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[我财经]杨晨:新楼市调控待发 “税”或是关键--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-29

  中国经济网7月25日讯(记者高 天晓)国务院决定从7月下旬开始,派出8个督查组,对16个省(市)贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施的情况开展专项督查。不少业内人士分析认为,大规模的调研往往被认为是新政策出台的前奏。因此如果这次督查发现的问题比较多的话,不排除新的调控政策出台的可能性。对此,中国经济网评论员杨晨在《我财经》节目中谈了自己的看法,并指出, China on July 25,-cew has been(Reporter high god knows)The state council has decided to start from late July,A DuZhaZu sent 8,16 provinces(city)Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council to launch the special superintendent himself。Many insiders think,The scale of the research is considered to be the prelude to a new policies。So if the protecting the problems found more words,Don't rule out the possibility of new regulation policies。this,Chinese commentators Jody cew has been in《I financial》Programs about their views,And points out that,新的政策一定会出台,并且很有可能使用征税这一抑制房价的方法。 The new policy will come,And probably use the inhibition of the price of the house tax method。

  杨晨解释说,“尽管我们这两年调控取得了一定的成果,但是对于根本性的溢价房的上涨还是没有起到根本性作用,6月份一些城市的房价松动反弹、量的提升等都能够体现出来。而为什么两年的时间,中央没有从税收的角度上去打压投机性需求,一个重要的原因就是征税有一定的难度,体现在信息联网的不对称上,但是现在就有可能使用这一抑制房价的方法,之前我也多次提到,要给多套房屋的拥有者征税,否则我们很难改变泡沫的延续。”

Jody explained,“Although we this two years regulation has obtained the certain result,But to fundamental premium room up or didn't play a fundamental role,In June, some of the city's loose house prices rebound、Amount of ascension, etc can be reflected。And why two years,From the point of view of the central no tax go up down the speculative demand,One important reason is that tax has the certain difficulty,Reflected in the asymmetric information networking,But now it might be possible to use this method to suppress house prices,I also mentioned many times before,To the owner of the house of taxes,Otherwise, it is hard for us to change the continuation of the bubble。”

  以下是本条新闻的播报内容:

The following is the news report the content:

  【播报】首先,来看财经今榜的头条新闻。

【broadcasts】first,To see this list of financial news headlines。

  房地产市场的平稳健康发展关系百姓生活,因此更是党中央、国务院高度重视的一个问题。根据中国政府网的消息,针对近期房地产市场出现的新情况、新问题,为进一步推动房地产市场调控政策措施落实,坚决抑制投机投资性需求,巩固房地产市场调控成果,国务院决定从7月下旬开始,派出8个督查组,对北京、天津、河北、辽宁等16个省(市)贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施的情况,开展专项督查。

The healthy development of the real estate market stable relations people's lives,So is the central party committee、The state council attaches great importance to a problem。According to the Chinese government nets news,According to recent real estate market appears the new situation、New problems,In order to further promote the real estate market regulation policy measures to carry out,Firmly suppress speculative investment demand,Consolidate the real estate market control results,The state council has decided to start from late July,A DuZhaZu sent 8,For Beijing、tianjin、hebei、Liaoning as 16 provinces(city)Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council,Carry out special supervision。

  《路透中文网(博客,微博)》也关注了这一消息,并援引上海证券房地产分析师舒廷飞的观点指出,目前房价上涨的预期重新抬头,这次督察对于扭转市场预期,至少在心理层面上有比较正面的影响。同时,这也彰显出房地产调控还会保持稳定和高压的态势,也彰显出了中央坚持房地产调控不放松的姿态。

《Reuters publicchinese(blog,Micro bo)》Concerns about the news,Shanghai real estate securities analysts and cited ShuTingFei view points out,The current price rise expected to look up,The inspectors to reverse market expectations,At least in the psychological level to have a more positive effect。At the same time,It also shows the real estate regulation also will be stable and high pressure of the situation,Also revealed by the central insist on real estate regulation not relaxed attitude。

  【点评】杨晨

【Comment on】Jody

  【追问1】不少业内人士还分析认为,大规模的调研往往被认为是新政策出台的前奏。因此如果这次督查发现的问题比较多,就不排除新的调控政策出台的可能性。您怎么看,如果真的有新政策,您觉得会是哪方面的措施?有分析就认为,会在税费方面有所突破。

【Cross-examine 1】Many insiders are analyzed and think,The scale of the research is considered to be the prelude to a new policies。So if the protecting the problems found more,Will not rule out the possibility of new regulation policies。What do you see,If there really is a new policy,Do you think that will be what measures?That analysis,In the taxes would be a breakthrough。

  【追问2】另外,对于这次的督查,市场方面还有一种担心,就是政策的权威性会不会打折?北京中原市场研究部总监张大伟就指出,目前一些地方政府对调控松绑意愿很强。您觉得呢?

