related
市长脱稿26分钟点评
The mayor improvised 26 minutes comment
城市升级项目下半年难在“钱不够”
Upgrade to the second half in city“Money is not enough”
政府会议大“瘦身”。昨日,半年工作会与前日完成的城市升级半年巡查总结会一起开,现场还设钟为发言定时。刘悦伦发言约一小时,其中有26分钟脱稿为城市升级“阅卷”,对走访的40多个项目进行点评。副市长许国对一些不理想的工程首先作“自我检讨”,并表示希望各部门加强协调,在面对问题时想办法,而不要简单说“不”。
The government meeting big“Thin body”。yesterday,Six months after the work and complete city upgrade sales open search half a year together,The site also speak for a clock time。LiuYueLun to speak for about an hour,There are 26 minutes for the city improvised upgrade“reading”,To visit more than 40 comments on the project。Vice mayor of some XuGuo not ideal of engineering first“Self review”,And expressed the hope that the department to strengthen the coordination,In the face of the problem with something,And don't simply said“Don't”。
据统计,佛山城市升级项目开工率六成多。许国提出,对实际情况了解不到位,对内部协调不及时,对进度督促不到位,影响城市升级工作的开展。“各部门要加强协调,前期基建程序应尽量简练。以后简单说"不",影响到工程进度,是要承担后果,要问责的。”
According to the statistics,Foshan city upgrade starts by more than sixty percent。XuGuo put forward,To the actual situation understanding is not in place,Not in time to the internal coordination,To schedule urged does not reach the designated position,Affect the city upgrade work development。“All departments shall strengthen coordination,The construction program should as far as possible concise。Later simply said"Don't",Affect the progress of the projects,Is to take the consequences,To accountability of。”
对于许国的“自我检讨”,刘悦伦赞赏其有责任心、敢担当。针对巡查项目,他认为佛山新城的“场面已经拉开”,“八年抗战”结束后加快步伐,接下来就是要抓进度和质量,“新城在城市升级工作上力度大,所有项目都有落实,并且打造的绿化环境标准较高,而佛山新城滨江景观带、禅城的农贸市场改造、南海平洲玉器街、罗村新光源基地及市场的改造升级的经验可以向全市推广”。“高明西江新城则可以从容建设,不一定像佛山新城这样的进度,关键在于打造精品;而南海要注重桂城老城区的改造,在道路改造步调上要与禅城一致,可以向祖庙路、沧江路"五位一体"学经验。”他说。
For the XuGuo“Self review”,LiuYueLun appreciate its responsible、Dare to bear。Search for project,He thinks the new town foshan“Scene has opened”,“Eight years war”After the end of speeding up,The next step is to catch progress and quality,“New city in the big city upgrades efforts,All the project has to carry out,And make afforest environment standard is higher,And foshan city riverside landscape zone、The city of zen farmers' market reform、Nanhai pingzhou jade street、ROM. Village new light source and market's base of the transformation and upgrade of experience to promote the city can be”。“A new town west can be easy construction,Not necessarily the progress of the new city such as foshan,The key is to make high-quality goods;And the south China sea to want to notice to GuiCheng the renovation of the old,On the road to reform the pace and zen city agreement,Can to ancestral road、Surging river road"Five integrated"Learning experience。”He said。
据悉,下半年,随着项目的全面启动开工,市、区、镇在城市升级上将面临资金紧张的状况。
It is reported,The second half,With the project started in full swing,city、area、Town in the city will upgrade funding constraints of the situation。
佛山人的钱哪儿去了?
Foshan people money where have you been?
