上半年南京新建商品房价格环比走势 Nanjing new housing price in the first half of November movements上半年南京新建商品房价格同比走势 In the first half year-on-year new housing price movements in nanjing

　　无论你我有多么不情愿，房价由跌转涨正在成为事实。国家统计局昨天发布的数据显示，今年上半年的最后一个月，南京新房价格环比上涨0.3%，二手房价格环比上涨0.2%。与此相对应的是，国内70个大中城市新房价格6月份环比上涨0.02%，这是70城房价连跌8个月后，首次出现正增长。

Whether you how much I reluctantly，House prices fell by turn up is becoming a fact。The national bureau of statistics released yesterday by the figures show，In the first half of this year the last month，Nanjing new house prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month，Secondhand the room price annulus comparing rose 0.2%。The flipside is，Home prices in 70 major cities bridal chamber in June rose by 0.02% month-on-month，This is 70 city house prices fall even 8 months later，Positive growth for the first time。

　　现代快报记者 马乐乐

Modern express reporter horse lele

　　综合新华社

Integrated xinhua news agency

　　数据

data

　　南京：房价环比一年多来首次“正增长”

nanjing：House prices for the first time in more than a year annulus“Positive growth”

　　刚需改善齐齐跑步入市，让南京楼市在今年6月份“发高烧”。8530套认购，7219套成交，如此好的销量不但创下限购后新高，且已经逼近限购之前楼市最躁动的数据。今年春节后开始的刚需爆发持续几个月来，量变终于引发质变，房价在买房人的追捧下慢慢昂起了头。

Just need to improve qi qi running market，Let's property in nanjing in June this year“A high fever”。8530 set of subscribe，7219 set of clinch a deal，So not only after a good sales 限购 high，And 限购 imminent before the most restless the market data。This year after the beginning of the Spring Festival just need outbreak last for several months，Quantitative change finally trigger the qualitative change，House prices in to buy room person to chase after hold in both hands slowly under hold the head。

　　国家统计局昨天发布的70个大中城市房价变动数据显示，南京6月份新建商品房价格环比上涨0.3%，环比涨幅与北京、遵义相同，高居70城的并列第4名。同比方面，6月份南京新建商品房价格下降3.1%，与前几个月相比也出现了明显的回升。

The national bureau of statistics released yesterday in 70 major cities house prices change data shows，Nanjing June new housing price up 0.3% month-on-month，Annulus comparing or and Beijing、Zunyi the same，At the city of 70 tied for fourth。Up aspects，Nanjing new housing price in June dropped by 3.1%，And a few months ago than there is an obvious picks up。

　　按照国家统计局的数据，南京新房上一次环比价格上涨，还是2011年3月份的事。在限购令出台的第二个月，房价仍然没能“急刹车”，当月环比上涨0.7%。2011年5月份，南京新房价格环比持平，此后就一路连跌，直到今年5月份才止步于“十一连跌”环比持平。时隔1年多，南京新房价格终于出现了环比上涨。

According to the national bureau of statistics data，Nanjing bridal chamber last annulus comparing prices，Or in March 2011。In 限购 make on the introduction of the second month，House prices are still can't“brakes”，That month annulus comparing rose 0.7%。In May 2011，Nanjing new house prices flat month-on-month，After that even all the way down，Until this year to stop in May“Ten for fall”Flat month-on-month。After more than a year，Nanjing bridal chamber finally revealed annulus comparing price rise。

　　二手房方面，6月份南京环比上涨0.2%，同比下跌4%，同比跌幅较上个月的4.8%相比明显收窄。

Secondhand the room in，June nanjing annulus comparing rose 0.2%，Year-on-year fall by 4%，Compared to 4.8% last month compared to fall more obviously narrow。

　　降价声几乎绝迹，申报价格逐步抬高，开发商开始减少或者取消优惠幅度，成了6月份南京楼市的写照。正是由于买房人在6月份的大举出手，南京楼市库存也从6月初的逼近5.3万套降到了月末的5万套。供应量少了，开发商涨起价来也更理直气壮。

Price cut sound almost dried up，Declared price up gradually，Developers began to reduce or cancel the discount rate，Became the property market in June the portrayal of nanjing。It is because in June to buy room person to the sweeping moves，Nanjing housing inventory from early June 53000 sets of approximation of the fall to the end of 50000 sets。Supply less，Developers price rise to also more reason keep spirit strong。

　　全国：70个城市超3成房价环比上涨

national：70 cities super 3 into house price rising annulus

　　从全国范围来看，70个大中城市中，价格环比下降的城市有21个，持平的城市有24个，上涨的城市有25个，上涨的城市数量超过了下跌的，是今年首次出现的现象。易居房地产研究院研究发现，6月份70个大中城市新房价格环比上涨0.02%，这是70城房价连跌8个月后，首次出现正增长。与过去相比，一线二线城市房价反弹较为明显，6月份京沪穗房价全面反弹，二线城市的龙头杭州和南京环比上涨0.6%和0.3%，排70城的第1和第4名。

