销售人员向购房者介绍楼盘 Sales staff to the person that buy a house building is introduced

　　楼市博弈升级。

Property market game upgrade。

　　根据全国主要城市地价监测系统的最新报告，截至目前全国105个监测城市中，北京等33个城市从不同角度出台楼市微调政策，房地产市场再次进入敏感阶段。

According to the national main urban land price monitoring system of the new report，So far the national 105 monitoring in the city，33 cities such as Beijing from different angles on property market fine-tuning policy，The real estate market into sensitive stage again。

　　就在24日，国务院办公厅发出通知，从7月下旬开始，派出8个督查组，对16个省（市）贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施情况开展专项督查。这也是近两个月来，中央层面对楼市调控的第十次表态。

At 24,，The general office of the state council issued a notice，Start from late July，A DuZhaZu sent 8，16 provinces（city）Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council to launch special superintendent himself。This is nearly two months，The central levels to regulation of the property market in the first ten times comment。

　　不少业内人士分析，一场大规模的政府调研往往被认为是新政策出台的前奏。权威人士透露，与房地产调控有关的部门仍然手握部分储备政策，准备在适当时机推出，并在税费方面有所突破。其中，上调二手房交易税费可能率先出台。

Many insiders，A massive government research is considered to be the prelude to a new policies。Authorities said，And the real estate regulation relevant departments, still holds part of the reserves policy，Ready to launch at the right time，In the taxes and have a breakthrough。Among them，Raised taxes on May take the lead in secondhand the room trades。

　　楼市异动 有33个城市对楼市“微调”

Property market moved with 33 cities on the property market“fine-tuning”

　　根据国家统计局的数据，6月全国70个大中城市中，新建商品住宅（不含保障性住房）环比价格上涨的城市有25个。70大中城市房价环比平均涨幅达0.02%，在连续下跌8个月后首次出现正增长。分析认为，尽管今年6月以来的连续两次降息是推动房价上涨的重要原因，但不少开发企业取消价格优惠或提高后期项目价格导致房价上涨。在二手房领域，坐地起价的现象屡见不鲜。

According to the national bureau of statistics data，June 70 major cities across the country，New commodity residential house（Do not contain affordable housing）Annulus comparing the rising price of city has 25。70 large and medium-sized cities annulus comparing average house prices increased by 0.02%，In the continuous drop after eight months of positive growth for the first time。Analyzed that，Although since June this year the two successive cut interest rates rising house prices is to promote the important reasons，But many development enterprise cancel the preferential price or improve later project prices lead to higher prices。In secondhand the room area，The phenomenon of swapping common。

　　此外，地方松动限购政策、买卖购房资格的现象开始增多，导致部分投机投资需求伺机入市。土地市场同样不平静。在经历了上半年的“冰点”后，本月北京市海淀区万柳居住用地的拍卖再现“地王”。

In addition，Local 限购 loose policy、Business qualification of the phenomenon that buy a house started to increase，In some speculative investment demand biding market。The land market also not calm。After the first half of the year“Freezing point”after，This month the haidian district of Beijing wanliu of residence land auction reappear“royal”。

　　根据全国主要城市地价监测系统的最新报告，截至目前全国105个监测城市中，北京等33个城市从不同角度出台楼市微调政策，政策微调内容涉及公积金贷款额度、土地出让、普通住宅标准、税费优惠以及购房补贴等。除上海、芜湖、佛山、成都等4个放松限购政策“红线”的城市被叫停，其余城市不涉及限购的政策微调均还在实施。在这种宏观政策调整与坚持房地产调控不放松，以及地方政府出台的微调政策不断加大的局面下，部分城市的市场预期正在出现变化，未来一段时间内，房地产市场再次进入敏感阶段。

According to the national main urban land price monitoring system of the new report，So far the national 105 monitoring in the city，33 cities such as Beijing from different angles on property market fine-tuning policy，Fine-tuning content involves accumulation fund loan amount、Land transfer、Average house standard、Tax concessions and purchase subsidies。In addition to Shanghai、wuhu、foshan、Chengdu and relax 限购 policy“Red line”City have been stopped，The rest of the city 限购 does not involve fine-tuning are also in the implementation。In this macro policy adjustments and adhere to the real estate regulation not to relax，And local governments on the introduction of the fine-tuning policy rising position，Parts of the city are the market expectations appear to change，The future within a period of time，The real estate market into sensitive stage again。