【Cross-examine 2】In addition,For the superintendent himself,Market and a worry,Is the authority of policy will not at a discount?Beijing central plains market research department director ZhangDaWei pointed out,Now some of the local government to control will relax very strong。You feel it?

  相关文章:

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  人人在参与,成就“我财经”。大家好,我是陈亮,首先来看由网民点击量生成的“财经今榜”。

Everyone in the participation,achievements“I financial”。hello everybody,I'm ChenLiang,First, a look at the web site of the generation of quantity“Finance and economics this list”。

  1、【导视】国务院派出8个督查组赴16省市检查房产调控落实情况。稍后请评论员杨晨做出解读。

1、【Guide depending on the】The state council DuZhaZu sent 8 to 16 provinces and cities a check property regulation the implementation。Later please commentators Jody make the reading。

  【播报】综合十大财经网(博客,微博)站,“财经今榜”第二到五位的新闻是:

【broadcasts】Comprehensive ten major financial nets(blog,Micro bo)stand,“Finance and economics this list”The second to five news is:

  2、【导视】“钻石底”被击穿引发各方热议,有分析观点认为,最多还有10个交易日,周线调整就将到来。

2、【Guide depending on the】“Diamond bottom”Is punctured hot debate by all parties,Analysis view,Most have 10 trading day,The weekly adjustment will come。

  3、【导视】财政部公布数据显示,2012年上半年税收收入同比增长9.8%。

3、【Guide depending on the】The Treasury figures,In the first half of 2012 tax revenue up 9.8%。

  4、【导视】“7.21特大暴雨”导致北京房山区人员伤亡损失重大,区长祁红动容地表示,“作为区长,对不起大家”。朝阳区核查暴雨夜坐地涨价宾馆。

4、【Guide depending on the】“7.21 severe storms”Lead to Beijing fangshan district casualties loss is significant,QiGong district moved to said,“As a warden,Sorry everyone”。Chaoyang district check stormy night sit hotel prices。

  5、【导视】人民币汇率连续3天触及跌停,有分析指出,这将进一步增加热钱外流的压力。

5、【Guide depending on the】RMB exchange rate for 3 consecutive days or touch drop stop,Have pointed out,This will further increase the pressure of the outflow of hot money。

  【播报】首先,来看财经今榜的头条新闻。

【broadcasts】first,To see this list of financial news headlines。

  房地产市场的平稳健康发展关系百姓生活,因此更是党中央、国务院高度重视的一个问题。根据中国政府网的消息,针对近期房地产市场出现的新情况、新问题,为进一步推动房地产市场调控政策措施落实,坚决抑制投机投资性需求,巩固房地产市场调控成果,国务院决定从7月下旬开始,派出8个督查组,对北京、天津、河北、辽宁等16个省(市)贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施的情况,开展专项督查。

The healthy development of the real estate market stable relations people's lives,So is the central party committee、The state council attaches great importance to a problem。According to the Chinese government nets news,According to recent real estate market appears the new situation、New problems,In order to further promote the real estate market regulation policy measures to carry out,Firmly suppress speculative investment demand,Consolidate the real estate market control results,The state council has decided to start from late July,A DuZhaZu sent 8,For Beijing、tianjin、hebei、Liaoning as 16 provinces(city)Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council,Carry out special supervision。

  《路透中文网》也关注了这一消息,并援引上海证券房地产分析师舒廷飞的观点指出,目前房价上涨的预期重新抬头,这次督察对于扭转市场预期,至少在心理层面上有比较正面的影响。同时,这也彰显出房地产调控还会保持稳定和高压的态势,也彰显出了中央坚持房地产调控不放松的姿态。

《Reuters publicchinese》Concerns about the news,Shanghai real estate securities analysts and cited ShuTingFei view points out,The current price rise expected to look up,The inspectors to reverse market expectations,At least in the psychological level to have a more positive effect。At the same time,It also shows the real estate regulation also will be stable and high pressure of the situation,Also revealed by the central insist on real estate regulation not relaxed attitude。