From countrywide，In 70 major cities，The price of the decline of the annulus city have 21，The city has a flat 24，The rise of the city has 25，The rise in the number of cities more than the fall，Is this year first appear phenomenon。Enjoysmart real estate research institute study found，June 70 large and medium-sized cities price up 0.02% month-on-month bridal chamber，This is 70 city house prices fall even 8 months later，Positive growth for the first time。Compared with the past，A line second city house prices rebound is obvious，Shanghai house prices in June ear full rebound，Second city of hangzhou and nanjing annulus leading up 0.6% and 0.3%，Row 1 and the city of 70 fourth。

　　二手房方面，与5月份相比，70个大中城市中，价格下降的城市有19个，持平的城市有20个，上涨的城市有31个，上涨的城市明显超过了下跌的城市。

Secondhand the room in，And 5 than in，In 70 major cities，The price of the decline of the city has 19，The city has a flat 20，The rise of the city has 31，The rise of the city more than the city fell significantly。

　　综合70城数据，6月份二手房价格环比上涨0.09%，这是自2011年8月以来，首次出现环比正增长，而降幅的收窄事实上从今年1月就已经开始。

Comprehensive 70 city data，June secondhand the room price annulus comparing rose 0.09%，This is since August 2011，First appeared annulus comparing positive growth，And the drop narrow in fact from January began。

　　调查

survey

　　超6成开发商看涨下半年南京房价

Super six into developers bullish nanjing second half of house prices

　　买房人对楼市降价的预期在动摇，那么开发商在想什么呢？在2012年南京楼市务实高端论坛正式开始前夕，主办方针对参与的开发商代表们发放了问卷，结果有超过六成的开发商看涨下半年楼市。

Yet borrowers about the housing price is expected in the moved，So developers in to what？In the 2012 years nanjing high-end BBS the official start of the property market pragmatic eve，Organizers of the developers for participation in delegates issued questionnaire，The results more than sixty percent of the developers bullish market in the second half。

　　问卷的第一个问题是“你所在的楼盘下半年房价实施怎样的定价策略”。这个问题的有效问卷数量为88份，选择上涨的25人，降价3人，维持原价的29人，暂时不确定31人。也就是88位参与问卷调查的开发商中，28.4%的表示下半年所在楼盘房价将实施涨价策略，明确要降价的只有3.4%。第二个问题是“下半年南京楼市的房价走势是看涨还是看跌”。这个问题的有效问卷数量为93份，看涨58人，看跌7人，不好说28人。也就是93人中，62.37%的看涨下半年南京楼市房价，看跌的只有7.5%。

Questionnaire first question is“You are the second half of the implementation of building house prices how pricing strategy”。The problem of the number of 88 valid questionnaires for，Choose rising 25，Depreciate 3 people，The 29 people remained the same，Temporarily not sure 31 people。Is a questionnaire survey in 88 the developers，28.4% of that in the second half of house prices will rise strategy implementation of buildings，Clear to only 3.4% of the price。The second problem is“The second half of the property market prices of nanjing is a bullish or bearish trend”。The problem of the number of 93 valid questionnaires for，Bullish 58 people，Put seven people，Bad to say 28 people。That's 93 people，62.37% of the second half is bullish nanjing property market prices，Bearish only 7.5%。

　　“开发商对后市上涨的预期比较强烈，但是具体到自己所在的楼盘却相对谨慎，原来都是希望别人涨价。”一位业内人士在现场笑着说，这种“看涨不涨”的姿态也反映了调控之下开发商谨慎乐观的心态。

“Developers is expected to rise more intense，But the specific to own building is relatively cautious，Originally all is hope others price increases。”An industry insiders at the scene said with a laugh，this“Bullish not the rose”Stance also reflect the regulation under the careful optimism developers。

　　声音

voice

　　南京楼市触底趋稳

Nanjing property market hit bottom stabilised

　　南京大学商学院教授高波：

Nanjing university business school professor GaoBo：

　　根据市场规律，全国房地产市场调整仍将持续2—3个季度。从区域市场来看，一、二线城市触底，三、四、五线城市将进一步探底。下半年南京楼市交易量会在现有基础上相对稳定，因为上半年该出手的基本都出手了。

According to the laws of the market，The national real estate market adjustment will still lasts 2-three quarters。From regional market and see，a、Second city hit bottom，three、four、Five line city will further the agent。The second half of nanjing trading volume in the property market will be based on existing relatively stable，In the first half of the shot because all the basic shots。

　　成交量可能将小幅回落

Volume may bit

　　江苏省房协房地产研究所所长李智：

The real estate association of jiangsu province, director li zhi room：

　　南京楼市下半年在量上不会比上半年高，有可能会有一个回落过程，但回落幅度不会太大。此外，当前国家仍然对房价进行监控，开发商在下半年预计仍持谨慎态度，不会贸然提价。

Nanjing property market in the second half of the quantity is not high in the first half，May have a fall process，But fell back range is not too large。In addition，The current state of house prices still monitoring，In the second half of developers is expected to still cautious attitude，Price won't be rushed。