　　上海易居房地产研究院副院长杨红旭分析，在地方政府仍严重依赖土地财政且大量地方债务即将到期的背景下，类似对政策微调的“试盘”还将继续，将频频冲击限购“红线”。根据该机构的报告，目前土地出让收入和房地产税收收入占地方财政收入的比重达30%以上。来自财政部的数据显示，上半年全国国有土地使用权出让收入为11430亿元，同比减少4342亿元，降幅达27.5%。同时，与房地产有关的多个上下游产业的景气程度也随楼市的阴晴变化而变化。短期内，地方经济增长尚无法摆脱对房地产业的依赖。

Shanghai enjoysmart real estate, vice President of the institute YangGongXu analysis，In the local government is still heavily dependent on land and a lot of local finance under the background of debt is about to expire，Similar to the fine-tuning“ShiPan”Will continue to，Will frequently 限购 impact“Red line”。According to the agency's report，At present land transfer income and real estate tax revenue accounts for the proportion of local fiscal revenue of more than 30%。From the Treasury figures show，The transfer of state-owned land use right in the first half of the national income is 1.143 trillion yuan，Up to reduce 434.2 billion yuan，Drop of 27.5%。At the same time，And the real estate related industry more than the boom extent the upstream and downstream enterprises with the shade fine property market changes。Short term，Local economic growth is still not able to move away from dependence on the real estate industry。

　　全国督查 显示中央调控楼市决心

The display of supervision of the central control property market determination

　　在这样的背景下，国务院办公厅24日发出通知，从7月下旬开始，派出8个督查组，对16个省（市）贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施情况开展专项督查，有分析认为，专项督查的实施，传达出中央落实房地产宏观调控、坚决制止地方“微调放水”的决心。

In this context，The general office of the state council issued a notice to 24,，Start from late July，A DuZhaZu sent 8，16 provinces（city）Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council to launch special superintendent himself，Have analyzed that，The implementation of the special supervision，Conveys the central implement real estate macroeconomic control、Resolutely put a stop to place“Fine-tuning the water”determination。

　　事实上，在本次督查行动启动前，相关部门已多次就房地产调控问题“喊话”。6月以来，住建部、发改委、央行、银监会分别澄清“松绑调控”传言。7月以来，住建部、统计局、国土部等部门先后在不同场合表态称调控不放松。国务院办公厅24日发出的通知，已是近两个月来，中央层面就楼市调控的第10次表态（见图表）。

In fact，In this action before the start of supervision，Related department has repeatedly is real estate control“propaganda”。Since June of，Live JianBu、The national development and reform commission、The central bank、Banking regulatory commission (CBRC) were clarified“Relax regulation”rumours。Since July，Live JianBu、bureau、Homeland departments successively in different occasions comment says regulation not to relax。The general office of the state council 24 of notice，Already is in nearly two months，The central level is the housing market regulation 10 th comment（See chart）。

　　“此次督查范围之大为近年来罕见。”一位曾参与过此前类似督查的权威人士向记者表示，此次督查不仅调动了与房地产调控有关的多个部门，督查覆盖的地区范围也十分广泛。此次督查覆盖了绝大部分东部沿海省份以及部分中西部省份，囊括了全国大部分热点城市。

“The scope of supervision of rare greatly in recent years。”A involvement in supervision authorities of the previous similar to reporters，The superintendent himself not only mobilized and real estate regulation of the many departments，Protecting the areas covered scope is very extensive。The superintendent himself covered most of the eastern coastal province and parts of the Midwest provinces，Include the national majority of hot city。

　　政策走向 或先上调二手房交易税费

Policies to raise taxes or first secondhand the room trade

　　大规模专项督查启动被认为是新调控政策“山雨欲来”的表现。有分析称，以往历次相关部门大规模督查或调研后，往往伴随着新一轮房地产调控政策的出台。不少业内人士认为，如果此次督查发现的问题较多，不排除继续出台调控政策的可能。

