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社科院:中国楼市尚处调控区间 下半年或“软着陆”--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-06

  中新社北京7月23日电(董冠洋) 中国社会科学院财经战略研究院23日发布报告称,上半年中国楼市仍处调控目标区间,下半年只要政策得当,仍可实现“软着陆”。

China Beijing on July 23 report(DongGuanYang) The Chinese academy of social sciences financial strategy research institute report 23, said,China property market in the first half still control target range,The second half as long as policy is properly,Still can achieve“Soft landing”。

  由于今年上半年宏观经济下行趋势明显,中国官方适度微调了货币政策。宏观政策松动给市场释放了流动性,也影响楼市价格反弹。数据显示,6月,新建商品住宅环比价格上涨的城市有25个,6月百城住宅均价在连续9个月环比下跌后首次出现上涨。

The first half of this year because of macroeconomic descending trend is obvious,China's official moderate fine-tuning the monetary policy。Macro policy loose to release the market liquidity,Also affects the property market price rebound。Data shows,June,New commodity residential house prices in the city have November 25,June stores in residential average nine consecutive decline y/y first appeared to rise。

  在今天发布的《中国住房发展(2012年中)报告》中,社科院称,今年上半年,中国房地产市场总体上仍处在调控和预测的调控目标区间。但近期楼市回暖,呈现出偏离“软着陆”目标的趋势。

In today's release《China's housing development(2012 years)report》in,Academy says,In the first half of this year,China's real estate market in general is still in control and prediction of the control target range。But recent market buoyancy,Present a deviation from“Soft landing”Target trend。

  报告指出,楼市回暖给下半年调控增加了复杂性和难度。政府宏观经济调控宽松温和趋势与房地产调控从紧的政策趋势相反、地方财政吃紧支出增加、开发商资金断裂积聚房地产金融风险、需求者预期变化较快是下半年房地产调控面临的主要问题。

The report points out that,Property market warms up to the second half increased complexity and difficulty of regulation。The government macro economic control loose and real estate regulation tight mild trend of policy trend instead、Local finances expenditures、Capital accumulation the finance of the real estate developers fracture risk、Demanders expected change is rapidly in the second half of the main problems facing real estate regulation。

  社科院财经战略研究院“住房问题研究”课题组组长高培勇指出,尽管2012年6月房地产走势出现偏离调控目标的趋势,但只要下半年政策得当,住房市场调整仍有望趋向价格缓慢下降的“软着陆”,并在此基础上实现健康发展。

Cass financial strategy research institute“Housing research”Group leader GaoPeiYong said,Although in June 2012 real estate trends appear deviation control target trend,But as long as the second half policy is properly,The housing market adjustment are still expected to slow down the price of the trend“Soft landing”,And on this basis to achieve a healthy development。

  报告建议,要扭转房地产回涨局面,确保宏观经济与房地产市场双双“软着陆”,需要继续从严执行《国务院关于坚决遏制部分城市房价过快上涨的通知》等调控文件,采取有力措施进一步落实房地产调控问责制、完善差别化的金融政策、扩大房地产税试点、完善保障性住房建设等。

The report recommends that the,Real estate HuiZhang to reverse the situation,Ensure that macroeconomic and real estate market both“Soft landing”,The need to continue strict execution《The state council about firmly containing the parts of the city overheating in housing prices notice》Control documents such as,Take strong measures to further implement the real estate regulation accountability system、Perfect law disseminating the financial policy、Expand real estate tax pilot、Perfect affordable housing construction, etc。



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