6月楼市一片火热

June a hot property market

　　文︱《小康?财智》记者刘上

Wen ︱《well-off?smartfortune》The reporter liu

　　传统的“红5月”余热未降，6月全国楼市成交继续放量。据中国指数研究院数据显示，本月40个监测城市中，逾七成城市成交面积环比上升，其中，贵阳涨幅最大，达154.72%；其次是杭州（不含萧山余杭），涨幅为49.45%；重点城市，除成都外，其余均出现不同程度上涨。成交价格方面，逾五成城市成交均价止跌回调。

The traditional“Red may”Waste heat without rain，June the national property market tumbled continue to clinch a deal。According to the Chinese index academy data shows，40 monitoring in the city this month，More than seventy percent of the cities of rising annulus clinch a deal，Among them，Guiyang saw the largest，154.72%；Second is the hangzhou（Do not contain xiaoshan yuhang），49.45% increase；Major cities，In addition to the chengdu，The rest are in different degree rise。Clinch a deal the price，More than fifty percent of the cities reason the price callback。

　　对此，北京中原地产市场总监张大伟认为，这主要是受微调、降息等多重因素的影响，楼市形成新一轮的恐慌性购房潮，从而支撑了楼市成交量连续放大。

this，Beijing centaline property market director ZhangDaWei think，This is mainly by fine-tuning、Multiple factors such as the effect of cut interest rates，Formed a new round of panic that buy a house property market tide，To support the property market turnover continuous amplification。

　　对于后市走势，分析人士对下半年楼市成交量是否继续放量的研判出现分歧。伟业我爱我家(博客,微博)集团副总裁胡景晖认为，目前楼市的回暖主要依赖首次购房需求释放，这种力量会随时间衰减，使得如此交易规模难延至8月，而三季度后半段楼市成交量仍有再度陷入低谷的可能。而张大伟却认为，7、8月楼市会略淡，但随后3个月将迎来全年成交量的最高点。

For the trend is，Analysts for the second half of property market turnover whether to continue the rare to analyze fall apart。Cause I love my family(blog,Micro bo)The vice President HuJingHui think group，At present the housing market warms up mainly depends on the first release of pent-up demand，The power will decay over time，Make so trading scale difficult until August，In the third quarter and the property market turnover is still have bottomed again likely。And ZhangDaWei but think，7、August property market will be slightly pale，But then three months will have the highest annual turnover。

　　虽然楼市看似即将面临新一轮“量价齐涨”的趋势，但在分析人士看来，年内祭出新的楼市调控的概率并不大。中国房地产学会副会长陈国强表示，从中央的表态来看，短期内，楼市调控仍以维稳为主，除非出现全国范围内的房价大幅度反弹，否则调控大幅度收紧的可能性很小。

Although seemingly will face new market“Price volume up together”trend，But analysts look，Offering a new property market regulation within the probability is not great。China real estate society vice-chairman Chen guoqiang said，From the central statement to see，Short term，Property market regulation still with d steady primarily，Unless a nationwide house prices rebounded significantly，Otherwise regulation tightening the possibility of a small greatly。

　　北京量涨价也涨 Beijing is also up prices

　　6月份本是楼市的传统淡季，但是北京楼市却是淡季不淡。继5月份北京楼市住宅成交量创下本年度的新高后，本月成交量继续增长。据21世纪不动产统计数据显示，截至6月30日，6月份新楼盘网签量为20509套，环比5月份增长28.7%。而二手房市场，来自链家地产的统计数据显示，本月北京市二手房成交量为13619套，环比5月上涨7.5%，成交量连续两月突破1.2万套，为2011年调控以来首次出现。

This is the property market in June traditional slack，But Beijing property market is off-season not light。The Beijing property market in May this year, the volume of a house after the record high，This month, the volume of continue to grow。According to statistics 21 real estate，By June 30,，In June, the new building capacity of 20509 sets of sign nets，Month-on-month growth of 28.7% in May。And the housing market，From the statistical data of chain home real estate display，This month, the volume of 13619 set for Beijing housing，November 5 month rose 7.5%，Volume reached 12000 sets for two months，For 2011 years since the regulation for the first time。

　　价格方面，据北京中原市场研究部统计数据显示，6月份北京普通住宅成交均价再次上涨到2万以上，达21000元/平方米，这也是年内第一次出现2万以上的均价。

price，According to Beijing central plains market research statistics show，6 to Beijing in average house again the price rise to more than 20000，Up to 21000 yuan/square metre，This is the first time in more than 20000 average appear。

　　北京中原市场研究部总监张大伟认为，出现最近几个月成交量明显放大的主要原因有几点：首先，调控政策的松动，特别是信贷政策的调整，使得购房者支付能力增加，购房者对房价继续下探的期待降低，入市的积极性增加；其次，房价相比调控之前的确有所下探，房价处于最近两年的低点，购房者抄底心态明显。

Beijing central plains market research department director ZhangDaWei think，Appear in recent months, the amplification volume obvious are the main reasons points：first，Adjustment and control policies loose，Especially credit policy adjustments，Make the person that buy a house the ability to pay increase，The person that buy a house to house prices continue to dip below expectations lower，The enthusiasm of the entry increased；second，House prices have really compared before hitting a regulation，House prices in the low of nearly two years，The person that buy a house copy bottom mentality is obvious。

　　最近几个月，北京楼市成交量比较乐观，对房价的支撑作用也已有所体现。有分析人士认为，房价再跌的可能性接近于零,但是因为新开工全面触底的影响，预计下半年成交量仍可能环比轻微回落。

In recent months，Beijing property market turnover is more optimistic，The support of the role of house prices has also reflected。Have analysts said，The possibility of house prices fall again close to zero,But because the new start the influence of the overall hit bottom，The second half of may still be annulus volume is expected to fall slightly。

