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外报:中国房产调控寻求稳增长与调结构艰难平衡--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-07-23

  中新网7月19日电 法国《欧洲时报》日前刊出评论说,中国房地产市场近期的表现让外界又喜又忧:喜的是楼市的复苏对“稳增长”有促进作用;忧的是本就居高的房价可能就此反弹,冲击调控政策,增加风险。分析称,中国“房事”的解决又将是一个在“稳增长”与“调结构”之间寻求平衡的难题。

On July 19, local fars news agency reported France《European times》Recently published comments said,China's real estate market recent performances and excitement and let the outside world sorrow:Happy is the housing market recovery“Steady growth”To promote the role;Of care is the high in house prices could on the rebound,Impact regulation policy,Increase risk。Analysis says,China“sexual”Solution and a in“Steady growth”and“Adjustable structure”To seek a balance between the difficult problem。

  文章摘编如下:

The article re-edited the following:

  央行一个月内的两度降息,多个城市房地产成交量止跌回升,沉寂多时再度出现高价地块,部分刚性需求开始入市……中国房地产市场近期的表现让外界又喜又忧:喜的是楼市的复苏对“稳增长”有促进作用;忧的是本就居高的房价可能就此反弹,冲击调控政策,增加风险。

Central Banks cut interest rates twice a month,Cities, the volume of real estate reason to bounce back,Silent again when high plot,Part of the rigid demand began to entering the market...China's real estate market recent performances and excitement and let the outside world sorrow:Happy is the housing market recovery“Steady growth”To promote the role;Of care is the high in house prices could on the rebound,Impact regulation policy,Increase risk。

  那么,此次中国房地产市场的表现,是否会像2009年那样,在回暖之后走向过热,上演“大反攻”戏码呢?

so,The Chinese real estate market performance,Whether it will like it did in 2009,After warmed to overheat,on“Big counter-offensive”Repertoire??

  答案应该是否定的。且不论管理者对房地产调控的态度一如既往,单就央行降息而言,这一货币政策在出台时也刻意重申保持差别化住房信贷政策不变。房地产调控不仅关乎政策公信力,还攸关广大民生诉求以及经济转型,在官方主动调低今年经济增长目标、“稳增长”勿重走老路渐成共识的背景下,这场“史上最严”的房地产调控恐怕还会坚持下去。

The answer should be negative。And no matter the attitude of the regulation of real estate managers as always,Central Banks cut interest rates alone is concerned,The monetary policy in also reiterated that keep on painstakingly menas housing credit policy unchanged。Real estate control not only related to policy credibility,At stake is the people's livelihood and economic transformation appeal,In the official active cut the growth target this year、“Steady growth”Don't opted gradually into the background of the consensus,the“History's most severe”I'm afraid the real estate regulation will insist on。

  如此看来,中国“房事”的解决又将是一个在“稳增长”与“调结构”之间寻求平衡的难题。因此,我们不可过度解读高价地块的再度出现,但也不能忽视房地产市场的诸多困局。

So it seems,China“sexual”Solution and a in“Steady growth”and“Adjustable structure”To seek a balance between the difficult problem。so,We do not excessive reading land plot high again,But also cannot ignore the real estate market of many of the boat。

  解决之道恐怕在于,进一步明确政府在房地产调控中的定位:首要的当然是防止房地产泡沫对整体经济安全的威胁,谨防房地产对经济的要挟;另外要防止房价过高带来的社会问题,关注保障房扩容,加大土地供应量,满足住房的刚性需求,维持弱势阶层的基本尊严;再则限购、限贷这样的手段,应更多指向相关利益群体,加强对房地产投机的打击。

The solution is, I'm afraid,Enable the government in control of the real estate positioning:The first, of course, is to prevent a real estate bubble to overall economic security threat,Beware of the real estate on the economy hostage;In addition to prevent high home prices bring social problem,Attention security room expansion,Increase land supply,To meet the demand of housing rigid,Maintain the basic dignity disadvantaged sectors;Moreover 限购、Credit limit such means,Should be more relevant to interest group,To strengthen the real estate speculation blow。

  另一方面,似乎很难单纯从经济角度来观察中国房地产这个最近十几年发生翻天覆地变化的行业。中国的高房价,除了具有较高的风险性,有形成背后深刻的社会性。

On the other hand,It hardly seems simple from economic Angle to observe China real estate the recent ten years earth-shaking changes of the industry。China's high housing prices,In addition to high risk,Have formed deep social behind。

  中国房价的上涨不仅与经济发展相关,还与城市化进程、人口结构乃至中国人的家族家庭观念等因素息息相关;身处现代经济之中,房地产本就具备消费与投资双重属性,房地产甚至其他可投资或投机的事物成为余钱追逐的热点。

China not only the rise in house prices and economic development related,Also with the urbanization process、The population structure and even Chinese family family values and factor;In modern economy in,The real estate has consumption and investment double attributes,Real estate and other investment or speculative things can become spare money hot pursuit。

  在两个原本相互冲突的调控目标之间寻求副作用最小化,这样的操作足以考验智慧与艺术,但又是变革中的中国所必须经历和完成的。这即是中国房地产调控的艰难平衡。

In two original conflict control target between seek to minimize side effects,This operation is enough to test wisdom and art,But it is the change of China must experience and finish。This is a difficult balance of China's real estate regulation。



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