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部分楼盘涨回限购前--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-27

  在经历了5、6月份的成交大涨之后,北京大量前期降价幅度较大项目都已进入提价阶段,部分项目甚至已经回涨至调控之前的售价。

Experienced in the five、The rose in June after clinch a deal,Beijing cut prices amount of large projects has entered the stage of price increase,Part of the project have even HuiZhang to control the price of before。

  李强(化名)终于长舒了一口气。用他的话说就是,“终于解套了。”2010年年底,李强在北京昌平霍营附近购置了一套二手房,70平方米,总价140万,单价高达2万元/平方米

Li qiang(aliases)Finally long sighs。In his words,“Finally solution to cover the。”By the end of 2010,Li qiang in Beijing changping near HuoYing purchased a secondhand the room,70 square meters,Total 1.4 million,The unit price as high as 20000 yuan/square metre。

  但谁想到,李强买完没多久楼市就迎来史上最严厉的调控,李强所购买的小区房价一路走跌。“跟我买的那套差不多户型的房子,今年年初低谷时,只要100万到110万就可以拿下,几乎等于当初的三成首付都跌没了。”

But who thought of,Li qiang not long after buying property market is the most severe in the history of the regulation,Li qiang purchase the village house prices traders all the way。“And I bought that set of almost family house,Earlier this year when trough,As long as 1 million to 1.1 million can win,Almost equal to thirty percent of all fall down was gone。”

  现在,李强终于解套了。链家地产提供的内部数据显示,昌平霍营站附近的二手房目前成交单价已经涨回2万元/平方米。这还不是涨势最严重的小区,学区房涨得更加厉害。不过,李强说自己“没有什么可高兴的。这意味着换房成本更高了”。

now,Li qiang finally solution to cover。Chain of internal data provide home real estate display,HuoYing stood nearby secondhand the room legrand now has gone up to clinch a deal unit price is 20000 yuan/square metre。This is not the most serious market area,School districts room has risen more severe。but,Li qiang said he“Nothing can be happy。This means that the move rooms higher costs”。

  在中央密集喊话调控不放松的背景下,房价却出乎意料地持续上涨

In the central dense propaganda regulation under the background of not to relax,House prices are not expected to continue to rise。

  位于房山的万科长阳半岛项目将于7月26日推出最新一期。据该楼盘销售员介绍,开盘均价预计在16000-19000元/平方米之间,精装修标准交房。而该项目2010年7月限购前推出第一期,单价仅为13000元/平方米左右。两相比较,上涨了至少3000元/平方米。

Located in the China vanke changyang peninsula fang shan magmatic project will be on 26 July launched the latest issue。According to the building dish salesman is introduced,Open quotation price is expected to in 16000-19000 yuan/square metre between,Fine decoration standard makes a room。And the project in July 2010 限购 before the release of the first period,The unit price is 13000 yuan only/square metre。The comparison between,Up at least 3000 yuan/square metre。

  位于北京大兴区的保利春天里二期,对外报价均价高达15500元/平方米,而该项目5月5日开盘第一周的成交均价仅为每平方米13740元,涨幅可观。

Located at Beijing daxing poly in spring the second phase,Foreign offer as high as 15500 yuan/square metre average price,And the project May 5 days of open only in the first week of the price for every square metre 13740 yuan,Or considerable。

  亚豪机构提供的7月销售前10名房价涨跌楼盘显示,北京楼市已从以前的以价换量变到少数热销项目率先涨价但仍然热销。其中,中弘·北京像素相比4月同期,成交均价上涨了4968元/平方米;保利·罗兰香谷相比4月同期,成交均价上涨了2331元/平方米;红木林项目相比4月同期上涨了820元/平方米。

The house of institutions to provide sales July 10 buildings go up drop that house prices,Beijing property market has to change from the previous price to a small number of sell like hot cakes project will take the lead in price but still sell like hot cakes。Among them,Beijing pixels in hong · than the same period April,The price up 4968 yuan/square metre;Poly · LuoLanXiang compared to the same period of 4 months,The price up 2331 yuan/square metre;Annatto Lin project the same period April compared up 820 yuan/square metre。

  北京中原的监测也证实,涨价正从个别现象蔓延至普遍项目。据监测,截至7月22日,7月热销的60个项目,环比涨价43个项目,占比过七成。

Beijing central plains monitoring also confirmed that,Prices are from individual phenomenon spread to common project。According to the monitoring,By July 22,,July sell like hot cakes of the 60 project,Annulus comparing prices 43 projects,Accounting for more than seventy percent。