  【点评】杨晨

【Comment on】Jody

  【追问1】不少业内人士还分析认为,大规模的调研往往被认为是新政策出台的前奏。因此如果这次督查发现的问题比较多,就不排除新的调控政策出台的可能性。您怎么看,如果真的有新政策,您觉得会是哪方面的措施?有分析就认为,会在税费方面有所突破。

【Cross-examine 1】Many insiders are analyzed and think,The scale of the research is considered to be the prelude to a new policies。So if the protecting the problems found more,Will not rule out the possibility of new regulation policies。What do you see,If there really is a new policy,Do you think that will be what measures?That analysis,In the taxes would be a breakthrough。

  【追问2】另外,对于这次的督查,市场方面还有一种担心,就是政策的权威性会不会打折?北京中原市场研究部总监张大伟就指出,目前一些地方政府对调控松绑意愿很强。您觉得呢?

【Cross-examine 2】In addition,For the superintendent himself,Market and a worry,Is the authority of policy will not at a discount?Beijing central plains market research department director ZhangDaWei pointed out,Now some of the local government to control will relax very strong。You feel it?

  【播报】继续来看财经今榜第二位的新闻。

【broadcasts】Continue to see this list of second financial news。

  我们把目光转向A股市场,相关报道进入了多家财经网站24小时排行的前列。详细看一下。多方坚守了半年有余的上证综指“钻石底”昨天被无情击穿,虽然仅仅只跌破了一个点,随后就被拉起,但这还是引发了各方的热议。

We turned to look to the A share market,Relevant report into the much home finance website ranking in the forefront of 24 hours。Detailed look at the。To many of the Shanghai composite index more for half a year“Diamond bottom”Yesterday was relentless breakdown,Although only dipped below a point,Then they were pulled,But this is the cause of all parties hot debate。

  民族证券研发中心副总经理徐一钉指出,上市公司半年报整体业绩下降,是上证综指最终跌破2132点的最重要因素。他还预期,中小板指数、创业板指数最多还有10个交易日就将进入周线级别的调整,因此投资者要小心强势股票补跌。平安证券首席策略分析师王韧也维持了悲观的看法,他认为经济疲软是大盘连续下挫的重要原因,而目前来看,经济的疲弱反弹不足以支撑所有的行业盈利好转。

National security XuYiDing points out that research and development center, vice general manager,The listed company half annals overall performance decline,The Shanghai composite index is finally below 2132 points of the most important factors。He also expected,Small and medium plate index、Gem index and 10 trading day most will enter the weekly level adjustment,So investors to be strong for the stock fell。Securities chief strategy WangRen peace analysts also maintained the pessimistic view,He thinks that economic weakness is the important reason for the fall,And so far,Economic weakness rebound support all the industry profits to improve。

  当然,有悲观,就同样有乐观的声音,国泰君安证券就表示,目前 A股市场的换手率和“绝望投降”指标都已经有所上升,预计调整已经临近尾声。

Of course,A pessimistic,It also has the voice of optimism,Cathay Pacific securities said it would hand,At present the A share market rate and changing hands“Despair to surrender”Index has increased,Expected adjustment was near the end。

  【点评】杨晨

【Comment on】Jody

  【追问1】A股的连续下挫也引起《人民日报海外版》的关注,今天它的一篇文章就提出,新股发行是越“穷”越“生”吗?您怎么看这个问题?并且文章指出,停发新股未必能够“救市”。是这样吗?

【Cross-examine 1】A shares fell from the continuous《People's Daily overseas edition》attention,Today it's a article is put forward,The ipo is more“poor”more“born”??How do you see this problem?And the paper points out that,Stop hair new shares may not be able to“Help city”。Is that right?

  【追问2】就当前来说,股民是越来越感到失望,中登公司的统计显示,最近两个月平均每天有超过1500位股民销户离市。股民纷纷感叹,现在见面不是问“吃了吗”,而是问“今天到证券公司销户了吗?”您怎么看?这个时候该销户离场吗?

【Cross-examine 2】For the,People are more and more feel disappointed,The statistics that show up in the company,Two recent months on an average day, more than 1500 people sell a door from the city。People succession exclamation,Now meet not asked“Eat?”,But ask“Today to securities firms sell a door?”What do you see?This time the sell a door leave?