　　即使出新政力度也不大

Even if the New Deal strength is small

　　易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭：

Enjoysmart real estate, vice President of the institute YangGongXu：

　　鉴于经济稳增长的压力很大，此时不宜过度打压房地产市场。综合考虑，即使再调控政策也不会增加太多、太严厉的措施，新政策力度不会太大，对市场的影响力有限。

In view of the economic stability growth under a lot of pressure，This time shoulds not be too down the real estate market。Comprehensive consideration of the，Even if a control policies don't add much also、Too strict measures，The new policy efforts won't big，The influence of the market is limited。

　　大幅反弹几乎没可能

Rebound sharply almost not possible

　　同策咨询研究中心总监张宏伟：

Strategy consulting research center director with d：

　　在降息、降准及各种微调等多种因素综合作用下，现阶段仍是自住需求最佳购房时间窗口。但是，由于“去投资化”的限购限贷政策尚未明显松动，因此，外来的投资投机性需求不会大规模入市，整个市场房价出现年内大幅反弹的可能性几乎没有。

Cut interest rates in、Drop must and various kinds of fine-tuning and so on many kinds of factors，At present is still the best buys a room to live oneself needs time window。but，because“To invest in the”限购 limit of credit policy has not been obvious loose，so，Foreign investment the speculative demand not mass market，The whole market prices appear years the possibility of rebound sharply almost there。

　　在近日召开的海南博鳌21世纪房地产论坛上，全国工商联房地产商会会长聂梅生等回应说，尽管成交量有所回升，但楼市呈现的还是筑底态势。

In held recently hainan boao 21 century real estate BBS，The national association of industry and commerce of such as real estate chamber of commerce NieMeiSheng response said，Although volume have rebounded，But the home of the present or build momentum。

　　专家认为，一方面，库存等大部分房地产指标依然低迷；另一方面，限购、限贷等调控政策基本面未改，这决定了房价短期“反转”可能性不大。

Experts say，On the one hand，Inventory and most real estate index downturn continues；On the other hand，限购、Credit limit and not change control policy fundamentals，To determine the short-term house prices“reversal”unlikely。

　　“巨大库存和消化库存的较慢节奏，意味着今明两年房地产行业仍将比较低迷。”北京师范大学金融研究中心主任钟伟说。

“Huge inventory and digestive inventory slower pace，Means that in the two years real estate industry will still low。”Beijing normal university financial research center director ZhongWei said。

　　楼市风云突变

Fast-changing market

　　房价果真“起底”？

If house prices“Up the”？

　　问

q

　　1

1

　　房价短期“反转”不大可能

House prices short-term“reversal”Is unlikely to

　　地方政府与开发商

The local government and developers

　　记者追踪发现，凭借宏观政策由“控物价”转向“稳增长”之机，一些地方政府流露出加快为楼市“松绑”的迹象，试图尽快扭转“土地财政”收入下滑现状。试图改变房价预期的另一个推手是开发商。记者采访发现，一些开发商借一些地方政府“暗助”，开始打起楼盘涨价的主意，积极释放“房价已见底、调控将放松”的信号，诱导购房者出手。业内人士透露，部分开发商借市场阶段性“回暖”之机，甚至自导自演“楼市热销、供需两旺”的假象，为炒作涨价铺路。

Reporter tracking found，With the macro policy“Control prices”Turned to“Steady growth”Machine of，Some local governments reveals the speed up the housing market“easing”Signs of，Trying to reverse as soon as possible“Land financial”Revenue declined status。Prices are expected to try to change another push is developers。Reporters found，Some developers to borrow some local governments“Dark help”，Start up the idea of building prices，Positive release“House prices already see bottom、Regulation will relax”signal，Induction homebuyers make moves。Industry insiders said，Some developers by market phases“warmed”Machine of，Even the self-guided act“Property market sell like hot cakes、Supply and demand two popular”Illusions of the，Prices for paving the hype。

　　楼市借机“松绑”

Property market taking“easing”

　　谁是背后推手？

Who is behind push？

　　问

q

　　2

2

　　针对消费者的疑虑，住建部等四部委最近频频释放楼市调控不动摇的信号，有关部门领导也一再强调继续实施严格的房地产调控政策。

In the light of consumer concerns，Live JianBu four ministries has been release property market regulation unwavering signal，Leaders of relevant departments also stressed that continue to implement strict control policy of real estate。

　　有关专家表示，在保增长的基调下要捍卫调控成果，必须加快建立房地产市场调控的长效机制。另一个问题是，城市保障房建设如何继续保持增量？“当前楼市调控的重点仍是开发商和购房者，对土地、银行等其他利益主体的调控力度不够。”聂梅生认为，今后应配套推进土地、金融、财税、产业结构等一系列制度改革。

Experts said，In the tone of the growth under control results to defend，We must establish the long-term mechanism of real estate market regulation。Another problem is，City room to continue to maintain security construction incremental？“The current housing market regulation of the key is still developers and consumers，To the land、Banks and other interests of the main body of the control power is not enough。”NieMeiSheng think，In future, we must complementarily promote land、financial、Finance and tax、The industrial structure and a series of institutional reform。

　　房价再度反弹

House prices rebound again

　　市民能否承受？

Citizens can withstand？

　　问

q

　　3

3

　　必须建立调控长效机制

Must establish long-term effective mechanism of regulation