Large special supervision is considered new start control policy“ShanYu desire to”performance。Analysis says，Before all previous related departments of protecting or investigation, mass，With a new round of real estate control policies often come on stage。Many insiders，If the protecting the problems found more，Don't rule out the possibility of adjustment and control policies issued to continue。

　　杨红旭认为，此次督查释放出的强烈信号是督促落实既有政策。至于是否会有新政策出台，要视督查结果以及未来一两个月的房价表现而定。

YangGongXu think，The release of the powerful signal of supervision is urged both policy implementation。As for whether a new policies，Depending on the results and the future of protecting a two months of house price performance and decide。

　　杨红旭表示，中央一直未祭出更严厉的楼市调控政策，主要是顾及稳增长所需。但在当前楼市的新形势下，相关部门仍可能出台一些细化措施，总体上可能以强调限购、限贷、限价等既有政策为主，同时推出一些更有针对性的新政策，从而增加抑制投资投机性购房需求的砝码。

YangGongXu said，The central has not offering a more severe housing market adjustment and control policies，Main is needed for steady growth。But in the current under the new situation of the property market，Authorities are still may be issued some refining measures，In general 限购 may in order to emphasize、Limit credit、Both policies such as price give priority to，Also provide some more specific new policy，Increase the inhibition of speculative investment pent-up demand farmar。

　　记者从权威人士处获悉，尽管现有的房地产调控政策力度被认为是“史上最严”，但与房地产调控有关的部委仍然手握部分储备政策，准备在适当的时机推出。

Reporters from authorities have learned，Although existing real estate control policy efforts to be considered“History's most severe”，But real estate and relevant regulation of the ministries still hand is part of the reserves policy，Ready to launch at the right time。

　　其中，二手房交易税费的提高可能率先出台。这项措施被认为实施起来较为方便，且能够在一定程度上遏制短期的房屋买卖行为，进而抑制投资需求。同时，扩大房产税试点、对存量空置房屋征税的呼声一直很高，不排除其出台的可能性。

Among them，Secondhand the room trade taxes may take the lead in the improvement of come。The measure was that the implement up more convenient，And in a certain extent to curb short-term building business behavior，And rein in investment demand。At the same time，Expand housing property tax pilot、The vacancy of old houses the voice of the tax has been very high，Don't rule out the possibility of its issued。

　　上述权威人士表示，如果出台新政策，仍将主要从抑制需求的方向入手。除强化“限购令”的执行外，提高房地产交易环节的税费也可在一定程度上抑制投机投资需求入市。

The authorities said，If the new policies，Will still mainly from restrain demand of the direction。In addition to strengthen“限购 make”Execution of the，Improve the real estate trade links tax also can to a certain extent inhibit speculative investment demand market。

　　杨红旭认为，个人住房信息系统建设、保障房建设、房产税试点等长效机制未来将被强调，下半年推出第二批方房产税试点城市的可能性较大。

YangGongXu think，Personal housing information system construction、Security room construction、The pilot program of house property tax long-term effective mechanism of the future will be emphasized，The second half of the second batch of launch party house property tax pilot city probability。

　　据新华社、中国证券报

According to xinhua news agency、China's stock certificate report

　　中央两月10次表态

The central two months 10 times comment

　　严控楼市

Tight control of property market

　　6月6日

June 6,

　　住房和城乡建设部重申继续坚定不移地抓好房地产市场调控各项政策措施的贯彻落实。特别是严格执行差别化住房信贷、税收政策和住房限购等措施，巩固调控成果。

Housing and rural construction reiterated unswervingly pays special attention to the real estate market regulation of the implementation of the various policy measures。Especially strict execution differentiation housing credit、Tax policy and housing 限购 and other measures，Consolidate control results。

　　6月12日

June 12,

　　国家发改委发表声明，称有媒体6月10日发表的题为《发改委人士称地产松绑或是救市第二张牌》的报道纯属捏造。

The national development and reform commission issued a statement，Says media published on June 10, entitled《The national development and reform commission personage says real estate or save the second easing card》Reports of sheer fabrication。