  【播报】继续来看今天财经今榜第三位的新闻。

【broadcasts】Continue to see today in a third on the financial news。

  是一条税收方面的消息,来关注一下今年上半年的税收收入情况。根据国家财政部网站昨天发布的报告显示,今年上半年,全国税收总收入完成5万4千9百31.63亿元,同比增长9.8%。但与去年同期相比,税收收入的增速总体大幅回落19.8个百分点。报告分析指出,这主要是因为国内经济增速回落,导致与经济指标密切相关的税种收入增速放缓;此外价格总水平涨幅回落、房地产销售额下降、一般贸易进口额增速下降和结构性减税政策等,也使得一些主体税种都有不同程度的减收。

Is a tax sources,To focus on the income tax for the first half of the year。According to the national Treasury website report released yesterday,In the first half of this year,The national tax revenues finished 5.493163 trillion yuan,Year-on-year growth of 9.8%。But compared with the same period last year,The rate of growth of income tax overall 19.8% drop sharply。The report pointed out,This is mainly because the domestic economic growth fell back,With economic indicators to closely related categories of taxes income growth is slowing;In addition the overall price level or fall back、Real estate sales decline、General trade import growth and structural decline tax cuts, etc,Also makes some duty has different rate reduce。

  【点评】杨晨

【Comment on】Jody

  【追问】另外,除了税收收入的数据,昨天发布的汇丰中国7月制造业PMI指数也很受关注,我们看到预览值是49.5,为五个月高点。汇丰银行首席经济学家屈宏斌认为,预计随着政策宽松显效,经济增速可能很快开始反弹。您觉得呢?

【cross-examine】In addition,In addition to income tax of the data,The HSBC China released yesterday by the manufacturing PMI index July is also very popular,We see preview value is 49.5,For five months high。Chief economist at HSBC QuHongBin think,Predicts that as policy loose powerfully,Economic growth may soon began to rebound。You feel it?

  【播报】好,我们稍作休息,广告之后马上回来。

【broadcasts】good,We make a little rest,Advertisement after will be back soon。

  【播报】继续来看财经今榜第四位的新闻。

【broadcasts】Continue to see this list of the fourth financial news。

  “7·21”北京特大暴雨的相关情况还在继续牵动着人们的心,尤其是这次特大暴雨的重灾区房山区,更是备受关注。我们来看有关消息。昨天下午,房山区发布了灾情通报,初步统计当地经济损失在50亿元人民币,受损房屋6.7万间,人员伤亡损失重大,目前仍在进一步统计之中。区长祁红在介绍这些情况时,眼眶中满是泪水,他动容地表示,“作为区长,对不起大家。”

“7 · 21”Beijing with the severe storms continues to affect the heart of people,Especially the severe storms areas of fangshan district,More concern about the。We look at the news。Yesterday afternoon,The fangshan district issued disaster situation reporting,Preliminary statistics local economic losses in 5 billion yuan RMB,The damaged 67000 houses,Casualties loss is significant,Still further in the statistics。QiGong district in these situations is introduced,My eyes were filled with tears,He moved to said,“As a warden,Sorry everyone。”

  而与积极抢险救灾形成鲜明对比的是另一条消息,《北京日报》报道说,就在暴雨当天,有微博曝出“三元桥旅馆坐地涨价2160元一晚”的消息。对此,朝阳区旅游委已经开展核查,但核查结果显示,并没有叫三元桥宾馆或三元桥旅馆的单位。朝阳区旅游委表示,如果市民有“黑心宾馆”事件的相关线索,可以进行反映和投诉,坚决杜绝此类现象发生。

And with the positive emergency rescue and disaster relief contrast in other news,《Beijing daily》Reports say,In the heavy rain,Have the bo to expose“Sanyuanqiao hotel price with 2160 yuan a night”news。this,LvYouWei chaoyang district have been conducted for verification,But verification results are shown,And there is no sanyuanqiao hotel or sanyuanqiao hotel of the unit。Chaoyang district LvYouWei said,If citizens have“"Dirty" hotel”In connection with the incident clues,Can reflect and complaints,Resolutely put an end to this kind of phenomenon。

  【点评】杨晨

【Comment on】Jody

  【追问】根据北京市气象局的监测显示,25号到28号,京城还将进入降水多发时段,其中今明两天个别地区、特别是北京东北部出现暴雨的可能性较大。您听完这样的消息之后,有什么样的感受或者在防范上有什么建议?

【cross-examine】According to the monitoring of the Beijing meteorological bureau show,25 to 28,Beijing also will enter the precipitation multiple time period,In the two days of individual regions、Especially in the northeast of Beijing heavy rain probability。After hearing the news of this after you,What kind of feeling or in the guard on any Suggestions?