　　上海 Shanghai

　　成交量创17月新高 Volume 17 months and hit a record high

　　6月沪上楼市的成交热度远超“红五月”。金丰易居&佑威联合研究中心发布的数据显示，6月上海市新建商品住宅成交面积为102.07万平方米，环比(较上月)上涨26.59%，同比(较去年同期)上涨了30.67%；成交均价亦环比上涨7.22%，同比上涨11.02%，至24070元/平方米。102万平方米的成交量，创下了2011年2月以来17个月的沪上楼市月度成交量新高。

Shanghai property market June deal of heat than“Red may”。Jinfeng enjoysmart&U-right joint research center issued figures show，June Shanghai new clinch a deal the commodity residential house area of 1.0207 million sq. Meters，Annulus comparing(A last month)Up 26.59%，up(Than the same period last year)Up 30.67%；The price also annulus comparing rose 7.22%，Rose 11.02% year-on-year，To 24070 yuan/square metre。1.02 million square meters of volume，A since February 2011 17 months of Shanghai property market monthly volume high。

　　6月楼市之所以能够反超“红五月”，佑威机构执行董事黄志坚认为，主要原因是货币政策走势从适度从紧转向了适度从宽，降息降存准率以及首套房利率优惠进一步扩大，让市场有了政策见底的预期。特别是中高端买家，他们比较敏感和有主见，认为政策见底就是入市甚至抄底时机，果断入市。

June housing are able to slip“Red may”，U-right agency executive director HuangZhiJian think，The main reason is from moderately tight monetary policy trend to put moderate，Cut down the accuracy and save the first suite favorable interest rate further，Let the market with policy see bottom expected。Especially in high-end buyers，They are more sensitive and assertive，Think policy see bottom is entering the market and even the time to copy，Decisive entry。

　　对下半年上海楼市走向持乐观态度的人不在少数。克而瑞分析师杨晨青称，上半年房价基本是在筑底，现在个别楼盘已开始涨价。如果下半年政策、市场预期不变，房价和成交量都会缓慢回升。而据上海财经大学发布的“2012年第二季度上海财经大学上海市社会经济指数系列”报告显示，二季度上海楼市有所回暖，消费者买房热情大幅升温。

The second half of the Shanghai property market to optimists note is not a few。G and red analysts YangChenQing says，House prices in the first half is the basic built，Now the individual building dish has started to price increases。If the second half policy、Market expectations unchanged，House price and volume will be slow to bounce back。And according to the Shanghai university of finance and economics of release“The second quarter of 2012 Shanghai university of finance and economics Shanghai society economic index series”report，In the second quarter of the Shanghai property market to thaw，Consumers to buy a house warm heating up sharply。

　　三亚 sanya

　　成交量下跌过半 More than half also dropped

　　火火的6月也阻挡不了三亚楼市的跌势，成交一路下滑。据三亚搜房网数据统计显示，截至6月25日，三亚楼市成交329套，成交面积37161.89平方米，本月签约平均价格为25952.1元/m2，较5月楼市成交706套环比下降约53.4%，较5月成交面积62263平方米环比下降约40.31%，较5月成交均价21310.62元/m2上涨约21.78%。

The fire of fire June can stand in the way of the property market declines in sanya，Clinch a deal went way down。According to statistics showing search room net sanya，By June 25,，Sanya property market clinch a deal of 329，Clinch a deal the area of 37161.89 square meters，Signing this month average price is 25952.1 yuan/m2，A May 706 sets of annulus clinch a deal property market drop about 53.4%，More may deal with an area of 62263 square meters month-on-month drop about 40.31%，May the price is 21310.62 yuan/m2 increase of about 21.78%。

　　在区域销售排行榜中，河东区再次拔得头筹，分别以销售95套、销售面积9720万平方米的佳绩位居销售总量和面积的榜首，大东海以销售64套、销售面积7930万平方米的成绩位居第二，河西区紧随其后，销售总量达48套，销售面积达4840万平方米。

In the list of the regional sales，Once again topped the hedong district，With sales of 95 respectively、Sales area of 97.2 million square meters in total sales record and top of the area，With sales of 64 dadonghai、Sales area of 79.3 million square meters results in second place，Hexi district followed，Sales totaled 48 sets，Sales area of 48.4 million square meters。

　　海南金圣投资有限公司总经理冯彬认为，由于三亚大部分购房者来自岛外，受到调控政策影响，三亚楼市销量下滑是大势所趋，这也和三亚本身淡旺季明显，加上部分开发商前期销售准备工作不足，导致销售进度滞后等原因分不开。

Hainan jin investment Co., LTD FengBin think general manager，Because most of the person that buy a house sanya from island，By regulation policy effect，Sanya property market sales downturn is the trend of The Times，This also and sanya subject itself is obvious，Add some developers to work early sales to prepare shortage，Lead to sales lag behind schedule reasons such as inseparable。

　　房子难卖，面对日渐庞大的库存量和越来越吃紧的资金链，打折促销成为了开发商使用最频繁最直接的营销手段。自从今年4月以来，大盘折扣指数越走越低。但业内人士普遍认为调低折扣对销量不会有太大影响，预计到今年10月份三亚或迎来楼市回暖，而真正的旺季中的黄金期则在一年中的一、二月份。

Hard to sell a house，With the increasingly large inventories and more and more a capital chain，Discounts and promotions became developers use the most frequent the most direct marketing tool。Since since April this year，The discount index more walk more low。But industry insiders generally thought to lower discount sales won't have too big effect，In October this year is expected to sanya or have warmed property market，And the real season is the gold in the period of a year in the a、In February。