　　6月14日

June 14,

　　中国人民银行发言人出面澄清“央行特急文件调整利率及其涉及房贷利率”一事，称中央银行和监管部门对个人住房贷款一直实施有效的政策引导和审慎性监管。

The people's bank of China spokesman to dispel“The central bank interest rate adjustment and there is an documents involving mortgage rates”in，Said the central bank and supervision department of individual housing loan has been effective policy guide and prudential regulation。

　　6月14日

June 14,

　　银监会发表声明称，个人住房抵押贷款的风险权重为50%，与现行监管规定相一致。有媒体称，银监会降低了个人住房抵押贷款的风险权重，纯属误读。

Banking regulatory commission issued a statement that said，Personal housing mortgages loan risk the weight is 50%，With the current regulations are in agreement。Media reports say，Banking regulatory commission (CBRC) reduce the individual housing mortgage loan risk assessment，Is misreading。

　　6月19日

June 19,

　　住房和城乡建设部重申将积极配合金融部门，继续严格执行好差别化住房信贷政策。

Housing and rural construction reiterated that will cooperate with the financial department，Continue to strictly carry out good differentiation housing credit policy。

　　7月5日

On July 5,

　　央行宣布自7月6日起下调存贷款基准利率。与此同时，央行还对房地产市场作出明示：个人住房贷款利率浮动区间不作调整，“金融机构要继续严格执行差别化的各项住房信贷政策，继续抑制投机投资性购房”。

Since the central bank announced on July 6, cut up the benchmark interest rates。At the same time，The central bank also to express the real estate market：Personal housing loan interest rate floating interval is not made adjust，“Financial institutions should continue to strictly carry out the policy of differentiation housing credit，Continue to restrain speculative investment the house”。

　　7月7日

July 7

　　国务院总理温家宝在江苏省常州市调研时强调，目前房地产市场调控仍然处在关键时期，调控任务还很艰巨。必须坚定不移做好调控工作，把抑制房地产投机投资性需求作为一项长期政策，决不能让房价反弹，造成功亏一篑。

The state council premier wen jiabao stressed in changzhou, jiangsu province investigation，Real estate market regulation is still in critical period，Regulation is very arduous task。Must unswervingly well control work，The inhibition of the investment real estate speculation needs as a long-term policy，Never let the house prices rebound，Cause failed。

　　7月17日

July 17,

　　国土资源部部长徐绍史表示，将继续坚持房地产调控不动摇。

The ministry of land and resources minister XuShao history said，Will continue to adhere to the real estate regulation not be moved。

　　7月19日

July 19,

　　国土资源部和住建部联合下发紧急通知，要求坚持房地产市场调控不放松，不断巩固调控成果，坚决防止房价反弹。

The ministry of land and resources and live JianBu jointly issued an emergency notice，Demands to the real estate market regulation not to relax，And consolidating control results，Determined to prevent prices rebound。

　　7月24日

July 24

　　国务院办公厅发出通知，从7月下旬开始，派出8个督查组，对16个省（市）贯彻落实国务院房地产市场调控政策措施情况开展专项督查。

The general office of the state council issued a notice，Start from late July，A DuZhaZu sent 8，16 provinces（city）Implementation of the real estate market regulation policy measures under the state council to launch special superintendent himself。

　　关注

attention

　　督查组眼见能否为实？

DuZhaZu can see for real？

　　国务院派出督查组，就是想实地看一看。然而，眼见能否为实？

The state council DuZhaZu sent，Just to field a look。however，Can see for real？

　　日前因“321人才不限购”等最新“微调”闹得沸沸扬扬的南京，也许将是督查效果的首个试金石。有业内人士告诉记者，南京市政府已跟部分热销楼盘的开发商“打过招呼”，后者近期将不调整价格，也会减少在媒体上推广的力度。不过，南京多家开发商对记者表示，目前还没有接到任何政府发出的约谈通知或参加座谈会的邀请。