  【播报】最后,来看榜单第五位的新闻。

【broadcasts】finally,To see the list of the news of the fifth。

  关注一条人民币汇率方面的消息。在汇改七周年之际,人民币对美元即期汇率却在历史上首次触及了1%的“跌停板”。《南方日报》报道说,受欧元区经济危机的影响,最近避险资金回流美元,使得非美元货币走势不佳,人民币也受到明显影响,上周五人民币自放宽双向波动范围以来,首次触及了1%的跌停板。本周一,人民币兑美元即期汇率盘中最大跌幅再次达到0.98%。昨天,即期汇率盘中触及6.3930元,相对于中间价跌幅为0.93%。

Attention a RMB exchange rate of the news。In the yuan reform of the seventh anniversary,But the spot exchange rate to the dollar for the first time in history, touched a 1%“Drop stop”。《Southern daily》Reports say,The eurozone economy by the influence of the crisis,Recent hedge funds backflow dollars,Make the currency movements $to do better,The yuan was also significantly influenced,Last Friday the yuan fluctuate from relaxing two-way since,The first touch the 1% drop stop。On Monday,The spot exchange rate against the dollar plate biggest drop in again reached 0.98%。yesterday,The spot rate pan reached 6.3930 yuan,Relative to the middle price down 0.93%。

  报道指出,人民币连续三天触及跌停,显示出近期人民币贬值预期持续升温。还有分析师指出,这样的信号说明了市场可能对于中国经济有所担忧,于是就有热钱流出。而人民币贬值又将会进一步增加热钱外流的压力。

Report says,For three days the touch drop stop,Show the recent yuan depreciation expected continues to heat up。And analysts said,Such signals that the market may be on China's economy has concerns,So there will be hot money out。And the depreciation of RMB and will further increase the pressure of the outflow of hot money。

  【点评】杨晨

【Comment on】Jody

  【追问】说到汇率问题,消息显示,美国7月Markit制造业PMI初值创下了2010年12月以来的最低,受到影响,美元兑加元快速下滑。那么这对人民币会有进一步的影响吗?

【cross-examine】Say to the currency issue,News shows,The United States July Markit manufacturing PMI set the record of the initial value since December 2010 minimum,affected,The two U.S. denominations plunging。So the renminbi will be further affect?

  【播报】节目最后,我们再来回顾一下今天网民最为关注的财经新闻。

【broadcasts】Program last,We'll review of the most attention today netizens financial news。

  1、【导视】国务院派出8个督查组赴16省市检查房产调控落实情况。

1、【Guide depending on the】The state council DuZhaZu sent 8 to 16 provinces and cities a check property regulation the implementation。

  2、【导视】“钻石底”被击穿引发各方热议,有分析观点认为,最多还有10个交易日,周线调整就将到来。

2、【Guide depending on the】“Diamond bottom”Is punctured hot debate by all parties,Analysis view,Most have 10 trading day,The weekly adjustment will come。

  3、【导视】财政部公布数据显示,2012年上半年税收收入同比增长9.8%。

3、【Guide depending on the】The Treasury figures,In the first half of 2012 tax revenue up 9.8%。

  4、【导视】“7.21特大暴雨”导致北京房山区人员伤亡损失重大,区长祁红动容地表示,“作为区长,对不起大家”。朝阳区核查暴雨夜坐地涨价宾馆。

4、【Guide depending on the】“7.21 severe storms”Lead to Beijing fangshan district casualties loss is significant,QiGong district moved to said,“As a warden,Sorry everyone”。Chaoyang district check stormy night sit hotel prices。

  5、【导视】人民币汇率连续3天触及跌停,有分析指出,这将进一步增加热钱外流的压力。

5、【Guide depending on the】RMB exchange rate for 3 consecutive days or touch drop stop,Have pointed out,This will further increase the pressure of the outflow of hot money。

  【播报】“我财经”的新闻中有你的点击,我们追求的是与你的共鸣。下期节目再见。

【broadcasts】“I financial”The news in have your click,We are in pursuit of and your feeling。Program again see next。

  【播报】我们进入《股市快评》的环节。

【broadcasts】We enter the《Stock market fast evaluation》link。

  今天我们电话连线的分析师是申银万国资深投资顾问张雨生。张先生您好。

Today we telephone connection of analysts is senior investment advisers shenyin &wanguo zhang yu3 sheng。Mr. Zhang hello。

  1、本周的交易已经过半,那么您对大盘短线的趋势怎么预测?

1、This week's deal is more than half,So you can predict what the trend of the market short line?

  2、在这样的行情之下,投资者操作上您有什么建议?哪些板块可以重点关注?

2、In such an option under,Investors operate what do you suggest?What plate can focus on?



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