记者观察
Reporter observation
房地产开发投资负增长,增速排名珠三角倒数第二,令人意外的数据,让人不得不对佛山财政的钱袋子产生担心上半年佛山地方公共财政预算收入增长9.05%,排名第6,正好是中游水平。
Investment in real estate development negative growth,Ranking second from bottom in the pearl river delta growth,Surprising data,Let people have to worry about financial pocket foshan produced in the first half of local public finance budget foshan income growth of 9.05%,Ranking sixth,Is just the middle level。
然而,这并非本文重点关心的事。佛山地方财政收入在珠三角一直都不算大户,如此表现并不出人意外,而且仍然保持80%以上的税收比例,说明当前财政收入趋紧的大形势下,以各种行政收费拉动财政收入增长的现象尚未开始恶化。
however,The focus of this article is not concerned about。Foshan local fiscal revenue in the pearl river delta has been is not large,So performance is not surprising,And still keep more than 80% of the tax proportion,Explained the current fiscal tightening in the income of the big situation,In a variety of administrative fees for pulling the phenomenon of revenue is growing has not yet been began to deteriorate。
真正值得注意的是,一直让佛山引以自豪的居民存款增长进一步降速了。数据显示,上半年佛山居民存款余额4994.33亿,这个数字仍然傲视全国地级市,但增长幅度却下降至6.1%,只位列珠三角下游水平。如果算上金融机构的本外币存款,9709.97亿元的增幅也只有6.5%。
It is worth noting that the real,Always make foshan proud residents deposit growth further slow down。Data shows,Foshan residents deposit balance in the first half of 499.433 billion,The digital still leads the national level,But growth rate dropped from 6.1% to,Only in the pearl river delta downstream level。If you include the financial institutions in the local deposits,970.997 billion yuan only 6.5% growth。
同样是金融危机时期,佛山人存钱的现象很明显。2010年、2009两年中的金融机构本外币存款余额增长分别为17.35%、26.2%,但直到去年,增幅突然降至7.7%。考虑到目前只是年中统计,2012全年增幅必然超过2011年,但与前几年危机时期的水平仍然有差距。连不少银行都承认,现在存款的人变少,不得不提高利率争夺存款。
Is the same financial crisis period,Foshan people saving phenomenon is very obvious。2010 years、In 2009 two years of local financial institutions balance growth were 17.35%、26.2%,But until last year,Suddenly dropped to 7.7% growth。Considering the current just years statistics,2012 annual growth will more than 2011 years,But a few years ago the level of the crisis stage there are still gaps。Even many Banks are admitted,Now the deposit fewer people,Have to raise interest rates for the deposit。
经济增长放缓或许对存款带来影响,上半年GDP仅增长6.7%为近几年少有的弱势。但城镇居民人均可支配收入增长13.5%,说明佛山人财富的增长没有被明显拉慢。
Economic growth slowed to deposit may bring influence,GDP rose by only 6.7% in the first half for the weakness of the rare in recent years。But urban per capita disposable income growth of 13.5%,Foshan people that the growth in wealth is not obvious and slow。
令人疑惑的是,佛山人的钱流向并不明显,上半年佛山社会消费品零售总额971.65亿元,增长9.3%,固定资产投资974.24亿元,增长7.0%,均低于可支配收入增速。寿险保费在新加入几家保险公司的情况下甚至出现同比下降9%,证券交易总额也同比下降0.42%。
The puzzle is,Foshan people money flow is not obvious,Foshan social total retail sales of consumer goods in the first half of 97.165 billion yuan,9.3% increase,Fixed assets investment of 97.424 billion yuan,7.0% increase,Are all lower than disposable income growth。Life insurance premium in new join a few insurance company appear even 9% year-on-year drop,Total securities trading 0.42% year-on-year drop。
房产被限购,银行存款增长放慢,买寿险的人少了,买股票的人也少了,那佛山人的钱究竟去哪儿了?
Property have been 限购,Bank deposit growth to slow down,Buy life insurance less people,People who buy shares in a less and less,The foshan people money actually where?
专题统筹:刘三琴 专题撰文:南方日报记者 吴晓芳 刘三琴 贾抒 实习生 梁国权 梁凯茵
Project as a whole:LiuSanQin writing projects:Southern daily reporter WuXiaoFang LiuSanQin jia express their interns LiangGuoQuan LiangKaiYin
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