For a“321 people who do not 限购”Wait newest“fine-tuning”Make an uproar in the nanjing，Maybe will be the first test of protecting effect。The personage inside course of told reporters，Nanjing municipal government have to do with the developer of the building of sell like hot cakes“Was greeting”，The latter recently will not price adjustment，Will reduce the strength of the promotion in the media。but，Nanjing several developers to reporters，At present have not received any government has sent the notice or attend the symposium questioning by invitation。

　　广州一名开发商对记者表示，据他了解，当地并没有政府为应对督查而要求开发商“低调”的情况，而侨鑫集团在珠江新城一个均价高达每平方米7万元的豪宅项目，也已于近期拿到了预售证。

Guangzhou a developer told reporters，According to his understanding，Local and no government in response to the requirements of protecting and developers“low-key”situation，And QiaoXin group in the pearl river new town a all valence is as high as 70000 yuan per square meter of a person of extraordinary powers curtilage the project，Also has, in the near future to open to booking a card。

　　链家地产市场研究部常清表示，此次国务院开展专项督查，无疑将加大市场对于下半年调控从紧的预期，未来中央对于地方政府企图救市的微调政策也将严加管控。之前的地方调控松绑的红线或将被重新定义。因此不排除个别城市之前通过的松绑政策被叫停。

Chain's real estate market research said temperamental predominance，In the special supervision under the state council，Will undoubtedly increase for the second half of the tight control market expectations，The future for local government attempt to save the central city of fine-tuning policy will also carefully to control。The local regulation before easing the red lines or will be redefined。So don't rule out before easing of individual cities have been stopped by the policy。

　　此外，常清判断，本次开展专项督查对于当前市场的高成交还并不会产生直接的影响，只相当于一种市场信号，最终的督查结果对于后续调控政策如何把控就显得尤为关键。据第一财经日报

In addition，Temperamental predominance judgment，The special for the current market in protecting the GaoCheng return will not have a direct impact on，Only the equivalent of a market signals，The final result of supervision for the follow-up control policies of how it is very key。According to the first financial daily

　　声音

voice

　　楼市应分地区实行差异化调控政策

Housing duty to region difference control policies

　　“现阶段，已实行近两年的限购政策随着时间的推移效力不断衰减。”中国社会科学院财经战略研究院“住房问题研究”课题组成员邹琳华认为，楼市低迷条件下地方政府面临财政困难，对限购政策执行力度大打折扣；限购大都以户籍及社保、税收缴纳年限为门槛，符合纳税和社保条件的人随时间推移而增多；各种规避限购手段越来越成熟，都在减轻最严厉调控手段的限购效力，与此同时，新的抑制住房投资投机的有效手段尚难以跟进，从而形成相对的政策薄弱期。

“At present，Already a 限购 policy of nearly two years with the passage of time effectiveness declining。”The Chinese academy of social sciences financial strategy research institute“Housing research”Task group member ZouLinHua think，The housing downturn conditions local governments facing financial difficulties，To 限购 policy executive power to sell at a discount greatly；限购 mostly to census register and social security、The tax threshold for pay fixed number of year，Comply with tax and social security conditions over time and increase；All kinds of avoid 限购 means more and more mature，In the most severe ease curbs 限购 effect，At the same time，New inhibit housing investment speculative effective means it is difficult to follow up，So as to form the relative policy weak period。

　　中国房地产研究会副会长童悦仲也同意以上观点，他表示，在投资、投机性泡沫被完全挤出市场之前，房地产调控不会放松。

China real estate research board vice-chairman TongYueZhong also agree to the above statement，He said，In the investment、A speculative bubble is completely extrusion market before，Real estate regulation would not relax。

　　全国工商联房地产商会会长聂梅生指出，现阶段我国处于房地产调控关键期，急需推行后续新政，亟待形成长效调控机制，稳定市场预期，避免房地产调控功亏一篑。

The national association of industry and commerce of real estate chamber of commerce NieMeiSheng said，At present in China real estate regulation in employment，Need new implementation of follow-up，To form a long-term mechanism of regulation，Stable market expectations，Avoid real estate regulation failed。

