CUBN记者 宋博 北京报道

CUBN reporter SongBo reports from Beijing

　　近期，楼市显现回暖迹象。最近连续两次降息也引发各界对房地产调控政策的种种猜测。而不久前，住建部、国土部等多个部委都表示，今年下半年，房地产调控决心不动摇、方向不改变、力度不放松。那些调控政策松动、房价大幅反弹、保障房建设迟缓的地方将被问责。

recent，Property market warms up signs appeared。In recent successive two cuts also trigger the from all walks of life to the real estate speculation adjustment and control policies。And not long ago，Live JianBu、Homeland department, and other ministries said，The second half of this year，Real estate regulation determined not to be moved、Direction does not change、Strength not to relax。Those who control policies loose、House prices rebound sharply、Security room construction slow places will be accountability。

　　总理定调：调控政策不动摇

Prime minister pitch：Control policy not be moved

　　2012年7月7日，中共中央政治局常委、国务院总理温家宝在江苏省常州市调研时强调，目前房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期，调控任务还很艰巨。必须坚定不移做好调控工作，把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策。

On July 7, 2012，The standing committee of CCCPC political bureau、The state council premier wen jiabao stressed in changzhou, jiangsu province investigation，Real estate market regulation is still in critical period，Regulation is very arduous task。Must unswervingly well control work，The inhibition of the investment real estate speculation needs as a long-term policy。

　　温家宝强调，进一步做好调控工作，要把握好以下几个方面：一要继续坚决抑制投机投资性需求，防止变相放松购房政策，防止不实信息炒作误导。要把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策。继续严格实施差别化住房信贷、税收政策和住房限购措施。加强市场监管，对涉及违规骗取购房资格的开发企业、中介机构和个人，要严肃查处。对有地方出台或变相放松房地产市场调控政策的，要有针对性地及时制止纠正。同时，抓紧研究推进房地产税收制度改革，加快建立健全房地产市场调控的长效机制和政策体系。要毫不动摇地继续推进房地产市场各项调控工作，促进房价合理回归，决不能让房价反弹，造成功亏一篑。

Wen jiabao stressed，Work well further regulation，Should grasp the following respects：A speculative investment firm will continue to restrain demand，Prevent in disguised form relax purchase policies，To prevent false information hype misleading。The inhibition of the investment real estate speculation needs as a long-term policy。Continue to strictly implement differentiation housing credit、Tax policy and housing 限购 measures。To strengthen the market supervision，To defraud the irregular purchase qualified development enterprises、Intermediary institutions and individuals，We will strictly investigate and prosecute。To have a place to come on stage or in disguised form relax the real estate market adjustment and control policies，To have targeted and timely stop correct。At the same time，We will promote real estate tax system reform，Speed up and improve the regulation of the real estate market mechanism and policy system。Will unswervingly to continue to push forward the real estate market various control work，Promote the rational regression house prices，Never let the house prices rebound，Cause failed。

　　二要采取有效措施，积极引导和支持房地产企业调整产品结构，增加普通商品房供给，满足合理的自住性需求。三要继续稳步推进保障性安居工程建设，尽快形成有效供给。截至5月底，今年上半年保障性住房已经开工470万套，基本建成260万套，相关工作正在平稳推进。各地区要积极拓宽筹资渠道，加快用地审批和供应，吸引多元投资主体参与建设，确保开工和建设任务顺利完成。要高度重视工程质量，让老百姓住上放心房。注意完善保障性住房的配套设施，方便群众生活和工作。合理确定公租房租金水平。特别要注重保障性住房建设的可持续性，抓紧完善保障性住房建设、分配、管理、退出等制度。

Second, we need to take effective measures，Actively guide and support real estate enterprise adjustment of product structure，Add a normal commercial housing supply，Meet the reasonable self living sexual needs。Third, we will continue to advance steadily supportability live project construction，As soon as a effective supply。By the end of may，In the first half of this year has 4.7 million sets of affordable housing construction，Basically completed 2.6 million sets，Related work is smooth advancing。Each region should actively broaden the financing channels，To speed up the land for examination and approval and supply，Attract multiple investment main body participation construction，Ensure commencement and construction mission accomplished。Should attach great importance to the quality of the project，Let people live in FangXinFang。Pay attention to perfect the affordable housing supporting facilities，Convenient for people life and work。Reasonable rent levels and rent。Special attention to the construction of affordable housing to sustainability，We need to promptly improve affordable housing construction、distribution、management、Quitting system。

　　7月10日，住建部调研地方限购政策，变相放松者将被问责，房价大幅上涨的地方，地方政府也将被问责。温家宝总理在常州“不让房价反弹”的讲话，给之前部分地区出现的“房地产回暖说”浇了一瓢冷水。住建部的知情人士表示，住建部下半年倾向于“强调既有政策”，当中对于核心限购政策的执行层面正在收紧，地方一系列问责工作也在紧急跟进。部里也在收集和调研市场数据和反应，看看是否有很大的出台新政的预期，总体来说态度是谨慎的。住建部正调研地方微调行为，对地方出台或变相放松房地产市场调控政策的，会予以纠正，加强地方问责。

July 10,，Live JianBu research place 限购 policy，The relaxation in disguised form will be accountability，Property prices place，The local government will also be accountability。Prime minister wen jiabao in changzhou“Don't let the house prices rebound”speech，Before the parts to appear“Real estate thaw said”A gourd ladle pouring cold water。Live JianBu insider said，JianBu tend to live in the second half“Emphasize both policy”，For the core of 限购 policy execution level are tightening，Place a series of accountability are in the emergency follow up。The ministry also in the collection and research the market data and response，See if there is a big issued New Deal expected，Overall attitude is prudent。Live JianBu is research place fine-tuning behavior，Place to come on stage or in disguised form relax the real estate market adjustment and control policies，Will rectify，Strengthening local accountability。