  不仅是北京,上海房价也存在反弹迹象。据易居中国提供数据显示,6月份,上海市纯商品住宅销售均价为24137元/平方米,同比上涨7.5%,环比上涨6.7%。易居市场研究部认为,上海房价在同比、环比双升的情况下,有小幅反弹之势。

Is not only the Beijing,Shanghai house prices are also signs rebound。According to provide data shows in China easily,June,Shanghai pure commodity residential sales average price for 24137 yuan/square metre,Rose 7.5% year-on-year,Annulus comparing rose 6.7%。Enjoysmart market research department think,Shanghai house prices are up、Annulus comparing double rise,Have a modest recovery of power。

  北京中原三级市场研究总监张大伟称,“量在价先”,以价换量到了一定程度,折扣必然回收,之前部分项目因为成交量上涨从而减少了折扣,而此时购房者更加担忧价格上行,入市的积极性增加。张大伟担心,房价过量反弹可能再来调控。

Beijing central plains level 3 market research director ZhangDaWei says,“Quantity first in price”,To change to a certain degree of price,Discount inevitable recovery,Part of the project because rising volume before and thereby reducing the discount,And right now the person that buy a house worry more price goes up,The enthusiasm of the entry increased。ZhangDaWei worry,House prices rebound to regulation may be excessive。

  业内人士的这种担心正逐渐被中央所重视。

The industry this worry gradually by the attention。

  7月24日传来消息,国务院决定从7月下旬开始,派出8个督查组,对16个省(市)贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施情况开展专项督查。这将对房地产市场产生怎样的影响?

July 24, to spread the news,The state council has decided to start from late July,A DuZhaZu sent 8,16 provinces(city)Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council to launch special superintendent himself。This will produce the effect of the real estate market how?

  21世纪不动产分析师粟日认为,国务院督查组的到来,对地方政府是个威慑,它们就不敢有丝毫放松调控的想法。而那些准备上涨房价的企业,也会有所收敛。二手房业主也会感受到这种压力,涨价时将有所忌惮。如果国务院督查组能够向市场各方明确传达出国家调控楼市的坚强决心,对控制房价是不遗余力的,那么,近期快速上涨的二手房价格就会稳定下来,而开发商也会明白,只有出货走量方为上策。这样,三季度末、四季度初的楼市就会失去房价大涨的基础,甚至有可能继续转为微跌,从而为2013年的调控环境创造好的条件。

21 real estate analyst SuRi think,The arrival of the DuZhaZu under the state council,The local government is a deterrent,They can't have no relief the idea of regulation。And those who are rising house prices enterprise,Also can have the convergence。The owner will feel this kind secondhand the room pressure,When prices will have the courage。If the state council DuZhaZu able to clearly communicate the state parties to market regulation strong determination of the property market,To control the house prices is spare no effort,so,The recent housing prices rise rapidly stabilises,But developers can understand,Only shipment quantity party go for the best policy。this,At the end of the third quarter、At the beginning of the fourth quarter of the housing market would lose house prices surged to the foundation,Even is likely to continue into the fall,Thus for 2013 years of macro-regulation environment creating good conditions。

  链家地产市场研究部常清表示,国务院派出专项督查组的消息,将加大市场对于下半年调控从紧的预期,预计中央很可能会对现有政策进行针对性的局部调整。“比如,针对调控效果不明显的弱限购城市,有可能会升级为强限购城市;又比如,在信贷差异化方面,由于当前房地产贷款和信托风险逐渐暴露,预计下半年房企融资依旧难以大幅放松,购房贷款优惠难以扩大;另外,可以预计的是地方政府还将普遍加强对于土地市场的管控,土地出让方式将向"限房价、竞地价"等抑制高地价等方式转变。”常清说。

Chain's real estate market research said temperamental predominance,The news sent special DuZhaZu under the state council,Will increase for the second half of the tight control market expectations,Expect that the central are likely to existing policy of specific local adjust。“For example,According to control the effect is not obvious weak 限购 city,May upgrade for strong 限购 city;And such as,In the credit differentiation,The current real estate loans and trust risk exposed gradually,The second half is expected to stand still difficult to a room financing to relax,Purchase loans to expand the discount;In addition,Can the local government is expected to strengthen will also be common for land market control,The land transfer to the way"Limit prices、Competing land price"High restraint and land price mode change。”Temperamental predominance said。



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