　　“但是我们必须注意到，我国楼市回暖速度并不一致。例如，京沪深等一线城市已有明显迹象，而中西部地区则是刚有迹象。因此，在未来的楼市调控中，也应分地区实行差异化地调控政策。”中国房地产及住宅研究会副会长顾云昌说。

“But we have to pay attention to，China property market warms up speed is not the same。For example，The beijing-shanghai depth of the city there are clear signs of a line，And the Midwest is just there are signs。so，In the future the property market regulation，Also within areas differentiation regulation policies。”China real estate and residential seminar, vice President of GuYunChang said。

　　据经济参考报

According to the economic reference quote

　　预测

forecast

　　三季度房价上行动力增加

In the third quarter increased prices upward momentum

　　根据全国主要城市地价监测系统的最新报告，二季度地价水平呈现出趋稳略升、涨幅继续回调态势，房地产市场出现初步回暖迹象。目前对楼市采取微调的城市，其措施尚未对土地市场产生直接影响。

According to the national main urban land price monitoring system of the new report，In the second quarter of land price level presents stabilised slightly up、Or continue to callback situation，The real estate market appears preliminary warms up signs。At present to fine-tune the city of property market，The measures have not yet a direct impact on the land market。

　　报告预计，三季度商服和住宅等房地产用地价格将持续上升。随着宏观政策特别是货币政策调整，房价和地价上行动力增加，可能出现新的优质高价成交地块，要警惕宽裕货币资金再次流向房地产业。为避免楼市反弹，近期需要出台房地产市场调控政策，释放明确调控信号。据新华社

The report is expected，Three quarters of ShangFu and residential real estate land prices will continue to increase。Along with the macro policy especially monetary policy adjustments，House prices and land price increase upward momentum，Possible new quality clinch a deal price plots，Be alert bounteous monetary fund flow again real estate industry。To avoid housing rebound，Recent need to be real estate market adjustment and control policies，Release the clear control signal。According to xinhua news agency

　　相关

related

　　重庆楼市上半年量价首现负增长

Chongqing property market volume and price in the first half of the first now negative growth

　　在国家继续保持楼市调控政策的背景下，重庆的楼市情况如何？在7月24日召开的2012重庆房地产市场半年度发展论坛上，机构的专家预测，下半年重庆楼市的价格将继续保持相对稳定，供应量则会开始回升。

In countries continue to keep the property market under the background of adjustment and control policies，Chongqing in the housing market condition？In July 24, 2012 at chongqing real estate market development BBS half-yearly，Institutions of experts predict，The second half of the property market price of chongqing will continue to remain relatively stable，Supply will start to bounce back。

　　论坛上，国内知名研究机构正合地产研究中心发布了上半年国内楼市的研究报告。报告中称，今年上半年，重庆住宅市场呈现量升价稳态势，主城区商品住宅新增供应709.24万平米，月均供应118.175万平米，同比下降20%，创2009年以来新低，总体成交均价也首次出现负增长。

BBS on，Famous domestic research institutions is right up real estate research center issued during the first half of the domestic market research report。report，In the first half of this year，Chongqing residential market price rise on quantity stability situation，City supply 709.24 square meters，The average monthly supply 118.175 square meters，20% year-on-year drop，And 2009 was the lowest since，Overall the price also appears first negative growth。

　　分析认为，在今年下半年，国家的政策和资金面都开始放松，并且向首套房置业自住型客户倾斜，市场供需双方参与度提高，这为成交量持续回升奠定基础。

Analyzed that，In the second half of this year，The policy of the country and the financing side began to relax，And to the first suite home buyers from live type customer tilt，The market supply and demand improving participation，This volume, which laid the foundation for continue to rise。

　　报告预测，下半年，重庆楼市供应将会放量，成交量将达到高位水平。而在楼市整体价格方面，由于下压和上涨的动力相对均衡，因此会整体处于稳定期。

Report predicts，The second half，Chongqing housing supply will be rare，Turnover will achieve high level。And the housing price overall，Due to the rise of the power and down relative balance，So will the overall in the stable。