　　下半年楼市调控以“稳”为主

The second half to market regulation“stability”primarily

　　虽然中央一再强调楼市调控问题，但市场上却出现了一种奇怪现象：一方面是住建部等各大部委在不断“喊话”，声称要对房地产市场进行最彻底的调控，另一方面却是主要城市房价和交易量出现全面反弹。下一步，楼市或面临着新一轮的“价随量涨”。

Although the central repeatedly stressed that the property market control，But the market there is a strange phenomenon：On the one hand is to live the JianBu big ministries in constant“propaganda”，The real estate market to claim to the most complete control，On the other hand is the main urban property prices and trading a general rebound。The next step，Housing or face the new round“Price rise along with the amount”。

　　实际上，房价上涨已露端倪。国家统计局发布的房价数据显示，5月70个大中城市的房价数据保持跌势的同时，连续三个月房价跌幅也收窄。

In fact，Rising house prices already dew clue。Published by the national bureau of statistics data showed that house prices，May 70 major cities of the data at the same time keep declines in housing prices，For three months in a row house price declines also narrow。

　　国家统计局刚刚发布的统计数据显示，在70个大中城市中，新房价格环比上涨的有6个，比4月增加3个；二手住宅价格环比上涨的有18个，比4月增加9个。5月新建商品住宅中，房价上涨的城市——南昌、大连、贵阳、天津、西宁、包头当中，除了包头以外，其余全部为限购城市。6月份截止到18日，6月内住宅签约均价为21238元每平米，环比5月上涨了7.7%。

The national bureau of statistics released statistics show，In 70 major cities，New house price rising annulus has six，Three more than four months；Second-hand housing prices to the rise of the annulus 18，April increase than nine。May in new commodity residential house，House prices rising city, nanchang、dalian、guiyang、tianjin、xining、Of baotou，In addition to outside baotou，All the rest for 限购 city。June to 18,，6 month average price for 21238 yuan residential signing each square meters，November 5 month is up 7.7%。

　　不过亚太城市房地产研究院院长谢逸枫在接受《中国联合商报》采访时表示，目前中国楼市回暖基础薄弱，全面回暖为时过早。从上半年销售量看，商品房销售量依然是负增长，并且下降幅度偏大，超过2011年。从上半年商品房库存量看，下半年去商品房库存压力特别大，不管是总量和增速都是超过市场预期。从中央调控看，涉及到限购和限贷的核心政策未实质放松。从上半年房企到位资金看，自筹资金比例越来越高，而国内贷款增长缓慢和利用外资及其他资金同时下降，房企资金存在资金压力。

But the city real estate research institute President XieYiFeng in accept《China united commercial daily》Interviews that，At present China property market warms up foundation is weak，Full thaw is premature。In the first half from sales look，Commodity house sales are still negative growth，And decline was too large，More than 2011 years。In the first half from commodity stocks look，The second half of commercial housing inventory to pressure particularly big，Whether it is growth and total more than market expectations。Look from the central control，Related to 限购 and limit the core essence of credit policy not to relax。In the first half of enterprises in place money from room to see，Self-raised funds more and more high proportion，And the slow growth of domestic lending and the use of foreign capital and other funds also decline，Room capital existence financial pressures enterprises。

　　谢逸枫认为，政府如果再次启动刺激性的财政政策，只会导致更多的过剩产能，而银根放松则会再度推高刚刚控制下来的通货膨胀。因此，大规模的经济刺激计划不会再出台。因此，2012年下半年中央以“稳”字当头，维持“既有政策”作为楼市调控思路，关键是要找到“三全其美”的办法：既能降低房价，又能促进成交量放大，同时还能拉动投资增长。房地产调控政策微调应该保持去投资投机化的同时，也应该保刚需与改善置业人群的合理购买需求。达到拉动销售成交，推动投资增长的目的。

XieYiFeng think，The government if restart excitant fiscal policy，Will only lead to more excess capacity，Monetary easing and will be pushed higher again just control down inflation。so，The scale of the economic stimulus plan won't come。so，The second half of 2012 central“stability”Character overhead，maintain“Both policy”As the housing market regulation ideas，The key is to find“Three full its beauty”way：Can lower the price of the house，And can promote the volume to increase，At the same time also can drive investment growth。Real estate regulation should keep fine-tuning to investment of speculation at the same time，Should also protect just need to and improve the reasonable to buy real estate needs。To lift sales clinch a deal，The purpose of promoting investment growth。

　　谢逸枫推测，2012年下半年房地产调控将往以下方向调整：一是调整货币政策。考虑到购房贷款和企业成本上涨，再降息二次和再降准二次；二是调整房贷首套首付和利率及公积金政策等普通住房贷款；三是调整部分城市限购政策；四是调整土地政策；五是调整房地产市场交易税费，给刚需和改善合理购房者适当的减、免税费优惠政策；六是增加普通商品房和保障房及土地供应；七是加快40个城市个人住房信息系统联网，为房产税开征提供基础数据。

XieYiFeng speculation，The second half of 2012 real estate to the following direction control will adjust：One is to adjust the monetary policy。Considering the purchase loans and enterprise cost rises，To cut rates twice and drop allowed two times；Two is to adjust the first set of mortgage interest rates down and and accumulation fund policy common housing loans；The third is to adjust the parts of the city 限购 policy；Four is to adjust the land policy；Five is the real estate market transaction tax adjustment，Just need to improve the person that buy a house and reasonable appropriate decreases、Avoid tax preferential policies；Six ordinary commodity house and security is to increase room and land supply；Seven is to accelerate the 40 cities personal housing information system networking，For real estate taxes provided the basis of collecting the data。