7月18日，国家统计局发布70个大中城市房价统计数据显示，6月份，70个大中城市房价环比上涨的城市个数增多。

July 18,，National statistics bureau in 70 major cities house prices statistics show，June，In 70 major cities rising house prices increased the number of annulus comparing city。

　　其中，25个城市新房价格上涨，31个城市二手房价格上涨。国家统计局城市司高级统计师称，6月城市房价环比上涨的原因是多方面的，并且具有一定的特殊性。

Among them，25 cities bridal chamber prices，31 city housing prices。The national bureau of statistics city department senior statistician says，June city house prices rising annulus comparing many reasons，And has some particularity。

　　70个大中城市的新建商品住宅，5月份房价环比上涨的只有6个，6月份却一下子猛增到25个；二手住宅方面，5月份房价环比上涨的有18个，6月份上涨的则有31个。

In 70 major cities of new commodity residential house，House prices in May to the rise of the annulus comparing only six，But in June at soared to 25；Second-hand housing aspects，In may the rising house prices have 18 November，In June the rise is 31。

　　这意味着最近几个月以来的房价环比下跌的趋势正在扭转，“远远没有回到合理价位”的房价正在重新步入上涨的轨道。如果这样的趋势延续到传统的“金九银十”房地产销售旺季，房价出现报复性反弹,并非完全没有可能。

This means that in recent months house prices fell annulus comparing the trend is reversed，“Far from back to reasonable price”House prices are rising again for business of the track。If this trend continues to traditional“Jin jiuyin 10”Real estate sales season，House prices rebound in reprisal,Is not entirely impossible。

　　因此，决策部门应该对房价出现报复性反弹有一个充分的备案，并在必要的时候，给市场传递出明确的信息，让寄希望于本轮楼市调控的人们保持信心。

so，Decision-making departments of house prices should appear rebound has a reprisal full record，And when necessary，To transfer out a clear market information，Let hope that this property market regulation of people keep faith。

　　因为，房价之所以出现环比上涨，最关键的原因就在于购房者的信心在一点点被侵蚀：一方面降息客观上让房地产资金链从紧张转为宽松，另一方面地方政府各种“微调”动作不断推出，“地王”也开始在北京、广州等热点地区重现。

because，House prices are rising in November，The key reason is the person that buy a house in a little bit of confidence by erosion：On the one hand cut interest rates to real estate capital chain objectively from nervous to loose，On the other hand of local government“fine-tuning”Action has introduced，“royal”Also began in Beijing、Guangzhou hot spot again。

　　面对这样的现状，人们越来越相信：即使房价不会马上掉头猛涨，至少也不再会继续下降了；在这样的心理支配下，千人排队购房之类的场景再度频繁上演。

In the face of such situation，People are more and more believe：Even if house prices won't turn around has soared，At least no longer will continue to fall；In such a psychological domination，One thousand people queuing buy again on the scene such as frequently。

　　对于6月份很多城市出现房价环比上涨，统计局总结了三点原因：一是降息让购房成本下降，购房意愿增强；二是市场对房价走势的预期出现变化，前期累积的刚需释放；三是部分楼盘以价换量获得较好的销售业绩后，取消折扣优惠，甚至调高价格。这里面总结得最靠谱的一点，就是降息以及市场对房价走势预期的变化。

For many cities in June in house prices rising annulus，Bureau of statistics summarizes three reasons：One is to cut interest rates to cost down that buy a house，Buys a room to intend to enhance；2 it is the market prices of the prospective emergence of trend changes，The accumulation of just need to release；3 it is part of the building to price change is obtained good sales performance，Cancel the discount，Even raise prices。It summarizes the spectrum of the most by a little，Cut interest rates to house prices and market is expected to change the situation。

　　基于以上原因总结，统计局专家认为6月房价环比上涨“具有一定的特殊性”。可问题是，降息通道既然开启，肯定不会马上改变，市场对房价走势的反弹预期，只要不出更加严厉的调控政策，同样不会改变。换言之，导致6月份房价环比上涨的两个关键因素，一点都不“特殊”，而是很有可能会长期持续下去。这也就决定了，如果我们在房价出现较大面积环比上涨之后，仍旧稳坐钓鱼台，房价持续出现环比上涨将是大概率事件。因此，这个时候，相关部门应该立即敏感起来，专家更不能以“具有一定的特殊性”来自我安慰。

Based on the above reason summary，Statistics bureau experts think June house prices rising annulus“Has some particularity”。But the problem is，Since open channels to cut interest rates，Certainly won't change，The market prices of the trend rebound expected，As long as a more stringent regulation policies，The same will not change。In other words，House prices in June to the rise of the annulus comparing two key factors，Didn't“special”，But is likely to continue for a long time。This has also decided the，If we are in a large rise in house prices appear after November，Still rank diaoyutai，House prices will rise continues to occur annulus comparing is big probability events。so，This time，Relevant departments should immediately sensitive up，Experts in more can't“Has some particularity”I comfort from。

　　中央已经多次强调，要坚持调控的力度不放松，绝不能让房价出现反弹，否则的话，本轮调控就可能功亏一篑。

The central committee has many times that，To insist on the strength of the regulation does not relax，Never let a house prices rebounded，otherwise，This regulation may the lip。

　　在这一背景下，当房价重新出现大面积环比上涨时，相关部门如果不能警觉起来研究制定调控备案，相反却相信专家的“特殊性”理论，那也许是要误事的，对市场而言，更会传递出“调控最多也就这样了”的信息，只会更加强化市场对房价走势的反弹预期。 （舒圣祥）

In this context，When home prices to a massive annulus comparing rises，Relevant departments if not alarmed formulate control for the record，But experts believe the opposite“particularity”theory，That perhaps is to delay our work，For the markets，More will pass a“Regulation is at most a that is”information，Will only reinforce the market trend of house prices rebound expected。 （ShuShengXiang）