华远地产(600743,股吧)董事长任志强日前在“第三届湖湘财富峰会”上对当前的房地产市场分析称，近期楼市回暖，首先是因为国家宏观调控从调通账转为稳增长为主，这使得市场信心发生了变化；在购房者信心有所回升之后，国家货币政策也出现变化，出现了下调存款准备金率、降息措施；这两个因素再加上大部分房地产企业正在用打折促销的方式剌激交易量的回升，这就使得近期楼市有所回暖。

Huayuan real estate(600743,Shares it)The chairman RenZhiJiang recently in“The third hunan wealth summit”On the current real estate market analysis says，The recent market warms up，First, because national macroeconomic regulation and control from the bill to the steady growth mainly，This makes the market confidence has changed；Confidence in the person that buy a house have rebounded later，National monetary policy also appears to change，Appeared cut deposit reserve rate、Measures to cut interest rates；These two factors plus most real estate enterprise is the way with discounts and promotions modulates the volume to bounce back，This makes the recent housing market have warmed。

　　中国网络电视台7月31日消息说，对于房地产市场未来的走势，任志强认为，三季度，房地产市场将进入一个企稳的阶段。“更多的企业还是希望尽快减少库存、回收现金，所以我认为三季度房地产市场将筑底企稳，房价不会大涨和大跌的现象。”

China network television station on July 31, sources say，The real estate market for the trend of the future，RenZhiJiang think，Three quarters of，The real estate market will enter a stabilising stage。“More enterprise or wish to reduce inventory as soon as possible、Recovery cash，So I think that three quarters of the real estate market will build stabilising the，House prices rose and won't crash of the phenomenon。”

　　而从更长远来看，任志强认为，房地产市场仍然有发展的空间。任志强首先指出，说房地产的黄金时间已经过去，这是一个错误的说法，因为中国的城市化率还远远没有达到要求。

And in the longer run，RenZhiJiang think，The real estate market, there are still development space。RenZhiJiang first of all that，The golden time said real estate have in the past，This is a false statement，Because China's urbanization rate is far from requirements。

　　“今年不用担心，房地产还处于有肉可卖的时候，而到了明年，也许会出现没肉可卖的局面。”如果说，猪肉价格的平稳，存栏数是关键，那么在任志强看来，房地产价格要保持平稳，也需要一定“存栏数”。任志强认为，“比较合理的是保持六个月的库存。”

“Don't worry about this year，Real estate is in a meat to sell，By next year，There may be no meat to sell situation。”if，Pork prices steady，CunLanShu is the key，So in RenZhiJiang opinion，Real estate prices to keep steady，Also requires a certain“CunLanShu”。RenZhiJiang think，“More reasonable is to keep the six months of inventory。”

　　对于房价是否有大涨可能？任志强说，“在有十个月以上的库存情况下，暴涨是不太可能的。”所以，对于市场来说，增加供给，或许是平抑房价的最好方法之一。

If house prices have surged to may？RenZhiJiang said，“In ten months above inventory cases，Inflation is unlikely。”so，For the market to，To increase supply，Perhaps is one of the best ways to bring down the prices。

　　（《证券时报》快讯中心）

（《Securities times》Dispatch center）